JPM Stock Analysis & Price Forecast: Navigating JPMorgan Chase & Co. in 2025
Hey there, fellow investors! Today, we’re diving deep into the world of JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM), a banking titan with an impressive $819.48 billion market capitalization, operating in the dynamic Banks – Diversified industry. If you’re wondering whether JPM stock is a smart move right now, or if it’s well-positioned for future growth, you’ve come to the right place.
The big question on everyone’s mind is always: does the current stock price truly reflect its fair value? And more importantly, what does the future hold for this financial giant? We’re going to break down JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s performance, potential, and pitfalls to help you make an informed decision.
What You Need to Know Right Now About JPM Stock
As of November 2025, JPM is trading at $298.02. We’re seeing a slight short-term pullback here, but it’s important to note this is happening within a larger, established uptrend. The stock is currently below its 50-day moving average, yet it comfortably holds above the 200-day average, indicating underlying strength.
Analysts are generally quite optimistic, projecting a 1-year price target of $328.09, which could mean a potential +10.1% upside from today’s price. However, don’t overlook the stock’s annualized volatility of 17.2%. This suggests that while there’s upside, investors should be ready for some significant price swings.
From a fundamental perspective, JPMorgan Chase & Co. presents a mixed but compelling picture. The company boasts solid revenue growth, up 8.80% year-over-year, which is a fantastic sign of its operational strength. On the flip side, the diversified banking sector is fiercely competitive, posing a continuous challenge for the firm.
What’s Inside This Comprehensive JPM Stock Analysis?
We’re here to give you more than just numbers. Our goal is to dissect JPM’s stock from every angle, arming you with the insights you need to make a confident investment decision. Here’s a sneak peek at what we’ll cover:
- Is now a good time to buy JPM stock? Our technical analysis leans “Neutral” for the short term, especially with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) showing oversold conditions at 29.2. Fundamentals suggest a cautious approach, mainly due to debt levels and certain growth metrics.
- Can JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s core operations drive future growth? The company’s future growth trajectory will largely hinge on its performance in its core Banks – Diversified segments and its ability to skillfully navigate those competitive waters.
- What are the biggest risks for JPM investors? A significant point of concern is the company’s substantial debt of $1.15 trillion, which could become a headwind in a rising interest rate environment. Moreover, competition remains intense, coming from both established players and innovative new entrants.
Forget the confusing jargon or overly simplistic “just buy it” advice you often encounter. We’re providing clear, actionable information whether you’re a long-term investor seeking steady growth or a short-term trader looking for quicker gains. Let’s delve into the data and uncover whether JPMorgan Chase & Co. is the right investment to help your portfolio thrive.
Key Metrics and JPM Stock Forecast Summary
Let’s get a snapshot of where JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) stands right now, including some crucial forecasts and technical signals. Understanding these metrics is vital for any investor considering JPM.
| Metric Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | Live Market Price | $298.02 |
| Price Targets & Forecasts | 1-Month Forecast | $298.02 (0.0% Change) |
| 1-Year Forecast | $394.68 (+32.4% Upside) | |
| Analyst Mean Target | $328.09 (+10.1% Upside) | |
| Trend & Momentum | Trend | Mixed Trend |
| RSI (14-day) | 29.2 (Oversold) | |
| MACD | Bearish Short-Term Trend (-1.77) | |
| Key Technical Levels | Above SMA 50 | ❌ ($305.36) |
| Above SMA 200 | ✅ ($289.73) | |
| 52-Week Range | $202.16 – $322.25 | |
| Volatility | Volatility (30d Ann.) | 17.2% |
| Beta (vs. Market) | 1.08x (Moderate) | |
| Ownership | Institutional Ownership | 74.17% |
| Short % of Float | 0.92% (Low Bearish Bets) |
Currently, JPM stock is trading at $298.02. The technical indicators are showing a somewhat mixed pattern. On one hand, the price is holding up well relative to both its 50-day moving average (at $305.36) and its 200-day moving average (at $289.73). This suggests that despite recent fluctuations, the stock has been gaining momentum over a longer period.
However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 29.2, signaling that the stock is currently oversold. This often hints at a potential bounce back. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator shows a bearish short-term trend (-1.77), which means we could see minor pullbacks before the stock resumes its upward trajectory.
Looking at the past year, JPM’s stock has traded within a range of $202.16 to $322.25. This wide range indicates that the stock has experienced significant recovery from its lows, and the current price is closer to the higher end of this historical band. While large swings are always possible, this positioning suggests current prices might be stabilizing.
Analysts are forecasting modest growth, with a 1-year target of $394.68, representing a potential +32.4% gain, and a consensus target of $328.09, offering +10.1% upside. What’s more, a substantial 74.17% institutional ownership, coupled with very low short interest at just 0.92% of the float, suggests that major investors are betting on JPM’s long-term success rather than a significant decline.
JPM Stock Price Forecast Chart
While we can’t display live charts here, it’s worth noting that the price forecast chart typically illustrates recent actual average prices alongside a projected price range. This range—often showing low, average, and high estimates—is usually based on advanced predictive models like the Prophet model. Such charts offer a visual representation of potential future price movements for JPMorgan Chase & Co. stock.
Detailed JPM Stock Price Forecast Table
Let’s dive into the specifics of the monthly price forecast for JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM). Our model projects a price range from approximately $298.02 up to $479.28 over the next year. This table breaks down the projected price bands, the potential Return on Investment (ROI) compared to the current price of $298.02, and the resulting model signal for each period.
Over the forecast horizon, from November 2025 to November 2026, JPM’s price is anticipated to fluctuate within this broad range. It’s interesting to observe that the forecast uncertainty appears quite steady, with the price range evolving from $298.02 – $298.02 initially to $357.49 – $479.28 by the end of the period, showing consistent growth in potential upside.
| Month (Period) | Min. Price | Avg. Price | Max. Price | Potential ROI vs Current ($298.02) | Model Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11 | $298.02 | $298.02 | $298.02 | -0.0% | Hold/Neutral |
| 2025-12 | $308.84 | $319.27 | $332.40 | 7.1% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-01 | $318.11 | $330.08 | $341.64 | 10.8% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-02 | $330.10 | $343.07 | $353.75 | 15.1% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-03 | $332.84 | $344.54 | $354.34 | 15.6% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-04 | $325.33 | $338.25 | $353.32 | 13.5% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-05 | $322.90 | $340.49 | $367.66 | 14.3% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-06 | $331.77 | $352.58 | $377.20 | 18.3% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-07 | $330.69 | $362.98 | $400.39 | 21.8% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-08 | $342.81 | $375.42 | $421.44 | 26.0% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-09 | $348.89 | $383.62 | $439.81 | 28.7% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-10 | $350.58 | $394.68 | $457.87 | 32.4% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-11 | $357.49 | $406.51 | $479.28 | 36.4% | Consider Buy |
It’s crucial to remember that these model forecasts are essentially estimates, and they come with inherent uncertainty. They’re built upon current data and a set of assumptions, all of which can change rapidly in dynamic market conditions. Therefore, actual prices are never guaranteed.
Company Profile: JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)
To truly understand JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM), it’s essential to grasp its core business and operational landscape. This financial powerhouse is a global leader in the Financial Services sector, specifically within the Banks – Diversified industry. Its sheer scale is impressive, with a market capitalization of $819.48 billion and a vast workforce of 318,153 employees.
| Attribute | Detail |
|---|---|
| Industry | Banks – Diversified |
| Market Cap | $819.48 billion |
| Employees | 318,153 |
| Website | jpmorganchase.com |
Business Overview
JPMorgan Chase & Co. operates as a comprehensive financial services company across the globe, serving a diverse range of clients from individual consumers to massive corporations and governments. The company strategically organizes its vast operations into three primary segments: Consumer & Community Banking, Commercial & Investment Bank, and Asset & Wealth Management.
The Consumer & Community Banking segment is where you’d find services like deposit accounts, investment products, and lending solutions, along with cash management and payment services. This segment is also heavily involved in mortgage origination, residential mortgages, home equity loans, credit cards, auto loans, leases, and travel services. They reach customers through a robust network of bank branches, ATMs, and modern digital and telephone banking platforms.
The Commercial & Investment Bank segment offers sophisticated investment banking products and services. This includes advisory on corporate strategy and structure, capital-raising services in both equity and debt markets, and expertise in loan origination and syndication. This segment also handles payments, provides cash and derivative instruments, offers risk management solutions, prime brokerage services, and critical research. Furthermore, they provide securities services, covering custody, fund services, liquidity, trading services, and data solutions products.
Finally, the Asset & Wealth Management segment delivers financial solutions tailored for small and midsized companies, local governments, nonprofit clients, and municipalities, as well as commercial real estate clients. They also offer multi-asset investment management solutions across equities, fixed income, alternatives, and money market funds for institutional clients and retail investors. This segment further provides retirement products and services, brokerage, custody, estate planning, lending, deposits, and investment management products to high-net-worth clients. The company, originally founded in 1799, is headquartered in New York, New York.
Total Valuation for JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)
When we look at JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM), its market capitalization of $819.48 billion is certainly eye-catching. However, what’s particularly interesting is its enterprise value (EV) of $556.53 billion, which is notably lower. This difference highlights a strong net cash position of approximately $262.95 billion, providing the company with significant financial strength, a robust cushion, and considerable flexibility for future strategic investments.
The upcoming earnings report on January 13, 2026, will be a crucial event. It will show whether JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s various businesses can continue to grow into and justify this substantial valuation. Additionally, the ex-dividend date of October 6, 2025, reminds us that JPM consistently rewards its shareholders, even as it continues to invest heavily for long-term growth. Essentially, when you invest in JPM, you’re paying for quality and stability, and quality rarely comes cheap.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | $819.48 B |
| Enterprise Value | $556.53 B |
| EV/Revenue (TTM) | 3.40x |
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-01-13 |
| Ex-Dividend Date | 2025-10-06 |
JPM Share Statistics and Ownership Landscape
Let’s examine the ownership structure and share statistics for JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM). The company has approximately 3 billion shares outstanding, and nearly all of these are publicly available as float. This means a significant portion of the shares isn’t locked up, allowing investors to typically trade the stock without causing dramatic price shifts due to limited supply.
However, it’s always wise for investors to be aware that the company could potentially issue more shares in the future. Such an action could dilute the value of existing stock. Interestingly, executives and major shareholders own a very small percentage of the company, just 0.47%. This might suggest they don’t have a substantial amount of “skin in the game” if the company were to face difficulties.
On the other hand, the level of institutional ownership is quite significant, standing at 74.17%. This strong institutional backing provides a degree of stability and confidence in the stock, as large funds and institutions often conduct extensive due diligence before making such substantial investments.
Now, let’s consider the impact of short interest on the market. With 25 million shares currently shorted, representing 0.92% of the float, bearish sentiment towards JPM is quite low. This suggests that most investors aren’t expressing significant concerns about the company’s future. It’s always smart to watch for changes in short interest; a sharp increase could indicate growing doubt among investors, while very low short interest during positive news can sometimes prevent a “short squeeze” scenario.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 3 B |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 3 B |
| Shares Float | 3 B |
| Insider Ownership | 0.47% |
| Institutional Ownership | 74.17% |
| Shares Short | 25 M |
| Short Ratio (Days To Cover) | 3.00x |
| Short % of Float | 0.92% |
| Shares Short (Prior Month) | 27 M |
| Short Date | 2025-10-31 |
Valuation Metrics for JPM Stock
Understanding JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)‘s valuation metrics gives us a clearer picture of how the market perceives its intrinsic worth. The company’s Trailing P/E (Price-to-Earnings) ratio stands at 14.77x, while its Forward P/E is 17.80x. These figures suggest that JPM is reasonably valued, reflecting a stable outlook for its earnings.
Meanwhile, JPM’s Price/Sales ratio of 4.90x and Price/Book ratio of 2.38x indicate that the company is trading at multiples that warrant attention. These specific metrics offer valuable insights into its current market positioning relative to its sales and book value.
From an enterprise value perspective, the EV/Revenue ratio of 3.40x further supports a reasonable revenue-based valuation. Collectively, these valuation metrics provide a comprehensive snapshot of where JPMorgan Chase & Co. stands in the market today, helping investors gauge its potential value.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Trailing P/E | 14.77x |
| Forward P/E | 17.80x |
| Price/Sales (TTM) | $4.90 |
| Price/Book (MRQ) | $2.38 |
| EV/Revenue (TTM) | 3.40x |
JPM Financial Health: Strengths and Challenges
When we examine JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)‘s financial data, it’s clear that the company exhibits both significant strengths and areas that warrant investor attention. Its Return on Equity (ROE) of 16.44% and Return on Assets (ROA) of 1.32% are strong indicators. These figures reflect a highly efficient use of capital, a characteristic often observed in well-managed and growing firms.
However, a notable concern arises from the negative operating cash flow of -$119.75 billion (TTM). This indicates that, over the last twelve months, the company’s core business operations have used more cash than they have generated. While not uncommon for certain financial institutions due to balance sheet movements, it’s a metric that certainly requires close monitoring by investors.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Return on Equity (ROE TTM) | 16.44% |
| Return on Assets (ROA TTM) | 1.32% |
| Total Cash (MRQ) | 1.41 T |
| Total Debt (MRQ) | 1.15 T |
| Operating Cash Flow (TTM) | -119.75 B |
Financial Efficiency of JPMorgan Chase & Co.
Let’s take a closer look at JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)‘s financial efficiency, which reveals how effectively the company manages its assets and capital to generate revenue. The Asset Turnover ratio of 0.04x suggests that JPM generates approximately $0.04 in revenue for every dollar of assets it holds. This indicates a lower efficiency in asset utilization compared to some other industries, and it’s an area that might benefit from improvement.
Additionally, the Receivables Turnover of 1.65x, alongside 221.2 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO), points to potentially slower collections. This suggests that it takes JPMorgan Chase & Co. a longer time to collect payments from its customers, which could impact its working capital efficiency and cash flow cycle.
On a more positive note, JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) stands at 7.27%. This metric reflects a moderate level of capital efficiency, showing how effectively the company generates returns from the capital it has invested in its operations. Overall, while JPM demonstrates solid ROIC, there may be opportunities for higher asset utilization to further boost its profitability. Investors should certainly compare these figures with those of its industry peers to fully assess its competitive positioning.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Asset Turnover (TTM) | 0.04x |
| Receivables Turnover (TTM) | 1.65x |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 221.2 |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC TTM) | 7.27% |
JPM Profitability and Growth: A Deep Dive
An analysis of JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)‘s margin performance reveals a company with solid control over its costs and pricing strategies. The operating margin of 43.71% indicates that JPM is highly effective at generating profit from its core operations before accounting for interest and taxes.
Considering all factors, JPM manages to retain around 34.70% in net profit for every dollar of revenue it generates over the last twelve months. This is a strong indicator of its overall profitability. What’s more, the business’s revenue is increasing at a healthy rate of 8.80% year-over-year. Investors should keep an eye on whether this growth pace can be sustained without eroding those impressive profit margins.
JPM’s gross profit of $167.23 billion highlights its raw earning power before operating expenses. This translates into a substantial net income of $56.66 billion, which reveals how effectively the company converts that earning power into bottom-line results. The company appears to be successfully balancing its pursuit of growth with the crucial need to maintain strong profitability.
Moving forward, maintaining or even improving these margins will be critical for JPM. The company will need to actively defend its pricing power and continue to control its operating costs. This strategy is essential for sustaining profitability, especially if its robust revenue growth were to moderate in the future.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Profit Margin (TTM) | 34.70% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | 43.71% |
| Revenue (TTM) | 167.23 B |
| Quarterly Revenue Growth (YoY) | 8.80% |
| Gross Profit (TTM) | 167.23 B |
| Net Income (TTM) | 56.66 B |
| Earnings Growth (YoY) | 16.00% |
Dividends and Shareholder Returns for JPM
Dividend Summary & Investor Implications
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) currently offers an annual dividend of $6.00 per share. At its current price, this translates to a dividend yield of 2.01%, meaning that for every $100 invested, shareholders would receive $2.01 in dividends annually. It’s worth noting that this yield is below its 5-year average of 2.47%. This could suggest a couple of things: either the stock price has appreciated significantly, naturally lowering the yield, or dividend growth hasn’t kept pace with historical trends.
Key Observations & Analysis:
- The payout ratio of 27.49% is quite low and conservative. This indicates that the company uses only about 27% of its earnings to fund its dividends, leaving substantial room for future increases or for reinvestment back into the business for growth.
- The very low trailing dividend yield of 0.02% (based on a trailing rate of $5.55) might hint at a recent dividend initiation or perhaps a special, non-recurring payout in the past. Investors should certainly perform further checks to understand the consistency of this particular metric.
- For those looking to receive the next dividend, it’s crucial to own the stock before the upcoming ex-dividend date of October 6, 2025.
- The last stock split (a 3:2 split in 2000) is quite old. It’s likely irrelevant to the current valuation and investment thesis for JPM.
Investor Takeaway:
- For Income Investors: The modest yield and low payout ratio suggest that JPM’s dividends are quite safe, but they might not be the primary reason to invest if you’re solely seeking high income. The focus here might be more on potential future dividend growth.
- For Growth Investors: The low payout ratio is a strong positive signal. It indicates that a significant majority of earnings are being reinvested into the company, which could fuel future price appreciation and business expansion.
Watch For:
- Keep an eye out for any announcements regarding dividend hikes. Such increases could potentially bring the yield closer to its historical average and make the stock more attractive to income-focused investors.
- Also, significant changes in the stock price itself will naturally alter the dividend yield, so monitor price movements closely.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Rate | $6.00 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.01% |
| Payout Ratio | 27.49% |
| 5 Year Average Dividend Yield | 2.47% |
| Trailing Dividend Rate | $5.55 |
| Trailing Dividend Yield | 0.02% |
| Ex-Dividend Date | 2025-10-06 |
| Last Split Date | 2000-06-12 |
| Last Split Factor | 3:2 |
Technical Analysis for JPM Stock: Is a Pullback Ahead?
CURRENT PRICE: $298.02 | TREND: BULLISH BUT SHOWS SIGNS OF SLOWING
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) stock has experienced some downward pressure recently, losing about -4.91% in the last 15 days. For many investors, the big question now is whether this presents a buying opportunity or signals the start of further declines. Let’s dig into the technical indicators to gain a clearer perspective on JPM’s near-term trajectory.
Trend Strength – Still Bullish for JPM
Despite the recent dip, JPM is still trading above its key moving averages, which is a reassuring sign that the overall uptrend remains intact. Specifically, the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $308.51 is currently acting as immediate dynamic support. As long as JPM holds above this level, the bullish momentum could very well continue.
What This Means for JPM Traders?
For traders, the 20-day SMA ($308.51) is a critical line in the sand. If JPM can maintain its position above this level, the bullish trend is likely to persist. However, it’s important to remember that a rapid rise can often push a stock far from its averages, which naturally increases the risk of a swift pullback. Patience and careful observation are key here.
Momentum Check – Potential Bounce Ahead for JPM?
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for JPM is currently at 29.2, which indicates oversold conditions. This often suggests that the stock might be due for a bounce back. At the same time, the MACD histogram is negative, which could be a sign that the upward momentum is starting to fade. This creates an interesting dynamic for momentum traders.
JPM Trading Strategy:
Given the oversold RSI, aggressive traders might interpret this as a potential short-term buy signal, looking for a quick rebound. More conservative traders, however, would likely wait for the RSI to cross back above 30 to get a stronger confirmation of a bullish reversal. Always consider your own risk tolerance before making a move.
Bollinger Bands – Testing Key Levels for JPM
JPM’s stock is currently testing support near the lower Bollinger Band at $295.02. A successful bounce from this level would be a bullish indicator, suggesting resilience. Conversely, a clear break below this point could signal a bearish shift and potential further declines. These bands offer a visual guide to volatility and potential price extremes.
Key Levels to Watch for JPM Stock:
- Resistance: The recent high of $322.25 is a significant resistance level. A confirmed breakout above this price, especially with strong volume, could propel JPM even higher.
- Support: The 20-day SMA ($308.51) is the immediate support. If this level breaks, expect a test of the lower Bollinger Band at $295.02.
- Critical Support: A sustained drop below $295.02 could trigger a deeper correction, potentially heading towards the 200-day SMA ($289.73), which is a key long-term support level.
Volume Trends – Checking for Conviction in JPM
Currently, trading volume for JPM is hovering near its recent average. This provides a neutral confirmation of the current price action. In other words, there isn’t an overwhelming surge or drop in trading activity that would strongly affirm either a bullish or bearish move, suggesting the market is in a period of consolidation.
Support & Resistance – The JPM Trading Plan
- ✅ If JPM holds above $308.51: The bullish trend is likely to continue, with the next target being the recent high of $322.25.
- ⚠️ If JPM breaks below $308.51: Expect a potential dip towards $295.02, which is the lower Bollinger Band.
- 🛑 A drop below $295.02: This could trigger a deeper correction, potentially testing the significant 200-day SMA at $289.73.
Final Verdict – Should You Buy, Hold, or Sell JPM?
- Short-Term Traders: The trend is positive, but recent signals suggest the rally might be losing a bit of steam. A neutral stance might be the most prudent until a clearer signal emerges from the MACD or volume confirms a decisive move.
- Long-Term Investors: The long-term uptrend for JPM remains valid as long as the price stays above the crucial 200-day SMA ($289.73). A pullback to the area around the 50-day SMA ($305.36) could present a safer and more attractive buying opportunity for new entries.
- New Buyers: It’s generally wise to avoid chasing the rally at current levels. Instead, wait for a confirmed breakout above $322.25 with strong volume, or a more favorable pullback to the $308.51 area. These points offer a better risk/reward entry.
Bottom Line for JPM:
The technical indicators for JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) suggest that the current rally might be experiencing some short-term exhaustion. While the overarching long-term trend remains bullish, a correction seems plausible before the next significant upward move. Trade carefully, monitor key levels, and wait for clear confirmation before making your next move on JPM stock.
(Note: Visual charts for Bollinger Bands, RSI, MACD, and Historical Price & Volume would typically be displayed here to complement this analysis.)
JPM Historical Performance: Recent Trading Data
Let’s look at the recent historical performance of JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) stock. Over the last 15 trading days, specifically from November 07, 2025, to November 21, 2025, JPM’s stock posted a return of -5.15%. This indicates a short-term bearish movement within this period.
During this timeframe, the stock traded within a range of $292.81 (low) and $322.25 (high). The average daily trading volume for JPM was approximately 8,298,507 shares, showing consistent market activity. This recent data provides crucial context for understanding current price action and investor sentiment.
Recent Trading Data for JPM
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 | $301.29 | $301.68 | $292.81 | $298.02 | 11,744,300 |
| 2025-11-20 | $306.34 | $309.92 | $298.16 | $298.38 | 7,501,600 |
| 2025-11-19 | $299.74 | $304.45 | $299.27 | $303.27 | 5,546,600 |
| 2025-11-18 | $299.50 | $302.95 | $297.02 | $299.41 | 8,077,300 |
| 2025-11-17 | $304.00 | $305.59 | $297.67 | $300.37 | 8,344,000 |
| 2025-11-16 | $307.51 | $307.64 | $301.23 | $303.61 | 10,327,000 |
| 2025-11-15 | $307.51 | $307.64 | $301.23 | $303.61 | 10,327,000 |
| 2025-11-14 | $307.51 | $307.64 | $301.23 | $303.61 | 10,327,000 |
| 2025-11-13 | $319.23 | $320.63 | $309.10 | $309.48 | 8,973,300 |
| 2025-11-12 | $316.26 | $322.25 | $316.21 | $320.41 | 10,578,300 |
| 2025-11-11 | $317.50 | $319.05 | $315.28 | $315.62 | 5,030,200 |
| 2025-11-10 | $315.00 | $319.56 | $314.21 | $316.89 | 5,794,100 |
| 2025-11-09 | $311.89 | $314.43 | $307.64 | $314.21 | 7,302,300 |
| 2025-11-08 | $311.89 | $314.43 | $307.64 | $314.21 | 7,302,300 |
| 2025-11-07 | $311.89 | $314.43 | $307.64 | $314.21 | 7,302,300 |
JPM Stock Price Statistics and Volatility
When we analyze the price range of JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) over the past year, we see a high of $322.25 and a low of $202.16. This wide gap signifies that the stock has experienced considerable fluctuations, likely driven by broader market sentiment or specific company news. Understanding this range helps to contextualize the current price.
Currently, the 50-day moving average for JPM stands at $307.62, while the 200-day moving average is at $277.82. The fact that the 50-day MA is above the 200-day MA forms what’s often called a ‘golden cross’. This technical pattern is generally seen as a bullish signal, indicating positive long-term momentum for the stock.
JPM’s beta of 1.08x suggests that its stock price movements are largely in line with the broader market. This means it tends to move in the same direction and with a similar magnitude as the overall market. Combined with a relatively low 30-day annualized volatility of 17.2%, it’s clear that while the stock experiences frequent price swings, they are not typically extreme compared to higher-beta or higher-volatility stocks.
For investors, these indicators are important for deciding on position sizing and entry timing, especially if you’re building a portfolio that aims to balance stability with growth exposure. JPM offers a moderate risk profile in this regard.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week High | $322.25 |
| 52 Week Low | $202.16 |
| 50 Day MA | $307.62 |
| 200 Day MA | $277.82 |
| Beta | 1.08x |
| Volatility (30d Ann.) | 17.2% |
JPM Quarterly Earnings Performance
Let’s take a look at JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)‘s recent quarterly performance, which offers crucial insights into the company’s operational health and growth trajectory. In its latest reported quarter (2025-Q3), JPM announced robust revenue of $46.43 billion and a net income of $14.39 billion.
Comparing these figures, the quarter-over-quarter revenue change was a positive +3.4%, demonstrating consistent growth. Even more impressively, the year-over-year revenue growth stands at a healthy +8.8%, indicating a strong upward trend in the company’s top line performance.
Recent Quarterly Results (Last 4 Quarters for JPM)
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-Q3 | 46.43 B | 14.39 B | 5.07x |
| 2025-Q2 | 44.88 B | 14.99 B | 5.24x |
| 2025-Q1 | 45.33 B | 14.64 B | 5.07x |
| 2024-Q4 | 42.79 B | 14.01 B | 4.81x |
JPM Growth Metrics
These growth metrics provide a concise view of how JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) is expanding its top and bottom lines.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| QoQ Revenue Growth | +3.4% |
| QoQ Net Income Growth | -4.0% |
| YoY Revenue Growth | +8.8% |
Upcoming Earnings for JPM
Investors in JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) should mark their calendars for these key dates regarding the company’s next earnings report.
| Event | Date/Time |
|---|---|
| Next Report | January 13, 2026 |
| Earnings Call | January 13, 2026 at 07:00 PM ET |
JPM Short Selling Information
Understanding the short selling activity in a stock like JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) can offer valuable insights into market sentiment. Currently, there’s approximately 25 million shares worth of short interest in JPM. The short ratio, also known as “days to cover,” stands at 3.0x. This metric means that, based on the stock’s recent average trading volume, it would take around three days for all existing short positions to be covered. This moderate level suggests a balance between bearish bets and the market’s capacity to absorb them without causing extreme price volatility.
With only 0.92% of the public float sold short, a very low percentage of available shares are being bet against. This indicates a general lack of significant bearish sentiment among investors, which can be a positive sign for the stock. Interestingly, this level has recently decreased from 27 million shares shorted in the prior month, suggesting a further shift away from bearish positions.
Because the amount of investors shorting JPM is generally low, the market often tends to feel more confident in the stock’s stability. This also reduces the risks of dramatic price swings that can occur from sudden short-covering activities, which is good news for long-term investors.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Shares Short | 25 M |
| Short Ratio (Days To Cover) | 3.00x |
| Short % of Float | 0.92% |
| Shares Short (Prior Month) | 27 M |
| Short Date | 2025-10-31 |
JPM Risk Analysis: Understanding Potential Downside
When considering an investment in JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM), it’s crucial to assess its risk profile. The stock exhibits moderate volatility, with an annualized volatility of 22.9%. This indicates that while JPM is not typically considered a highly speculative stock, investors should be prepared for noticeable price fluctuations.
The Sharpe ratio for JPM is 0.57x, which suggests mixed risk-adjusted returns. A higher Sharpe ratio generally indicates better returns for the amount of risk taken, so 0.57x points to moderate efficiency in risk management. Furthermore, the maximum drawdown of -43.63% is a significant figure, highlighting that the stock has experienced substantial downside risk during adverse market conditions in the past. This is a reminder of its potential vulnerability during broader economic downturns.
For a more quantitative perspective, the Value at Risk (VaR) at a 5% confidence level indicates a potential loss of -1.99% in the worst 5% of scenarios. This helps investors understand the potential daily loss under normal market conditions. Additionally, the Sortino ratio of 0.77x specifically focuses on downside risk, providing further insight into how well JPM’s returns compensate for its negative volatility.
Investors should carefully weigh these risk metrics against their personal risk tolerance and overall investment objectives. Understanding these factors is key to making a well-informed decision about JPM.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Volatility (Annualized) | 22.9% |
| Value at Risk (5%) | -1.99% |
| Value at Risk (1%) | -4.17% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.57x |
| Sortino Ratio | 0.77x |
| Maximum Drawdown | -43.63% |
| Skewness | 0.47x |
| Kurtosis | 21.47x |
JPM Sentiment Analysis: What the Market is Thinking
A look into the current market sentiment for JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) reveals a cautiously positive outlook. The stock holds a composite sentiment score of 0.26x, with a confidence level of 42.2%. This generally positive sentiment is gathered from a variety of data sources, including recent news coverage, analyst recommendations, and activity within the options market.
Breaking down these sentiment components offers a more nuanced view. News analysis currently shows a Neutral sentiment (0.08x), suggesting that recent headlines haven’t been overwhelmingly positive or negative. However, the analyst consensus is quite Positive (0.40x), indicating that professional analysts generally hold a favorable view of JPM’s prospects. Options market sentiment also reflects a Neutral stance (0.08x), suggesting no strong directional bets from options traders.
It’s important for investors to consider these sentiment indicators alongside a thorough fundamental and technical analysis for a truly comprehensive investment perspective on JPM.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Composite Sentiment Score | 0.26x |
| Sentiment Classification | Positive |
| Sentiment Confidence | 42.2% |
| News Sentiment | Neutral (0.08x) |
| Analyst Sentiment | Positive (0.40x) |
| Options Sentiment | Neutral (0.08x) |
| Put/Call Ratio | 0.46x |
JPM Peer Comparison: How JPMorgan Stacks Up
Let’s see how JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) compares to some of its major peers in the Banks – Diversified industry, such as Bank of America Corp. (BAC), Wells Fargo & Company (WFC), and Citigroup Inc. (C). This comparison helps us put JPM’s performance and valuation into perspective.
JPM clearly dominates in terms of market capitalization, boasting an $819.48 billion valuation. This significantly outpaces BAC ($381.90 billion), WFC ($266.24 billion), and C ($181.70 billion). This sheer size gives JPM a commanding presence in the financial sector.
From a valuation standpoint, JPM’s P/E ratio of 14.77x is quite conservative, suggesting a value-oriented pricing. Its peers like BAC (P/E 14.09x), WFC (P/E 13.69x), and C (P/E 13.86x) trade at slightly lower multiples, which might reflect more mature or slower-growth business outlooks. In terms of revenue growth, JPM shows a modest 8.80% expansion, while BAC leads with 12.60% and C with 11.60%.
JPM’s robust net margin of 34.70% demonstrates strong profitability, outperforming BAC (29.22%), WFC (26.63%), and C (19.49%). This indicates JPM’s superior ability to convert revenue into actual profit. Furthermore, JPM’s solid 16.44% Return on Equity (ROE) showcases its excellent capital efficiency, performing better than BAC (9.87%), WFC (11.52%), and C (7.00%).
Finally, JPM offers a 2.01% dividend yield, providing income to shareholders. This is competitive with BAC (2.17%) and WFC (2.17%), though slightly lower than C (2.43%). Overall, JPM stands out for its market dominance, strong profitability, and capital efficiency within its peer group.
| Metric | JPM | BAC | WFC | C |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $819.48B | $381.90B | $266.24B | $181.70B |
| P/E Ratio | 14.77 | 14.09 | 13.69 | 13.86 |
| Revenue Growth | 8.80% | 12.60% | 7.50% | 11.60% |
| Net Margin | 34.70% | 29.22% | 26.63% | 19.49% |
| EPS | 20.18 | 3.66 | 6.07 | 7.12 |
| ROE | 16.44% | 9.87% | 11.52% | 7.00% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.01% | 2.17% | 2.17% | 2.43% |
| 52-Week Range | 200.22 – 322.25 | 32.69 – 54.69 | 57.46 – 88.64 | 54.39 – 104.96 |
JPM Insider Transactions (Last 3 Months)
The insider transaction data for JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) over the last three months presents a mixed picture, with a total of 6 buys and 9 sells. This suggests a somewhat balanced, though slightly more bearish, sentiment among insiders. It’s important to note that price data was available for only 53% of these transactions, with estimates used where necessary.
Focusing on discretionary open-market activity, we observed 2 market sales compared to 0 market purchases. This pattern indicates that insiders have been actively reducing their positions through direct market transactions. Additionally, there were 4 option exercises, which could be interpreted in a couple of ways: either insiders are confident in future price appreciation and exercising options to convert them into shares, or it’s part of routine portfolio management.
Looking at the transaction prices, there’s some consistency. Sales averaged around $301.98, while purchases averaged $315.43. This suggests that insiders are transacting at levels close to the current market price. The recent market transactions lean towards selling, with insiders continuing to slightly reduce their holdings in the near term. This mixed activity pattern is quite typical for established companies like JPM, where insiders balance personal financial planning with maintaining confidence in the company’s fundamental strength.
| Insider Name | Type | Shares Changed | Price | Shares After | Transaction Date | Filing Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leopold Robin | SELL (Sale) | -966 | $311.92 | 58,479 | 2025-11-07 | 2025-11-07 |
| Korablina Elena A | SELL (Tax Payment) | -486 | $299.02 | 13,072 | 2025-10-25 | 2025-10-27 |
| Korablina Elena A | SELL (Tax Payment) | -477 | $299.02 | 13,558 | 2025-10-25 | 2025-10-27 |
| Rometty Virginia M | BUY (Award) | +111 | $315.43 | 13,549 | 2025-09-30 | 2025-10-01 |
| NOVAKOVIC PHEBE N | BUY (Award) | +119 | $315.43 | 12,120 | 2025-09-30 | 2025-10-01 |
| BURKE STEPHEN B | BUY (Award) | +178 | $315.43 | 184,881 | 2025-09-30 | 2025-10-01 |
| HOBSON MELLODY L | BUY (Award) | +135 | $315.43 | 28,284 | 2025-09-30 | 2025-10-01 |
| BAMMANN LINDA | SELL (Sale) | -9,500 | $297.94 | 82,207 | 2025-09-02 | 2025-09-02 |
Risk Factors for JPM Investors
Investing in JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM), like any stock, comes with its own set of potential risks. While JPM is a well-established company, of factors that could impact its performance. This section highlights some key risk factors identified through our data analysis and general market considerations, though it is not an exhaustive list.
- The current stock price of $298.02 is trading below its 50-Day Simple Moving Average ($305.36). This technical signal could indicate short-term weakness and potential for further downward pressure in the near future.
- JPM, as a major player in the Financial Services sector, is inherently exposed to general market fluctuations and broader economic conditions. Downturns, changes in interest rates, or regulatory shifts can significantly impact the banking industry and, consequently, JPM’s stock performance.
JPM Analyst Insights and Consensus
This section summarizes the collective view of professional analysts who actively cover JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM). The overwhelming consensus recommendation for JPM is currently ‘Buy’. This strong positive sentiment is derived from the opinions of 23 analysts who contributed to this consensus view.
The mean price target set by these analysts is $328.09. Individual price targets range from a low of $250.00 to a high of $370.00. Based on the mean target of $328.09, this implies a potential upside of approximately +10.1% from the current price of $298.02. This consensus provides a valuable gauge of Wall Street’s sentiment regarding the stock’s potential performance over the next year.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Recommendation | Buy |
| Mean Target Price | $328.09 |
| High Target Price | $370.00 |
| Low Target Price | $250.00 |
| Number of Analyst Opinions | 23 |
Recent News and Developments for JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)
Staying updated on the latest news is crucial for any investor. Here are some recent news items concerning JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM), providing context to its market activities and broader financial landscape:
- How Blue Owl found itself at the middle of Wall Street’s latest private credit fears – Publisher: Yahoo Finance (Published: 2025-11-20T16:42:50Z)
- Top Research Reports for JPMorgan Chase, Netflix & AbbVie – Publisher: Zacks (Published: 2025-11-21T21:20:00Z)
- Jamie Dimon Threw King Charles a Birthday Party – Publisher: The Wall Street Journal (Published: 2025-11-21T19:11:00Z)
- Citi’s Corporate Reorganization Elevates Its Wealth Management Division – Publisher: Barrons.com (Published: 2025-11-21T18:06:00Z)
- Advanced Energy and Boise Cascade have been highlighted as Zacks Bull and Bear of the Day – Publisher: Zacks (Published: 2025-11-21T13:23:00Z)
Conclusion and Outlook for JPM Stock
Wrapping up our comprehensive analysis of JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM), let’s consolidate the key takeaways for both short-term traders and long-term investors. We’ve seen a nuanced picture with strong underlying fundamentals and a mixed technical outlook.
Short-Term Technical Snapshot for JPM:
- Overall Technical Sentiment: Strong Bullish
- Price Trend vs. Moving Averages: Mixed (currently below the 50-day SMA but holding above the 200-day SMA)
- Momentum (RSI): Oversold at 29.2, potentially signaling a near-term bounce.
- Support / Resistance (30d): Key support around ~$292.51, with resistance at ~$322.25.
Longer-Term Fundamental & Forecast Outlook for JPM:
- 1-Year Average Forecast: Model suggests a substantial +32.4% average change, targeting approximately $394.68.
- Fundamental Health: Assessment indicates moderate health, with a strong ROE of 16.44%.
- Valuation Snapshot: Appears moderate, with a Forward P/E of 17.80x.
- Recent Growth (YoY): Positive, with revenue up 8.80% and earnings up 16.00%.
- Analyst Consensus: A strong ‘Buy’ recommendation with a mean target of $328.09.
Overall Assessment & Outlook for JPM:
In summary, JPM presents a technical picture that leans towards Strong Bullish, despite some short-term softness indicated by moving averages and an oversold RSI. Fundamentally, the company demonstrates moderate health, bolstered by solid growth in revenue and earnings, and impressive profitability metrics. From a valuation standpoint, it appears moderately priced based on its Forward P/E of 17.80x.
The 1-year forecast model is quite optimistic, suggesting a potential upside of +32.4% towards ~$394.68. Decision-making should always factor in these elements in conjunction with your personal risk tolerance and investment timeline. JPMorgan Chase & Co. remains a significant player with compelling aspects for consideration.
Frequently Asked Questions About JPM Stock
What is the JPM stock price prediction for the next year (2025-2026)?
Based on current models, the average 1-year price forecast for JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) is approximately $394.68. This represents a potential +32.4% change from the recent price of $298.02. Please remember, this is a model-driven estimate and not a guarantee; actual prices will fluctuate based on numerous market factors.
Will JPM stock go up or down?
The 1-year forecast model suggests that JPM’s price might show strong gains on average (+32.4% potential). However, the short-term direction is highly uncertain and heavily influenced by prevailing market sentiment (currently ‘Strong Bullish’), breaking news, and overall economic conditions. Technical indicators, such as the RSI being oversold, provide clues for near-term direction, hinting at a potential bounce.
Is JPM stock a good investment right now?
Determining if JPM is a ‘good buy’ requires evaluating multiple factors. Technical sentiment is ‘Strong Bullish’, and the 1-year forecast suggests a +32.4% potential upside. Technically, the RSI indicates oversold conditions (RSI: 29.2), which could signal a rebound opportunity. Consider its strong valuation metrics, robust financial health, and positive growth prospects.
However, be aware of identified risk factors, such as the price trading below its 50-day SMA and general market sensitivity. Align these factors with your personal investment strategy and risk tolerance.
How volatile is JPM stock?
Based on the recent 30-day price action, JPM’s annualized volatility is approximately 17.2%. This level is currently considered moderate, indicating the typical degree of recent price fluctuation. This aligns with its Beta of 1.08x, suggesting its movements are generally in line with the broader market. Higher volatility means larger potential price swings, both up and down.
What is JPM’s P/E ratio and what does it mean?
JPM’s Trailing P/E ratio (based on past earnings) is 14.77x, which is considered relatively low and might suggest potential value or stable growth expectations. The Forward P/E (based on expected earnings) is 17.80x. A P/E ratio indicates how much investors are willing to pay per dollar of earnings. It’s best to compare this ratio to industry peers and historical levels for a complete understanding. A low P/E isn’t necessarily bad if strong growth justifies it, and vice versa.
What are the key upcoming events for JPM?
A key upcoming event for income investors is the ex-dividend date on October 6, 2025. Beyond this, analysts and investors should closely monitor upcoming earnings reports (next on January 13, 2026), broader macroeconomic shifts, competitive actions within the financial services sector, and any major corporate announcements from JPMorgan Chase & Co.