Hey there, fellow investors! If you’re looking at your portfolio and wondering about the potential of GigaCloud Technology Inc. (GCT), you’ve come to the right place. This isn’t just another dry report; we’re going to dive deep into what’s happening with GCT right now, helping you understand if this Software – Infrastructure player is poised for growth or if there are hurdles ahead.
As of late November 2025, GCT’s stock is trading at $36.78, showing some interesting positive momentum. It’s actually holding strong above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which is often a good sign for bulls. However, the market always has a story with more layers, doesn’t it?
Analysts are eyeing a 1-year price target of $37.25, suggesting a modest potential upside of +1.3%, though some models project a much more aggressive +108.7% to $76.76. But here’s the kicker: this stock comes with significant volatility, annualized at 103.8%. That means you should expect some wide price swings, which can be exciting or nerve-wracking, depending on your style!
On the fundamental side, GigaCloud Technology Inc. has some solid revenue growth, up 9.70% year-over-year. That’s certainly encouraging! But like many companies in its sector, it’s facing intense competition and carries a notable debt load of $462.00 million. In today’s interest rate environment, that’s definitely something to keep an eye on.
So, is GCT a wise addition to your investment strategy right now? We’re going to break down its technicals, fundamentals, forecasts, and risks to give you a clear, actionable picture. Let’s get into the details and see what the data truly reveals!
GCT Stock: Key Metrics and Forecast Summary for Smart Investors
Let’s kick things off with a quick glance at GigaCloud Technology Inc.’s (GCT) most crucial metrics and what the immediate forecasts are telling us. This summary will give you a snapshot of where the stock stands today and what the models are hinting at for the near future.
| Metric Category | Metric | Value | Insight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Price | Live Market Price | $36.78 | As of November 2025 |
| Price Targets & Forecasts | 1-Month Forecast | $34.88 | 📉 -5.2% (Potential Dip) |
| 1-Year Forecast | $76.76 | 📈 +108.7% (Strong Upside Potential) | |
| Analyst Mean Target | $37.25 | 📈 +1.3% (Modest Consensus Upside) | |
| Trend & Momentum | Trend | 🚀 Bullish | Price > SMA 50/200 |
| RSI (14-day) | 58.4 | ⚖️ Neutral (Neither Overbought Nor Oversold) | |
| MACD | 0.18 | 📈 Bullish Short-Term Trend | |
| Key Technical Levels | Above SMA 50 | ✅ $28.92 | Strong Support |
| Above SMA 200 | ✅ $24.53 | Long-Term Bullish Signal | |
| 52-Week Range | $11.17 – $36.80 | 📏 Wide Range, Current Price Near Highs | |
| Volatility | Volatility (30d Ann.) | 103.8% | 🌪️ High Volatility Expected |
| Beta (vs. Market) | 2.34x | 🎢 High Sensitivity to Market Movements | |
| Green Days (30d) | 14/30 (47%) | 🟡 Slightly Less Than Half Green Days | |
| Ownership | Institutional Ownership | 68.73% | 🏛️ Significant Institutional Backing |
| Short % of Float | 10.99% | 😰 Notable Bearish Bets |
Currently, GCT is trading at $36.78. What’s interesting is the technical setup: we’re seeing a bullish pattern because the stock price is clearly above both its 50-day moving average (at $28.92) and its 200-day moving average (at $24.53). This often signals that the stock has been building momentum recently.
However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is sitting comfortably at 58.4, which is a neutral reading—neither overbought nor oversold. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator points to a bullish short-term trend with a value of 0.18. This combination suggests that while the overall trend is up, there might be some minor pullbacks before the next significant move higher.
Looking back over the last year, GCT’s stock has swung between $11.17 and $36.80. This tells us a couple of things: first, it has staged a strong recovery from its lows, and second, the current price is near the higher end of that range. This might imply that rapid, large swings are less likely without major catalysts.
When it comes to future expectations, analysts are somewhat divided but generally positive. The average consensus target for one year is $37.25 (a potential +1.3% gain), while our model-driven 1-year forecast is significantly higher at $76.76, suggesting an impressive +108.7% upside. Furthermore, with 68.73% institutional ownership, a substantial portion of the market appears confident in GCT. However, the 10.99% short interest indicates a noticeable segment of investors are betting on a price decline, which is a factor to monitor.
Detailed Forecast Table: GCT’s Projected Price Evolution
Now, let’s get into the nitty-gritty with a detailed monthly forecast for GigaCloud Technology Inc. (GCT). This table breaks down the model’s expectations for GCT’s price, projecting a range from approximately $34.45 to $99.79 over the next year. It’s designed to give you a clear picture of potential returns and market signals.
You’ll see the projected minimum, average, and maximum prices for each month, along with the potential Return on Investment (ROI) compared to the current price of $36.78. Each period also includes a derived model signal, which can help guide your short-term and long-term investment thinking. What’s interesting is that while the price range expands, the forecast uncertainty appears relatively steady, indicating the model has a consistent view on volatility.
| Month (Period) | Min. Price | Avg. Price | Max. Price | Potential ROI vs Current ($36.78) | Model Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11 | $34.88 | $34.88 | $34.88 | ▼ -5.2% | Consider Short |
| 2025-12 | $34.45 | $37.62 | $42.16 | ▲ 2.3% | Hold/Neutral |
| 2026-01 | $36.62 | $43.69 | $50.86 | ▲ 18.8% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-02 | $45.52 | $52.52 | $61.39 | ▲ 42.8% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-03 | $53.51 | $60.33 | $69.00 | ▲ 64.0% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-04 | $54.81 | $61.96 | $71.53 | ▲ 68.5% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-05 | $55.31 | $66.84 | $83.81 | ▲ 81.7% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-06 | $60.32 | $71.55 | $87.40 | ▲ 94.5% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-07 | $62.37 | $76.22 | $97.64 | ▲ 107.2% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-08 | $67.20 | $82.39 | $99.75 | ▲ 124.0% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-09 | $63.46 | $80.23 | $99.79 | ▲ 118.1% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-10 | $62.00 | $76.76 | $93.71 | ▲ 108.7% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-11 | $63.81 | $76.85 | $93.66 | ▲ 109.0% | Consider Buy |
As you can see, the model suggests a potential short-term dip in November, followed by a steady upward trend through the next year. By November 2026, the average projected price is $76.85, indicating a significant +109.0% potential return. These forecasts, while insightful, are based on models and come with inherent uncertainties. Market conditions can shift rapidly, and new data can always change these projections. Always remember, future prices are never guaranteed!
GigaCloud Technology Inc. (GCT): Company Profile & Business Model
Before we dive deeper into the numbers, let’s understand who GigaCloud Technology Inc. (GCT) is and what they do. This $1.39 billion company operates within the dynamic Software – Infrastructure industry, a sector critical for modern commerce. Understanding their core business provides essential context for our financial analysis.
GigaCloud Technology Inc. specializes in providing comprehensive B2B e-commerce solutions, primarily for large parcel merchandise. Think furniture, home appliances, or fitness equipment – items that require specialized logistics. Their flagship offering is the GigaCloud Marketplace, which seamlessly integrates everything from product discovery and payments to crucial logistics tools, all on one user-friendly platform. For more details on their operations, you can visit the GigaCloud Technology Investor Relations page.
The company plays a vital role in connecting manufacturers, predominantly based in Asia, with resellers across the United States, Asia, and Europe. This cross-border transaction capability is key to their model. Founded in 2006 and headquartered in El Monte, California, GigaCloud Technology Inc. has grown to employ 1,561 individuals, evolving from its earlier identity as Oriental Standard Human Resources Holdings Limited.
GCT Total Valuation: What Are Investors Paying For?
When we look at GigaCloud Technology Inc.’s (GCT) valuation, it tells us a story about how the market perceives its worth and future prospects. While the company holds a $1.39 billion market cap, recognized as a significant player in the Software – Infrastructure industry, its Enterprise Value (EV) is notably higher at $1.48 billion. This difference is largely due to its $90.00 million in debt, which adds to the total value of the business.
Investors seem confident in GCT’s future earnings potential, but that debt load is definitely a factor to keep in mind, especially in a fluctuating interest rate environment. Let’s break down the key valuation ratios:
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | $1.39 B |
| Enterprise Value | $1.48 B |
| EV/Revenue (TTM) | 1.19x |
| EV/EBITDA (TTM) | 10.35x |
With an EV/Revenue (TTM) of 1.19x and an EV/EBITDA (TTM) of 10.35x, GCT trades at multiples that generally reflect its established market position. These ratios suggest that the market is paying for a company with a strong foundation and brand assets. However, this also implies that the stock might have less room for error; you’re essentially paying a fair price for quality, which rarely comes cheap.
GCT Share Statistics: Unpacking Ownership and Market Dynamics
Understanding the share statistics for GigaCloud Technology Inc. (GCT) is crucial for any investor. It reveals who owns the company, how many shares are freely traded, and the level of bearish sentiment in the market. Let’s dive into the numbers:
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 29 M |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 38 M |
| Shares Float | 26 M |
| Insider Ownership | 11.67% |
| Institutional Ownership | 68.73% |
| Shares Short | 3 M |
| Short Ratio (Days To Cover) | 3.90x |
| Short % of Float | 10.99% |
| Shares Short (Prior Month) | 3 M |
| Short Date | 2025-11-14 |
About 10.3% of GCT’s shares are held by insiders or strategic investors, aligning their interests with those of public shareholders. The remaining 26 million shares are available for public trading, which is known as the “float.” It’s always worth noting that companies can issue more shares, potentially diluting the value of existing stock, so keeping an eye on this is smart.
A significant 11.67% stake is owned by executives and major shareholders, which is a positive sign as it suggests strong alignment with long-term company success. Furthermore, the healthy 68.73% institutional ownership provides a degree of stability and confidence in the stock, as large institutional players have often conducted extensive due diligence.
Now, let’s talk about short interest. There are currently 3 million shares shorted, representing 10.99% of the float. This percentage indicates that a notable portion of the market is betting against the stock, signaling perceived risks. Investors should monitor changes in this figure, as a sharp increase could suggest growing doubt among bearish investors, while a low short interest during positive news might limit the potential for a “short squeeze.”
GCT Valuation Metrics: Is the Stock Attractively Priced?
When evaluating GigaCloud Technology Inc. (GCT), a closer look at its valuation metrics helps us understand if the stock is currently trading at an attractive price point relative to its earnings, sales, and book value. These ratios provide crucial insights into market positioning and investor sentiment.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Trailing P/E | 11.11x |
| Forward P/E | 10.48x |
| Price/Sales (TTM) | $1.13 |
| Price/Book (MRQ) | $3.00 |
| EV/Revenue (TTM) | 1.19x |
| EV/EBITDA (TTM) | 10.35x |
GCT’s Trailing P/E ratio stands at 11.11x, with a Forward P/E of 10.48x. This suggests a potentially attractive valuation opportunity, hinting at modest improvement expectations for future earnings. The Price/Sales (TTM) ratio of $1.13 and Price/Book (MRQ) of $3.00 further indicate that the company trades at multiples that warrant attention, offering insight into how the market values its sales and assets.
From an enterprise value perspective, the EV/Revenue ratio of 1.19x suggests a reasonable valuation based on its top-line performance. Moreover, the EV/EBITDA multiple of 10.35x points to a sensible earnings-based valuation. Collectively, these metrics paint a comprehensive picture of GCT’s current standing in the market, suggesting it might be priced fairly with room for growth.
GCT Financial Health: A Deep Dive into Balance Sheet Strength
A company’s financial health is the backbone of its long-term viability, and GigaCloud Technology Inc. (GCT) appears to be in a robust position. Let’s break down the key indicators that highlight its strengths, from efficiency in capital use to its liquidity and cash generation capabilities.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Return on Equity (ROE TTM) | 30.27% |
| Return on Assets (ROA TTM) | 7.53% |
| Debt/Equity (MRQ) | 1.01x |
| Total Cash (MRQ) | $365.86 M |
| Total Debt (MRQ) | $462.00 M |
| Current Ratio (MRQ) | 2.08x |
| Quick Ratio (MRQ) | 1.42x |
| Operating Cash Flow (TTM) | $194.71 M |
| Levered Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $139.44 M |
GCT’s Return on Equity (ROE) of 30.27% and Return on Assets (ROA) of 7.53% are impressive. These figures reflect highly efficient capital utilization, often a hallmark of fast-growing and well-managed companies. It means GCT is doing a great job of turning shareholder money and its total assets into profits.
The company’s Debt/Equity ratio of 1.01x, when viewed alongside its $462.00 million in total debt and $365.86 million in cash, suggests a manageable debt load. GCT appears to be strategically using debt to fuel its operations and growth without overextending itself. What’s more, its ability to generate $194.71 million in operating cash flow (TTM) demonstrates that its core business is a steady cash producer, which is a significant strength.
Looking at liquidity, the Current Ratio of 2.08x and Quick Ratio of 1.42x indicate a solid position. GCT is well-equipped to cover its short-term liabilities, providing a cushion against unexpected financial demands. Moreover, generating $139.44 million in levered free cash flow means the company has substantial cash available for shareholders or reinvestment even after meeting all its financial obligations. All in all, GCT’s financial health looks quite robust.
GCT Financial Efficiency: How Well Does GigaCloud Technology Manage Its Assets?
Financial efficiency is about how effectively a company uses its assets to generate revenue and cash. For GigaCloud Technology Inc. (GCT), these metrics offer critical insights into its operational prowess and areas for potential enhancement.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Asset Turnover (TTM) | 1.14x |
| Inventory Turnover (TTM) | 5.08x |
| Receivables Turnover (TTM) | 21.34x |
| Working Capital Turnover (TTM) | 4.32x |
| Current Ratio (MRQ) | 2.08x |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 17.1 |
| Days Inventory Outstanding | 71.9 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | ~89.0 days (partial) |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC TTM) | 32.04% |
GigaCloud Technology’s Asset Turnover of 1.14x suggests it generates $1.14 in revenue for every dollar of assets. This indicates solid efficiency in utilizing its asset base to drive sales. The Inventory Turnover of 5.08x means GCT sells and replaces its inventory roughly 5.1 times annually, translating to approximately 71.9 Days Inventory Outstanding. This shows a moderate pace of inventory management.
On the other hand, a Receivables Turnover of 21.34x and 17.1 Days Sales Outstanding reflect excellent collections, meaning customers pay their invoices very quickly. The Working Capital Turnover of 4.32x indicates efficient use of short-term assets to support sales, further supported by a robust Current Ratio of 2.08x, signaling excellent liquidity.
The Cash Conversion Cycle, estimated at around 89.0 days (partial), suggests it takes roughly three months for GCT to convert its inventory and receivables into cash. This is a manageable cycle, but it’s an area where further optimization could lead to improved cash flow. Finally, a strong Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 32.04% highlights GigaCloud Technology’s effective generation of returns from its invested capital, showcasing strong overall capital efficiency. While GCT shows strong points, comparing these figures with industry peers would offer an even clearer picture of its competitive standing.
GCT Profitability and Growth: Driving Sustainable Returns
When we examine GigaCloud Technology Inc.’s (GCT) profitability and growth metrics, we get a clear picture of its ability to manage costs, generate earnings, and expand its market presence. These numbers are vital for understanding the company’s operational effectiveness and future potential.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Profit Margin (TTM) | 10.62% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | 12.18% |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 23.12% |
| EBITDA Margin (TTM) | 11.53% |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.22 B |
| Quarterly Revenue Growth (YoY) | 9.70% |
| Gross Profit (TTM) | $282.71 M |
| EBITDA (TTM) | $141.00 M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $129.83 M |
| Earnings Growth (YoY) | 1.00% |
GCT’s margin performance indicates solid control over its costs and pricing strategies. A Gross Margin of 23.12% shows the company is effective at managing production costs, while its Operating Margin of 12.18% reflects healthy profits from its core operations. The EBITDA Margin of 11.53% is also strong, demonstrating GCT’s capability to generate robust cash flow before financing and tax considerations.
Ultimately, GCT retains about $10.62 in net profit for every $100 of revenue over the last twelve months. The business is growing its revenue at an aggressive rate of 9.70% year-over-year. Investors should keep an eye on whether this pace can be sustained without eroding those healthy profit margins.
With $141.00 million in EBITDA and $282.71 million in gross profit, GCT certainly possesses significant earning power. The $129.83 million in net income further reveals how effectively it converts that power into bottom-line results. The company appears to be striking a good balance between pursuing growth and maintaining profitability. However, there’s a noticeable gap between the gross and net margins (23.12% vs. 10.62%), which likely points to significant operating expenses, interest costs, or taxes. These are key areas for investors to monitor.
Going forward, maintaining or improving these margins will be critical. GCT needs to defend its pricing power and continue controlling operating costs, especially if revenue growth starts to moderate. This will be essential for sustaining profitability and shareholder value.
GCT Dividends and Shareholder Returns: What’s the Payout Strategy?
For many investors, dividends are a key component of total returns. So, what’s GigaCloud Technology Inc.’s (GCT) approach to shareholder payouts?
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Payout Ratio | 0.00% |
| Trailing Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
Based on the latest available data, GCT does not currently pay a regular dividend. This isn’t necessarily a negative sign, as it often indicates that the company is prioritizing reinvesting its earnings back into the business. For growth-oriented companies, this strategy can fuel expansion, innovation, and ultimately, higher stock prices, which can be beneficial for shareholders in the long run. Investors focused on income might look elsewhere, but those seeking capital appreciation might find this strategy appealing.
GCT Technical Analysis: Decoding Current Price Action and Future Moves
Alright, let’s switch gears and look at the charts for GigaCloud Technology Inc. (GCT). As of today, the current price is $34.88, and the trend is still looking bullish. The stock has seen a significant run, gaining +37.00% in just 15 days, but some technical indicators suggest we might want to approach this momentum with a bit of caution.
Trend Strength – Still Bullish for GCT
GCT is trading comfortably above its key moving averages, which is a strong confirmation that the uptrend remains intact. Specifically, the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $30.75 is acting as immediate dynamic support. As long as GCT holds above this level, the bullish momentum could certainly continue. However, a rapid ascent like this can sometimes push the stock too far from its averages, increasing the risk of a swift pullback.
Momentum Check – Is the Rally Losing Steam?
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 58.4, placing it in a neutral zone. This means it’s neither signaling overbought nor oversold conditions, indicating balanced momentum for now. At the same time, the MACD histogram is positive, which generally confirms that the upward momentum is still in play. For traders, this neutral RSI reading offers flexibility, but keeping an eye on a decisive MACD crossover or a break of key support/resistance levels will be crucial for the next directional clue.
Bollinger Bands – Navigating Key Levels
GCT is currently trading in the upper half of its Bollinger Bands, specifically between the 20-day SMA and the upper band. This is often interpreted as a sign of underlying strength. However, it also means the stock is getting closer to the upper limits of its typical price channel, which could signal short-term resistance.
Here are the critical levels to watch:
- Resistance: The recent high of $35.81 is a key resistance level. A confirmed breakout above this price, especially with strong volume, could propel GCT higher.
- Support: The immediate support to monitor is the 20-day SMA at $30.75. If this level breaks, we could see a test of the next support at $25.68.
Volume Trends – What’s the Conviction Behind the Moves?
Trading volume for GCT is currently near its recent average. This provides neutral confirmation of the current price action. While not signaling strong buying or selling pressure, it means the recent moves aren’t backed by exceptionally high conviction from either side, which is something to keep in mind.
Support & Resistance – Your Trading Plan
Based on our technical analysis, here’s a concise trading plan:
- ✅ If GCT holds above $30.75: The bullish trend is likely to continue, with the next target being $35.81.
- ⚠️ If it breaks below $30.75: Expect a potential dip towards $25.68.
- 🛑 A drop below $25.68: This could trigger a deeper correction, possibly bringing the stock down to test the 200-day SMA at $24.53.
Final Verdict – Should You Buy, Hold, or Sell GCT?
Short-Term Traders: The trend is positive, but watch for signs of exhaustion. A neutral stance might be best until a clearer signal emerges from the MACD or volume. Chasing the rally here could be risky.
Long-Term Investors: The long-term uptrend remains valid as long as the price holds above the 200-day SMA ($24.53). A pullback to the 50-day SMA ($28.92) area could present a safer, more attractive buying opportunity for a long-term entry.
New Buyers: It’s wise to avoid chasing this current rally. Consider waiting for a confirmed breakout above $35.81 with strong volume, or patiently wait for a pullback to the $30.75 area, which would offer a more favorable risk/reward entry point.
Bottom Line: The technicals suggest that the short-term rally in GCT might be running out of steam. While the long-term trend remains bullish, a healthy correction seems plausible before the next significant upward move. Trade carefully and always wait for clear confirmation at these key levels.
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GCT Historical Performance: Recent Trading Data and Trends
Let’s look at GigaCloud Technology Inc.’s (GCT) recent trading history to understand its immediate past performance. In the period from November 07, 2025, to November 21, 2025, the stock delivered a total return of +5.35%. During this time, the price fluctuated between a high of $35.81 and a low of $27.56. The average daily trading volume during this stretch was approximately 1,328,247 shares, indicating healthy market activity.
Recent Trading Data for GCT
Here’s a breakdown of GCT’s daily trading activity over the last few weeks, giving you a granular view of its price movements and volume:
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 | $31.59 | $35.81 | $31.47 | $34.88 | 1,373,900 |
| 2025-11-20 | $32.32 | $33.48 | $31.53 | $31.64 | 733,500 |
| 2025-11-19 | $31.44 | $32.45 | $31.12 | $31.98 | 582,500 |
| 2025-11-18 | $28.80 | $31.54 | $28.80 | $31.44 | 727,300 |
| 2025-11-17 | $30.01 | $30.69 | $29.46 | $29.90 | 673,100 |
| 2025-11-16 | $30.57 | $30.95 | $29.66 | $30.42 | 536,300 |
| 2025-11-15 | $30.57 | $30.95 | $29.66 | $30.42 | 536,300 |
| 2025-11-14 | $30.57 | $30.95 | $29.66 | $30.42 | 536,300 |
| 2025-11-13 | $31.98 | $33.45 | $30.92 | $31.31 | 848,400 |
| 2025-11-12 | $32.30 | $32.99 | $31.01 | $32.12 | 772,600 |
| 2025-11-11 | $34.00 | $34.00 | $31.04 | $31.92 | 994,500 |
| 2025-11-10 | $33.25 | $34.46 | $32.32 | $33.77 | 1,390,100 |
| 2025-11-09 | $27.79 | $33.28 | $27.56 | $33.11 | 3,406,300 |
| 2025-11-08 | $27.79 | $33.28 | $27.56 | $33.11 | 3,406,300 |
| 2025-11-07 | $27.79 | $33.28 | $27.56 | $33.11 | 3,406,300 |
GCT Stock Price Statistics: Volatility and Market Sensitivity
Beyond daily price movements, understanding GigaCloud Technology Inc.’s (GCT) long-term price statistics provides crucial context for its risk and return profile. These metrics help investors gauge how the stock typically behaves in the market.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week High | $36.80 |
| 52 Week Low | $11.17 |
| 50 Day MA | $29.19 |
| 200 Day MA | $21.91 |
| Beta | 2.34x |
| Volatility (30d Ann.) | 103.8% |
Over the past year, GCT has experienced a wide price range, from a high of $36.80 to a low of $11.17. This significant fluctuation indicates that the stock has been quite reactive to market sentiment or company-specific news. Currently, the 50-day moving average at $29.19 is positioned above the 200-day moving average of $21.91. This “golden cross” pattern is often considered a bullish signal, suggesting positive long-term momentum is building.
The stock’s Beta of 2.34x tells us that GCT tends to move more sharply than the broader market—approximately 134% more volatile. Combined with a high 30-day annualized volatility of 103.8%, it’s clear that GCT experiences frequent and significant price swings. For investors, this translates to both higher potential for gains and increased downside risk. These indicators are particularly important when deciding on position sizing or entry timing, especially if you’re managing a portfolio that aims to balance stability with growth exposure.
GCT Quarterly Earnings Performance: Recent Financial Highlights
Let’s review GigaCloud Technology Inc.’s (GCT) recent quarterly financial performance. These results offer a fresh look at the company’s revenue generation, profitability, and overall operational health. The latest quarter shows revenue of $332.64 million and net income of $37.17 million.
Comparing quarter-over-quarter, revenue saw a +3.1% increase, while year-over-year revenue growth stood at a healthy +9.7%. This indicates a consistent upward trend in the company’s top line.
Recent Quarterly Results (Last 4 Quarters) for GCT
Here’s a snapshot of GCT’s performance over the past four quarters:
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS | Gross Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-Q3 | $332.64 M | $37.17 M | 0.99x | 23.2% |
| 2025-Q2 | $322.61 M | $34.55 M | 0.91x | 23.9% |
| 2025-Q1 | $271.91 M | $27.15 M | 0.68x | 23.4% |
| 2024-Q4 | $295.78 M | $30.96 M | 0.76x | 22.0% |
GCT Growth Metrics
These growth metrics provide further detail on the company’s expansion:
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| QoQ Revenue Growth | +3.1% |
| QoQ Net Income Growth | +7.6% |
| YoY Revenue Growth | +9.7% |
The consistent gross margins across these quarters (ranging from 22.0% to 23.9%) suggest stable cost management relative to sales. The sequential increase in revenue and net income from Q1 to Q3 2025 is a positive sign, indicating healthy operational momentum. While YoY revenue growth is solid at +9.7%, the quarter-over-quarter net income growth of +7.6% also shows efficient profit generation in the short term. These numbers collectively paint a picture of a company with steady growth and good control over its financial performance.
GCT Short Selling Information: Bearish Bets and Market Sentiment
Short selling activity can offer valuable insights into how a segment of the market perceives a stock’s future. For GigaCloud Technology Inc. (GCT), understanding the short interest helps gauge bearish sentiment and potential volatility.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Shares Short | 3 M |
| Short Ratio (Days To Cover) | 3.90x |
| Short % of Float | 10.99% |
| Shares Short (Prior Month) | 3 M |
| Short Date | 2025-11-14 |
Currently, there are 3 million shares of GCT subject to short interest. The short ratio, also known as “days to cover,” stands at 3.90x. This metric indicates that, at the stock’s recent average trading volume, it would take nearly four days for all short positions to be covered. This moderate level suggests a balance between existing bearish bets and the market’s capacity to absorb them without causing extreme volatility.
With 10.99% of the public float sold short, a notable portion of GCT’s freely traded shares are subject to bearish bets. This signals significant conviction from a segment of the market that believes the stock’s price will decline. Interestingly, this level has remained relatively stable compared to the prior month’s 3 million shares short, suggesting that the bearish sentiment hasn’t dramatically shifted recently. Investors should be mindful that significant short interest can lead to volatility spikes, especially if positive news forces short sellers to cover their positions rapidly, potentially leading to a “short squeeze.”
GCT Risk Analysis: Understanding Potential Investment Headwinds
Every investment comes with its share of risks, and GigaCloud Technology Inc. (GCT) is no exception. A thorough risk analysis helps investors understand the potential headwinds and prepare for various market scenarios. Here’s a breakdown of GCT’s risk profile:
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Volatility (Annualized) | 76.8% |
| Value at Risk (5%) | -6.78% |
| Value at Risk (1%) | -11.62% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.54x |
| Sortino Ratio | 0.83x |
| Maximum Drawdown | -74.99% |
| Skewness | 0.95x |
| Kurtosis | 8.49x |
GCT’s risk profile reveals high volatility, with an annualized volatility of 76.8%. This indicates a significant level of investment risk, meaning the stock can experience substantial price swings. The Sharpe ratio of 0.54x suggests mixed risk-adjusted returns, implying that the returns haven’t fully compensated for the level of risk taken.
The maximum drawdown of -74.99% is a critical figure, highlighting the significant downside risk GCT has faced during adverse market conditions. This tells us that if you had bought at the peak and sold at the trough, you could have lost a substantial portion of your investment. Furthermore, the Value at Risk (VaR) at a 5% confidence level shows a potential loss of -6.78% in the worst 5% of scenarios, while at a 1% confidence level, the potential loss increases to -11.62%. These metrics quantify the potential capital at risk.
The Sortino ratio of 0.83x, which specifically focuses on downside risk, provides additional insight into its risk-adjusted performance by penalizing only negative volatility. Meanwhile, the positive Skewness of 0.95x suggests a higher probability of positive returns, while a high Kurtosis of 8.49x indicates a higher likelihood of extreme price movements (both positive and negative). Investors should carefully consider these risk metrics alongside their own risk tolerance and investment objectives before making any decisions about GCT.
GCT Sentiment Analysis: What’s the Market Vibe?
Market sentiment is a powerful force, and understanding the collective mood towards GigaCloud Technology Inc. (GCT) can provide an additional layer of insight. Our current a cautiously positive sentiment for GCT, reflected in its composite sentiment score and confidence level.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Composite Sentiment Score | 0.39x |
| Sentiment Classification | Positive |
| Sentiment Confidence | 50.5% |
| News Sentiment | Positive (0.18x) |
| Analyst Sentiment | Positive (0.40x) |
| Options Sentiment | Positive (0.61x) |
| Put/Call Ratio | 0.19x |
GCT currently holds a composite sentiment score of 0.39x, which is classified as ‘Positive’ with a confidence level of 50.5%. This positive sentiment is derived from a blend of multiple data sources, including recent news coverage, analyst recommendations, and activity in the options market.
Breaking down the components, news analysis shows a Positive score of 0.18x, suggesting that recent headlines have generally been favorable. Analyst consensus also contributes positively with a score of 0.40x, indicating that financial experts view the stock favorably. The options market sentiment is the strongest positive contributor at 0.61x, often reflecting institutional investor positioning and expectations. A low Put/Call Ratio of 0.19x further supports this positive options sentiment, indicating more call buying (bullish bets) than put buying (bearish bets).
These sentiment indicators, while not standalone investment advice, offer valuable context. They should always be considered alongside a thorough fundamental and technical analysis for a truly comprehensive investment perspective on GCT.
GCT Peer Comparison: How Does GigaCloud Technology Stack Up?
Understanding GigaCloud Technology Inc.’s (GCT) performance requires looking beyond its own numbers and comparing it to key industry peers. Here, we’ll stack GCT against some notable companies like Genuine Parts Company (GPC), Pool Corporation (POOL), and LKQ Corporation (LKQ) to see where it stands in terms of size, valuation, profitability, and growth.
| Metric | GCT | GPC | POOL | LKQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $1.39B | $17.93B | $9.10B | $7.65B |
| P/E Ratio | 11.11x | 22.18x | 22.21x | 11.02x |
| Revenue Growth | 9.70% | 4.90% | 1.30% | 1.30% |
| Net Margin | 10.62% | 3.36% | 7.78% | 4.94% |
| EPS | 3.31 | 5.81 | 10.98 | 2.70 |
| ROE | 30.27% | 16.99% | 29.31% | 10.88% |
| Debt-to-Equity | 101 | 133 | 101 | 83.67 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% | 3.20% | 2.05% | 4.03% |
| 52-Week Range | $11.17 – $36.80 | $102.41 – $143.10 | $229.63 – $379.84 | $28.13 – $43.32 |
GCT, with a $1.39 billion market cap, is indeed the smallest among these peers, which include giants like GPC ($17.93B), POOL ($9.10B), and LKQ ($7.65B). This smaller size could imply more room for rapid growth, but also potentially higher volatility.
In terms of valuation, GCT’s P/E ratio of 11.11x is quite conservative, placing it near LKQ (11.02x) and suggesting a value-oriented pricing. This is notably lower than GPC and POOL, which trade at much higher multiples (around 22x), often reflecting more mature or slower-growth businesses with stable earnings. However, GCT’s revenue growth of 9.70% significantly outpaces its peers, which are all around 1.30% to 4.90%, showcasing its aggressive expansion.
GCT’s 10.62% net margin indicates positive, though modest, profitability compared to POOL (7.78%) and much stronger than GPC (3.36%) and LKQ (4.94%). One of GCT’s standout metrics is its exceptional 30.27% Return on Equity (ROE), demonstrating highly efficient use of shareholder equity, surpassing all its listed peers. With a Debt-to-Equity ratio of 101, GCT maintains moderate leverage, similar to POOL, and slightly lower than GPC (133), but higher than LKQ (83.67).
Finally, dividend policies vary significantly. GPC (3.20%), POOL (2.05%), and LKQ (4.03%) all reward shareholders with regular payouts. In contrast, GCT currently has a 0.00% dividend yield, indicating it reinvests all its cash back into the business for growth, a common strategy for younger, expanding companies.
GCT Insider Transactions (Last 3 Months): Following the Smart Money
Insider transactions can often provide a compelling signal about a company’s health and future prospects, as those with the most intimate knowledge are buying or selling shares. Over the last three months, GigaCloud Technology Inc. (GCT) has seen a strong bearish trend among its insiders, with 19 sell transactions versus only 3 buy transactions. What’s particularly telling is that focusing on discretionary open-market activity, there were 19 market sales compared to 0 market purchases, indicating insiders are actively reducing their positions.
This pattern of recent market transactions leans heavily towards selling, with insiders continuing to reduce their exposure in the near term. Such a scale of discretionary market selling activity should certainly give investors pause. When individuals with the best visibility into company operations are reducing their holdings, it warrants a careful evaluation of the near-term risk-reward dynamics for GCT. You can track these filings directly on the SEC Edgar website.
Recent Insider Transactions
Here’s a detailed look at some of the recent insider activities:
| Insider Name | Type | Shares Changed | Price | Shares After | Transaction Date | Filing Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hao Xinyan | SELL (Sale) [S] | -100,000 | $35.18 | 407,486 | 2025-11-21 | 2025-11-25 |
| Hao Xinyan | SELL (Sale) [S] | -29,319 | $31.51 | 507,486 | 2025-11-19 | 2025-11-19 |
| Hao Xinyan | SELL (Sale) [S] | -4,693 | $31.18 | 536,805 | 2025-11-18 | 2025-11-19 |
| Hao Xinyan | SELL (Sale) [S] | -25,307 | $30.54 | 541,498 | 2025-11-18 | 2025-11-19 |
| Hao Xinyan | SELL (Sale) [S] | -30,000 | $30.32 | 566,805 | 2025-11-17 | 2025-11-19 |
| Hao Xinyan | SELL (Sale) [S] | -30,000 | $30.42 | 596,805 | 2025-11-14 | 2025-11-14 |
| Hao Xinyan | SELL (Sale) [S] | -8,568 | $32.85 | 626,805 | 2025-11-13 | 2025-11-14 |
| Hao Xinyan | SELL (Sale) [S] | -21,432 | $31.85 | 635,373 | 2025-11-13 | 2025-11-14 |
| Hao Xinyan | SELL (Sale) [S] | -5,446 | $32.36 | 656,805 | 2025-11-12 | 2025-11-14 |
| Hao Xinyan | SELL (Sale) [S] | -24,554 | $31.28 | 662,251 | 2025-11-12 | 2025-11-14 |
| Hao Xinyan | SELL (Sale) [S] | -4,500 | $33.47 | 686,805 | 2025-11-11 | 2025-11-12 |
| Hao Xinyan | SELL (Sale) [S] | -4,200 | $32.56 | 691,305 | 2025-11-11 | 2025-11-12 |
| Hao Xinyan | SELL (Sale) [S] | -21,300 | $31.39 | 695,505 | 2025-11-11 | 2025-11-12 |
| Hao Xinyan | SELL (Sale) [S] | -20,641 | $33.77 | 716,805 | 2025-11-10 | 2025-11-12 |
| Hao Xinyan | SELL (Sale) [S] | -9,359 | $33.24 | 737,446 | 2025-11-10 | 2025-11-12 |
| Hao Xinyan | SELL (Sale) [S] | -30,000 | $30.29 | 746,805 | 2025-11-07 | 2025-11-12 |
Risk Factors: What Could Challenge GCT’s Performance?
Investing in GigaCloud Technology Inc. (GCT), like any stock, carries inherent risks. While our analysis has highlighted its strengths, it’s crucial to acknowledge the potential factors that could impact its future performance. This section outlines some key considerations for investors:
- General Market Fluctuations: GCT operates in the Technology sector, which can be highly sensitive to broader market swings, economic downturns, and changes in investor sentiment. A general market correction could impact GCT regardless of its individual performance.
- Intense Competition: The Software – Infrastructure industry is highly competitive, with both established players and new entrants constantly vying for market share. GCT’s ability to maintain its competitive edge and pricing power is crucial.
- Debt Levels: The company carries a significant debt load of $462.00 million. In a rising interest rate environment, this could lead to higher financing costs, potentially impacting profitability and free cash flow.
- Supply Chain Dependence: Given its business model connecting manufacturers primarily in Asia with resellers globally, GCT is exposed to risks associated with global supply chain disruptions, geopolitical tensions, and trade policies.
- Technological Obsolescence: The technology sector evolves rapidly. GCT must continuously innovate and adapt its platform to remain relevant and competitive, or risk falling behind.
Analyst Insights and Consensus: Wall Street’s View on GCT
What do the experts on Wall Street think about GigaCloud Technology Inc. (GCT)? Analyst recommendations can offer a valuable perspective, synthesizing various factors into a concise outlook. Here’s the consensus view from a recent poll of financial analysts:
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Recommendation | Buy |
| Mean Target Price | $37.25 |
| High Target Price | $44.00 |
| Low Target Price | $33.00 |
| Number of Analyst Opinions | 4 |
The average recommendation for GCT from the 4 analysts who contributed to this consensus is ‘Buy’. This suggests a generally positive outlook on the stock’s prospects. The mean target price stands at $37.25, with a range spanning from a low of $33.00 to a high of $44.00. Based on the current price of $36.78, this mean target implies a potential upside of approximately +1.3%.
This consensus reflects the overall sentiment among analysts regarding GCT’s future performance and potential. While it’s a positive signal, remember that analyst targets are just one piece of the puzzle and should be weighed against your own research and risk tolerance.
Recent News and Developments: Staying Current with GCT Headlines
Keeping up with the latest news is crucial for any investor. Recent headlines provide real-time insights into company-specific events, market reactions, and evolving sentiment surrounding GigaCloud Technology Inc. (GCT). Here are some of the most recent publications:
- GigaCloud Technology (GCT) Jumps After Earnings Beat Are Operational Gains Creating a New Growth Standard?
Publisher: Simply Wall St. | Published: 2025-11-22T23:12:05Z
- GigaCloud Technology (GCT): Evaluating Valuation After Recent 10% Share Price Gain
Publisher: Simply Wall St. | Published: 2025-11-22T15:10:33Z
- Can GigaCloud Technology Inc. (GCT) Run Higher on Rising Earnings Estimates?
Publisher: Zacks | Published: 2025-11-21T17:20:02Z
- Brokers Suggest Investing in GigaCloud Technology Inc. (GCT): Read This Before Placing a Bet
Publisher: Zacks | Published: 2025-11-21T14:30:04Z
- GigaCloud Technology Inc. (GCT) Is Attractively Priced Despite Fast-paced Momentum
Publisher: Zacks | Published: 2025-11-21T13:55:02Z
These recent articles highlight several key themes: strong earnings performance (which led to a stock jump), ongoing valuation discussions, and increasing earnings estimates. This positive news flow, particularly around earnings, aligns with the cautiously positive sentiment we observed earlier and indicates that the market is actively processing GCT’s recent operational success.
Conclusion and Outlook: Your Comprehensive GCT Investment Snapshot
So, where does all this leave us with GigaCloud Technology Inc. (GCT)? Let’s synthesize the extensive data we’ve reviewed into a concise outlook, blending both the short-term technical signals and the longer-term fundamental picture.
Short-Term Technical Snapshot for GCT
- Overall Technical Sentiment: ▲ Strong Bullish
- Price Trend vs MAs: ▲ Bullish (Price is above both SMA50/200)
- Momentum (RSI): ● Neutral (RSI at 58.4, indicating balanced momentum)
- Support / Resistance (30d): 📊 ~$25.39 / ~$35.81 (Key levels to watch)
Longer-Term Fundamental & Forecast Outlook for GCT
- 1-Year Avg. Forecast: ▲ ~+108.7% average change to ≈$76.76 (Significant model-projected upside)
- Fundamental Health: ● Assessment Incomplete (But shows strong ROE at 30.27% and manageable D/E at 1.01x)
- Valuation Snapshot: ➕ Potentially Attractive (Forward P/E at 10.48x)
- Recent Growth (YoY): ● Moderate (Revenue up 9.70%, Earnings up 1.00%)
- Analyst Consensus: ▲ Buy (Mean Target: $37.25, implying +1.3% from current)
Overall Assessment & Outlook for GCT
Synthesizing all this information, GigaCloud Technology Inc. (GCT) currently presents a fascinating investment profile. We’re seeing strong bullish technicals, with the stock holding firm above key moving averages, signaling positive momentum. While the RSI is neutral short-term, the overall trend is clearly upwards. Looking ahead, our models project a significant 1-year potential upside of around +108.7%, targeting approximately $76.76.
Fundamentally, GCT shows robust financial health, particularly with an impressive 30.27% ROE and a manageable debt-to-equity ratio. The valuation appears potentially attractive with a Forward P/E of 10.48x, especially when considering its healthy revenue growth. However, earnings growth has been more moderate at 1.00% year-over-year. Analyst consensus leans positive with a ‘Buy’ recommendation, albeit with a more modest price target than our model’s forecast.
Decision-making should factor in these elements against your personal risk tolerance and investment timeline. GCT’s high volatility means it’s not for the faint of heart, but its growth prospects and solid underlying financials could make it an interesting opportunity for those comfortable with the swings. Always conduct your own thorough independent research, and consider consulting a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions About GigaCloud Technology Inc. (GCT) Stock
What is the GCT stock price prediction for the next year (2025-2026)?
Based on current models, the average 1-year price forecast for GCT is approximately $76.76. This represents a potential +108.7% change from the recent price of $36.78. Remember, this is a model-driven estimate and actual prices will fluctuate based on numerous market factors.
Will GCT stock go up or down?
The 1-year forecast model suggests GCT’s price might show strong gains on average (+108.7% potential). However, the short-term direction is highly uncertain and heavily influenced by prevailing market sentiment (currently ‘Strong Bullish’), breaking news, and overall economic conditions. Technical indicators, like the neutral RSI, provide clues for near-term direction, but significant volatility is expected.
Is GCT stock a good investment right now?
Determining if GCT is a ‘good buy’ requires evaluating multiple factors. Technical sentiment is ‘Strong Bullish’, and the 1-year forecast suggests significant potential upside. The RSI indicates neutral conditions (RSI: 58.4), suggesting balanced momentum. Consider its attractive valuation, solid financial health, and strong revenue growth.
However, note its high volatility and significant insider selling as potential risk factors. Align these factors with your personal investment strategy and risk tolerance.
How volatile is GCT stock?
Based on the recent 30-day price action, GCT’s annualized volatility is approximately 103.8%. This level is considered high, indicating the degree of recent price fluctuation. This aligns with its Beta of 2.34x, meaning it tends to move significantly more than the broader market. Higher volatility implies larger potential price swings, both up and down.
What is GCT’s P/E ratio and what does it mean?
GCT’s Trailing P/E ratio (based on past earnings) is 11.11x, which is considered relatively low, potentially suggesting value or more modest growth expectations. The Forward P/E (based on expected earnings) is 10.48x. A P/E ratio indicates how much investors are willing to pay per dollar of a company’s earnings. Comparing it to industry peers and historical levels is crucial for context.
What are the key upcoming events for GCT?
Beyond the general macroeconomic shifts and competitive actions in the Software – Infrastructure industry, investors should closely monitor GCT’s upcoming quarterly earnings reports, any official corporate announcements regarding new partnerships, product launches, or strategic initiatives, and any significant changes in insider ownership or institutional holdings.
What does GCT’s liquidity position reveal about its financial health?
GCT’s financial health is bolstered by a strong Current Ratio of 2.08x, suggesting it can comfortably cover its short-term liabilities. Additionally, its robust operating cash flow of $194.71 million and levered free cash flow of $139.44 million provide a significant buffer. These factors are critical to its ability to fund operations, manage debt, and pursue growth opportunities without liquidity constraints.