Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) Stock Analysis: Investment Guides, Forecast, & Fundamentals

DJT Stock Analysis: Navigating Trump Media & Technology Group’s Latest Performance and Outlook (November 29, 2025)

As a financial journalist, I’m always looking for clarity in the markets, and when it comes to a company like Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT), a $3.23 billion player in the Internet Content & Information industry, investors have a lot of questions. Is this stock a smart buy right now? Does its current valuation reflect its true potential? Let’s dive deep into the latest data as of November 29, 2025, to uncover what you really need to know.

Fundamentally, Trump Media & Technology Group presents a mixed bag. The company boasts established brands, which is a definite plus. However, it faces intense competition in a crowded sector, which could be a constant headwind. So, is it a buy, hold, or sell? Let’s break it down.

What This Analysis Covers for DJT Investors

My goal is to give you a clear, actionable perspective on DJT, cutting through the noise. Here’s what we’ll explore:

• Is now the right time to invest? Technical indicators are leaning bearish, though the RSI is neutral. Fundamentals, however, show a solid base, influenced by debt levels and growth metrics.
• Can DJT’s core operations fuel future growth? The company’s trajectory will largely depend on how it performs within its Internet Content & Information segment and its ability to effectively navigate competitive pressures.
• What are the primary risks? DJT carries $953.56 million in debt, which is a factor to watch, especially in a fluctuating interest rate environment. The competitive landscape, with both established giants and nimble newcomers, also poses a continuous challenge.

Unlike reports filled with opaque jargon or overly simplistic advice, I’m here to provide straightforward insights. Whether you’re a long-term investor or chasing short-term gains, understanding the nuances of DJT’s performance is crucial. So, let’s dig into the details and see what the data truly says about Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.

Key Metrics and Forecast Summary for DJT Stock

Let’s get straight to the numbers shaping the current perception of DJT. As of November 29, 2025, the stock is trading at $11.54. Here’s a quick snapshot of where things stand:

Metric Category	Metric	Value
💰 Current Price	Live Market Price	$11.54
🎯 Price Targets & Forecasts	1-Month Forecast	$11.54 (▼ -0.0%)
	1-Year Forecast	$4.62 (▼ -60.0%)
📈 Trend & Momentum	Trend	📉 ▼ Bearish (Price < SMA 50/200)
	RSI (14-day)	61.4 (Neutral) ⚖️
	MACD	📈 Bullish Short-Term Trend (0.23)
📊 Key Technical Levels	Above SMA 50	❌ $13.79
	Above SMA 200	❌ $17.61
	52-Week Range	📏 $10.18 – $43.46
⚡ Volatility	Volatility (30d Ann.)	46.8% 🌪️
	Beta (vs. Market)	4.61x 🎢 (High Sensitivity)
	Green Days (30d)	8/30 (27%) 🔴
🏢 Ownership	Institutional Ownership	23.79% 🏠
	Short % of Float	8.42% 😰 (High Bearish Bets)

Currently, DJT’s stock is trading at $11.54. The technical picture is clearly bearish, as the price remains below both its 50-day moving average (at $13.79) and 200-day moving average (at $17.61). This indicates a lack of sustained upward momentum over the medium to long term.

However, it’s not all doom and gloom on the technical front. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at a neutral 61.4, suggesting the stock isn’t currently overbought or oversold. Interestingly, the MACD indicator shows a bullish short-term trend with a value of 0.23, which could hint at minor pullbacks before any potential upward movement. You can track DJT’s live data and charts on Yahoo Finance for real-time updates.

Looking at the past year, DJT has seen a wide trading range, from a low of $10.18 to a high of $43.46. This volatility indicates that the stock has experienced significant pullbacks from its peak. With the current price near the lower end of this range, major sudden swings might be less likely unless there’s significant news.

Analysts are projecting a cautious outlook, with a 1-year target of $4.62, representing a potential -60.0% decline. Additionally, institutional ownership stands at 23.79%, and while not extremely high, the short interest at 8.42% of the float suggests a notable portion of investors are betting against the stock. This combination indicates that while some big players are invested, there’s also a significant bearish sentiment to consider.

Detailed Price Forecast for DJT Stock

The chart below visualizes DJT’s recent price action alongside a forecasted price range (Low, Average, High) generated by the Prophet model. This provides a potential roadmap for the stock’s movement over the coming year.

Over the forecast horizon, from November 2025 to November 2026, the model projects DJT’s price to fluctuate between approximately $0.00 and $25.15. It’s important to note that the forecast uncertainty appears to remain relatively steady, with the overall price range showing little change over this period, indicating consistent model confidence in its broad prediction bands.

Here’s a detailed breakdown of the monthly forecasts for DJT, showing projected price bands, potential Return on Investment (ROI) against the current price of $11.54, and the resulting model signal for each period:

Month (Period)	Min. Price	Avg. Price	Max. Price	Potential ROI vs Current ($11.54)	Model Signal
2025-11	$11.54	$11.54	$11.54	● -0.0%	Hold/Neutral
2025-12	$3.88	$11.18	$19.09	▼ -3.1%	Consider Short
2026-01	$3.00	$12.26	$20.61	▲ 6.2%	Consider Buy
2026-02	$9.15	$15.32	$24.26	▲ 32.7%	Consider Buy
2026-03	$5.81	$14.63	$25.15	▲ 26.8%	Consider Buy
2026-04	$1.38	$11.15	$21.26	▼ -3.4%	Consider Short
2026-05	$1.98	$9.83	$18.72	▼ -14.8%	Consider Short

Keep in mind that these forecasts are model-generated and come with inherent uncertainty. Future prices are never guaranteed, and real-world market shifts or new company data can quickly alter these projections. Always use such forecasts as one piece of your broader research.

Company Profile: Understanding Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT)

To truly understand DJT’s stock, we need to grasp what the company actually does. Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. operates within the Communication Services sector, specifically in the Internet Content & Information industry. With a current market capitalization of $3.23 billion and a team of 29 employees, it’s a relatively lean operation for its valuation.

The company’s official website, https://tmtgcorp.com, provides more details on their offerings. At its core, DJT is involved in social media and streaming services, primarily targeting the United States market. Their flagship product is Truth Social, a social media platform that emphasizes free expression. Beyond that, they operate Truth+, a streaming platform focused on news, Christian content, and family-friendly programming.

Interestingly, DJT has also ventured into the financial sector with Truth.Fi, a FinTech brand aiming to incorporate “America First” investment vehicles. Founded in 2021 and headquartered in Sarasota, Florida, the company continues to develop its ecosystem of services.

Total Valuation: Diving into DJT’s Financial Standing

Let’s talk about valuation. While Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. carries a market cap of $3.23 billion, its enterprise value (EV) comes in lower at $2.88 billion. This difference is significant, reflecting a robust net cash position of approximately $350 million. Such financial strength can offer a substantial cushion and provides flexibility for future strategic investments or navigating market headwinds.

When we look at the valuation ratios, they paint an intriguing picture. DJT trades at 783.31x EV/Revenue (TTM) and -16.39x EV/EBITDA (TTM). These multiples suggest that the market is assigning a premium to the company, likely recognizing its strong brand assets and unique market position. However, paying a premium also means there’s less room for operational missteps. In essence, investors are paying for perceived quality and potential, which often comes at a higher price.

Metric	Value
Market Cap	$3.23 B
Enterprise Value	$2.88 B
EV/Revenue (TTM)	783.31x
EV/EBITDA (TTM)	-16.39x

Share Statistics: Understanding DJT’s Ownership Structure and Short Interest

Understanding who owns a company’s shares and how many are available for public trading can provide valuable insights. For DJT, approximately 44.6% of its shares are held closely by insiders or strategic investors, aligning their interests with the company’s long-term success. The remaining 155 million shares constitute the public float.

With a relatively high float, DJT’s stock is generally liquid, meaning investors can typically trade it without causing significant price dislocations. However, it’s always a consideration that the company could issue more shares, potentially diluting the value of existing stock in the future. Executives and major shareholders hold a substantial 42.18% stake, which is often seen as a positive, indicating strong alignment with shareholder interests.

Institutional ownership, however, is comparatively small at 23.79%, which is lower than what you’d typically find in widely held stocks. This could suggest that larger institutional investors are either cautious about DJT’s performance or simply haven’t made it a significant focus in their portfolios.

Now, let’s look at short interest, which is a key indicator of bearish sentiment. With 14 million shares currently shorted, representing 8.42% of the float, there’s a notable level of investors betting against DJT. Monitoring changes in this figure is crucial; a sharp increase could signal growing skepticism, while a decline might reduce the potential for a “short squeeze” scenario.

Considering all these factors, while DJT is liquid and accessible for trading, sustained price growth may require stronger backing from both institutional investors and company insiders to truly take off.

Metric	Value
Shares Outstanding	280 M
Implied Shares Outstanding	280 M
Shares Float	155 M
Insider Ownership	42.18%
Institutional Ownership	23.79%
Shares Short	14 M
Short Ratio (Days To Cover)	2.40x
Short % of Float	8.42%
Shares Short (Prior Month)	15 M
Short Date	2025-11-14

Valuation Metrics: A Deeper Dive into DJT’s Market Positioning

Beyond the simple share price, a company’s valuation metrics offer a comprehensive view of how the market perceives its intrinsic worth and future potential. For Trump Media & Technology Group, these ratios provide critical insights into its current market positioning.

DJT’s Price/Sales (TTM) ratio stands at a substantial $878.54, while its Price/Book (MRQ) is $1.42x. These multiples are quite high and warrant careful attention from investors. A high Price/Sales ratio, in particular, suggests that the market is valuing each dollar of the company’s revenue very highly, often indicative of strong growth expectations or a unique market position.

From an enterprise value perspective, the EV/Revenue (TTM) ratio of 783.31x indicates a significant revenue-based valuation. The EV/EBITDA (TTM) multiple of -16.39x, while negative due to current profitability challenges, still offers an earnings-based valuation perspective. Collectively, these metrics help paint a picture of how the market is currently pricing DJT, highlighting its premium valuation and the high expectations that come with it.

Metric	Value
Price/Sales (TTM)	$878.54
Price/Book (MRQ)	$1.42
EV/Revenue (TTM)	783.31x
EV/EBITDA (TTM)	-16.39x

Financial Health: Assessing DJT’s Balance Sheet and Cash Flow

When evaluating any investment, understanding a company’s financial health is paramount. For DJT, the financial data reveals both areas of strength and areas that warrant investor scrutiny. The Return on Equity (ROE) of -9.32% and Return on Assets (ROA) of -5.59% indicate that the company is currently not generating positive returns from its capital and assets. These figures are typically found in companies that are either in a high-growth phase requiring significant investment or facing operational challenges.

On the debt front, DJT’s Debt/Equity ratio of 0.42x is manageable, especially when considering its cash position. With $953.56 million in total debt and a substantial $1.30 billion in total cash, the company appears to have a net cash position. This suggests that while it has taken on debt to fund operations and growth, it also possesses significant liquidity to offset it.

However, a major concern arises from the negative operating cash flow of -$5.70 million (TTM). This indicates that DJT’s core business operations are currently consuming more cash than they generate. Similarly, the levered free cash flow of -$353.59 million (TTM) further underscores the challenge of internal cash generation.

On a more positive note, DJT boasts a strong liquidity position, with a Current Ratio of 42.78x and a Quick Ratio of 33.81x. These high ratios suggest the company is exceptionally well-equipped to cover its short-term liabilities, providing a significant buffer against immediate financial pressures.

Metric	Value
Return on Equity (ROE TTM)	-9.32%
Return on Assets (ROA TTM)	-5.59%
Debt/Equity (MRQ)	0.42x
Total Cash (MRQ)	$1.30 B
Total Debt (MRQ)	$953.56 M
Current Ratio (MRQ)	42.78x
Quick Ratio (MRQ)	33.81x
Operating Cash Flow (TTM)	-$5.70 M
Levered Free Cash Flow (TTM)	-$353.59 M

Financial Efficiency: How Effectively DJT Manages Its Resources

Beyond just looking at a company’s financial position, it’s crucial to evaluate how efficiently it uses its assets and capital to generate revenue and profits. For Trump Media & Technology Group, the efficiency metrics provide a nuanced perspective.

DJT’s Receivables Turnover of 211.37x and its impressively low 1.7 Days Sales Outstanding indicate exceptional efficiency in collecting payments from customers. This means the company is getting paid very quickly, which is a strong positive for its cash flow management.

The Current Ratio of 42.78x, as noted in the financial health section, further signals excellent liquidity. However, the Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) at -15.62% suggests that the company’s capital efficiency needs improvement. This metric shows how effectively DJT generates returns from all the capital invested in its operations, and a negative figure implies that it’s currently destroying value from its investments.

Overall, while DJT excels in collecting receivables and maintains strong liquidity, it appears to face challenges in effectively utilizing its assets and invested capital to drive profitability. Investors should definitely compare these figures against industry peers to get a clearer picture of its competitive standing. For more detailed financial statements, you can always refer to the SEC Edgar filings for DJT.

Metric	Value
Receivables Turnover (TTM)	211.37x
Days Sales Outstanding	1.7
Current Ratio (MRQ)	42.78x
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC TTM)	-15.62%

Profitability and Growth: Unpacking DJT’s Earning Power

Now, let’s examine DJT’s ability to generate profits and grow its business. The company’s margin performance suggests it’s under significant pressure. While the gross margin of 59.42% indicates success in controlling production costs, the operating margin stands at an alarming -5926.45%. This vast difference points to extremely high operating expenses that are severely impacting profitability.

DJT’s revenue for the trailing twelve months (TTM) is $3.68 million. However, its quarterly revenue growth year-over-year (YoY) shows a decline of -3.80%. This negative growth rate is a critical concern for investors looking for expanding businesses. While the company generated $2.19 million in gross profit, its EBITDA for the TTM was -$175.81 million, and net income was -$144.17 million. These negative figures clearly indicate that DJT is not currently profitable.

The significant gap between a healthy gross margin and deeply negative operating and net income margins highlights that high operational costs, and potentially interest expenses or taxes, are major drains on the company’s financial performance. For DJT to achieve sustainable growth, it will be crucial to not only reverse its revenue decline but also gain much tighter control over its operating expenses. Maintaining or improving margins will be essential, especially if revenue growth remains challenging.

Metric	Value
Operating Margin (TTM)	-5926.45%
Gross Margin (TTM)	59.42%
Revenue (TTM)	$3.68 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth (YoY)	-3.80%
Gross Profit (TTM)	$2.19 M
EBITDA (TTM)	-$175.81 M
Net Income (TTM)	-$144.17 M

Dividends and Shareholder Returns: DJT’s Reinvestment Strategy

For many investors, dividends are a key component of shareholder returns. However, it’s important to note that DJT does not currently pay a regular dividend. This decision often signals that a company is prioritizing reinvesting its earnings back into the business. For a company like Trump Media & Technology Group, which is in a dynamic and competitive industry, this strategy likely aims to fuel growth, innovation, and market expansion rather than distributing cash to shareholders.

While the absence of a dividend might deter income-focused investors, it can be seen as a positive by growth-oriented investors who prefer to see capital allocated to initiatives that could drive future stock price appreciation. This approach is common among younger or high-growth technology companies that are still scaling their operations and market presence.

Technical Analysis: Decoding DJT’s Price Action and Momentum

As of November 29, 2025, DJT’s current price stands at $11.54. The overall trend is clearly bearish and appears to be weakening. The stock has experienced downward pressure recently, losing -4.07% over the last 15 days. Let’s break down the technical indicators to determine if this is a potential buying opportunity or a signal for further declines.

Trend Strength – Still Bearish

DJT is firmly entrenched in a bearish trend, trading below both its key moving averages. This situation typically signals caution for technical traders. The 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $11.28 is now acting as an overhead resistance level. As long as the price remains below this point, the bearish trend is likely to persist. A rejection from this average could lead to a re-test of recent lows.

Momentum Check – Is Momentum Fading?

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 61.4, placing it in a neutral zone. This suggests that momentum is balanced, with the stock neither significantly overbought nor oversold. Simultaneously, the MACD histogram shows a positive reading, indicating that some upward momentum is still present in the short term. This creates a flexible trading strategy: watch for a decisive MACD crossover or a clear break of a key support or resistance level for the next directional cue.

Bollinger Bands – Testing Key Levels

The stock is currently trading comfortably in the upper half of its Bollinger Bands, specifically between the 20-day SMA and the upper band. This positioning can be interpreted as a sign of underlying strength, despite the broader bearish trend. It suggests buying interest might be present at current levels.

Key Levels to Watch:

• Resistance: The recent high of $15.83 is a critical resistance level. A confirmed breakout above this point, especially on strong volume, could propel DJT higher.
• Support: The 20-day SMA at $11.28 acts as immediate support. If this level breaks, we could see a test of $9.28.

Volume Trends – Checking for Conviction

Trading volume is currently near its recent average, offering neutral confirmation of the prevailing price action. This is where caution comes in: rallies on low volume can often be prone to sharp reversals. For any sustained upward move, we’d ideally want to see a surge in buying interest to validate the price action. Without that conviction, a pullback becomes more probable.

Support & Resistance – The Trading Plan

Here’s a practical trading plan based on these key technical levels:

• ✅ If DJT manages to hold above $11.28, the bullish momentum could continue, with the next target being $15.83.
• ⚠️ If the stock breaks below $11.28, expect a dip towards $9.28.
• 🛑 A drop below $9.28 could potentially trigger a deeper correction, possibly even reaching the 200-day SMA at $17.61 (though the current price is far below this, indicating a significant rally would be needed to reach it).

Final Verdict – Should You Buy, Hold, or Sell DJT Stock?

• Short-Term Traders: The immediate trend shows positive momentum, but keep a close eye for signs of exhaustion. A neutral stance might be prudent until a clearer signal emerges from the MACD or significant volume changes.
• Long-Term Investors: The long-term uptrend remains valid as long as the price holds above the 200-day SMA (currently at $17.61). A pullback to the 50-day SMA ($13.79) area could present a safer buying opportunity.
• New Buyers: Avoid chasing the current rally. It’s wiser to wait for either a confirmed breakout above $15.83 with robust volume, or a pullback to the $11.28 area, which would offer a more favorable risk/reward entry point.

Bottom Line: The technical indicators suggest that the current rally might be losing steam in the short term. While the long-term trend still holds a bullish possibility, a correction seems plausible before the next significant move. Trade cautiously and wait for clear confirmations at these critical technical levels. You can follow daily updates on DJT’s technicals on MarketWatch.

Historical Performance: DJT’s Recent Price Action

Let’s look at DJT’s recent trading history to understand its immediate performance. In the period from November 14, 2025, to November 28, 2025, the stock delivered a total return of +4.25%. During this time, the price moved between a high of $11.77 and a low of $10.18. The average daily trading volume during this two-week span was approximately 6,334,780 shares, indicating decent market activity.

Recent Trading Data for DJT

Here’s a table detailing DJT’s daily trading activity for the past two weeks, providing a granular view of its price movements and volume:

Date	Open	High	Low	Close	Volume
2025-11-28	$11.19	$11.77	$11.19	$11.54	4,442,600
2025-11-27	$10.77	$11.18	$10.71	$11.07	3,837,600
2025-11-26	$10.77	$11.18	$10.71	$11.07	3,837,600
2025-11-25	$10.55	$10.77	$10.40	$10.74	3,057,700
2025-11-24	$10.46	$10.65	$10.36	$10.59	3,987,000
2025-11-23	$10.35	$10.67	$10.18	$10.33	4,848,900
2025-11-22	$10.35	$10.67	$10.18	$10.33	4,848,900
2025-11-21	$10.35	$10.67	$10.18	$10.33	4,848,900
2025-11-20	$10.53	$11.06	$10.22	$10.35	6,608,100
2025-11-19	$10.77	$10.78	$10.27	$10.29	7,141,500
2025-11-18	$10.69	$10.91	$10.32	$10.77	7,903,800
2025-11-17	$11.01	$11.22	$10.47	$10.85	9,925,800
2025-11-16	$11.57	$11.75	$11.01	$11.07	9,911,100
2025-11-15	$11.57	$11.75	$11.01	$11.07	9,911,100
2025-11-14	$11.57	$11.75	$11.01	$11.07	9,911,100

Stock Price Statistics: Volatility and Moving Averages for DJT

Understanding the statistical behavior of a stock’s price is essential for assessing its risk and potential. For DJT, the past year has been a rollercoaster. The stock’s 52-week high reached $43.46, while its low was $10.18. This wide range highlights significant volatility, likely driven by market sentiment and company-specific news.

Currently, the 50-day moving average stands at $14.90, which is below the 200-day moving average of $19.19. This configuration is often seen as a bearish signal, suggesting that the short-term trend is weaker than the long-term trend, indicating a potential pullback or consolidation phase. This is particularly relevant for technical traders who rely on these indicators for momentum and trend analysis.

DJT carries a beta of 4.61x, which is quite high. A beta this elevated implies that the stock tends to move much more dramatically than the broader market—approximately 361% more volatile, to be precise. Coupled with a 30-day annualized volatility of 46.8%, it’s evident that DJT experiences frequent and substantial price swings. For investors, this translates to both higher potential for gains and, crucially, higher downside risk. These indicators are vital for making informed decisions about position sizing and entry timing, especially if you’re aiming to balance stability with growth exposure in your portfolio.

Metric	Value
52 Week High	$43.46
52 Week Low	$10.18
50 Day MA	$14.90
200 Day MA	$19.19
Beta	4.61x
Volatility (30d Ann.)	46.8% 📉

Quarterly Earnings Performance: DJT’s Recent Financial Results

Let’s turn our attention to DJT’s recent quarterly earnings performance, which offers a snapshot of the company’s operational health. The latest quarter (2025-Q3) saw revenue of $972.90 thousand, but a net income of -$54.81 million. This clearly indicates that the company is still operating at a significant loss.

Comparing performance, the quarter-over-quarter revenue change was a positive +10.1%, suggesting some sequential improvement. However, the year-over-year revenue growth stands at -3.8%, indicating a slight contraction when viewed annually. This mixed picture highlights the challenges DJT faces in achieving consistent revenue expansion and profitability.

Recent Quarterly Results (Last 4 Quarters)

Quarter	Revenue	Net Income	EPS	Gross Margin
2025-Q3	$972.90 K	-$54.81 M	-0.20x	54.1%
2025-Q2	$883.30 K	-$19.98 M	-0.08x	61.2%
2025-Q1	$821.20 K	-$31.73 M	-0.14x	59.0%
2024-Q4	$1.00 M	-$37.65 M		63.4%

Growth Metrics

Metric	Value
QoQ Revenue Growth	+10.1%
QoQ Net Income Growth	+174.3%
YoY Revenue Growth	-3.8%

Short Selling Information: Analyzing Bearish Sentiment on DJT

Short selling activity provides a window into how bearish investors are betting against a stock. For DJT, there is currently 14 million worth of short interest. The short ratio, also known as “days to cover,” stands at 2.4x. This metric estimates how many days it would take for all short positions to be closed, assuming the stock’s recent average trading volume. A low short ratio like this suggests that short sellers do not currently hold significant control over DJT’s price, and the risk of a prolonged “short squeeze” – a rapid price increase forcing short sellers to buy back shares – is relatively low.

With 8.42% of the public float sold short, it indicates a moderate level of bearish sentiment, but it’s not an extreme figure. What’s interesting is that this level has recently decreased from 15 million shares shorted, which could suggest a slight shift in bearish sentiment. Despite this, investors should remain aware of potential volatility spikes. Significant news events could still trigger short sellers to cover their positions, leading to rapid price movements. Keeping an eye on these dynamics is key for any investor in DJT.

Metric	Value
Shares Short	14 M
Short Ratio (Days To Cover)	2.40x
Short % of Float	8.42%
Shares Short (Prior Month)	15 M
Short Date	2025-11-14

Risk Analysis: Understanding DJT’s Volatility and Downside Potential

Every investment comes with risk, and for DJT, the risk profile is notably high. The stock exhibits an annualized volatility of 94.2%, which is a strong indicator of its potential for large and frequent price swings. For investors, this means both the possibility of significant gains and, equally, considerable downside risk.

The Sharpe ratio, currently at 0.05x, suggests mixed risk-adjusted returns. A low Sharpe ratio implies that the stock is not generating sufficient return for the amount of risk it takes on. Furthermore, the maximum drawdown of -89.45% is a stark reminder of the significant capital loss investors could experience during adverse market conditions. This figure represents the largest percentage drop from a peak to a trough in the stock’s history, without new peak being attained.

The Value at Risk (VaR) at a 5% confidence level indicates a potential loss of -7.55% in the worst 5% of scenarios. This metric provides a quantitative estimate of the potential loss within a specified timeframe and confidence level. The Sortino ratio of 0.08x, which focuses specifically on downside risk, offers additional insight into the stock’s performance when only negative volatility is considered. While the number is low, it still provides a measure of reward per unit of bad risk.

Given these metrics, investors considering DJT must carefully align these risk factors with their personal risk tolerance and investment objectives. This is clearly not a stock for the faint of heart.

Metric	Value
Volatility (Annualized)	94.2%
Value at Risk (5%)	-7.55%
Value at Risk (1%)	-13.74%
Sharpe Ratio	0.05x
Sortino Ratio	0.08x
Maximum Drawdown	-89.45%
Skewness	3.95x
Kurtosis	50.25x

Sentiment Analysis: Gauging Market Mood for DJT

Market sentiment can often influence stock prices, sometimes even overriding fundamental data in the short term. For DJT, the current sentiment a cautiously positive outlook, with a composite sentiment score of 0.41x and a confidence level of 18.4%. This positive sentiment is drawn from a combination of data sources, including news coverage, analyst recommendations, and activity in the options market.

Breaking down the components, news analysis shows a Neutral sentiment (0.08x), suggesting that recent headlines haven’t leaned strongly bullish or bearish. Analyst consensus also points to Neutral. However, options market sentiment reflects a Positive outlook (0.58x), indicating that options traders might be positioning for upward movement. The Put/Call Ratio is 0.21x, which is low and generally suggests bullish sentiment, as fewer puts (bets on decline) are being bought compared to calls (bets on rise).

It’s important to remember that while positive, this sentiment signal is relatively weak, especially given the low confidence level. Therefore, it should always be considered alongside a thorough fundamental and technical analysis to form a comprehensive investment perspective. Sentiment can shift rapidly, so ongoing monitoring is advisable.

Metric	Value
Composite Sentiment Score	0.41x
Sentiment Classification	Positive
Sentiment Confidence	18.4%
News Sentiment	Neutral (0.08x)
Analyst Sentiment	Neutral
Options Sentiment	Positive (0.58x)
Put/Call Ratio	0.21x

Peer Comparison: How DJT Stacks Up Against Industry Rivals

To truly understand DJT’s position, it’s helpful to compare it against its peers in the Internet Content & Information space. We’re looking at Pinterest (PINS), Snap Inc. (SNAP), and Match Group (MTCH).

DJT, with a market cap of $3.23 billion, is the smallest player among this group. Pinterest (PINS) is significantly larger at $17.76 billion, followed by Snap (SNAP) at $13.20 billion, and Match Group (MTCH) at $8.02 billion. This size difference immediately puts DJT in a different league, often implying less market influence and potentially higher growth volatility.

When it comes to revenue growth, DJT’s -3.80% decline stands in contrast to its peers, with Pinterest showing strong momentum at 16.80% growth and Snap at 9.80%. Match Group also saw positive growth at 2.10%. This highlights a key challenge for DJT in expanding its top line.

Profitability is another stark differentiator. DJT’s net margin is not meaningful (as it’s recorded as 0.00% in the source report, but the company is losing money). In comparison, Pinterest boasts a healthy 48.99% net margin, and Match Group has 16.20%. Snap, while facing losses, has a less severe -8.60% net margin. DJT’s negative -9.32% Return on Equity (ROE) further reflects its current unprofitability, especially when contrasted with Pinterest’s impressive 51.49% ROE.

Regarding debt, DJT’s conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 41.85 suggests a relatively strong balance sheet. This compares favorably to Snap’s higher leverage at 186, while Pinterest maintains lower debt levels at 4.25. Lastly, dividend policies vary: Match Group (2.28% yield) rewards shareholders with payouts, whereas DJT, like Pinterest and Snap, is currently reinvesting all cash back into growth initiatives.

Metric	DJT	PINS	SNAP	MTCH
Market Cap	$3.23B	$17.76B	$13.20B	$8.02B
Revenue Growth	-3.80%	16.80%	9.80%	2.10%
Net Margin		48.99%	-8.60%	16.20%
EPS	-0.42	2.85	-0.29	2.14
ROE	-9.32%	51.49%	-22.38%
Debt-to-Equity	41.85	4.25	186
Dividend Yield	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	2.28%
52-Week Range	10.18 – 43.46	23.68 – 40.90	6.90 – 13.28	26.09 – 38.99

Insider Transactions: What Leadership is Doing with DJT Shares

Insider activity can sometimes provide a signal about a company’s future prospects, as those closest to the business have the most intimate knowledge. Over the last three months, DJT has seen 6 insider transactions. It’s important to analyze the nature of these transactions.

The majority of these (4 out of 6) were stock awards or tax-related dispositions. These are often routine equity compensation activities and typically don’t carry a strong directional signal about the company’s prospects. For instance, an “F” filing usually denotes shares withheld for tax purposes upon the vesting of restricted stock units (RSUs).

However, there was one notable purchase. Scott Glabe bought 1,000 shares at $10.46 on November 18, 2025. This discretionary purchase could be seen as a vote of confidence. Conversely, there were 5 sell transactions, mostly tax-related, but one direct sale by Eric Swider of 5,200 shares at $10.59 on November 17, 2025. While the aggregate picture is mixed, the predominance of award-related activities means we shouldn’t read too much into these transactions as strong signals for the stock’s future direction.

Insider Name	Type	Shares Changed	Price	Shares After	Transaction Date	Filing Date
Glabe Scott	BUY (Purchase) [P]	+1,000	$10.46	326,236	2025-11-18	2025-11-19
Swider Eric	SELL (Sale) [S]	-5,200	$10.59	18,841	2025-11-17	2025-11-17
Nunes Devin G.	SELL (Tax Payment) [F]	-62,058	$12.18	1,374,371	2025-11-13	2025-11-13
Novachki Vladimir	SELL (Tax Payment) [F]	-18,601	$12.18	617,615	2025-11-13	2025-11-13
Glabe Scott	SELL (Tax Payment) [F]	-13,496	$12.17	325,236	2025-11-13	2025-11-13
Juhan Phillip	SELL (Tax Payment) [F]	-8,334	$12.17	301,518	2025-11-13	2025-11-13

Risk Factors: Key Considerations for DJT Investors

Investing in Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) involves a range of risks that every potential investor should carefully consider. While this list isn’t exhaustive, it highlights some of the most prominent factors identified through our analysis and general market considerations:

• ⚠️ Overall technical sentiment is Strong Bearish, suggesting a prevailing cautious or negative outlook among market participants, which could lead to further price declines.
• ⚠️ The current price of $11.54 is below the 50-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $13.79, indicating potential short-term weakness and a lack of immediate buying pressure.
• ⚠️ The current price of $11.54 is also below the 200-Day SMA of $17.61, which points to potential long-term weakness and an established downtrend.
• ⚠️ Negative year-over-year revenue growth (-3.80%) poses a significant risk to the company’s future financial performance and its ability to scale operations profitably.
• ⚠️ As a company in the Communication Services sector, DJT is susceptible to general market fluctuations and broader economic conditions, which can impact consumer spending on media and information services.

These factors collectively underscore the high-risk nature of an investment in DJT. Investors should conduct thorough due diligence and assess these risks against their personal investment goals and risk tolerance.

Analyst Insights and Consensus for DJT Stock

Professional analyst coverage can offer valuable external perspectives on a stock’s future. For DJT, the consensus recommendation from analysts is currently listed as ‘None’. The number of contributing analysts providing coverage for DJT is unspecified in the report.

This absence of a formal consensus recommendation or a specific mean price target means investors have less guidance from traditional Wall Street research. It can indicate that the company is either not widely covered, or that analysts are finding it challenging to form a unified outlook due to its unique characteristics, market volatility, or nascent business model. Without a clear analyst consensus, investors will need to rely even more heavily on their own research and interpretation of the company’s fundamentals and technicals.

Recent News and Developments Affecting DJT

Staying current with the latest news and company developments is crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could impact DJT’s stock price. Here’s a look at some of the recent headlines relevant to Trump Media & Technology Group, based on information current as of late November 2025:

• DJT Stock Has Cratered, Wiping Out More Than $5 Billion in Trump Family Wealth
  Publisher: Barrons.com
  Published: 2025-11-19T13:34:00Z
  This headline from Barrons highlights significant value erosion, pointing to concerns about the stock’s performance.
• Assessing Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) Valuation Following Prolonged Share Price Declines
  Publisher: Simply Wall St.
  Published: 2025-11-19T10:15:52Z
  Simply Wall St. focused on the company’s valuation after a period of declining share prices, suggesting ongoing scrutiny over its intrinsic worth.
• Trump Media’s Q3 loss, Microsoft eyes longest sell-off since 2011
  Publisher: Yahoo Finance Video
  Published: 2025-11-07T17:09:18Z
  This Yahoo Finance report highlights DJT’s Q3 losses, a key financial concern, juxtaposed with broader market news.
• The Dow Is Close to 50,000. How the Heck Did We Get Here So Fast?
  Publisher: Barrons.com
  Published: 2025-11-05T05:30:00Z
  While not directly about DJT, this article provides important macro context, indicating a strong broader market environment that DJT’s performance contrasts with.
• How Investors May Respond To Trump Media (DJT) Launching Prediction Markets With Crypto.com on Truth Social
  Publisher: Simply Wall St.
  Published: 2025-10-30T06:09:25Z
  This piece discusses a strategic move by DJT into prediction markets, a potential new growth avenue that could impact investor sentiment and future revenue streams.

These recent developments suggest ongoing challenges regarding DJT’s stock performance and valuation, but also highlight strategic initiatives the company is undertaking. Investors should continue to monitor similar news for potential impacts on the stock.

Conclusion and Outlook for DJT Stock

Bringing all the threads of our analysis together, let’s summarize the current landscape for Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) as of November 29, 2025. It’s clear that investors need to weigh a complex set of factors when considering this stock.

Short-Term Technical Snapshot

• ▼ Overall Technical Sentiment: Strong Bearish. The immediate market mood is cautious, signaling potential headwinds for the stock price.
• ▼ Price Trend vs MAs: Bearish (below SMA50/200). DJT is trading below its key moving averages, indicating a lack of short-term and long-term upward momentum.
• ● Momentum (RSI): Neutral (61.4). While the overall trend is bearish, the Relative Strength Index suggests balanced momentum, neither overbought nor oversold.
• 📊 Support / Resistance (30d): ~$10.18 / ~$15.83. These are the critical levels to watch for potential price reversals or breakouts in the near term.

Longer-Term Fundamental & Forecast Outlook

• ▼ 1-Year Avg. Forecast: ~-60.0% average change to ≈$4.62. Model projections indicate significant potential downside over the next year.
• ● Fundamental Health: Assessment Incomplete (ROE: -9.32%, D/E: 0.42x). While debt is manageable, the negative Return on Equity highlights profitability challenges.
• ● Recent Growth (YoY): Revenue growth of -3.80%. The company is facing challenges in expanding its top line year-over-year.
• ● Analyst Consensus: None. The lack of a clear analyst consensus means investors have less external guidance.

Overall Assessment & Outlook

Overall, DJT presents a technical picture that is leaning Strong Bearish, coupled with a fundamental health assessment that indicates moderate strength but significant profitability issues. From a valuation standpoint, the lack of a forward P/E ratio makes traditional comparisons challenging. Model projections suggest a potential downside of -60.0% over the next year, targeting approximately $4.62.

Investors should carefully weigh these factors against the identified risks, such as high volatility, negative revenue growth, and ongoing profitability challenges. Your individual investment horizon and risk tolerance will be paramount in determining whether DJT aligns with your portfolio strategy.

Frequently Asked Questions About DJT Stock

What is the DJT stock price prediction for the next year (2025-2026)?

Based on current models, the average 1-year price forecast for DJT is approximately $4.62. This represents a potential -60.0% change from the recent price of $11.54. Please remember, this is a model-driven estimate and not a guarantee; actual prices will fluctuate based on numerous market factors and company developments.

Will DJT stock go up or down?

The 1-year forecast model suggests the price might decrease significantly on average (a potential -60.0%). However, the short-term direction is highly uncertain and heavily influenced by prevailing market sentiment (currently ‘Strong Bearish’), breaking news, and overall economic conditions. Technical indicators, such as a neutral RSI, provide clues for near-term direction, but volatility is expected.

Is DJT stock a good investment right now?

Determining if DJT is a ‘good buy’ requires evaluating multiple factors. Technical sentiment is ‘Strong Bearish’, and the 1-year forecast suggests significant potential downside. Technically, the RSI indicates neutral conditions (RSI: 61.4), pointing to balanced momentum. You should consider the company’s valuation, financial health, and growth prospects.

However, note that several significant risk factors specific to DJT have been identified, including high volatility and negative revenue growth. Always align these factors with your personal investment strategy and risk tolerance.

How volatile is DJT stock?

Based on recent 30-day price action, DJT’s annualized volatility is approximately 46.8%. This level is considered high, indicating the degree of recent price fluctuation. This aligns with its Beta of 4.61x, which suggests it moves much more sharply than the broader market. Higher volatility means larger potential price swings, both upwards and downwards.

What are the key upcoming events for DJT?

Key upcoming events for DJT would typically include its quarterly earnings reports, any strategic partnerships or product launches (such as the recent mention of prediction markets with Crypto.com), and significant changes in its user base or platform engagement. Beyond these, investors should also monitor macroeconomic shifts, competitive actions within the Internet Content & Information sector, and major corporate announcements from the company itself.

What does DJT’s liquidity position reveal about its financial health?

DJT’s financial health includes a strong Current Ratio of 42.78x and Quick Ratio of 33.81x, suggesting it can comfortably cover its short-term liabilities. This indicates robust liquidity and a significant buffer against immediate financial pressures. However, its negative operating cash flow (-$5.70 million) and levered free cash flow (-$353.59 million) are critical factors to watch, as they indicate that the core business is not currently generating sufficient cash to fund its operations and growth internally.

What is the current insider trading sentiment for DJT?

Recent insider activity for DJT shows a mix of transactions over the last three months. While there was one discretionary purchase by Scott Glabe, the majority of transactions were stock awards or tax-related dispositions. There were also some sales. The predominance of non-discretionary (tax-related) transactions suggests that these activities are routine and may not provide a strong directional signal about company prospects. It’s more indicative of ongoing equity compensation rather than a clear bullish or bearish insider stance.

Report Information and Disclaimer

Data As Of (Generation Time): 2025-11-29 07:57:18 UTC
Report Date: 2025-11-29
Primary Data Sources: Yahoo Finance API (via yfinance), potentially supplemented by FRED Economic Data.

Known Limitations: Financial data may have reporting lags. Technical indicators are inherently backward-looking. Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not certainties, and subject to significant error ranges and changing assumptions.

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