Hey there, fellow investors! If you’re looking at TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) and wondering what’s really going on with this stock, you’ve come to the right place. We’re diving deep into TMC, a company with a $2.79 billion market cap operating in the Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry. The big questions on everyone’s mind are: does its current stock price truly reflect its value, and is TMC poised for future growth?
It’s a common dilemma, isn’t it? Should you invest in TMC right now? Many analyses out there either get bogged down in technical jargon or offer overly simplistic advice. We’re here to cut through the noise, providing you with clear, actionable insights whether you’re a long-term holder or a short-term trader. Let’s explore how TMC is performing in today’s dynamic market.
Here’s What You Need to Know Right Now About TMC Stock
As of November 2025, TMC’s stock is trading at $5.21. It’s currently caught in a bearish trend, sitting below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which often signals caution for investors.
However, analysts seem to be painting a more optimistic picture. They’ve set a 1-year price target of $8.80, suggesting a significant potential upside of +198.0%. But hold your horses – this stock comes with a healthy dose of volatility, clocking in at 65.5% annualized. This means you should be prepared for some potentially wild price swings.
TMC the metals company Inc.’s story is quite complex. On one side, it leverages a portfolio of established brands within its niche. Yet, on the other, it grapples with intense competition in the Other Industrial Metals & Mining sector, making its path forward an interesting one to watch.
What’s Inside This Comprehensive TMC Stock Analysis?
We’re going beyond just the numbers. This analysis breaks down TMC’s stock from every crucial angle, empowering you to make a truly informed investment decision:
- Is now a good time to buy TMC stock? Technical indicators lean “Bearish,” though the RSI is sitting at a neutral 36.9. Fundamentals suggest “caution,” largely due to debt levels and certain growth metrics.
- Can TMC’s core operations drive future growth? Its future growth trajectory will heavily depend on its performance in deep-sea minerals exploration and its ability to effectively manage competitive pressures.
- What are the biggest risks for TMC investors? The company currently carries no debt, which is a significant advantage, especially in a high-interest-rate environment. However, competition from both established players and new entrants remains fierce.
We believe in providing clear, actionable information. Whether you’re aiming for long-term gains or quick profits, our goal is to help you understand the full picture of TMC. So, is TMC the metals company Inc. the right investment to grow your portfolio, or are there hidden issues to be wary of? Let’s dive into the data together.
Key Metrics and Forecast Summary for TMC
Let’s quickly recap the essential figures and what they suggest for TMC the metals company Inc. right now.
| Metric | Value | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | $5.21 | Live Market Price (as of November 2025) |
| 1-Month Forecast | $5.35 | 📈 +2.7% potential upside |
| 1-Year Forecast | $15.53 | 📈 +198.0% potential upside |
| Analyst Mean Target | $8.80 | 📈 +68.9% potential upside |
| Trend & Momentum | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Trend | 📉 ▼ Bearish | Price < SMA 50/200 |
| RSI (14-day) | 36.9 | Neutral ⚖️ |
| MACD | 0.01 | ➡️ Neutral Trend |
| Key Technical Levels | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Above SMA 50 | ❌ $7.17 | Currently below |
| Above SMA 200 | ❌ $5.91 | Currently below |
| 52-Week Range | 📏 $0.72 – $11.35 | Wide historical range |
| Volatility & Ownership | Value | Insight |
|---|---|---|
| Volatility (30d Ann.) | 65.5% | 🌪️ High volatility |
| Beta (vs. Market) | 1.82x | 🎢 High Sensitivity |
| Green Days (30d) | 11/30 (37%) | 🔴 Less than half are up days |
| Institutional Ownership | 11.65% | 🏠 Relatively low |
| Short % of Float | 10.10% | 😰 Notable bearish bets |
Right now, TMC’s stock is trading at $5.21. The technical indicators are flashing a bearish pattern because the price is holding below both its 50-day ($7.17) and 200-day ($5.91) moving averages. This suggests that the stock has been losing momentum recently.
However, it’s not all doom and gloom. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 36.9, which is a neutral reading—meaning it’s neither overbought nor oversold. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator shows a neutral trend, hinting that we might see some minor pullbacks before any potential upward movement truly takes hold.
Looking back over the past year, TMC’s stock has swung wildly between $0.72 and $11.35. This wide range tells us two important things: investor sentiment has been quite mixed, and the current price is trading in the mid-range. This could imply that huge swings are less likely unless a major catalyst emerges.
Analysts, however, are forecasting significant growth ahead. They project a 1-year target of $15.53 (+198.0%), with an average consensus target of $8.80 (+68.9%). What’s interesting is the relatively low 11.65% institutional ownership coupled with a notable 10.10% short interest. This suggests that while some big players are holding back, a significant portion of the market is actively betting on a price decline.
Detailed Forecast Table for TMC Stock
This table provides a monthly breakdown of the Prophet model’s price expectations for TMC, spanning from November 2025 to November 2026. You’ll see projected price ranges, potential ROI against the current price of $5.21, and a model-derived signal for each period.
Over the entire forecast horizon, TMC’s price is projected to fluctuate significantly, ranging approximately between $4.45 and $24.73. The forecast uncertainty appears relatively steady, with the price range not showing dramatic shifts month-over-month.
| Month (Period) | Min. Price | Avg. Price | Max. Price | Potential ROI vs Current ($5.21) | Model Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11 | $5.35 | $5.35 | $5.35 | ▲ 2.7% | Consider Buy |
| 2025-12 | $4.54 | $5.44 | $6.35 | ▲ 4.4% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-01 | $4.45 | $5.47 | $6.43 | ▲ 5.0% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-02 | $5.38 | $6.34 | $7.85 | ▲ 21.8% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-03 | $7.03 | $8.99 | $10.24 | ▲ 72.5% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-04 | $8.19 | $10.33 | $12.43 | ▲ 98.3% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-05 | $9.90 | $12.30 | $14.80 | ▲ 136.0% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-06 | $11.50 | $16.41 | $22.64 | ▲ 214.9% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-07 | $16.80 | $21.26 | $24.73 | ▲ 308.1% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-08 | $11.58 | $16.16 | $22.21 | ▲ 210.1% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-09 | $9.17 | $12.03 | $15.29 | ▲ 131.0% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-10 | $10.53 | $15.53 | $19.04 | ▲ 198.0% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-11 | $10.65 | $13.22 | $16.15 | ▲ 153.7% | Consider Buy |
Remember, these forecasts are generated by complex models and inherently carry uncertainty. They can shift rapidly with new data, market sentiment, or unexpected economic developments. Future prices are never guaranteed, so always approach such predictions with a healthy dose of skepticism and use them as one piece of your research puzzle.
Company Profile: TMC the metals company Inc.
Let’s get to know TMC the metals company Inc. a bit better. This company operates in a fascinating and increasingly important sector.
| Category | Detail |
|---|---|
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Industry | Other Industrial Metals & Mining |
| Market Cap | $2.79 Billion |
| Employees | 47 |
| Website | https://metals.co |
TMC the metals company Inc. is a deep-sea minerals exploration company, which is a pretty unique space! They focus on the collection, processing, and refining of polymetallic nodules found on the seafloor, specifically in the Clarion Clipperton Zone of the Pacific Ocean. Think of it as mining, but underwater and for some seriously valuable materials.
What are they after? Primarily nickel, cobalt, copper, and manganese. These metals are crucial ingredients for a lot of modern technologies, including electric vehicles (EVs), energy storage markets, and even the manganese alloys needed for steel production. TMC was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada, putting it at the forefront of this emerging industry.
Also Read – Discovery Silver Corp. (DSVSF) Stock Analysis: Price Forecast, Technicals & Investment Outlook
Total Valuation: Is TMC Priced Right?
When we look at TMC the metals company Inc.’s valuation, there are a few interesting points to consider. While its market cap stands at $2.79 billion, its enterprise value (EV) is slightly lower at $2.67 billion.
This difference actually reflects a strong net cash position of approximately $120.00 million, which is a positive sign. This financial strength provides TMC with a valuable cushion and flexibility for future investments and operational needs.
| Valuation Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | $2.79 Billion |
| Enterprise Value | $2.67 Billion |
| EV/EBITDA (TTM) | -18.29x |
| Next Earnings Date | 2025-11-13 |
The upcoming earnings report on November 13, 2025, will be a critical moment. It will show whether TMC’s businesses can truly grow into this valuation. Essentially, investors are paying for what they perceive as quality and future potential, but as we all know, quality often comes with a higher price tag.
Share Statistics: Understanding TMC’s Ownership and Liquidity
Let’s break down TMC’s share structure to understand who owns what and how easily the stock can be traded. About 45.3% of the company’s shares are closely held by insiders or strategic investors. This means a substantial portion isn’t actively traded on the open market.
The remaining 226 million shares are available for public trading, which is known as the “float.” Because this float is quite high, investors can typically trade TMC stock without causing massive price shifts, indicating good liquidity. However, there’s always the consideration that the company could issue more shares, potentially diluting the value of existing stock.
| Share Statistic | Value | Insight |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 413 Million | Total shares issued |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 535 Million | Potential fully diluted shares |
| Shares Float | 226 Million | Shares available for public trading |
| Insider Ownership | 47.58% | High alignment with shareholders |
| Institutional Ownership | 11.65% | Lower than widely held stocks |
| Shares Short | 25 Million | Significant bearish bets |
| Short Ratio (Days To Cover) | 2.10x | Low days to cover |
| Short % of Float | 10.10% | High percentage of float shorted |
| Shares Short (Prior Month) | 26 Million | Slight decrease from prior month |
| Short Date | 2025-10-31 | As of this date |
Executives and major shareholders own a significant 47.58% stake, which is generally a good sign. It helps align their interests with those of public shareholders, as they have a strong personal stake in the company’s success.
However, the level of ownership by institutions is quite small, coming in at just 11.65%. This is much less than what you’d typically find in widely held, established stocks. If big-money investors are largely avoiding the stock, it could be due to specific concerns about performance or perhaps a lack of focus on this particular company.
Now, let’s talk about short interest. With 25 million shares shorted, representing 10.10% of the float, a notable portion of the market is actively betting against TMC. This signals a high perceived risk by a segment of investors. It’s important to watch for changes in short interest; a sharp increase could indicate growing doubt, while very low short interest during positive news might make a ‘short squeeze’ less likely.
Considering all these factors, while TMC stock is quite liquid and generally easy to trade, its price may struggle to achieve sustained growth without stronger support from large institutional traders or an increased commitment from company insiders.
Valuation Metrics: Diving Deeper into TMC’s Price
When we look at TMC’s valuation metrics, things get a bit interesting, especially with its P/E ratios. The Trailing P/E (based on past earnings) is not available, which isn’t uncommon for companies in early growth or development phases.
However, the Forward P/E (based on expected future earnings) stands at -52.10x. This negative figure typically indicates that analysts expect the company to report losses in the coming year, or that its earnings are highly volatile. It certainly requires careful interpretation and a deeper look into the company’s growth prospects.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Forward P/E | -52.10x |
| Price/Book (MRQ) | $-52.63 |
| EV/EBITDA (TTM) | -18.29x |
From an enterprise value perspective, the EV/EBITDA multiple of -18.29x suggests a valuation that needs to be considered in the context of its current earnings situation. These valuation metrics, particularly the negative ones, provide a comprehensive but complex view of TMC’s current market positioning. Investors need to weigh these against future growth potential, as traditional valuation methods may not fully capture the dynamics of a company in an emerging industry like deep-sea mining.
Financial Health: A Look at TMC’s Balance Sheet
TMC’s financial data presents a mix of strengths and weaknesses, as is often the case with innovative companies. A significant concern here is the negative operating cash flow of -$45.21 million on a trailing twelve-month (TTM) basis. This indicates that the core business is currently consuming more cash than it generates, which is something investors should certainly keep an eye on.
However, it’s not all red flags. TMC boasts a solid liquidity position, which is a definite plus. Its Current Ratio stands at 2.50x, and its Quick Ratio is also 2.50x. These ratios suggest that the company is well-equipped to cover its short-term liabilities, providing a degree of financial stability.
| Financial Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Return on Assets (ROA TTM) | -58.93% |
| Total Cash (MRQ) | $115.65 Million |
| Total Debt (MRQ) | $0 |
| Current Ratio (MRQ) | 2.50x |
| Quick Ratio (MRQ) | 2.50x |
| Operating Cash Flow (TTM) | -$45.21 Million |
| Levered Free Cash Flow (TTM) | -$2.15 Million |
What’s really interesting is that TMC reports $0 in total debt for the most recent quarter. This is a huge advantage, especially in an environment of rising interest rates, giving the company significant financial flexibility. While the negative cash flow needs monitoring, the strong cash balance and lack of debt provide a substantial buffer.
Financial Efficiency: How Well Does TMC Use Its Assets?
When we talk about financial efficiency, we’re essentially asking how well a company uses its resources to generate revenue and profits. For TMC the metals company, the picture is a bit mixed, highlighting areas of strength and potential improvement.
TMC’s Asset Turnover of 0.00x suggests that it’s generating very little revenue per dollar of assets. This indicates lower efficiency in asset utilization, something that could definitely benefit from improvement. On the other hand, the Working Capital Turnover of -0.00x points to concerns regarding how effectively short-term assets are being used to support sales.
| Efficiency Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Asset Turnover (TTM) | 0.00x |
| Working Capital Turnover (TTM) | -0.00x |
| Current Ratio (MRQ) | 2.50x |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC TTM) | 5530.73% |
However, here’s where it gets intriguing: TMC the metals company’s Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is an astonishing 5530.73%. This figure, if sustained, indicates incredibly strong capital efficiency, showing how effectively TMC is generating returns from its invested capital. This could be a very positive signal for long-term investors.
Overall, while TMC may need to improve its asset utilization to truly boost profitability, its ROIC suggests a powerful ability to generate returns from capital. Investors should definitely compare these figures with other companies in the deep-sea mining or industrial metals sector to fully assess its competitive positioning.
Profitability and Growth: Analyzing TMC’s Bottom Line
An in-depth look at TMC’s margin performance reveals that the company is currently facing significant pressure on its profitability. While its gross margin is reported at 0.00%, and operating margin at 0.00%, this suggests that the company is not yet generating positive revenue or that its costs are currently exceeding revenue generation at these stages.
Similarly, an EBITDA margin of 0.00% indicates that TMC is not yet generating strong cash flow from its operations before accounting for financing and tax strategies. Overall, TMC is not currently holding onto net profit for every dollar of its revenue over the last twelve months.
| Profitability Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Profit Margin (TTM) | 0.00% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | 0.00% |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 0.00% |
| EBITDA Margin (TTM) | 0.00% |
| EBITDA (TTM) | -$111.44 Million |
| Net Income (TTM) | -$295.51 Million |
TMC’s -$111.44 million in EBITDA and zero gross profit highlight its current raw earning power, or lack thereof. The -$295.51 million in net income reveals how effectively it’s converting that power into bottom-line results, which are currently negative.
Moving forward, maintaining steady or improving margins will be absolutely critical for TMC. The company needs to establish its pricing power and gain better control over its operating costs. This will be key to sustaining profitability, especially as it seeks to grow revenue in its specialized market.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns: What to Expect from TMC
When it comes to shareholder returns, especially through dividends, TMC has a clear strategy. Based on the available data, TMC does not currently pay a regular dividend.
This approach is fairly common for companies in growth-oriented or capital-intensive industries. It suggests that TMC is prioritizing reinvesting its earnings and available capital back into the business to fuel future growth and development. For investors, this means that any returns would primarily come from stock price appreciation rather than regular income payouts.
| Dividend Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Payout Ratio | 0.00% |
| Trailing Dividend Rate | $0.00 |
| Trailing Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
Technical Analysis of TMC Stock: Navigating the Charts
Alright, let’s talk technicals for TMC. The stock is currently trading at $5.35, and the overall trend is undeniably bearish, even showing signs of weakening. In the last 15 days alone, TMC has shed -10.68% of its value. So, is this a buying opportunity or a clear warning sign? Let’s break down the key levels and indicators.
Trend Strength – Still Bearish for TMC
TMC is firmly entrenched in a bearish trend, trading below its critical moving averages. This is a signal that demands caution from investors.
What This Means for Traders: The 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $5.79 has now become a significant overhead resistance level. As long as TMC’s price remains below this point, the bearish trend is likely to persist. A rejection from this average could very well send the stock to test recent lows. For more details on TMC’s current market position, you can check out Yahoo Finance.
Momentum Check – Is TMC’s Momentum Fading?
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for TMC is currently at 36.9, placing it squarely in a neutral zone. This indicates a balanced momentum—neither overbought nor oversold. Interestingly, the MACD histogram is positive, which suggests that some underlying upward momentum might still be in play despite the bearish trend.
Trading Strategy: This neutral RSI offers some flexibility. Keep a close watch for a decisive MACD crossover or a clear break of a key support or resistance level. These could provide the next strong directional clue for TMC.
Bollinger Bands – TMC Testing Key Levels
TMC’s stock is currently hovering near the middle of its Bollinger Bands, with the 20-day SMA at $5.79 acting as a central point. The lower band, positioned at $4.45, offers the next significant level of potential support.
Key Levels to Watch for TMC:
- Resistance: The recent high of $8.15. A strong breakout above this level, especially on heavy volume, could propel TMC higher.
- Support: The 20-day SMA at $5.79. If this crucial level breaks, expect a test of $4.45.
Volume Trends – Checking for Conviction in TMC
Trading volume for TMC is currently near its recent average. This provides a neutral confirmation of the current price action, meaning there isn’t overwhelming buying or selling conviction driving the stock right now.
Support & Resistance – Your TMC Trading Plan
Here’s a concise trading plan based on TMC’s technical levels:
- ✅ If TMC holds above $5.79: The bullish trend could continue, with the next target at $8.15.
- ⚠️ If it breaks below $5.79: Be prepared for a dip towards $4.45.
- 🛑 A drop below $4.45: This could trigger a deeper correction, potentially towards the 200-day SMA (currently at $5.91).
Final Verdict on TMC: Should You Buy, Hold, or Sell?
The technical indicators suggest that TMC’s recent rally might be losing steam in the short term. While the long-term trend still holds a bullish bias (as long as the price stays above the 200-day SMA), a correction seems plausible before the next significant move.
- Short-Term Traders: The trend is positive but monitor for signs of exhaustion. A neutral stance might be best until a clearer signal emerges from the MACD or volume.
- Long-Term Investors: The long-term uptrend for TMC is valid as long as the price holds above the 200-day SMA ($5.91). A pullback to the 50-day SMA ($7.17) area could present a safer buying opportunity.
- New Buyers: Avoid chasing the rally here. It’s wiser to wait for either a confirmed breakout above $8.15 with strong volume, or a pullback to the $5.79 area, which would offer a more attractive risk/reward entry point.
Bottom Line: Trade carefully and wait for confirmation at these key levels. The short-term picture looks like a potential pause or correction for TMC.
Historical Performance of TMC Stock
Let’s glance at TMC’s recent historical performance to understand how it has been trading. In the period from November 05, 2025, to November 19, 2025, TMC’s stock price experienced a total return of -10.83%.
During this timeframe, the price fluctuated between a high of $6.14 and a low of $4.75, showing some noticeable volatility. The average daily trading volume during this period was approximately 8,169,087 shares, indicating decent liquidity.
Recent Trading Data for TMC
Here’s a detailed look at TMC’s daily trading activity over the past few weeks, giving you a granular view of its price movements and volume.
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 | $5.76 | $5.87 | $5.34 | $5.35 | 14,352,600 |
| 2025-11-18 | $4.85 | $5.45 | $4.79 | $5.42 | 11,619,400 |
| 2025-11-17 | $5.07 | $5.07 | $4.75 | $4.89 | 5,825,000 |
| 2025-11-16 | $4.96 | $5.12 | $4.80 | $5.08 | 9,796,600 |
| 2025-11-15 | $4.96 | $5.12 | $4.80 | $5.08 | 9,796,600 |
| 2025-11-14 | $4.96 | $5.12 | $4.80 | $5.08 | 9,796,600 |
| 2025-11-13 | $5.65 | $5.67 | $5.14 | $5.17 | 7,080,000 |
| 2025-11-12 | $5.86 | $5.88 | $5.49 | $5.64 | 4,284,800 |
| 2025-11-11 | $5.82 | $5.89 | $5.61 | $5.83 | 4,969,300 |
| 2025-11-10 | $6.05 | $6.14 | $5.90 | $5.91 | 5,322,400 |
| 2025-11-09 | $5.31 | $5.76 | $5.29 | $5.73 | 8,499,600 |
| 2025-11-08 | $5.31 | $5.76 | $5.29 | $5.73 | 8,499,600 |
| 2025-11-07 | $5.31 | $5.76 | $5.29 | $5.73 | 8,499,600 |
| 2025-11-06 | $6.11 | $6.12 | $5.50 | $5.53 | 8,908,600 |
| 2025-11-05 | $6.02 | $6.11 | $5.89 | $6.00 | 5,285,600 |
Stock Price Statistics: Volatility and Moving Averages for TMC
When we look at TMC’s price range over the past year, we see a wide swing from a high of $11.35 to a low of $0.72. This significant gap tells us that the stock has been through considerable fluctuations, likely driven by shifting market sentiment or key company news.
Currently, the 50-day moving average sits at $6.84, which is above the 200-day moving average of $4.75. This “golden cross” setup is often considered a bullish signal, suggesting positive long-term momentum. However, remember that current price is below both, as noted in the technical analysis.
| Statistic | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week High | $11.35 |
| 52 Week Low | $0.72 |
| 50 Day MA | $6.84 |
| 200 Day MA | $4.75 |
| Beta | 1.82x |
| Volatility (30d Ann.) | 65.5% |
The stock also carries a beta of 1.82x. What does this mean for you? It implies that TMC tends to move more sharply than the broader market – about 82% more volatile, to be precise. Combine this with a high 30-day annualized volatility of 65.5%, and it’s clear that TMC sees frequent and sizable price swings.
For investors, this high volatility offers the potential for significant gains, but it also comes with a higher downside risk. These indicators are crucial when you’re deciding on position sizing or the optimal timing for your entry, especially if you’re managing a portfolio that aims to balance stability with growth exposure.
Quarterly Earnings Performance for TMC
Let’s review TMC’s recent quarterly performance to understand its financial trajectory. In its latest reported quarter (2025-Q3), the company posted revenue of 0 and a net income of -$184.52 million.
While the quarter-over-quarter revenue change was not available, the year-over-year revenue growth also stands as not available. This signals that the company is either not generating reportable revenue yet or is in a very early stage of commercialization.
Recent Quarterly Results (Last 4 Quarters)
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-Q3 | 0 | -$184.52 Million | -0.46x |
| 2025-Q2 | 0 | -$74.34 Million | -0.20x |
| 2025-Q1 | 0 | -$20.59 Million | -0.06x |
| 2024-Q4 | 0 | -$16.06 Million | N/A |
Growth Metrics for TMC
- QoQ Net Income Growth: +148.2% (This shows a significant improvement in net income from the previous quarter, despite still being negative overall).
Upcoming Earnings for TMC
- Next Report: November 14, 2025
- Earnings Call: November 14, 2025, at 03:00 AM ET
Short Selling Information for TMC
Understanding short interest can give us a peek into how bearish investors are feeling about a stock. Currently, there’s about 25 million shares of TMC stock being shorted, and the short ratio, or “days to cover,” is relatively low at 2.1x.
What does this mean? At TMC’s recent average trading volume, it would take short sellers approximately 2 days to cover all their positions. This low figure suggests that short sellers don’t currently have significant control over the stock’s price, and the risk of a prolonged “short squeeze” (where shorts are forced to buy back, driving the price up rapidly) is relatively low.
| Short Selling Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Shares Short | 25 Million |
| Short Ratio (Days To Cover) | 2.10x |
| Short % of Float | 10.10% |
| Shares Short (Prior Month) | 26 Million |
| Short Date | 2025-10-31 |
However, with 10.10% of the public float sold short, it still represents a noticeable percentage. This signals significant bearish conviction from a segment of the market. This level has remained relatively stable compared to last month’s 26 million shares short, suggesting that the bearish sentiment hasn’t dramatically shifted.
With this notable short interest, of potential volatility spikes. These could be triggered by unexpected news events that force short sellers to quickly cover their positions, leading to rapid price movements. Keeping an eye on the SEC filings can provide additional context; you can browse them at SEC Edgar.
Risk Analysis for TMC Stock
Every investment comes with risk, and TMC is no exception. Let’s break down its risk profile to give you a clearer picture of what you might be getting into.
TMC’s risk profile reveals a high degree of volatility, with an annualized volatility of 92.1%. This figure signals a high investment risk, meaning the stock’s price can swing dramatically in a short period.
| Risk Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Volatility (Annualized) | 92.1% |
| Value at Risk (5%) | -7.92% |
| Value at Risk (1%) | -13.28% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.45x |
| Sortino Ratio | 0.77x |
| Maximum Drawdown | -86.71% |
| Skewness | 1.62x |
| Kurtosis | 9.32x |
The Sharpe ratio of 0.45x suggests a mixed bag when it comes to risk-adjusted returns. A higher Sharpe ratio is generally better, indicating more return per unit of risk. The maximum drawdown of -86.71% is quite significant, pointing to substantial downside risk during adverse market conditions. This means investors could have seen a very large portion of their investment value wiped out at some point.
Furthermore, the Value at Risk (VaR) at a 5% confidence level indicates a potential loss of -7.92% in the worst 5% of scenarios. At a stricter 1% confidence level, the potential loss increases to -13.28%. The Sortino ratio of 0.77x, which focuses specifically on downside risk, provides additional insight into its risk-adjusted performance.
Investors absolutely need to consider these risk metrics in conjunction with their own risk tolerance and overall investment objectives. TMC is clearly a stock that demands a higher appetite for risk.
Sentiment Analysis for TMC: What’s the Market Vibe?
Let’s tap into the general market mood surrounding TMC. Our current sentiment analysis for TMC reveals a cautiously positive outlook, reflected by a composite sentiment score of 0.47x and a confidence level of 45.0%. This positive sentiment isn’t just a hunch; it’s derived from multiple data sources, including news coverage, analyst recommendations, and activity in the options market.
| Sentiment Metric | Value | Classification |
|---|---|---|
| Composite Sentiment Score | 0.47x | Positive |
| Sentiment Confidence | 45.0% | |
| News Sentiment | 0.11x | Positive |
| Analyst Sentiment | 0.80x | Positive |
| Options Sentiment | 0.07x | Neutral |
| Put/Call Ratio | 0.47x |
Breaking down the components, news analysis shows a Positive sentiment (0.11x), suggesting that recent headlines have generally been favorable. Analyst consensus is even stronger on the Positive side (0.80x), indicating that professional analysts are largely optimistic about TMC’s prospects. Meanwhile, options market sentiment is Neutral (0.07x), meaning options traders aren’t taking a strong directional bet one way or the other.
These sentiment indicators are valuable tools, but they should always be considered alongside your fundamental and technical analysis to form a truly comprehensive investment perspective.
Peer Comparison: How Does TMC Stack Up Against Competitors?
It’s always insightful to see how a company measures up against its peers. TMC, with its $2.79 billion market cap, currently positions itself as the smallest player when compared to HBM.TO ($8.14 billion) and NGEX.TO ($4.77 billion).
TMC is currently grappling with negative earnings, which makes traditional P/E ratio analysis tricky. In contrast, HBM.TO trades at a P/E of 12.6, reflecting a more mature or slower-growth business. NGEX.TO also shows negative P/E ratios due to current losses, indicating it’s in a similar boat to TMC in terms of profitability challenges.
| Metric | TMC | HBM.TO | NGEX.TO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $2.79B | $8.14B | $4.77B |
| P/E Ratio | -52.10 | 12.60 | -110.35 |
| Revenue Growth | N/A | -28.60% | N/A |
| Net Margin | 0.00% | 22.38% | 0.00% |
| EPS | -0.79 | 1.63 | -0.54 |
| ROE | N/A | 15.93% | -1.24% |
| Debt-to-Equity | N/A | 38.67 | N/A |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% | 10.00% | 0.00% |
| 52-Week Range | 0.72 – 11.35 | 8.48 – 24.75 | 10.15 – 28.55 |
TMC faces significant profitability challenges with a 0.0% net margin, which stands in stark contrast to HBM.TO’s healthy 22.38% net margin. This highlights TMC’s early-stage nature and the challenges of its business model in achieving profitability.
When it comes to dividends, the policies vary considerably. HBM.TO offers a substantial 10.0% dividend yield, rewarding its shareholders with payouts. TMC, on the other hand, currently reinvests all its capital back into growth, reflecting its focus on long-term development rather than immediate shareholder distributions.
Insider Transactions (Last 3 Months) for TMC
Looking at insider transactions can offer valuable clues about how those closest to the company view its prospects. Over the last three months, the insider transaction data for TMC shows a strong bullish trend, with 26 buys compared to just 6 sells. This resulted in a total of $9.3 million in net purchases, which includes 20 transactions where pricing was estimated.
Focusing on discretionary open-market activity, we saw 2 market sales but 0 market purchases, suggesting that insiders actively selling in the open market are reducing their positions. Additionally, there were 24 option exercises, which could indicate either confidence in future price appreciation or simply routine portfolio management.
Price analysis indicates that sales occurred at elevated levels, averaging $5.51 across 2 priced transactions, while purchases averaged $0.65 across 4 transactions. This pattern suggests strategic profit-taking on the selling side and potentially deep-value entry points on the buying side, though many “buys” were option exercises at a lower cost. Recent insider activity consists primarily of compensation-related transactions rather than purely discretionary market moves.
The predominance of insider buying, particularly in open-market transactions, generally provides a positive signal. It suggests that those with the deepest business knowledge are increasing their financial commitment to TMC, which is often seen as a vote of confidence.
| Insider Name | Type | Shares Changed | Price | Shares After | Transaction Date | Filing Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILVES Erika | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +176,172 | ~$6.16 | 199,855 | 2025-09-24 | 2025-09-24 |
| ILVES Erika | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +176,172 | ~$6.16 | 199,855 | 2025-09-24 | 2025-09-24 |
| ILVES Erika | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +140,937 | ~$6.16 | 159,884 | 2025-09-24 | 2025-09-24 |
| ILVES Erika | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +140,937 | ~$6.16 | 159,884 | 2025-09-24 | 2025-09-24 |
| ILVES Erika | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +140,937 | ~$6.16 | 159,884 | 2025-09-24 | 2025-09-24 |
| ILVES Erika | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +70,468 | ~$6.16 | 79,941 | 2025-09-24 | 2025-09-24 |
| ILVES Erika | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +70,468 | ~$6.16 | 79,941 | 2025-09-24 | 2025-09-24 |
| ILVES Erika | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +35,233 | ~$6.16 | 39,970 | 2025-09-24 | 2025-09-24 |
| ILVES Erika | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -252,815 | ~$6.16 | 758,444 | 2025-09-24 | 2025-09-24 |
| ILVES Erika | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -262,109 | ~$6.16 | N/A | 2025-09-24 | 2025-09-24 |
| ILVES Erika | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -1,099,968 | ~$6.16 | N/A | 2025-09-24 | 2025-09-24 |
| ILVES Erika | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +252,815 | $0.65 | 4,760,684 | 2025-09-24 | 2025-09-24 |
| ILVES Erika | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +262,109 | $0.65 | 4,507,869 | 2025-09-24 | 2025-09-24 |
| ILVES Erika | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +1,099,968 | $0.65 | 4,245,760 | 2025-09-24 | 2025-09-24 |
| O’Sullivan Anthony | BUY (Award) [A] | +1,000,000 | N/A (Stock award/grant (typically no cash price)) | 2,125,667 | 2025-09-23 | 2025-09-24 |
| ILVES Erika | BUY (Award) [A] | +2,000,000 | N/A (Stock award/grant (typically no cash price)) | 3,145,792 | 2025-09-23 | 2025-09-24 |
| Shesky Craig | BUY (Award) [A] | +2,000,000 | N/A (Stock award/grant (typically no cash price)) | 2,000,000 | 2025-09-23 | 2025-09-24 |
| ILVES Erika | SELL (Sale) [S] | -1,591,485 | $5.77 | 1,145,792 | 2025-09-22 | 2025-09-24 |
| Hess Michael Bernard | BUY (Award) [A] | +7,500,000 | N/A (Stock award/grant (typically no cash price)) | 7,737,530 | 2025-09-02 | 2025-09-04 |
| Hess Michael Bernard | BUY (Award) [A] | +237,530 | N/A (Stock award/grant (typically no cash price)) | 237,530 | 2025-09-02 | 2025-09-04 |
| Spiro Alex | BUY (Award) [A] | +1,750,000 | N/A (Stock award/grant (typically no cash price)) | 1,750,000 | 2025-09-02 | 2025-09-04 |
| O’Sullivan Anthony | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +27,272 | ~$5.37 | 27,272 | 2025-08-26 | 2025-08-28 |
| O’Sullivan Anthony | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +27,272 | ~$5.37 | 27,272 | 2025-08-26 | 2025-08-28 |
| O’Sullivan Anthony | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +21,818 | ~$5.37 | 21,818 | 2025-08-26 | 2025-08-28 |
| O’Sullivan Anthony | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +21,818 | ~$5.37 | 21,818 | 2025-08-26 | 2025-08-28 |
| O’Sullivan Anthony | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +21,818 | ~$5.37 | 21,818 | 2025-08-26 | 2025-08-28 |
| O’Sullivan Anthony | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +10,909 | ~$5.37 | 10,909 | 2025-08-26 | 2025-08-28 |
| O’Sullivan Anthony | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +10,909 | ~$5.37 | 10,909 | 2025-08-26 | 2025-08-28 |
| O’Sullivan Anthony | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +5,454 | ~$5.37 | 5,454 | 2025-08-26 | 2025-08-28 |
| O’Sullivan Anthony | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -250,000 | ~$5.37 | 761,259 | 2025-08-26 | 2025-08-28 |
| O’Sullivan Anthony | SELL (Sale) [S] | -250,000 | $5.25 | 1,125,667 | 2025-08-26 | 2025-08-28 |
| O’Sullivan Anthony | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +250,000 | $0.65 | 1,375,667 | 2025-08-26 | 2025-08-28 |
Note: Prices marked with * are estimates.
Risk Factors for Investing in TMC
Investing in TMC the metals company Inc. certainly comes with its share of risks. It’s crucial for any potential investor to understand these factors before making a decision. This section highlights potential risks identified through our data analysis and general market considerations. Keep in mind, this list is not exhaustive, and new risks can always emerge.
- ⚠️ Price Below Key Moving Averages: The current stock price of $5.21 is trading below its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $7.17. This is often interpreted as a sign of potential short-term weakness and could indicate a downward trend in the near future.
- ⚠️ Long-Term Bearish Signal: Even more critically, the price of $5.21 is also below the 200-day SMA of $5.91. This suggests a potential long-term weakness, which can be a more concerning signal for investors looking at the bigger picture.
- ⚠️ Sector-Specific Vulnerabilities: As a company in the Basic Materials sector, TMC is inherently exposed to general market fluctuations and broader economic conditions. Changes in global demand for metals, commodity prices, or regulatory shifts can significantly impact its performance.
Analyst Insights and Consensus for TMC Stock
It’s always helpful to gauge the collective wisdom of Wall Street professionals. This section summarizes the expert views of analysts covering TMC the metals company Inc. The consensus recommendation for TMC is a resounding ‘Strong Buy’.
This robust consensus is based on the opinions of 5 analysts who contributed to this view. The mean price target they’ve set for TMC is $8.80. Individual price targets range from a low of $6.50 to a high of $12.00.
| Analyst Consensus Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Recommendation | Strong Buy |
| Mean Target Price | $8.80 |
| High Target Price | $12.00 |
| Low Target Price | $6.50 |
| Number of Analyst Opinions | 5 |
Based on this mean target of $8.80, there’s an implied potential upside of approximately +68.9% from the current price of $5.21. This certainly provides a strong gauge of Wall Street’s sentiment regarding the stock’s future potential. It suggests that despite current technical weaknesses, analysts see significant long-term value in TMC.
Recent News and Developments for TMC the metals company Inc.
Staying updated with recent news is key to understanding the evolving narrative around any stock. Here are some recent headlines related to TMC that can offer insights into current events and market sentiment:
- TMC (NasdaqGS:TMC): Exploring the Valuation Behind Recent Share Price Volatility
Publisher: Simply Wall St. | Published: 2025-11-18T02:11:24Z - Prediction: The Metals Company Stock Will Soar Over the Next 10 Years. Here’s 1 Reason Why.
Publisher: Motley Fool | Published: 2025-11-17T16:11:00Z - Better Buy: The Metals Company or Rio Tinto?
Publisher: Motley Fool | Published: 2025-11-15T09:05:00Z - TMC The Metals Co Inc (TMC) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Financial Challenges …
Publisher: GuruFocus.com | Published: 2025-11-14T05:05:15Z - TMC Compressors wins contract for MODEC’s Gato do Mato FPSO project
Publisher: Offshore Technology | Published: 2025-11-11T09:50:05Z
These headlines offer a snapshot of recent discussions, ranging from valuation analysis and long-term predictions to earnings highlights and specific business wins. They paint a picture of a company actively engaged in its industry, albeit with ongoing financial challenges and market scrutiny.
Conclusion and Outlook for TMC Stock
So, what’s the bottom line for TMC the metals company Inc.? We’ve covered a lot of ground, from technical signals to fundamental health and analyst expectations. Let’s wrap up with an overall assessment.
Short-Term Technical Snapshot for TMC:
- ● Overall Technical Sentiment: Neutral
- ▼ Price Trend vs MAs: Bearish (below SMA50/200)
- ● Momentum (RSI): Neutral (36.9)
- 📊 Support / Resistance (30d): ~$4.75 / ~$8.15
In the short term, TMC’s technical picture suggests a neutral sentiment, but with a bearish price trend relative to its key moving averages. The RSI indicates balanced momentum, and key support/resistance levels are clearly defined.
Longer-Term Fundamental & Forecast Outlook for TMC:
- ▲ 1-Year Avg. Forecast: ~+198.0% average change to ≈$15.53
- ● Fundamental Health: Assessment Incomplete (ROE: N/A, D/E: N/A)
- ● Valuation Snapshot: Appears Moderate (Fwd P/E: -52.10x)
- ● Recent Growth (YoY): N/A (Rev: N/A, Earn: N/A)
- ▲ Analyst Consensus: Strong Buy (Target: $8.80)
Looking further out, the forecast models imply a significant potential upside of +198.0% over the next year, with an average target price near $15.53. However, our fundamental health assessment is incomplete due to missing key metrics like ROE and Debt-to-Equity. The valuation appears moderate, despite a negative Forward P/E, and recent growth metrics are not available. What’s compelling is the strong ‘Strong Buy’ consensus from analysts, with a target of $8.80.
Overall Assessment & Outlook for TMC:
Overall, TMC presents a fascinating combination. It shows a neutral technical sentiment in the short term, coupled with a fundamental health assessment that’s challenging to fully gauge but appears moderate given its valuation. The long-term forecast suggests substantial upside potential. However, investors must carefully weigh these points against the inherent risks outlined earlier, particularly the high volatility and current lack of profitability, aligning them with their personal investment goals and risk tolerance.
Frequently Asked Questions About TMC Stock
What is the TMC stock price prediction for the next year (2025-2026)?
Based on current models, the average 1-year price forecast for TMC is approximately $15.53. This represents a potential +198.0% change from the recent price of $5.21. Remember, this is a model-driven estimate, not a guarantee, and actual prices will fluctuate based on numerous market factors and company developments.
Will TMC stock go up or down?
The 1-year forecast model suggests that TMC’s price might show strong gains on average (+198.0% potential). However, the short-term direction is highly uncertain and heavily influenced by prevailing market sentiment (currently ‘Neutral’), breaking news, and overall economic conditions. Technical indicators, such as the stock trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, suggest a bearish short-term trend, but the RSI is neutral.
Is TMC stock a good investment right now?
Determining if TMC is a ‘good buy’ requires evaluating multiple factors. Technical sentiment is ‘Neutral’ and showing bearish signals, while the 1-year forecast suggests a substantial +198.0% potential upside. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 36.9, indicating balanced momentum. However, it’s crucial to consider the valuation, financial health, and growth prospects, alongside the identified risk factors such as high volatility. Align these factors with your personal investment strategy and risk tolerance.
How volatile is TMC stock?
Based on recent 30-day price action, TMC’s annualized volatility is approximately 65.5%. This level is considered high, indicating the degree of recent price fluctuation. This aligns with its Beta of 1.82x, meaning it tends to move more sharply than the broader market. Higher volatility implies larger potential price swings, both up and down.
What is TMC’s P/E ratio and what does it mean?
TMC’s Trailing P/E ratio (based on past earnings) is not available. The Forward P/E (based on expected earnings) is -52.10x. A P/E ratio indicates how much investors are paying per dollar of earnings. A negative or unavailable P/E often suggests the company is not currently profitable or is in a high-growth phase where earnings are not yet stable. It’s important to compare this with industry peers and historical levels to understand its context.
What are the key upcoming events for TMC?
The next major event for TMC is its earnings report and earnings call, both scheduled for November 14, 2025. Beyond these, investors should monitor macroeconomic shifts, competitive actions within the deep-sea mining industry, regulatory developments, and major corporate announcements that could impact its business model and operational progress.
What does TMC’s liquidity position reveal about its financial health?
TMC’s financial health includes a strong Current Ratio of 2.50x and a Quick Ratio of 2.50x, suggesting it can comfortably cover its short-term liabilities. This indicates robust liquidity. However, its operating cash flow of -$45.21 million and levered free cash flow of -$2.15 million (TTM) show that its core operations are currently consuming cash, which is a critical factor to monitor despite the strong liquidity ratios.