Baidu, Inc. (BIDU) Stock Analysis: Price Forecast, Technicals, Risk Factors, & Trading Strategies.

Welcome to our comprehensive analysis of Baidu, Inc. (BIDU), a significant player with a $41.56 billion market capitalization in the competitive Internet Content & Information industry. As an investor, you’re likely asking crucial questions: Does BIDU’s current stock price reflect its true value, and is the company positioned for sustainable future growth? Is this the right moment to consider an investment in Baidu?

Currently, BIDU is trading at $119.21 as of November 2025. We’re observing a short-term pullback, yet the stock remains within a broader uptrend, trading below its 50-day moving average but still comfortably above its 200-day average. This mixed signal requires a closer look.

Analysts generally offer a cautious outlook, with a 1-year price target averaging $151.05. Interestingly, a potential -38.5% downside from this target, which appears to be a data anomaly in the original source, as a higher target typically implies upside. However, we must preserve the data as provided. What’s clear is the significant annualized volatility of 41.1%, signaling that BIDU’s stock can experience wide price swings, offering both opportunities and risks.

Baidu’s fundamental story is quite nuanced. The company boasts a portfolio of well-established brands and a strong presence in its core markets. On the flip side, it grapples with intense competition across its various segments, which is a constant challenge in the fast-evolving tech landscape.

Unpacking BIDU: What You’ll Find in This Deep Dive

We’ve meticulously broken down BIDU’s stock performance and underlying business from every conceivable angle. Our goal is to equip you with the insights needed to make a truly informed investment decision. Here’s a glimpse of what we’ll cover:

  • Is now the opportune moment to buy Baidu stock? Our technical indicators suggest a “Neutral” stance, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) showing oversold conditions at 28.4. Meanwhile, the fundamentals appear “solid,” largely driven by debt management and growth metrics.
  • Can Baidu’s core operations fuel future expansion? We believe future growth hinges on the continued performance of its core Internet Content & Information services and its ability to effectively navigate competitive pressures.
  • What are the primary risks for Baidu investors? The company carries a substantial debt load of 97.24 billion, which could become a headwind, especially in a higher interest rate environment. Furthermore, competition remains fierce, emanating from both entrenched industry giants and innovative newcomers.

Unlike overly simplistic “buy” or “sell” recommendations, our analysis provides clear, actionable information for both long-term investors and short-term traders. So, is Baidu, Inc. the right investment to help your portfolio thrive? Let’s dive into the data and uncover the full picture.

BIDU Stock: Key Metrics & Forecast Summary

Let’s kick things off with a quick snapshot of Baidu’s current market standing and our model-driven forecasts. This summary provides a rapid overview of the stock’s health and potential trajectory.

Metric Category Metric Value Insight
Current Price Live Market Price $119.21
Price Targets & Forecasts 1-Month Forecast $110.95 -6.9%
1-Year Forecast $73.35 -38.5%
Analyst Mean Target $151.05 📈 +26.7%
Trend & Momentum Trend ⚖️ ● Mixed Trend
RSI (14-day) 28.4 ❄️ Oversold
MACD 📉 Bearish Short-Term Trend (-1.39)
Key Technical Levels Above SMA 50 ❌ $124.25
Above SMA 200 ✅ $102.01
52-Week Range 📏 $74.71 – $149.51
Volatility Volatility (30d Ann.) 41.1% 🌪️
Beta (vs. Market) 0.43x 🛡️ (Low Sensitivity)
Green Days (30d) 13/30 (43%) 🟡
Ownership Institutional Ownership 22.58% 🏠
Short % of Float 2.42% 😐 (Moderate Bets)

Right now, BIDU’s stock is trading at $119.21. The technical indicators are presenting a rather mixed pattern. While the price holds above the 200-day moving average ($102.01), suggesting longer-term strength, it is currently below its 50-day average ($124.25).

What’s particularly interesting is the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 28.4, which signals oversold conditions. This could hint at a potential bounce in the near future. However, the MACD indicator points to a bearish short-term trend (-1.39), suggesting that any immediate upward move might be met with some resistance or minor pullbacks.

Looking back over the past year, BIDU’s stock has traded within a significant range, from $74.71 to $149.51. This wide range indicates considerable investor sentiment shifts over the period. The current price sits roughly in the middle, suggesting that extreme swings might be less likely unless a major catalyst emerges.

Analysts are projecting a varied outlook, with a 1-year target of $73.35 (-38.5%), which seems contradictory given a higher mean target, and an average consensus target of $151.05 (+26.7%). With institutional ownership at 22.58% and very low short interest (2.42%), major investors are generally betting on Baidu’s long-term potential rather than anticipating a significant decline. You can explore more detailed financials for Baidu (BIDU) on trusted platforms like Yahoo Finance.

Baidu (BIDU) Price Forecast: Visualizing Future Trends

Over the projected horizon, specifically from November 2025 to November 2026, our model anticipates BIDU’s price to fluctuate between approximately $20.00 and $115.41. This broad range highlights the inherent uncertainty in long-term predictions within the dynamic tech sector.

Interestingly, the forecast uncertainty, as indicated by the price range (e.g., $110.95 vs. $20.00 – $114.69), appears relatively steady over the entire forecast period. This suggests that while the price itself is expected to move, the degree of unpredictability remains consistent.

Baidu (BIDU) Monthly Price Forecasts & Potential ROI

Here’s a detailed look at the monthly price evolution projected by our model for BIDU, outlining expected ranges, potential returns, and a model-derived signal for each period against the current price of $119.21.

Month (Period) Min. Price Avg. Price Max. Price Potential ROI vs Current ($119.21) Model Signal
2025-11 $110.95 $110.95 $110.95 -6.9% Consider Short
2025-12 $50.10 $79.61 $105.93 -33.2% Consider Short
2026-01 $54.26 $81.97 $108.49 -31.2% Consider Short
2026-02 $58.59 $85.35 $110.12 -28.4% Consider Short
2026-03 $56.44 $85.43 $115.41 -28.3% Consider Short
2026-04 $46.24 $81.29 $107.77 -31.8% Consider Short
2026-05 $38.44 $76.49 $113.31 -35.8% Consider Short
2026-06 $49.61 $75.13 $111.14 -37.0% Consider Short
2026-07 $45.83 $74.77 $111.85 -37.3% Consider Short
2026-08 $38.88 $73.87 $109.24 -38.0% Consider Short
2026-09 $34.79 $73.69 $111.28 -38.2% Consider Short
2026-10 $31.54 $73.35 $114.50 -38.5% Consider Short
2026-11 $20.00 $70.87 $114.69 -40.6% Consider Short

It’s important to remember that these forecasts are generated by complex models. They carry inherent uncertainty and can shift significantly with new market data, company announcements, or broader economic changes. Future prices are never guaranteed.

Baidu, Inc. (BIDU) Company Profile & Business Overview

Understanding the fundamental business of Baidu, Inc. provides essential context for our financial analysis. Here’s a quick overview of the company:

Metric Value
Sector Communication Services
Industry Internet Content & Information
Market Cap 41.56 B
Employees 35,900
Website https://ir.baidu.com

Baidu’s Core Operations

Baidu, Inc. is a leading provider of online marketing and non-marketing value-added services in the People’s Republic of China, operating through a robust internet platform. The company structures its diverse operations into two primary segments: Baidu Core and iQIYI.

The Baidu Core segment is the powerhouse, offering an array of search-based, feed-based, and other online marketing services. It’s also a significant player in cloud services and a multitude of AI-powered products. This segment is home to the Baidu App, a central hub for users to access search, feeds, and various content via mobile devices. It also includes Haokan, a platform for short video content, and a rich portfolio of knowledge and information products like Baidu Wiki, Baidu Knows, and Baidu Experience.

Notably, Baidu Core is at the forefront of AI innovation with its ERNIE Bot, a generative AI offering, and Baidu Apollo auto solutions, including the Apollo Go autonomous ride-hailing service. The segment also provides Baidu Maps for travel services and develops advanced AI chips, showcasing its broad technological reach. For more details on their business, you can visit the Baidu Investor Relations page.

The iQIYI segment focuses on online entertainment, operating a popular video platform. This platform delivers a mix of original, professionally produced, and user-generated content, solidifying Baidu’s footprint in the digital entertainment space.

Baidu was incorporated in 2000 and maintains its headquarters in Beijing, People’s Republic of China, consistently adapting to the evolving digital landscape and consumer demands.

Baidu (BIDU) Total Valuation: Market Cap, Enterprise Value & Multiples

When assessing Baidu, Inc.’s valuation, we find some compelling figures. While the company holds a significant market capitalization of $41.56 billion, its enterprise value (EV) comes in lower at $13.98 billion. This difference is a positive signal, largely reflecting a strong net cash position of approximately $27.58 billion. This robust financial strength offers Baidu considerable flexibility and a cushion for future strategic investments.

The valuation ratios provide further insight. Baidu trades at 2.44x revenue and 11.06x EBITDA. These multiples suggest a valuation that acknowledges the company’s established market position and valuable brand assets. While these figures reflect a certain level of quality, they also imply that the stock may have limited room for error, as investors are already paying a premium for its current standing and potential.

A critical event on the horizon is the upcoming earnings report scheduled for November 18, 2025. This report will be instrumental in demonstrating whether Baidu’s diverse business segments can deliver growth commensurate with its current valuation. Essentially, while you’re investing in a company with a strong foundation, that quality comes with an expectation of continued performance.

Metric Value
Market Cap 41.56 B
Enterprise Value 13.98 B
EV/Revenue (TTM) 2.44x
EV/EBITDA (TTM) 11.06x
Next Earnings Date 2025-11-18

Baidu (BIDU) Share Statistics: Ownership & Short Interest Analysis

Let’s dive into the mechanics of Baidu’s shares and who holds them. With 278 million shares outstanding, nearly all of these are publicly available as float. A high float typically means investors can trade the stock with relative ease without causing drastic price fluctuations. However, it’s worth noting that a large float also implies the potential for share dilution if the company decides to issue more stock in the future.

Insider ownership, representing executives and major shareholders, stands at a modest 3.50%. While small, this still helps align their interests with those of general shareholders. Institutional ownership, which accounts for holdings by large investment firms, is also relatively low at 22.58%. This is below the average seen in many widely held stocks. A lower institutional presence could indicate that big-money investors have some reservations about performance or simply haven’t prioritized the company in their portfolios.

Metric Value
Shares Outstanding 278 M
Implied Shares Outstanding 349 M
Shares Float 2 B
Insider Ownership 3.50%
Institutional Ownership 22.58%
Shares Short 6 M
Short Ratio (Days To Cover) 1.40x
Short % of Float 2.42%
Shares Short (Prior Month) 8 M
Short Date 2025-10-31

Now, let’s consider short interest. Currently, 6 million shares are shorted, representing 2.42% of the float. This indicates that bearish sentiment is present but not at an extreme level. The short ratio, or “days to cover,” is 1.40x, meaning it would take approximately 1.4 days for short sellers to cover their positions if they all decided to buy back their shares simultaneously. This low ratio suggests that a significant “short squeeze” event is unlikely to heavily influence the stock price.

It’s worth noting that shares short have decreased from 8 million in the prior month (as of 2025-10-31), suggesting a slight shift away from bearish bets. While BIDU is liquid and easy to trade, its price may need stronger support from institutional investors or insiders to achieve sustained growth. You can often track these metrics and more on platforms like MarketWatch’s Baidu (BIDU) page.

Baidu (BIDU) Valuation Metrics: P/E, Price/Sales & EV Ratios

Examining Baidu’s valuation metrics offers a deeper understanding of how the market perceives its value. The company’s Trailing P/E ratio stands at 10.87x, and its Forward P/E is slightly lower at 10.75x. These figures suggest an attractive valuation opportunity, indicating that the market expects modest earnings improvement.

Beyond earnings, Baidu’s Price/Sales ratio (TTM) is $0.32, and its Price/Book ratio (MRQ) is $0.15. These multiples are quite low and warrant attention, as they can signal an undervalued asset or a company facing significant challenges. These metrics collectively provide critical insight into Baidu’s market positioning relative to its sales and book value.

Metric Value
Trailing P/E 10.87x
Forward P/E 10.75x
Price/Sales (TTM) $0.32
Price/Book (MRQ) $0.15
EV/Revenue (TTM) 2.44x
EV/EBITDA (TTM) 11.06x

From an enterprise value perspective, the EV/Revenue ratio of 2.44x suggests a reasonable valuation based on its top-line performance. Furthermore, the EV/EBITDA multiple of 11.06x points to a reasonable earnings-based valuation, considering the company’s operational profitability before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. Together, these valuation metrics paint a comprehensive picture of Baidu’s current standing in the market.

Baidu (BIDU) Financial Health: Debt, Liquidity & Cash Flow

Baidu’s financial health, much like any large tech company, presents a blend of strengths and areas to monitor. Its Return on Equity (ROE TTM) of 3.08% and Return on Assets (ROA TTM) of 1.87% reflect a decent, though not stellar, efficiency in utilizing capital. These figures can be seen in growing firms, but also suggest room for improvement in overall capital deployment.

Regarding debt, BIDU has a manageable Debt/Equity ratio (MRQ) of 0.34x. This is particularly reassuring given its substantial cash reserves of $124.81 billion against total debt of $97.24 billion. This strong net cash position provides financial flexibility and a buffer against economic headwinds, indicating that the company has wisely taken on a manageable debt load to fuel its operations and growth initiatives.

Metric Value
Return on Equity (ROE TTM) 3.08%
Return on Assets (ROA TTM) 1.87%
Debt/Equity (MRQ) 0.34x
Total Cash (MRQ) 124.81 B
Total Debt (MRQ) 97.24 B
Current Ratio (MRQ) 1.91x
Quick Ratio (MRQ) 1.65x
Operating Cash Flow (TTM) -3.27 B
Levered Free Cash Flow (TTM) 21.75 B

A key concern, however, is the negative operating cash flow (TTM) of -$3.27 billion. This indicates that Baidu’s core business activities are currently consuming more cash than they are generating, which is a metric investors should monitor closely. Despite this, the company’s liquidity position remains solid, with a Current Ratio (MRQ) of 1.91x and a Quick Ratio (MRQ) of 1.65x, suggesting it can comfortably cover its short-term liabilities.

Furthermore, Baidu’s $21.75 billion in Levered Free Cash Flow (TTM) implies it can still generate substantial cash for shareholders even after meeting its financial obligations. This positive free cash flow is a crucial indicator of financial strength and ability to reinvest or return capital to shareholders.

Baidu (BIDU) Financial Efficiency: Asset, Inventory & Cash Conversion

Delving into Baidu’s operational efficiency, we can gain insights into how effectively the company manages its assets and working capital. The Asset Turnover ratio of 0.30x suggests that Baidu generates $0.30 in revenue for every dollar of assets it holds. This indicates a lower level of efficiency in asset utilization that might benefit from improvement.

On the inventory front, an Inventory Turnover of 11.04x means Baidu reasonably sells and replaces its inventory approximately 11 times annually. This translates to about 33.1 Days Inventory Outstanding, a healthy rate for managing stock. When it comes to collecting payments, the Receivables Turnover of 12.91x and 28.3 Days Sales Outstanding reflect excellent collection practices, implying that customers are paying their invoices quite promptly.

Metric Value
Asset Turnover (TTM) 0.30x
Inventory Turnover (TTM) 11.04x
Receivables Turnover (TTM) 12.91x
Working Capital Turnover (TTM) 1.48x
Current Ratio (MRQ) 1.91x
Days Sales Outstanding 28.3
Days Inventory Outstanding 33.1
Cash Conversion Cycle ~61.4 days (partial)
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC TTM) 2.51%

The Working Capital Turnover of 1.48x suggests moderate use of short-term assets to support sales, which is further bolstered by a Current Ratio of 1.91x, signaling healthy liquidity. The Cash Conversion Cycle, estimated at approximately 61.4 days (partial), indicates that it takes roughly two months for Baidu to convert its inventory and receivables into cash. This is a manageable cycle, showing reasonable efficiency in cash flow generation.

However, the Return on Invested Capital (ROIC TTM) of 2.51% indicates lower capital efficiency, suggesting that Baidu could improve how effectively it generates returns from its invested capital. Overall, Baidu may need to focus on boosting its asset utilization to further enhance profitability. Investors should compare these figures with industry peers to fully gauge Baidu’s competitive positioning.

Baidu (BIDU) Profitability & Growth: Margins, Revenue & Earnings

An in-depth look at Baidu’s margin performance reveals a company with solid control over its costs and pricing strategies. The gross margin of 44.75% demonstrates the company’s effectiveness in managing its production costs. Furthermore, the operating margin of 3.52% indicates healthy profitability from its core operations before accounting for non-operating expenses.

The EBITDA margin, standing at 22.09%, suggests that Baidu is capable of generating strong cash flow from its operations, even before the impact of financing and tax strategies. All things considered, Baidu manages to retain approximately $6.90 in net profit for every $100 of revenue generated over the last twelve months, reflected in its profit margin of 6.90%.

Metric Value
Profit Margin (TTM) 6.90%
Operating Margin (TTM) 3.52%
Gross Margin (TTM) 44.75%
EBITDA Margin (TTM) 22.09%
Revenue (TTM) 130.46 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth (YoY) -7.10%
Gross Profit (TTM) 58.38 B
EBITDA (TTM) 28.82 B
Net Income (TTM) 8.41 B

While the business’s revenue is currently increasing at a slow rate, specifically a -7.10% year-over-year quarterly revenue growth, investors should closely monitor whether this pace can be sustained without eroding those healthy profit margins. This negative growth figure is a point of caution.

Baidu’s $28.82 billion in EBITDA and $58.38 billion in gross profit highlight its raw earning potential. However, the $8.41 billion in net income reveals how effectively it converts that power into bottom-line results. These indicators collectively suggest that Baidu is currently prioritizing strong profitability and cost control over aggressive top-line growth.

There’s a noticeable difference between the company’s gross (44.75%) and net (6.90%) margins, likely due to substantial operating expenses, interest costs, or taxes. These are key areas for investors to watch. Moving forward, maintaining steady or improving margins will be critical for Baidu, requiring it to defend its pricing power and control operating costs, especially if revenue growth continues to moderate.

Baidu (BIDU) Dividends & Shareholder Returns: What Investors Need to Know

For investors focused on income, it’s important to note that Baidu (BIDU) does not currently pay a regular dividend. This decision suggests that the company is prioritizing reinvesting its earnings back into the business. This strategy is common among growth-oriented tech companies that believe re-allocating capital into research, development, and market expansion will generate higher long-term returns for shareholders than immediate dividend payouts.

Metric Value
Payout Ratio 0.00%
Trailing Dividend Yield 0.00%
Last Split Date 2010-05-12
Last Split Factor 10:1

The dividend metrics reflect this strategy, showing a Payout Ratio, Trailing Dividend Rate, and Trailing Dividend Yield all at 0.00%. This means no portion of earnings is currently distributed as dividends. Additionally, the company’s last stock split occurred on May 12, 2010, with a 10:1 factor, which would have increased the number of shares outstanding for existing shareholders at that time.

Investors whose primary objective is income generation might find BIDU less appealing compared to dividend-paying stocks. However, those focused on capital appreciation and long-term growth might view the reinvestment strategy favorably, as it aims to enhance the company’s future value.

Baidu (BIDU) Technical Analysis: Charting Price Action & Momentum

Let’s turn our attention to the technical picture for Baidu (BIDU). The current price stands at $110.95, and the overall trend is considered BULLISH, but it’s showing signs of slowing down. The stock has experienced some downward pressure recently, losing -12.67% over the last 15 days. It’s crucial to analyze these technical signals to determine if this presents a buying opportunity or a warning of further declines.

Trend Strength – Still Bullish

Despite the recent dip, BIDU is trading above its key moving averages, which generally confirms that the broader uptrend remains intact. Specifically, the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $121.27 is currently acting as an immediate dynamic support level.

What This Means for Traders?

As long as BIDU maintains its position above the 20-day SMA ($121.27), the bullish momentum could theoretically continue. However, it’s important to recognize that rapid price increases can push a stock far from its averages, which often increases the risk of an eventual pullback. For up-to-the-minute technical data, financial news sites like MarketWatch are excellent resources.

Momentum Check – Potential Bounce Ahead?

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 28.4, which indicates oversold conditions. This reading often hints at a potential bounce as selling pressure may be exhausting. At the same time, the MACD histogram is negative, suggesting that the upward momentum that drove the earlier bullish trend is beginning to fade.

Trading Strategy:

This oversold RSI reading presents an interesting scenario. Aggressive traders might interpret this as a signal to look for short-term buying opportunities, anticipating a rebound. Conservative traders, however, would likely wait for the RSI to cross back above 30, which would serve as a more confirmed signal of a potential reversal and renewed upward momentum.

Bollinger Bands – Testing Key Levels

The stock is currently trading near the middle of its Bollinger Bands, with the 20-day SMA for the bands also at $121.27. The lower Bollinger Band, situated at $108.12, is providing the next significant level of potential support.

Volume Trends – Checking for Conviction

Trading volume for BIDU is currently hovering around its recent average. This provides neutral confirmation of the current price action, meaning there isn’t a strong surge of buying or selling interest to validate the recent moves.

What’s the Concern?

Rallies that occur on low volume are often prone to sharp reversals. If we don’t see a significant increase in buying interest to confirm any upward movement, a pullback becomes more likely. High volume adds conviction to price trends.

Support & Resistance – The Trading Plan

Understanding key support and resistance levels is fundamental for developing a trading strategy:

  • ✅ If BIDU holds above $121.27 (the 20-day SMA), the bullish trend is likely to continue, with the next target being the recent high of $133.51.
  • ⚠️ If BIDU breaks below $121.27, expect a dip towards the lower Bollinger Band, offering support at $108.12.
  • 🛑 A sustained drop below $108.12 could trigger a deeper correction, potentially testing the long-term support provided by the 200-day SMA, which is currently at $102.01.

Final Verdict – Should You Buy, Hold, or Sell?

  • Short-Term Traders: The trend is positive, but signs of exhaustion are present. A neutral stance might be prudent until clearer signals emerge from the MACD or a decisive shift in volume.
  • Long-Term Investors: The long-term uptrend remains valid as long as the price stays above the 200-day SMA ($102.01). A pullback to the area around the 50-day SMA ($124.25) could present a safer buying opportunity with a better risk/reward profile.
  • New Buyers: It’s advisable to avoid chasing the current rally. Instead, wait for a confirmed breakout above $133.51 accompanied by strong volume, or patiently await a pullback to the $121.27 area, which would offer a more attractive entry point.

Bottom Line: The technical indicators suggest that the current rally in BIDU might be losing short-term steam. While the long-term trend remains bullish, a correction seems plausible before the next major upward move. Exercise caution and wait for clear confirmations at key price levels before making significant moves.

Baidu (BIDU) Recent Historical Performance & Trading Data

Let’s examine Baidu’s recent trading activity to understand its short-term price dynamics. Over the last 15 trading days, from November 07, 2025, to November 21, 2025, BIDU’s stock posted a return of -11.92%. This indicates a notable period of downward pressure. During this time, the stock traded within a range of $108.01 to $133.51, reflecting a good degree of volatility. The average daily trading volume during this period was 4,150,420 shares, suggesting consistent, albeit not extraordinary, market activity.

Baidu (BIDU) Daily Trading Data: November 2025

Here’s a detailed breakdown of Baidu’s daily trading data for the recent period, providing granular insight into its price and volume movements.

Date Open High Low Close Volume
2025-11-21 $109.23 $112.99 $108.98 $110.95 2,758,100
2025-11-20 $116.96 $117.37 $110.30 $110.45 4,847,900
2025-11-19 $115.07 $116.51 $113.23 $115.49 3,033,700
2025-11-18 $109.40 $118.06 $108.01 $117.14 6,784,200
2025-11-17 $116.57 $118.25 $113.98 $114.11 3,861,200
2025-11-16 $117.87 $120.29 $115.34 $116.00 5,102,000
2025-11-15 $117.87 $120.29 $115.34 $116.00 5,102,000
2025-11-14 $117.87 $120.29 $115.34 $116.00 5,102,000
2025-11-13 $127.53 $127.90 $119.33 $120.65 6,033,800
2025-11-12 $129.38 $129.58 $126.83 $128.94 2,768,000
2025-11-11 $133.02 $133.51 $130.31 $131.95 3,450,100
2025-11-10 $130.02 $132.55 $129.02 $132.32 4,267,500
2025-11-09 $125.86 $126.61 $124.26 $125.96 3,048,600
2025-11-08 $125.86 $126.61 $124.26 $125.96 3,048,600
2025-11-07 $125.86 $126.61 $124.26 $125.96 3,048,600

Baidu (BIDU) Stock Price Statistics: Volatility & Moving Averages

When analyzing Baidu’s stock price behavior, several statistics stand out. Over the past year, BIDU has seen a high of $149.51 and a low of $74.71. This wide 52-week range indicates significant price fluctuations, likely driven by market sentiment shifts or company-specific news and developments.

From a trend perspective, the 50-day moving average currently sits at $126.54, which is above the 200-day moving average of $98.92. This “golden cross” configuration is typically viewed as a bullish signal, indicating positive long-term momentum and strength in the stock’s trend.

Metric Value
52 Week High $149.51
52 Week Low $74.71
50 Day MA $126.54
200 Day MA $98.92
Beta 0.43x
Volatility (30d Ann.) 41.1%

With a Beta of 0.43x, BIDU tends to be less volatile than the broader market, moving approximately 57% less than the market average. However, this lower beta is paired with a high 30-day annualized volatility of 41.1%, suggesting that while it might not swing as wildly as the overall market, BIDU itself experiences frequent and significant internal price movements. For investors, this implies a potential for gains but also a higher downside risk on a day-to-day basis. These indicators are crucial when deciding on position sizing or optimizing entry and exit timings, especially for those managing portfolios that balance stability with growth exposure.

Baidu (BIDU) Quarterly Earnings Performance & Growth Metrics

Let’s delve into Baidu’s recent quarterly performance to understand its operational trajectory. The latest reported quarter, 2025-Q3, shows revenue of $31.17 billion. However, this quarter also registered a net income of -$11.23 billion, indicating a loss. The earnings per share (EPS) for this period was -33.84x, with a gross margin of 41.2%.

Comparing this to previous quarters, we see some fluctuations. For instance, 2025-Q2 had revenue of $32.71 billion and a positive net income of $7.32 billion, with an EPS of 20.32x and a gross margin of 43.9%. The quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) revenue change for the most recent period was -4.7%, and the year-over-year (YoY) revenue growth stands at -7.1%, signaling a contraction in top-line performance.

Recent Quarterly Results (Last 4 Quarters)

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS Gross Margin
2025-Q3 31.17 B -11.23 B -33.84x 41.2%
2025-Q2 32.71 B 7.32 B 20.32x 43.9%
2025-Q1 32.45 B 7.72 B 21.60x 46.1%
2024-Q4 34.12 B 5.19 B 14.24x 47.2%

Growth Metrics

Metric Value
QoQ Revenue Growth -4.7%
QoQ Net Income Growth -253.4%
YoY Revenue Growth -7.1%

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Baidu (BIDU) Short Selling Insights: Bears’ Stance & Short Squeeze Potential

Understanding the level of short interest in a stock can provide valuable insight into bearish sentiment and potential market dynamics. Currently, 6 million shares of BIDU are held short. The short ratio, or “days to cover,” for Baidu stands at 1.4x. This means that, based on the stock’s recent average daily trading volume, it would take short sellers approximately 1.4 days to cover all their open positions.

This relatively low “days to cover” figure suggests that short sellers do not currently exert significant control over BIDU’s price, and the risk of a prolonged “short squeeze” (where a rapid increase in price forces short sellers to buy back shares, further driving up the price) is considered low. While there is a moderate percentage of the public float (2.42%) sold short, indicating some bearish sentiment, it’s far from an extreme level that might trigger major short-covering rallies.

Metric Value
Shares Short 6 M
Short Ratio (Days To Cover) 1.40x
Short % of Float 2.42%
Shares Short (Prior Month) 8 M
Short Date 2025-10-31

Interestingly, the number of shares short has decreased recently from 8 million in the prior month (as of 2025-10-31). This decline suggests a slight easing of bearish sentiment. Generally, lower short interest tends to instill more confidence in the market and reduces the risks of dramatic price swings stemming from sudden short-covering activities. For detailed regulatory filings and additional company information, investors can always check Baidu’s SEC filings (CIK: BIDU).

Baidu (BIDU) Risk Analysis: Volatility, Drawdown & VaR

Every investment carries risk, and for Baidu (BIDU), its risk profile reveals a few key characteristics that potential investors should consider. The stock exhibits high volatility, with an annualized volatility of 37.9%. This figure signals a significant degree of price fluctuation, which translates into a higher investment risk. Investors should be prepared for potentially wider price swings, both up and down.

The Sharpe ratio, at 0.03x, suggests mixed risk-adjusted returns. A low Sharpe ratio indicates that the returns generated do not adequately compensate for the level of risk taken. Furthermore, the maximum drawdown of -77.47% is a stark reminder of the significant downside risk BIDU has experienced during adverse market conditions in the past. This historical metric highlights the potential for substantial capital loss if similar market downturns were to occur.

Metric Value
Volatility (Annualized) 37.9%
Value at Risk (5%) -3.50%
Value at Risk (1%) -6.40%
Sharpe Ratio 0.03x
Sortino Ratio 0.05x
Maximum Drawdown -77.47%
Skewness 1.55x
Kurtosis 25.62x

To further quantify risk, the Value at Risk (VaR) at a 5% confidence level shows a potential loss of -3.50% in the worst 5% of scenarios. At a 1% confidence level, the potential loss increases to -6.40%. The Sortino ratio of 0.05x provides an additional lens, specifically focusing on downside risk and offering further insight into risk-adjusted performance by penalizing only negative volatility.

Finally, the Skewness of 1.55x and Kurtosis of 25.62x suggest that BIDU’s returns distribution has a positive skew (more frequent small gains, fewer large losses, but potential for extreme positive outliers) and heavy tails (more frequent extreme events than a normal distribution). Investors should carefully weigh these comprehensive risk metrics against their personal risk tolerance and specific investment objectives before making any decisions.

Baidu (BIDU) Sentiment Analysis: News, Analysts & Options Market

Current market sentiment for Baidu (BIDU) reveals a cautiously positive outlook. The composite sentiment score stands at 0.32x, categorizing the overall sentiment as “Positive,” albeit with a confidence level of 40.6%. This positive sentiment is a synthesis of various data sources, including recent news coverage, analyst recommendations, and activity within the options market.

Metric Value
Composite Sentiment Score 0.32x
Sentiment Classification Positive
Sentiment Confidence 40.6%
News Sentiment Neutral (0.06x)
Analyst Sentiment Positive (0.40x)
Options Sentiment Positive (0.25x)
Put/Call Ratio 0.38x

Breaking down the components further, news analysis shows a “Neutral” sentiment with a score of 0.06x, suggesting that recent headlines haven’t leaned strongly bullish or bearish. However, analyst consensus is decidedly “Positive” at 0.40x, indicating that financial experts generally view the stock favorably. The options market also reflects “Positive” sentiment, scoring 0.25x, with a Put/Call Ratio of 0.38x, which often suggests that call options (bets on price increases) are more actively traded than put options (bets on price declines).

These sentiment indicators are valuable tools, but they should always be considered in conjunction with thorough fundamental and technical analysis. A holistic approach provides the most comprehensive investment perspective, helping you to understand not just what the market is doing, but why.

Baidu (BIDU) Peer Comparison: How It Stacks Up Against Competitors

To truly understand Baidu’s position, it’s essential to compare it against its industry peers. Here, we stack BIDU against two notable competitors: 1024.HK (Tencent Holdings) and 300418.SZ (iFlytek Co., Ltd.). Baidu, with its $41.56 billion market cap, is the smallest among these, dwarfed by 1024.HK’s massive $305.33 billion and even trailing 300418.SZ’s $57.36 billion.

In terms of valuation, BIDU’s conservative P/E ratio of 10.87 suggests a value-oriented pricing. In contrast, 1024.HK trades at a higher P/E of 17.53, while 300418.SZ has a significantly higher P/E of 34.10, potentially reflecting stronger growth expectations or different market dynamics. This indicates BIDU may be seen as a more mature or slower-growth business relative to some peers.

Metric BIDU 1024.HK 300418.SZ
Market Cap $41.56B $305.33B $57.36B
P/E Ratio 10.87 17.53 34.10
Revenue Growth -7.10% 14.20% 56.20%
Net Margin 6.90% 12.52% -21.39%
EPS 10.97 4.03 -1.33
ROE 3.08% 26.11% -12.59%
Debt-to-Equity 33.81 31.04 13.17
Dividend Yield 0.00% 0.00% 15.00%
52-Week Range 74.71 – 149.51 37.90 – 92.60 27.13 – 54.00

When it comes to growth, Baidu’s revenue declined by -7.1%, a stark contrast to 1024.HK’s robust 14.20% and 300418.SZ’s even stronger 56.20%. This suggests Baidu is facing significant top-line challenges compared to its peers. Profitability also varies; BIDU’s 6.9% net margin shows modest positive profitability, while 1024.HK boasts a healthier 12.52%, and 300418.SZ is contending with significant losses at -21.39%.

In terms of returns on equity, BIDU’s 3.08% ROE is modest, significantly lower than 1024.HK’s impressive 26.11%. On the balance sheet, BIDU’s 33.81 debt-to-equity ratio suggests a relatively strong financial footing, comparable to 1024.HK (31.04) but higher than 300418.SZ (13.17), which has lower debt levels. Finally, dividend policies diverge: 300418.SZ offers a substantial 15.00% dividend yield, rewarding shareholders with payouts, whereas both BIDU and 1024.HK prioritize reinvesting all cash into growth, with 0.00% dividend yields.

Baidu (BIDU) Insider Transactions: Recent Activity & Ownership Insights

When evaluating a stock, insider transaction data can often provide valuable clues about management’s confidence in the company’s future. However, for Baidu (BIDU), there is no insider transaction data available for the past 3 months.

Key Risk Factors for Baidu (BIDU) Investors

Potential investors in Baidu (BIDU) should be fully aware of the inherent risks associated with this investment. While this list highlights key considerations derived from recent data and market dynamics, it’s crucial to remember that it may not encompass every possible risk.

  • ⚠️ The current price of $119.21 is trading below its 50-Day Simple Moving Average ($124.25), indicating potential short-term weakness and a loss of momentum.
  • ⚠️ The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is low at 28.4 (below 30), suggesting potential oversold conditions. While this could precede a rebound, it also indicates strong recent selling pressure that could continue.
  • ⚠️ Baidu has experienced negative year-over-year revenue growth of -7.10%. This decline in top-line performance poses a significant risk to future profitability and overall financial health.
  • ⚠️ As a company in the Communication Services sector, BIDU is susceptible to general market fluctuations, broader economic conditions, and shifts in consumer spending habits, particularly in its primary market, China.

Baidu (BIDU) Analyst Insights & Consensus: Price Targets & Recommendations

The sentiment from Wall Street analysts regarding Baidu (BIDU) provides a valuable perspective for investors. The average recommendation among analysts is currently a “Buy.” This consensus view is based on the input from 31 analyst(s) who contribute to this assessment.

Analyst price targets for BIDU vary, with the mean target price set at $151.05. The range of these targets is quite broad, stretching from a low of $88.25 to a high of an optimistic $243.88. Based on the mean target price of $151.05, this implies a potential upside of approximately +26.7% from the current price of $119.21. This reflects a generally positive overall analyst sentiment regarding the stock’s future outlook and potential for appreciation.

Metric Value
Recommendation Buy
Mean Target Price $151.05
High Target Price $243.88
Low Target Price $88.25
Number of Analyst Opinions 31

It’s important for investors to remember that analyst opinions are just one piece of the puzzle. While they offer professional insights, their targets and recommendations can change, and actual stock performance may vary. Always combine these insights with your own thorough research and risk assessment.

Latest Baidu (BIDU) News & Market Developments (Last 2-3 Days)

Staying current with the latest news and developments is paramount for understanding potential catalysts and impacts on Baidu (BIDU). Here are some of the most recent headlines that could influence investor sentiment and the stock’s trajectory:

  • Baidu, Carvana, Flutter Entertainment: Top Analyst Calls
    Publisher: Yahoo Finance Video
    Published: 2025-11-24T15:55:00Z
  • Bolt partners with Pony.ai for driverless cars in Europe
    Publisher: Reuters
    Published: 2025-11-25T00:06:22Z
  • Here are Monday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Baidu, Carvana, Exact Sciences, Ferrari, Marvell Technology, Meta Platforms and More
    Publisher: 24/7 Wall St.
    Published: 2025-11-24T14:20:45Z
  • Is Baidu Inc. (BIDU) a Buy as Wall Street Analysts Look Optimistic?
    Publisher: Zacks
    Published: 2025-11-21T14:30:04Z
  • Baidu’s (BIDU) AI Push Offsets Weak Ads, Analyst Raises Target to $158
    Publisher: Insider Monkey
    Published: 2025-11-21T14:12:24Z

These recent developments highlight Baidu’s continued involvement in AI and autonomous driving, as well as ongoing analyst attention, despite recent stock performance. News regarding partnerships, analyst upgrades, or general market sentiment shifts are crucial for investors to monitor.

Baidu (BIDU) Stock: Conclusion & Investment Outlook

Bringing all our findings together, Baidu (BIDU) currently presents a complex picture for investors. From a technical standpoint, the stock displays a “Neutral” sentiment with a mixed price trend, trading below its 50-day moving average but holding above its 200-day. An intriguing point is the oversold RSI at 28.4, which might signal a potential short-term rebound.

Short-Term Technical Snapshot

  • Overall Technical Sentiment: Neutral
  • Price Trend vs MAs: mixed (below SMA50, above SMA200)
  • ➕ Momentum (RSI): Oversold (28.4)
  • 📊 Support / Resistance (30d): ~$108.01 / ~$133.51

Looking at the longer-term fundamental and forecast outlook, the situation becomes more nuanced. Our model’s 1-year average forecast suggests a potential significant downside of approximately -38.5%, targeting around $73.35. However, the fundamental health assessment, while incomplete, shows a modest ROE of 3.08% and a manageable Debt/Equity of 0.34x, indicating a degree of stability.

Longer-Term Fundamental & Forecast Outlook

  • ▼ 1-Year Avg. Forecast: ~-38.5% avg. change to ≈$73.35
  • ● Fundamental Health: Assessment Incomplete (ROE: 3.08%, D/E: 0.34x)
  • ➕ Valuation Snapshot: Potentially Attractive (Fwd P/E: 10.75x)
  • ▲ Analyst Consensus: Buy (Target: $151.05)

Overall Assessment & Outlook

Synthesizing all the data, BIDU currently shows Neutral technicals combined with moderate fundamentals. The current valuation appears “Potentially Attractive” with a Forward P/E of 10.75x. However, the model-driven 1-year forecast implies a potential downside of -38.5% to an average target near $73.35, which contrasts with the bullish analyst consensus target of $151.05.

Investors must carefully consider these contrasting views and the potential risks outlined earlier, such as negative revenue growth and high volatility. Your investment decisions should always align with your strategic goals and personal risk tolerance. The interplay of oversold technical conditions, mixed fundamental signals, and a split view between model forecasts and analyst consensus suggests that Baidu is a stock requiring careful and informed consideration.

Frequently Asked Questions About Baidu (BIDU) Stock

What is the BIDU stock price prediction for the next year (2025-2026)?

Based on our current models, the average 1-year price forecast for BIDU is approximately $73.35. This represents a potential -38.5% change from the recent price of $119.21. It’s crucial to remember that this is a model-driven estimate, not a guarantee, and actual prices will fluctuate significantly based on numerous market factors and company developments.

Will BIDU stock go up or down?

The 1-year forecast model suggests the price might decrease significantly on average (-38.5% potential). However, the short-term direction is highly uncertain and heavily influenced by prevailing market sentiment (currently ‘Neutral’), breaking news, and overall economic conditions. Technical indicators, such as the oversold RSI, might provide clues for near-term directional shifts.

Is BIDU stock a good investment right now?

Deciding if BIDU is a ‘good buy’ right now involves balancing various elements: ‘Neutral’ technicals, a model-driven -38.5% forecast potential, and a ‘Potentially Attractive’ valuation. Technically, the RSI at 28.4 indicates oversold conditions, potentially signaling a rebound opportunity. You should weigh the company’s valuation, stability, and growth prospects against your own investment goals and risk profile. Also, note that four potentially significant risk factors specific to BIDU were identified in our analysis. This report is informational; always consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

How volatile is BIDU stock?

Based on the recent 30-day price action, BIDU’s annualized volatility is approximately 41.1%. This level is considered elevated, indicating a significant degree of recent price fluctuation. This aligns with its Beta of 0.43x, which suggests it is less volatile than the broader market but still experiences substantial internal swings. Higher volatility implies larger potential price movements, both upwards and downwards.

What is BIDU’s P/E ratio and what does it mean?

BIDU’s Trailing P/E ratio (based on past earnings) is 10.87x, which is considered relatively low and could suggest potential value or lower growth expectations. The Forward P/E (based on expected earnings) is slightly lower at 10.75x. A P/E ratio indicates how much investors are paying per dollar of earnings. You should compare this to industry peers and historical levels. A low P/E isn’t necessarily bad if it signals value, but a high P/E could be justified by strong growth prospects.

What are the key upcoming events for BIDU?

The next major event for BIDU is its earnings report and earnings call, both scheduled for November 18, 2025. Beyond these, investors should closely monitor macroeconomic shifts, competitive actions within the Internet Content & Information sector, and any major corporate announcements related to Baidu’s AI initiatives or autonomous driving ventures.

What does BIDU’s liquidity position reveal about its financial health?

BIDU’s financial health includes a strong Current Ratio of 1.91x, suggesting it can comfortably cover its short-term liabilities. However, its operating cash flow is currently negative at -$3.27 billion. Despite this, its levered free cash flow of $21.75 billion provides a significant buffer and is a critical factor in its ability to fund operations, manage debt, and potentially return value to shareholders.

 

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