If you’re an investor eyeing the dynamic world of robotics and delivery services, you’ve likely come across Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV). This company, with a market capitalization of $723.23 million, operates in the exciting Specialty Industrial Machinery sector. But the big question for many of us is, does SERV’s current stock price truly reflect its potential, and is it a smart move to invest in this innovative company right now? Let’s dive deep into the data and see how SERV is performing in today’s market, as of late November 2025.
Here’s What You Need to Know Right Now About SERV Stock
The stock is currently trading at $9.71, as of November 2025. Unfortunately, it’s been caught in a bearish trend, with its price sitting below both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. This is a signal that many investors watch closely.
Analysts are projecting a somewhat stable, yet promising, outlook for SERV. The 1-year price target is set at $19.20, suggesting a potential upside of approximately 97.7%. However, it’s worth noting the significant volatility here, with an annualized rate of 53.5%. This tells us to expect some wide price swings, so buckle up!
Serve Robotics Inc. presents a nuanced fundamental story. On the bright side, the company boasts impressive revenue growth, up a staggering 209.50% year-over-year. That’s certainly something to get excited about in the growth sector. But, every coin has two sides. SERV also faces intense competition within its niche, which could put pressure on future performance.
What’s Inside This Comprehensive SERV Stock Analysis?
We believe in giving you the full picture, not just a few cherry-picked numbers. Here, we’re dissecting SERV’s stock from every angle to help you make a truly informed decision:
Is now a good time to buy? The technical indicators lean bearish right now, but it’s interesting to see the Relative Strength Index (RSI) showing oversold conditions at 8.9. Fundamentally, we’ll need to be cautious, especially considering the company’s debt levels and certain growth metrics.
Can its core operations fuel future growth? The company’s trajectory will largely depend on how well it performs in its core Specialty Industrial Machinery operations and its ability to skillfully navigate those competitive pressures.
What are the biggest risks? Serve Robotics carries $4.15 million in debt, which is a factor to consider, especially in a potentially rising interest rate environment. Moreover, the competition is fierce, coming from both established industry giants and agile new market entrants.
Many stock analyses either drown you in jargon or oversimplify things with a “just buy it” mentality. That’s not our style. We’re here to provide clear, actionable insights that benefit you, whether you’re a long-term investor or chasing short-term gains.
So, is Serve Robotics Inc. the right investment to help your portfolio tell a story of success? Or are there hidden issues to be wary of? Let’s get into the nitty-gritty details of the data.
Key Metrics and Forecast Summary for SERV Stock
When evaluating Serve Robotics (SERV), understanding the immediate snapshot of its market performance and future outlook is crucial. Here’s a quick glance at the essential metrics and what they might imply for investors.
| Metric | Value | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | $9.71 | Live Market Price (as of 2025-11-26) |
| Price Targets & Forecasts | ||
| 1-Month Forecast | $8.66 | 📉 -10.8% potential change |
| 1-Year Forecast | $9.90 | 📈 +2.0% potential change |
| Analyst Mean Target | $19.20 | 📈 +97.7% potential change |
| Trend & Momentum | ||
| Trend | 📉 ▼ Bearish | Price < SMA 50/200 |
| RSI (14-day) | 8.9 | ❄️ Oversold conditions |
| MACD | ➡️ Neutral Trend (-0.07) | |
| Key Technical Levels | ||
| Above SMA 50 | ❌ $12.74 | |
| Above SMA 200 | ❌ $11.36 | |
| 52-Week Range | 📏 $4.66 – $24.35 | |
| Volatility | ||
| Volatility (30d Ann.) | 53.5% | 🌪️ High fluctuation expected |
| Green Days (30d) | 11/30 (37%) | 🔴 More red days recently |
| Ownership & Short Interest | ||
| Institutional Ownership | 33.21% | 🏠 Healthy institutional backing |
| Short % of Float | 18.99% | 😰 High bearish bets |
Currently, SERV’s stock is hovering at $9.71. The technical picture is quite clear: it’s showing a bearish pattern. This is because the price is trading below both its 50-day moving average ($12.74) and its 200-day moving average ($11.36). This generally suggests that the stock has been losing momentum recently.
However, there’s an interesting counterpoint with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 8.9, indicating oversold conditions. While the MACD indicator points to a neutral trend (-0.07), suggesting some consolidation, the oversold RSI could hint at a potential bounce.
Over the past year, SERV’s stock has seen quite a ride, trading between $4.66 and $24.35. This wide range tells us that investor sentiment has been quite mixed, and the stock is prone to significant swings. The current price sits mid-range, which might imply that major price movements are less likely unless there’s a significant catalyst.
Looking ahead, analysts anticipate modest growth, with a 1-year target of $9.90 (+2.0%). However, the average consensus target is a more ambitious $19.20 (+97.7%). It’s also worth noting the 33.21% institutional ownership, indicating some confidence from larger investors. Yet, a significant 18.99% short interest suggests that a notable portion of the market is betting on a price decline. This creates a fascinating tug-of-war for the stock’s future.
Detailed SERV Stock Forecast Table (2025-2026)
Let’s break down the projected monthly price bands for SERV. This table gives you a clear view of the potential returns on investment against the current price of $9.71, along with a model-generated signal for each period. Over the forecast horizon, from November 2025 to November 2026, SERV’s price is projected to fluctuate significantly, ranging approximately from $1.59 to $19.64. It’s important to remember that forecasts are model-based and carry inherent uncertainty.
| Month (Period) | Min. Price | Avg. Price | Max. Price | Potential ROI vs Current ($9.71) | Model Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11 | $8.66 | $8.66 | $8.66 | ▼ -10.8% | Consider Short |
| 2025-12 | $4.60 | $9.92 | $14.40 | ▲ 2.1% | Hold/Neutral |
| 2026-01 | $11.44 | $15.37 | $19.64 | ▲ 58.2% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-02 | $12.19 | $15.66 | $19.07 | ▲ 61.2% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-03 | $5.17 | $9.85 | $15.23 | ▲ 1.5% | Hold/Neutral |
| 2026-04 | $2.13 | $6.45 | $10.90 | ▼ -33.6% | Consider Short |
| 2026-05 | $1.59 | $4.24 | $6.89 | ▼ -56.4% | Consider Short |
| 2026-06 | $3.29 | $6.30 | $8.95 | ▼ -35.2% | Consider Short |
| 2026-07 | $3.24 | $6.95 | $10.83 | ▼ -28.5% | Consider Short |
| 2026-08 | $7.13 | $10.31 | $12.80 | ▲ 6.2% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-09 | $5.23 | $9.24 | $13.24 | ▼ -4.8% | Consider Short |
| 2026-10 | $5.47 | $9.90 | $13.23 | ▲ 2.0% | Hold/Neutral |
| 2026-11 | $7.91 | $10.23 | $12.56 | ▲ 5.4% | Consider Buy |
The projected price range appears relatively consistent across the months, moving from a tight band of $8.66 – $8.66 in November 2025 to $7.91 – $12.56 by November 2026. This implies that while the average price might shift, the model anticipates a fairly stable level of forecast uncertainty. Remember, these forecasts are model-based estimates, subject to change with evolving data and market conditions, and they don’t guarantee future prices.
Serve Robotics (SERV) Company Profile: Innovating in Autonomous Delivery
To truly understand SERV’s stock, we need to know what the company actually does. Serve Robotics Inc. is at the forefront of designing, developing, and operating low-emission robots for food delivery in public spaces across the United States. Essentially, they build and deploy self-driving delivery robots, aiming to revolutionize last-mile logistics. Founded in 2017, Serve Robotics Inc. is headquartered in Redwood City, California.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Industrials |
| Industry | Specialty Industrial Machinery |
| Market Cap | 723.23 M |
| Employees | 120 |
| Website | serverobotics.com |
Total Valuation of Serve Robotics (SERV): A Look Beyond Market Cap
Serve Robotics Inc. boasts a market capitalization of $723.23 million, which is a good starting point. However, what’s particularly interesting is its enterprise value of $516.93 million, which is notably lower. This difference reflects a strong net cash position of approximately $206.30 million. This kind of financial strength provides a significant cushion and offers the company flexibility for future investments and strategic moves.
When we look at the valuation ratios, they paint a compelling picture. Serve Robotics trades at 265.60x revenue and -6.20x EBITDA. These multiples suggest that the market places a premium on SERV compared to many of its peers. This could be due to the company’s strong market position and innovative brand assets in the burgeoning robotics delivery space. Essentially, investors are paying for quality and future growth potential, but as we know, quality rarely comes cheap, meaning there might be less room for error.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 723.23 M |
| Enterprise Value | 516.93 M |
| EV/Revenue (TTM) | 265.60x |
| EV/EBITDA (TTM) | -6.20x |
Serve Robotics (SERV) Share Statistics: Ownership & Short Interest Dynamics
Understanding who owns a company’s shares and how many are available for public trading can offer valuable insights. About 16.2% of Serve Robotics’ shares are closely held by insiders or strategic investors. This leaves approximately 62 million shares available for public trading, which is considered a fairly high float. A high float generally means investors can trade the stock without causing significant price shifts, offering good liquidity. However, it also means the company could issue more shares, potentially diluting the value for existing shareholders.
Executives and major shareholders hold a significant stake of 11.11% in the company. This is usually a positive sign, as it helps align their interests directly with those of other shareholders. Furthermore, institutional ownership is quite healthy at 33.21%. This level of institutional backing often provides a degree of stability and confidence in the stock, as large funds have typically done their homework before investing.
Now, let’s talk about short interest, which can be a double-edged sword. There are currently 14 million shares shorted, representing 18.99% of the float. This is a notable percentage and suggests that a significant portion of the market is betting against the stock, signaling high perceived risk. Investors should keep a close eye on changes in short interest; a sharp increase could indicate growing doubts about the company’s prospects. Conversely, if positive news emerges with such a high short interest, it could potentially trigger a “short squeeze,” where short sellers rush to cover their positions, pushing the price up rapidly.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 74 M |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 74 M |
| Shares Float | 62 M |
| Insider Ownership | 11.11% |
| Institutional Ownership | 33.21% |
| Shares Short | 14 M |
| Short Ratio (Days To Cover) | 1.60x |
| Short % of Float | 18.99% |
| Shares Short (Prior Month) | 12 M |
| Short Date | 2025-11-14 |
SERV Valuation Metrics: Price Ratios and Enterprise Value Insights
When assessing Serve Robotics (SERV), its valuation metrics reveal some interesting dynamics that require careful interpretation. The company’s Forward P/E ratio stands at -15.66x. A negative Forward P/E typically indicates that analysts expect the company to be unprofitable in the coming year, or it’s simply an early-stage growth company prioritizing market share over immediate profits.
Looking at other ratios, SERV’s Price/Sales ratio (TTM) is a hefty 371.94x, and its Price/Book (MRQ) is 2.32x. These multiples suggest that the market is assigning a very high value to the company’s revenue and assets, likely reflecting strong growth expectations and its position in an innovative industry. Such high price-to-sales ratios are often seen in fast-growing tech or emerging companies where current sales are minimal but future potential is perceived as immense.
From an enterprise value perspective, the EV/Revenue ratio of 265.60x further underscores a significant revenue-based valuation. Meanwhile, the EV/EBITDA multiple of -6.20x, while negative, provides a view into its earnings-based valuation, taking into account debt and cash. These metrics collectively offer a comprehensive look at how the market is currently positioning Serve Robotics.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Forward P/E | -15.66x |
| Price/Sales (TTM) | $371.94 |
| Price/Book (MRQ) | $2.32 |
| EV/Revenue (TTM) | 265.60x |
| EV/EBITDA (TTM) | -6.20x |
Serve Robotics (SERV) Financial Health: A Deep Dive into the Balance Sheet
Let’s turn our attention to Serve Robotics’ financial health, where the data reveals several areas that warrant careful consideration. The company’s Return on Equity (ROE) at -47.18% and Return on Assets (ROA) at -29.83% reflect that SERV is not currently generating positive returns from its capital. These figures are not uncommon for high-growth, early-stage companies that are heavily investing in expansion and R&D.
However, the Debt/Equity ratio of 1.46x, with $4.15 million in debt against $210.45 million in cash, suggests that SERV has taken on a manageable debt load. This indicates a relatively strong balance sheet with ample cash to cover its obligations and fund future growth initiatives.
A significant point of concern, however, is the negative operating cash flow of -$56.86 million (TTM). This indicates that the core business is currently consuming more cash than it generates, which is typical for companies in aggressive growth phases but needs to be monitored. Similarly, the Levered Free Cash Flow (TTM) is also negative at -$54.53 million.
On a more positive note, the Current Ratio of 17.21x and Quick Ratio of 16.61x both demonstrate an exceptionally strong liquidity position. This means Serve Robotics is more than capable of covering its short-term liabilities, providing a robust buffer against immediate financial pressures.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Return on Equity (ROE TTM) | -47.18% |
| Return on Assets (ROA TTM) | -29.83% |
| Debt/Equity (MRQ) | 1.46x |
| Total Cash (MRQ) | 210.45 M |
| Total Debt (MRQ) | 4.15 M |
| Current Ratio (MRQ) | 17.21x |
| Quick Ratio (MRQ) | 16.61x |
| Operating Cash Flow (TTM) | -56.86 M |
| Levered Free Cash Flow (TTM) | -54.53 M |
Serve Robotics (SERV) Financial Efficiency: How Well Are Assets Managed?
Efficiency metrics tell us how well a company uses its assets to generate revenue. For Serve Robotics, the Asset Turnover of 0.01x suggests that it generates only $0.01 in revenue for every dollar of assets it holds. This indicates lower efficiency in asset utilization, which could be an area for improvement as the company scales.
On the inventory front, the Inventory Turnover of 6.09x means Serve Robotics reasonably sells and replaces its inventory approximately 6.1 times annually. This translates to roughly 59.9 Days Inventory Outstanding, which is a manageable period. Meanwhile, the Receivables Turnover of 22.40x and 16.3 Days Sales Outstanding reflect excellent collections, indicating that customers are paying their bills very quickly. This is a strong positive for cash flow management.
The Working Capital Turnover of 0.02x indicates a moderate use of short-term assets to support sales. This is complemented by a robust Current Ratio of 17.21x, signaling excellent liquidity and the ability to meet short-term obligations.
The Cash Conversion Cycle, estimated at approximately 76.2 days (partial), suggests it takes about 2.5 months for the company to convert its inventory and receivables into cash. This indicates a manageable cash conversion process. However, the Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) at -60.91% points to lower capital efficiency, suggesting Serve Robotics needs to improve how effectively it generates returns from its invested capital. Overall, while SERV excels in receivables management and liquidity, it may need to focus on higher asset utilization to boost overall profitability. Comparing these figures with industry peers would offer a more comprehensive competitive assessment.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Asset Turnover (TTM) | 0.01x |
| Inventory Turnover (TTM) | 6.09x |
| Receivables Turnover (TTM) | 22.40x |
| Working Capital Turnover (TTM) | 0.02x |
| Current Ratio (MRQ) | 17.21x |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 16.3 |
| Days Inventory Outstanding | 59.9 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | ~76.2 days (partial) |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC TTM) | -60.91% |
Serve Robotics (SERV) Profitability and Growth: Balancing Expansion with the Bottom Line
An in-depth look at Serve Robotics’ margin performance reveals that the company is currently facing significant pressure on its profitability. The gross margin stands at 0.00%, indicating that the cost of goods sold is currently equaling or exceeding revenue before other operating expenses. Similarly, the operating margin is a deeply negative -5067.83%, showing that the core operations are consuming significant capital without generating operating profits. The EBITDA margin is also 0.00%. This financial profile is common for early-stage, high-growth companies that are heavily investing in market penetration and technology development rather than immediate profitability.
Over the last twelve months, SERV’s revenue reached $1.94 million. What’s truly impressive is the aggressive growth rate, with quarterly revenue growth (YoY) soaring by 209.50%. This indicates strong market adoption and expansion. However, despite this revenue growth, the company reported a gross profit of -$9.36 million, EBITDA of -$83.31 million, and a net income of -$80.21 million. These figures highlight the significant investments being made and that the company is not yet profitable.
This financial profile suggests a strong focus on aggressive growth and market capture, even at the expense of short-term profitability. Moving forward, maintaining steady or improving margins will be critical. SERV needs to find ways to defend its pricing power and control operating costs, especially if its rapid revenue growth eventually moderates. These efforts will be key to sustaining profitability in the long run.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Profit Margin (TTM) | 0.00% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | -5067.83% |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 0.00% |
| EBITDA Margin (TTM) | 0.00% |
| Revenue (TTM) | 1.94 M |
| Quarterly Revenue Growth (YoY) | 209.50% |
| Gross Profit (TTM) | -9.36 M |
| EBITDA (TTM) | -83.31 M |
| Net Income (TTM) | -80.21 M |
Serve Robotics (SERV) Dividends and Shareholder Returns: A Growth-Oriented Approach
For income-focused investors, it’s important to note that Serve Robotics (SERV) does not currently pay a regular dividend. This isn’t necessarily a negative, especially for a growth-oriented company. It simply suggests that management is prioritizing reinvesting its earnings back into the business. This capital is likely being used to fuel expansion, develop new technologies, and capture market share in the rapidly evolving autonomous delivery sector. For companies in high-growth industries, reinvesting profits can often lead to greater long-term capital appreciation for shareholders than distributing small dividends.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Payout Ratio | 0.00% |
| Trailing Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
SERV Stock Technical Analysis: Navigating the Current Market Momentum
Let’s shift our focus to the charts and indicators to understand Serve Robotics’ (SERV) current market momentum. The stock’s current price is $8.66, and while the overall trend is bearish, it appears to be in oversold territory. SERV has faced considerable downward pressure, losing -19.07% in the last 15 days. Is this a potential buying opportunity, or a warning of further declines? Let’s break down the key technical levels and indicators.
Trend Strength – Still Bearish, But Watch for Shifts
SERV remains in a bearish trend, trading consistently below its key moving averages. This is a signal for caution, indicating that sellers have been in control.
What This Means for Traders?
The 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $10.27 is currently acting as a significant overhead resistance level. As long as SERV’s price stays below this point, the bearish trend is likely to persist. A rejection from this average could lead to the stock testing its recent lows once again.
Momentum Check – Is a Bounce on the Horizon?
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 8.9 is flashing oversold conditions. This often hints that a stock might be due for at least a short-term bounce, as the selling pressure could be temporarily exhausted. Simultaneously, the MACD histogram is negative, suggesting that any upward momentum is still struggling to gain traction or is beginning to fade.
Trading Strategy for Momentum:
The oversold RSI could indicate a potential bounce. Aggressive traders might start looking for short-term buy signals, perhaps anticipating a brief rally. However, more conservative traders should wait for the RSI to cross back above 30. This crossover would serve as a stronger confirmation of a potential trend reversal.
Bollinger Bands – Probing Key Support
SERV is currently trading near the middle of its Bollinger Bands, with the 20-day SMA at $10.27. The lower band, located at $7.59, offers the next crucial level of support. This suggests that if the price continues to decline, this level could act as a bounce point.
Volume Trends – What’s the Conviction?
Trading volume is currently near its recent average, which provides neutral confirmation of the stock’s current price action. It’s not signaling strong buying or selling conviction right now.
What’s the Concern?
Low-volume rallies can often be fragile and prone to sharp reversals. If we don’t see a significant surge in buying interest to confirm any upward move, a pullback becomes more likely. This lack of conviction in volume means any price changes should be viewed with a degree of skepticism.
Support & Resistance – Your Trading Plan
Here’s a simplified trading plan based on Serve Robotics’ key support and resistance levels:
✅ If SERV holds above $10.27: A bullish trend could resume, with the next target at $14.70.
⚠️ If it breaks below $10.27: Expect a potential dip toward the $7.59 support level.
🛑 A drop below $7.59: This could trigger a deeper correction, potentially heading towards the 200-day SMA at $11.36.
Final Verdict – Should You Buy, Hold, or Sell SERV?
Short-Term Traders: The current trend shows positive signs, but closely monitor for any signs of exhaustion. A neutral stance might be prudent until clearer signals emerge from the MACD or trading volume.
Long-Term Investors: The long-term uptrend remains valid as long as the price stays above the 200-day SMA ($11.36). A pullback to the 50-day SMA ($12.74) area could present a safer buying opportunity for those looking to build a long-term position.
New Buyers: It’s wise to avoid chasing the rally right now. Instead, wait for either a confirmed breakout above $14.70 with strong volume, or a pullback to the $10.27 area, which would offer a more favorable risk/reward entry point.
Bottom Line: The technical indicators suggest that the recent rally for SERV might be running out of steam in the short term. While the long-term trend still appears bullish, a correction seems plausible before the next significant move. Trade carefully and wait for clear confirmation at these key levels.
Bollinger Bands Chart for SERV
The Bollinger Bands chart, if visualized, would show SERV’s price oscillating within its upper and lower bands, with the 20-day SMA as the middle line. Currently, the stock is trading near the middle band, with the lower band at $7.59 indicating potential support. This visual helps traders understand price volatility and potential reversal points.
RSI Chart for SERV
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) chart would clearly show SERV’s RSI value at 8.9. This level is well below the 30-mark, graphically illustrating the oversold conditions discussed earlier. Traders use this chart to identify when a stock might be undervalued or due for a bounce.
MACD Charts for SERV
The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) charts for SERV would depict the relationship between two moving averages of the stock’s price. With a MACD value of -0.07, the chart would show the MACD line hovering around the signal line, indicating a neutral trend. The histogram would be negative, suggesting a weakening of upward momentum.
Historical Price & Volume Chart for SERV
A historical chart would display SERV’s daily closing price and trading volume over time, overlaid with a 20-day average volume. This visual allows investors to see past performance, identify trends, and analyze the conviction behind price movements. You could adjust the range using interactive buttons to explore different periods.
SERV Historical Performance: Recent Trading Recap
Looking back at the last 15 trading days, from November 07, 2025, to November 21, 2025, Serve Robotics (SERV) has experienced a notable decline. The stock posted a return of -18.99% during this period. The trading range for these days was between a low of $8.02 and a high of $11.31, with an average daily volume of 6,524,453 shares traded. This recent performance underscores the bearish sentiment highlighted by the technical indicators.
SERV Recent Trading Data: Daily Activity Snapshot
Here’s a detailed look at Serve Robotics’ (SERV) daily trading activity over the last 15 days, providing granular insights into price movements and volume.
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 | $8.62 | $8.81 | $8.02 | $8.66 | 4,779,600 |
| 2025-11-20 | $9.45 | $9.91 | $8.64 | $8.68 | 6,379,300 |
| 2025-11-19 | $9.09 | $9.54 | $8.85 | $9.01 | 5,278,800 |
| 2025-11-18 | $8.76 | $9.19 | $8.55 | $8.97 | 5,249,100 |
| 2025-11-17 | $9.38 | $9.49 | $8.73 | $8.93 | 7,231,700 |
| 2025-11-16 | $8.99 | $9.71 | $8.99 | $9.34 | 5,411,300 |
| 2025-11-15 | $8.99 | $9.71 | $8.99 | $9.34 | 5,411,300 |
| 2025-11-14 | $8.99 | $9.71 | $8.99 | $9.34 | 5,411,300 |
| 2025-11-13 | $10.45 | $10.80 | $9.33 | $9.42 | 9,148,500 |
| 2025-11-12 | $10.35 | $10.58 | $10.07 | $10.47 | 7,466,900 |
| 2025-11-11 | $10.39 | $10.54 | $10.20 | $10.33 | 4,020,800 |
| 2025-11-10 | $11.30 | $11.31 | $10.32 | $10.65 | 6,160,900 |
| 2025-11-09 | $10.09 | $10.77 | $9.73 | $10.69 | 8,639,100 |
| 2025-11-08 | $10.09 | $10.77 | $9.73 | $10.69 | 8,639,100 |
| 2025-11-07 | $10.09 | $10.77 | $9.73 | $10.69 | 8,639,100 |
SERV Stock Price Statistics: Key Levels and Volatility
When we zoom out to look at the broader price action for Serve Robotics (SERV), the stock’s 52-week range tells an interesting story. It has seen a high of $24.35 and a low of $4.66, indicating significant fluctuations over the past year. This wide gap points to the stock being susceptible to swings, likely driven by market sentiment or company-specific news.
Currently, the 50-day moving average sits at $12.59, while the 200-day moving average is at $10.43. This setup, where the shorter-term moving average is above the longer-term one, is often referred to as a “golden cross” – a technical pattern that some investors view as a bullish signal, potentially indicating positive long-term momentum.
However, it’s crucial to balance this with the stock’s volatility. A 30-day annualized volatility of 53.5% suggests that SERV experiences high price swings. For investors, this translates to both the potential for substantial gains and an elevated level of downside risk. These indicators are vital when determining position sizing or entry timing, especially if you’re managing a portfolio that aims to balance stability with growth exposure.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week High | $24.35 |
| 52 Week Low | $4.66 |
| 50 Day MA | $12.59 |
| 200 Day MA | $10.43 |
| Volatility (30d Ann.) | 53.5% |
Serve Robotics (SERV) Quarterly Earnings Performance: A Look at Recent Results
Serve Robotics’ (SERV) recent quarterly performance provides a glimpse into its operational execution and financial trajectory. The company’s latest reported quarter showed revenue of $687.00 thousand and a net income of -$33.02 million. This indicates continued investment and expenditure during its growth phase.
Looking at the growth trends, the quarter-over-quarter revenue change was a healthy +7.0%. Even more impressively, the year-over-year revenue growth surged by +209.5%, highlighting significant expansion.
Recent Quarterly Results (Last 4 Quarters)
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS | Gross Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-Q3 | 687.00 K | -33.02 M | -0.54x | -637.4% |
| 2025-Q2 | 642.00 K | -20.85 M | -0.36x | -445.3% |
| 2025-Q1 | 440.46 K | -13.22 M | -0.23x | -333.4% |
| 2024-Q4 | 175.84 K | -13.12 M | -0.36x | -373.1% |
Growth Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| QoQ Revenue Growth | +7.0% |
| QoQ Net Income Growth | +58.4% |
| YoY Revenue Growth | +209.5% |
Serve Robotics (SERV) Short Selling Information: Bearish Bets and Potential Squeezes
Understanding the short interest in a stock can give investors a peek into how bearish sentiment is impacting a company. Currently, there’s $14 million worth of short interest in Serve Robotics (SERV). The short ratio, or “days to cover,” stands at 1.6x. This means that, at the stock’s recent average trading volume, it would take approximately 1.6 days for all short positions to be covered. This relatively low level suggests that short sellers don’t currently exert significant control over the stock’s price, and the risk of a prolonged “short squeeze” (where a sudden price surge forces short sellers to buy back shares, further accelerating the price) is relatively low.
However, a closer look reveals that 18.99% of the public float is currently sold short. This is considered a high percentage and signals significant bearish conviction from a portion of the market. What’s more, this level has recently increased from $12 million in the prior month, suggesting a growing bearish sentiment. With such notable short interest, of potential volatility spikes. These spikes could be triggered by unexpected positive news events that force short sellers to cover their positions, leading to rapid price movements.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Shares Short | 14 M |
| Short Ratio (Days To Cover) | 1.60x |
| Short % of Float | 18.99% |
| Shares Short (Prior Month) | 12 M |
| Short Date | 2025-11-14 |
Serve Robotics (SERV) Risk Analysis: Quantifying Potential Volatility
When considering an investment in Serve Robotics (SERV), it’s crucial to understand the inherent risks. SERV’s risk profile indicates high volatility, with an annualized volatility of 168.8%. This figure signals a significant level of investment risk, meaning the stock can experience large and rapid price swings.
The Sharpe ratio, at 0.74x, suggests mixed risk-adjusted returns. While a positive Sharpe ratio is generally good, this value indicates that for the amount of risk taken, the returns have been moderate. The maximum drawdown of -77.62% is particularly important; it highlights the significant downside risk during adverse market conditions, showing how much the stock has fallen from its peak at its lowest point.
To further quantify potential losses, the Value at Risk (VaR) at a 5% confidence level shows a potential loss of -9.63% in the worst 5% of scenarios over a given period. Similarly, at a 1% confidence level, the potential loss increases to -18.70%. The Sortino ratio, at 1.62x, focuses specifically on downside risk, providing additional insight into how well the stock’s returns compensate for its negative volatility. Finally, the high Skewness of 9.21x and Kurtosis of 158.57x suggest that the stock’s returns are not normally distributed and exhibit frequent extreme positive and negative price movements.
Investors should carefully consider these risk metrics in conjunction with their personal risk tolerance and overall investment objectives.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Volatility (Annualized) | 168.8% |
| Value at Risk (5%) | -9.63% |
| Value at Risk (1%) | -18.70% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.74x |
| Sortino Ratio | 1.62x |
| Maximum Drawdown | -77.62% |
| Skewness | 9.21x |
| Kurtosis | 158.57x |
Serve Robotics (SERV) Sentiment Analysis: What the Market is Thinking
Current market sentiment for Serve Robotics (SERV) reveals a cautiously positive outlook. The composite sentiment score stands at 0.66x, with a confidence level of 39.6%. This positive sentiment is a blend of insights gathered from various data sources, including recent news coverage, analyst recommendations, and activity within the options market.
Breaking down these components:
News analysis shows a Neutral sentiment at 0.05x.
Analyst consensus leans Positive at 0.80x.
Options market sentiment also reflects a Positive outlook at 0.56x.
The Put/Call Ratio, an indicator of options market sentiment, is currently at 0.22x, which typically suggests more calls (bets on price increases) than puts (bets on price decreases), reinforcing the positive options sentiment. This overall positive, albeit weak, sentiment signal should be weighed alongside a thorough fundamental and technical analysis to form a comprehensive investment perspective. For more detailed market data, you can visit Yahoo Finance for SERV.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Composite Sentiment Score | 0.66x |
| Sentiment Classification | Positive |
| Sentiment Confidence | 39.6% |
| News Sentiment | Neutral (0.05x) |
| Analyst Sentiment | Positive (0.80x) |
| Options Sentiment | Positive (0.56x) |
| Put/Call Ratio | 0.22x |
Serve Robotics (SERV) Peer Comparison: How It Stacks Up Against Competitors
To truly gauge Serve Robotics’ (SERV) position, it’s helpful to compare it against its peers. With a market capitalization of $723.23 million, SERV is the smallest player when compared to Papa John’s International (PZZA) at $1.35 billion and Freight Technologies (FWRG) at $1.09 billion. This size difference can impact resources, market reach, and competitive dynamics.
When it comes to profitability, SERV currently has negative earnings, which makes a traditional P/E ratio analysis challenging. However, FWRG also trades at premium multiples with a P/E of 223.75x, suggesting that growth potential in innovative sectors often warrants higher valuations despite current earnings.
Regarding revenue growth, SERV demonstrates a strong 2.1% expansion, which is commendable given its size. FWRG, however, shows even stronger momentum with a 25.6% revenue growth. Profitability is a challenge for SERV, reflected in its 0.0% net margin, while PZZA and FWRG show positive, albeit slim, net margins of 1.83% and 0.43% respectively. SERV’s negative ROE of -47.18% further reflects its current unprofitability.
From a balance sheet perspective, SERV maintains a conservative 1.46 debt-to-equity ratio, which suggests a relatively strong financial position. In contrast, FWRG shows significantly higher leverage with a debt-to-equity of 162. Dividend policies also vary widely: PZZA rewards shareholders with a 4.55% dividend yield, whereas SERV, like many growth companies, reinvests all cash back into its operations to fuel further expansion.
| Metric | SERV | PZZA | FWRG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $723.23M | $1.35B | $1.09B |
| P/E Ratio | -15.66 | 35.52 | 223.75 |
| Revenue Growth | 2.10% | 0.30% | 25.60% |
| Net Margin | 0.00% | 1.83% | 0.43% |
| EPS | -1.44 | 1.16 | 0.08 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% | 4.55% | 0.00% |
| 52-Week Range | 4.66 – 24.35 | 29.20 – 55.12 | 12.90 – 22.71 |
Serve Robotics (SERV) Insider Transactions: A Look at Recent Activity
Insider transaction data can often provide valuable clues about how those closest to the company view its prospects. Over the last three months, Serve Robotics (SERV) has seen a strong bearish trend in insider activity, with 33 sells versus only 3 buys, totaling a net of $5.4 million in sales.
Focusing specifically on discretionary open-market activity, there were 30 market sales compared to 0 market purchases. This indicates that insiders have been actively reducing their positions through direct market transactions. Additionally, there were 6 option exercises, which can sometimes precede sales or reflect confidence in future price appreciation, but without accompanying open-market purchases, they typically signal routine portfolio management or liquidity events.
A price analysis of these transactions shows that sales occurred at elevated levels, averaging $12.43 across 30 priced transactions. In contrast, the few purchases averaged $1.36 across 3 transactions. This pattern suggests strategic profit-taking by insiders. While the selling activity is notable, its modest scale might indicate routine profit-taking rather than fundamental concerns about the company’s long-term prospects. For a more in-depth look at regulatory filings, you can always check the SEC Edgar database for Serve Robotics.
| Insider Name | Type | Shares Changed | Price | Shares After | Transaction Date | Filing Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armenta Anthony | SELL (Sale) [S] | -49,082 | $9.32 | 560,037 | 2025-11-14 | 2025-11-18 |
| Abraham Euan | SELL (Sale) [S] | -1,840 | $10.80 | 244,784 | 2025-11-06 | 2025-11-06 |
| Parang Touraj | SELL (Sale) [S] | -6,100 | $10.74 | 1,344,991 | 2025-11-06 | 2025-11-06 |
| Kashani Ali | SELL (Sale) [S] | -16,170 | $10.78 | 3,391,592 | 2025-11-06 | 2025-11-06 |
| Armenta Anthony | SELL (Sale) [S] | -3,545 | $11.63 | 609,119 | 2025-11-05 | 2025-11-05 |
| Dunn Evan | SELL (Sale) [S] | -2,987 | $11.62 | 207,322 | 2025-11-05 | 2025-11-05 |
| Abraham Euan | SELL (Sale) [S] | -3,915 | $11.69 | 246,624 | 2025-11-05 | 2025-11-05 |
| Kashani Ali | SELL (Sale) [S] | -13,310 | $11.63 | 3,407,762 | 2025-11-05 | 2025-11-05 |
| Parang Touraj | SELL (Sale) [S] | -9,500 | $11.78 | 1,351,091 | 2025-11-05 | 2025-11-05 |
| Read Brian | SELL (Sale) [S] | -1,270 | $13.32 | 353,827 | 2025-10-30 | 2025-10-30 |
| Abraham Euan | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -25,000 | ~$17.51 | 50,875 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-17 |
| Abraham Euan | SELL (Sale) [S] | -25,000 | $17.99 | 250,539 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-17 |
| Abraham Euan | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +25,000 | $0.49 | 275,539 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-17 |
| Dunn Evan | SELL (Sale) [S] | -15,000 | $15.12 | 210,309 | 2025-10-07 | 2025-10-07 |
| Dunn Evan | SELL (Sale) [S] | -5,458 | $15.01 | 225,309 | 2025-10-07 | 2025-10-07 |
| Read Brian | SELL (Sale) [S] | -176 | $15.29 | 355,097 | 2025-10-07 | 2025-10-07 |
| Abraham Euan | SELL (Sale) [S] | -1,480 | $15.19 | 250,539 | 2025-10-07 | 2025-10-07 |
| Kashani Ali | SELL (Sale) [S] | -12,930 | $15.08 | 3,421,072 | 2025-10-07 | 2025-10-07 |
| Parang Touraj | SELL (Sale) [S] | -4,825 | $15.25 | 1,360,591 | 2025-10-07 | 2025-10-07 |
| Read Brian | SELL (Sale) [S] | -1,225 | $11.70 | 355,273 | 2025-09-30 | 2025-09-30 |
| Goldberg David Michael | SELL (Sale) [S] | -5,000 | $13.58 | 45,725 | 2025-09-24 | 2025-09-24 |
| Abraham Euan | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -25,000 | ~$13.98 | 75,875 | 2025-09-19 | 2025-09-22 |
| Abraham Euan | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +25,000 | $0.49 | 252,019 | 2025-09-19 | 2025-09-22 |
| Abraham Euan | SELL (Sale) [S] | -25,000 | $14.99 | 227,019 | 2025-09-19 | 2025-09-22 |
| Read Brian | SELL (Sale) [S] | -3,941 | $12.70 | 356,498 | 2025-09-18 | 2025-09-18 |
| Abraham Euan | SELL (Sale) [S] | -8,433 | $12.38 | 252,019 | 2025-09-18 | 2025-09-18 |
| Read Brian | SELL (Sale) [S] | -4,319 | $11.54 | 360,439 | 2025-09-11 | 2025-09-11 |
| Read Brian | SELL (Sale) [S] | -4,795 | $10.47 | 364,758 | 2025-09-08 | 2025-09-08 |
| Read Brian | SELL (Sale) [S] | -2,380 | $10.39 | 369,553 | 2025-09-08 | 2025-09-08 |
| Abraham Euan | SELL (Sale) [S] | -12,603 | $10.60 | 260,452 | 2025-09-08 | 2025-09-08 |
| Kashani Ali | SELL (Sale) [S] | -164,735 | $10.33 | 3,434,002 | 2025-09-08 | 2025-09-08 |
| Parang Touraj | SELL (Sale) [S] | -53,690 | $10.35 | 1,365,416 | 2025-09-08 | 2025-09-08 |
| Read Brian | SELL (Sale) [S] | -1,330 | $10.18 | 371,933 | 2025-09-02 | 2025-09-02 |
| Vincent Olivier | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -8,000 | ~$11.25 | 12,000 | 2025-08-28 | 2025-08-29 |
| Vincent Olivier | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +8,000 | $3.11 | 29,928 | 2025-08-28 | 2025-08-29 |
| Vincent Olivier | SELL (Sale) [S] | -8,000 | $11.49 | 21,928 | 2025-08-28 | 2025-08-29 |
Serve Robotics (SERV) Risk Factors: What Investors Should Consider
Potential investors looking at Serve Robotics (SERV) should be fully aware of several key risk factors. While this list highlights critical considerations based on current data and market dynamics, it’s not exhaustive, and other risks may exist.
⚠️ The current price of $9.71 is trading below the 50-Day SMA ($12.74), indicating potential short-term weakness and a bearish technical signal.
⚠️ Similarly, the price of $9.71 is also below the 200-Day SMA ($11.36), which suggests potential long-term weakness and a broader bearish trend.
⚠️ The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is quite low at 8.9 (below 30), signaling potential oversold conditions. While this could precede a rebound, it also suggests that selling pressure has been intense and could continue.
⚠️ Serve Robotics operates in the Industrials sector, meaning it is susceptible to general market fluctuations and broader economic conditions that can impact industrial companies.
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Analyst Insights and Consensus for Serve Robotics (SERV)
What do Wall Street analysts think about Serve Robotics (SERV)? The consensus among analysts is a resounding ‘Strong Buy’. This strong recommendation comes from a panel of 5 analysts who actively cover the stock.
Their price targets average out to $19.20, with individual targets ranging from a low of $15.00 to a high of $26.00. Based on this mean target of $19.20, analysts are implying a significant potential upside of approximately 97.7% from the current price of $9.71. This reflects a generally optimistic sentiment about the stock’s future outlook and growth potential. For more up-to-date analyst ratings, you might want to check sources like MarketWatch for SERV.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Recommendation | Strong Buy |
| Mean Target Price | $19.20 |
| High Target Price | $26.00 |
| Low Target Price | $15.00 |
| Number of Analyst Opinions | 5 |
Recent News and Developments for Serve Robotics (SERV)
Staying current with company-specific news is always a smart move for investors. Here are some recent headlines concerning Serve Robotics (SERV) that highlight key events and market perception as of late November 2025:
Uber Is Backing This Tiny Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock, and It Could Soar by as Much as 200%, According to Wall Street
Publisher: Motley Fool
Published: 2025-11-22T09:09:00Z
4 High-Risk Growth Stocks Under $15 to Watch This Fall
Publisher: MarketBeat
Published: 2025-11-21T16:13:00Z
Better Robotics Stock: Richtech Robotics vs. Serve Robotics
Publisher: Motley Fool
Published: 2025-11-17T12:15:00Z
Why Serve Robotics (SERV) Is Down 12.6 Percent After Issuing Bold Expansion and Revenue Guidance
Publisher: Simply Wall St.
Published: 2025-11-15T12:16:46Z
Is Serve Robotics’ Tie-Up With DoorDash Set to Transform 2026 Revenues?
Publisher: Zacks
* Published: 2025-11-14T12:57:00Z
These news items provide a snapshot of the narratives shaping investor interest and market movements around SERV, covering everything from strategic partnerships to competitive analyses and stock performance reactions.
Conclusion and Investment Outlook for Serve Robotics (SERV)
So, what’s the overall takeaway for Serve Robotics (SERV) investors? Let’s quickly summarize the key technical and fundamental points to help you form your own informed opinion.
Short-Term Technical Snapshot
- Overall Technical Sentiment: Neutral
- Price Trend vs MAs: Bearish (trading below SMA50/200)
- Momentum (RSI): Oversold (at 8.9), potentially signaling a bounce
- Support / Resistance (30d): Approximately ~$8.02 / ~$14.70
Longer-Term Fundamental & Forecast Outlook
- 1-Year Average Forecast: Approximately +2.0% average change to ≈$9.90
- Fundamental Health: Assessment Incomplete (ROE: -47.18%, D/E: 1.46x) – shows aggressive growth phase with negative profitability but manageable debt.
- Valuation Snapshot: Appears Moderate (Fwd P/E: -15.66x) – reflecting high growth expectations.
- Recent Growth (YoY): Impressive Revenue growth of 209.50%
- Analyst Consensus: Strong Buy (Target: $19.20), indicating high confidence from professionals.
Overall Assessment & Outlook
Overall, Serve Robotics (SERV) presents a mixed, yet intriguing, investment picture. Technically, the sentiment is leaning neutral, largely due to a bearish price trend below key moving averages, but with the RSI indicating oversold conditions that could spark a short-term rebound. Fundamentally, the company is in an aggressive growth phase, highlighted by substantial revenue growth, but this comes with negative profitability and an “Assessment Incomplete” on overall health, which is common for innovative, early-stage companies.
The current valuation appears moderate when considering its negative Forward P/E, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth potential. Our models project a relatively flat 1-year price path, targeting around $9.90, while Wall Street analysts are much more bullish with a ‘Strong Buy’ consensus and a target of $19.20. This discrepancy underscores the inherent uncertainty and varying interpretations of SERV’s future.
Investors should carefully consider these points in relation to their personal risk tolerance and investment timeline. SERV is a high-growth play with significant volatility and an evolving financial profile.
Frequently Asked Questions About Serve Robotics (SERV) Stock
What is the SERV stock price prediction for the next year (2025-2026)?
Based on current models, the average 1-year price forecast for SERV is approximately $9.90. This represents a potential +2.0% change from the recent price of $9.71. It’s crucial to remember that this is a model-driven estimate, not a guarantee, and actual prices will fluctuate based on numerous market factors and company developments.
Will SERV stock go up or down?
The 1-year forecast model suggests the price might increase moderately on average (+2.0% potential). However, the short-term direction is highly uncertain and can be heavily influenced by prevailing market sentiment (currently ‘Neutral’), breaking news, and overall economic conditions. Technical indicators like the RSI (which is oversold at 8.9) provide clues for near-term direction, hinting at a potential rebound.
Is SERV stock a good investment right now?
Determining if SERV is a ‘good buy’ requires evaluating multiple factors. Technical sentiment is ‘Neutral’, while the 1-year forecast suggests +2.0% potential. Technically, the oversold RSI (8.9) could indicate a rebound opportunity. However, you must consider its high volatility (53.5% annualized), negative profitability despite strong revenue growth, and notable short interest. Align these factors with your personal investment strategy and risk tolerance. This report is for informational purposes only; always consult a financial advisor before investing.
How volatile is SERV stock?
Based on the recent 30-day price action, SERV’s annualized volatility is approximately 53.5%. This level is currently considered high, indicating that the stock experiences significant and rapid price fluctuations. Higher volatility means there’s potential for larger price swings, both upwards and downwards, which can appeal to some traders but also carries increased risk.
What is SERV’s P/E ratio and what does it mean?
SERV’s Trailing P/E ratio (based on past earnings) is currently unavailable. The Forward P/E (based on expected future earnings) is -15.66x. A negative P/E ratio typically signifies that the company is not expected to be profitable in the coming year, or it’s a rapidly growing company prioritizing market share over immediate earnings. Investors often compare P/E ratios to industry peers and historical levels to assess whether a stock is over- or undervalued relative to its earnings potential.
What are the key upcoming events for SERV?
Beyond regular quarterly earnings reports and broader macroeconomic shifts, investors should monitor competitive actions within the autonomous delivery space and any major corporate announcements from Serve Robotics. Recent news indicates ongoing interest from major players like Uber and partnerships with companies like DoorDash, which could be significant catalysts.
What does SERV’s liquidity position reveal about its financial health?
SERV’s financial health includes a very strong Current Ratio of 17.21x and a Quick Ratio of 16.61x, suggesting it can comfortably cover its short-term liabilities. However, it’s important to note the negative operating cash flow of -$56.86 million and levered free cash flow of -$54.53 million. While the company has substantial cash on hand ($210.45 million), the negative cash flow from operations indicates that it is currently consuming more cash than it generates from its core business activities, which is typical for a high-growth company investing heavily in expansion.
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