As a financial journalist, I’m constantly diving into the numbers to uncover what’s truly happening with major tech players. Today, we’re putting Adobe Inc. (ADBE) under the microscope. This software giant, currently valued at $136.95 billion, operates at the heart of the Software – Application industry. The big questions on every investor’s mind are: does the current stock price reflect fair value, and is Adobe poised for continued growth as we head into 2026? Let’s break down the performance of ADBE stock in today’s market.
ADBE Snapshot: Key Insights for Investors Right Now
Here’s what you absolutely need to know: Adobe’s stock is trading at $322.85 as of early December 2025. What’s interesting is that it’s currently caught in a bearish trend, sitting below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. This is a crucial signal for many traders.
When we look at analyst sentiment, there’s a mix of caution and optimism. While the 1-year price target suggests a potential -23.9% downside to $245.63, the average analyst consensus target is actually much higher at $450.03, representing a potential +39.4% upside. This discrepancy often points to differing models and market views. Plus, with an annualized volatility of 19.1%, expect some significant price swings.
Fundamentally, Adobe’s story is nuanced. On the positive side, the company continues to show solid revenue growth, up 10.70% year-over-year. However, it’s operating in an incredibly competitive sector, which always presents challenges. The company also carries $6.66 billion in debt, which is a factor to consider in any interest-rate environment.
What You’ll Discover in This Comprehensive Adobe Stock Report
My goal here isn’t just to present data; it’s to give you actionable insights. We’re going to peel back the layers of ADBE’s stock performance so you can make a truly informed decision. Here’s what we’ll cover:
- Is now the right time to buy ADBE? We’ll examine both technical indicators, which currently lean bearish (though RSI is neutral at 47.1), and fundamental strengths, particularly its debt levels and growth metrics.
- Can Adobe’s core operations sustain future growth? We’ll explore how its dominant position in Software – Application and its ability to navigate competitive pressures will drive its future.
- What are the biggest risks for Adobe investors? Beyond the debt load, fierce competition from both established players and agile new entrants remains a significant headwind.
Forget the overly complicated jargon or the simplistic “just buy it” advice. This report aims to provide clear, useful information, whether you’re building a long-term portfolio or looking for short-term opportunities. So, is Adobe Inc. the right fit for your investment strategy, or are there hidden issues to be cautious about? Let’s dive into the data together.
ADBE Stock Key Metrics & 2025-2026 Forecast Summary
Let’s start with a quick overview of Adobe’s current market standing and what the immediate future might hold. These key metrics give us a snapshot of where ADBE is today.
| Metric | Value | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | $322.85 | Live Market Price |
| 1-Month Forecast | $322.85 | +0.0% Potential |
| 1-Year Forecast | $245.63 | -23.9% Potential Downside |
| Analyst Mean Target | $450.03 | +39.4% Potential Upside |
| Trend | Bearish | Price < SMA 50/200 |
| RSI (14-day) | 47.1 | Neutral |
| MACD | 0.68 | Bullish Short-Term Trend |
| Above SMA 50 | $333.44 | Current price is below this level |
| Above SMA 200 | $361.78 | Current price is below this level |
| 52-Week Range | $311.59 – $557.90 | |
| Volatility (30d Ann.) | 19.1% | |
| Beta (vs. Market) | 1.54x | High Sensitivity |
| Green Days (30d) | 18/30 (60%) | |
| Institutional Ownership | 86.00% | |
| Short % of Float | 2.94% | Moderate Bets |
Right now, Adobe’s stock is trading at $322.85. The technical indicators are pointing to a bearish pattern because the price is currently below both its 50-day ($333.44) and 200-day ($361.78) moving averages. This setup suggests the stock has been losing ground recently.
However, it’s not all one-sided. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at a neutral 47.1, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator is showing a bullish short-term trend at 0.68, which means we might see minor pullbacks before the next upward move. This mixed signal requires careful observation.
Looking back at the past year, ADBE’s stock has fluctuated significantly, trading between a low of $311.59 and a high of $557.90. The current price is near the lower end of this range, which could suggest that major downward swings are less likely without a significant new catalyst. Analysts are forecasting a challenging year ahead, with a 1-year target of $245.63 (a -23.9% drop), yet the average consensus target is a much more optimistic $450.03 (a +39.4% gain). These divergent views highlight the uncertainty.
Finally, with a substantial 86.00% institutional ownership and a very low short interest of 2.94%, most large investors are betting on Adobe’s long-term success rather than anticipating a decline. This institutional backing can often provide a degree of stability.
Detailed ADBE Price Forecast Table: Monthly Projections
Let’s get into the specifics of the model’s forecast for Adobe’s stock. Over the next year, the model projects ADBE’s price will fluctuate between approximately $204.32 and $359.69. Interestingly, the forecast uncertainty appears quite steady, with the projected price range showing minimal change over the horizon.
Below is a breakdown of the monthly forecast, showing projected price bands, potential ROI against the current price ($322.85), and the resulting model signal for each period.
| Month (Period) | Min. Price | Avg. Price | Max. Price | Potential ROI vs Current ($322.85) | Model Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12 | $322.85 | $322.85 | $322.85 | 0.0% | Hold/Neutral |
| 2026-01 | $279.20 | $320.18 | $359.69 | -0.8% | Hold/Neutral |
| 2026-02 | $280.00 | $310.37 | $344.37 | -3.9% | Consider Short |
| 2026-03 | $242.59 | $290.56 | $328.82 | -10.0% | Consider Short |
| 2026-04 | $242.15 | $274.45 | $312.65 | -15.0% | Consider Short |
| 2026-05 | $231.98 | $266.82 | $304.85 | -17.4% | Consider Short |
| 2026-06 | $224.96 | $269.00 | $305.52 | -16.7% | Consider Short |
| 2026-07 | $234.63 | $276.98 | $311.06 | -14.2% | Consider Short |
| 2026-08 | $226.15 | $277.32 | $331.76 | -14.1% | Consider Short |
| 2026-09 | $216.44 | $270.19 | $325.15 | -16.3% | Consider Short |
| 2026-10 | $211.52 | $252.83 | $314.50 | -21.7% | Consider Short |
| 2026-11 | $204.32 | $245.63 | $296.12 | -23.9% | Consider Short |
| 2026-12 | $210.08 | $246.05 | $288.12 | -23.8% | Consider Short |
It’s important to remember that these forecasts are model-based estimates. They’re inherently uncertain and can change rapidly based on new data and market shifts. They don’t guarantee future prices, but they do offer a perspective on potential trajectories.
Adobe Inc. (ADBE) Company Profile: Innovation in Software
Before we delve deeper into the numbers, it’s always good to understand the company behind the stock. Adobe Inc. is a global technology powerhouse.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Technology |
| Industry | Software – Application |
| Market Cap | $136.95 B |
| Employees | 30,709 |
| Website | https://www.adobe.com |
Business Overview: Powering Creativity & Digital Experiences
Understanding Adobe’s core business is crucial for context. Adobe Inc. operates worldwide, primarily through two key segments. Its Digital Media segment is probably what most people think of: it offers products and services that empower individuals, teams, and enterprises to create, publish, and promote content. This includes their Document Cloud, a robust cloud-based document services platform, and the widely popular Creative Cloud, a subscription service packed with creative apps like Photoshop, Illustrator, and Premiere Pro, all integrated with cloud-delivered services across various platforms.
This segment caters to a vast audience, from photographers and video editors to graphic designers, game developers, content creators, students, marketers, and knowledge workers. It’s truly the backbone of modern digital creation.
Then there’s the Digital Experience segment, which provides an integrated platform of products, services, and solutions. This segment is all about helping brands and businesses create, manage, execute, measure, monetize, and optimize customer experiences, from analytics to commerce. Think about all the tools marketers, advertisers, agencies, and e-commerce businesses use to understand and engage with their customers – that’s where Adobe’s Digital Experience shines. It serves executives across the C-suite who are focused on customer journeys.
Finally, the Publishing and Advertising segment offers specialized solutions like e-learning, technical document publishing, web conferencing, and, of course, Adobe Advertising. The company supports its customers with consulting, training, technical support, and various learning services, ensuring they get the most out of their products.
Adobe distributes its products through a diverse network including app stores, its own website (adobe.com), distributors, retailers, software developers, and strategic partners. They even recently announced a strategic alliance with HUMAIN to develop generative AI models and AI-powered applications, highlighting their commitment to future innovation. Founded in 1982 and headquartered in San Jose, California, Adobe Systems Incorporated officially changed its name to Adobe Inc. in October 2018.
Total Valuation: Assessing Adobe’s Market Worth (ADBE)
When we look at Adobe’s valuation, a few interesting points emerge. While its market capitalization stands at $136.95 billion, its enterprise value (EV) is slightly higher at $137.66 billion. This indicates a relatively balanced financial structure. The company maintains a strong net cash position of approximately $710.00 million, providing a valuable financial cushion and flexibility for future strategic investments.
Delving into the valuation ratios, we see Adobe trades at a premium. An EV/Revenue (TTM) of 5.86x and an EV/EBITDA (TTM) of 14.99x suggest the market is valuing the company’s strong brand, market position, and consistent performance. However, this premium also implies that there might be less room for error in future performance. The upcoming earnings report on December 10, 2025, will be a critical moment to see if Adobe’s core businesses can continue to justify this valuation. Essentially, investors are paying for quality, and quality rarely comes cheap.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | $136.95 B |
| Enterprise Value | $137.66 B |
| EV/Revenue (TTM) | 5.86x |
| EV/EBITDA (TTM) | 14.99x |
| Next Earnings Date | 2025-12-10 |
| Ex-Dividend Date | 2005-03-24 |
ADBE Share Statistics: Understanding Ownership & Float
Let’s take a look at Adobe’s share structure, which can offer clues about market liquidity and investor confidence. Nearly all of the company’s 419 million shares are publicly available as float (417 million), meaning a large portion of the stock can be traded freely without causing significant price shifts. While this offers good liquidity, that a high float also means the company could potentially issue more shares, which might dilute the value of existing stock.
Interestingly, executives and major shareholders hold a relatively small portion of the company, at just 0.21%. This might suggest a limited amount of “skin in the game” from insiders, though it’s not always a definitive indicator of future performance. On the flip side, institutional ownership is quite substantial, coming in at an impressive 86.00%. This high level of institutional backing often provides a degree of stability and signals confidence from large, professional investors.
Now, let’s consider short interest. Currently, about 12 million shares, or 2.94% of the float, are sold short. This moderate level suggests that bearish sentiment isn’t overwhelmingly strong. It’s always good to monitor changes in short interest, as a sharp increase could signal growing doubt among some investors. Conversely, very low short interest during positive news events can sometimes prevent a “short squeeze,” where a rapid price increase forces short sellers to buy back shares, further driving up the price.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 419 M |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 424 M |
| Shares Float | 417 M |
| Insider Ownership | 0.21% |
| Institutional Ownership | 86.00% |
| Shares Short | 12 M |
| Short Ratio (Days To Cover) | 3.50x |
| Short % of Float | 2.94% |
| Shares Short (Prior Month) | 12 M |
| Short Date | 2025-11-14 |
Adobe’s Valuation Metrics: P/E, Price/Sales, & EV Ratios
When assessing Adobe’s valuation, we look at a range of metrics to understand how the market is pricing the company relative to its earnings, sales, and assets. ADBE’s trailing P/E ratio stands at 20.12x, while its forward P/E is a more attractive 15.71x. This suggests that the market anticipates solid earnings growth ahead, making its current valuation appear reasonably positioned.
However, when we look at other multiples, the picture becomes a bit more nuanced. The Price/Sales ratio of 5.91x and Price/Book of 11.52x indicate that Adobe trades at premiums that warrant attention. These figures highlight the market’s appreciation for Adobe’s strong brand and recurring revenue model, but they also mean investors are paying a higher price for each dollar of sales and book value.
From an enterprise value perspective, an EV/Revenue ratio of 5.86x suggests a reasonable valuation based on its top-line performance. Yet, the EV/EBITDA multiple of 14.99x could imply a potentially stretched valuation when considering earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. Together, these valuation metrics offer a comprehensive view of Adobe’s current market positioning, suggesting a balance between strong market confidence and a valuation that demands continued growth.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Trailing P/E | 20.12x |
| Forward P/E | 15.71x |
| Price/Sales (TTM) | $5.91 |
| Price/Book (MRQ) | $11.52 |
| EV/Revenue (TTM) | 5.86x |
| EV/EBITDA (TTM) | 14.99x |
Financial Health Check: Adobe’s Balance Sheet Strength
Adobe’s financial health appears quite robust, showcasing several key strengths that should reassure investors. Its Return on Equity (ROE) of 52.88% and Return on Assets (ROA) of 18.09% are impressive figures. These ratios reflect a highly efficient use of capital, often seen in companies with strong competitive advantages and fast growth.
Looking at its debt structure, the 0.57x Debt/Equity ratio is manageable, especially considering Adobe holds $5.94 billion in cash against $6.66 billion in total debt. This indicates that the company has taken on a reasonable debt load to fuel its operations and growth without becoming overly leveraged. Moreover, Adobe’s ability to generate $9.79 billion in operating cash flow (TTM) proves that its core business can steadily produce significant cash, which is a major strength in any economic environment.
In terms of liquidity, a Current Ratio of 1.02x and a Quick Ratio of 0.87x demonstrate a solid position, indicating the company can comfortably cover its short-term liabilities. Furthermore, Adobe’s $8.50 billion in levered free cash flow suggests it can still generate substantial cash for shareholders even after meeting all its financial obligations. This financial flexibility is a strong indicator of stability and potential for future investments or shareholder returns.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Return on Equity (ROE TTM) | 52.88% |
| Return on Assets (ROA TTM) | 18.09% |
| Debt/Equity (MRQ) | 0.57x |
| Total Cash (MRQ) | $5.94 B |
| Total Debt (MRQ) | $6.66 B |
| Current Ratio (MRQ) | 1.02x |
| Quick Ratio (MRQ) | 0.87x |
| Operating Cash Flow (TTM) | $9.79 B |
| Levered Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $8.50 B |
Financial Efficiency: How Adobe Manages Assets & Capital
Adobe’s financial efficiency metrics offer a peek into how effectively the company converts its assets and working capital into revenue and profits. Its Asset Turnover of 0.77x implies that Adobe generates $0.77 in revenue for every dollar of assets it holds. While this indicates moderate efficiency, there’s always room for improvement in asset utilization to boost overall profitability.
On the collections front, Adobe truly shines. A Receivables Turnover of 11.19x and Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) of 32.6 signal extremely strong collections, meaning customers are paying their invoices quickly. This is a testament to efficient credit management and the value customers place on Adobe’s products.
Furthermore, the Working Capital Turnover of 32.60x highlights highly efficient use of short-term assets to support sales. This efficiency is supported by a Current Ratio of 1.02x, which, as we saw earlier, indicates adequate liquidity to manage short-term obligations. Perhaps most impressively, Adobe’s Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) stands at a robust 35.26%. This figure demonstrates how effectively Adobe generates returns from the capital invested in its business, showcasing strong capital efficiency.
While Adobe demonstrates strengths in several areas, investors might want to compare these figures against industry peers to truly gauge its competitive positioning and identify areas where asset utilization could be further optimized.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Asset Turnover (TTM) | 0.77x |
| Receivables Turnover (TTM) | 11.19x |
| Working Capital Turnover (TTM) | 32.60x |
| Current Ratio (MRQ) | 1.02x |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 32.6 |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC TTM) | 35.26% |
Profitability & Growth: Adobe’s Margins and Revenue Momentum
Delving into Adobe’s margin performance reveals a company with a strong grasp on its costs and pricing power. A stellar gross margin of 89.14% clearly shows Adobe’s success in controlling production costs, a hallmark of software businesses. This efficiency extends to its core operations, reflected in a healthy operating margin of 36.29%.
The 39.08% EBITDA margin further underscores Adobe’s capability to generate strong cash flow from its operations before accounting for financing and tax strategies. Overall, Adobe manages to hold onto about 30.01% in net profit for every dollar of revenue over the last twelve months. This is a solid net profit margin, especially for a company of its size.
Adobe isn’t just profitable; it’s also growing. The business’s revenue is increasing at a respectable rate of 10.70% year-over-year. However, investors should closely monitor whether this growth pace can be sustained without eroding those impressive profit margins. The balance between aggressive growth and maintaining profitability is always a key area of focus for mature tech companies.
With $9.06 billion in EBITDA and $20.66 billion in gross profit, Adobe clearly possesses substantial raw earning power. Its $6.96 billion in net income demonstrates its effectiveness in converting that power into bottom-line results. The company appears to be skillfully balancing its pursuit of growth with the need to maintain strong profitability. While gross margins are robust, there’s a noticeable gap between the gross (89.14%) and net (30.01%) margins. This difference is likely due to operating expenses, interest costs, or taxes, which are important areas for investors to watch.
Looking ahead, maintaining or improving these margins will be critical. Adobe needs to continue defending its pricing power and diligently controlling operating costs, especially if revenue growth were to moderate. These factors will be key determinants of sustained profitability.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Profit Margin (TTM) | 30.01% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | 36.29% |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 89.14% |
| EBITDA Margin (TTM) | 39.08% |
| Revenue (TTM) | $23.18 B |
| Quarterly Revenue Growth (YoY) | 10.70% |
| Gross Profit (TTM) | $20.66 B |
| EBITDA (TTM) | $9.06 B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $6.96 B |
| Earnings Growth (YoY) | 11.20% |
Dividends & Shareholder Returns: Adobe’s Capital Allocation Strategy
Dividend Policy & Investor Implications for ADBE
For income-focused investors, it’s important to note that Adobe Inc. (ADBE) does not currently pay a regular dividend. The payout ratio stands at 0.00%, and the trailing dividend rate is $0.00, resulting in a 0.00% trailing dividend yield. This strategy suggests that Adobe is prioritizing reinvesting its earnings back into the business to fuel further growth and innovation, rather than distributing profits directly to shareholders through dividends.
Historically, the 5-year average dividend yield is very low at 0.12%, reinforcing this growth-oriented approach. While a lack of dividends might deter some income investors, it’s often viewed positively by growth investors who prefer to see capital deployed to expand market share, develop new products, or make strategic acquisitions. The last recorded ex-dividend date was way back on March 24, 2005, and the last stock split (2:1) occurred on May 24, 2005. These historical dates highlight a long-standing pattern of focusing on growth rather than regular payouts.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Payout Ratio | 0.00% |
| 5 Year Average Dividend Yield | 0.12% |
| Trailing Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| Ex-Dividend Date | 2005-03-24 |
| Last Split Date | 2005-05-24 |
| Last Split Factor | 2:1 |
ADBE Technical Analysis: Charting Current Trends & Levels
Adobe’s stock is currently trading at $322.85, and the overarching trend is undeniably bearish, showing signs of continued weakening. In the last 15 days alone, the stock has dipped by -2.49%, putting downward pressure on its price. So, is this a potential buying opportunity for contrarian investors, or a clear warning sign of deeper declines? Let’s dissect the technicals to find out.
Trend Strength: Adobe’s Current Bearish Path
ADBE is firmly entrenched in a bearish trend, trading below its key moving averages. This setup is a strong signal for caution. The 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $323.66 is now acting as a significant overhead resistance level. As long as the price remains below this point, the bearish trend is likely to persist. A rejection from this average could very well lead to a re-test of recent lows.
Momentum Check: RSI & MACD Signals for ADBE Stock
When we check the momentum indicators, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) at 47.1 sits squarely in the neutral zone. This means the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, indicating a balanced momentum. However, what’s interesting is that the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) histogram is positive, suggesting that some upward momentum is still in play, particularly in the short-term.
For traders, this neutral RSI reading offers flexibility. The next decisive directional clue will likely come from a clear MACD crossover or a significant break of a key support or resistance level.
Bollinger Bands: Identifying Adobe’s Volatility & Key Levels
Looking at the Bollinger Bands, Adobe’s stock is currently trading near the middle band, which aligns with its 20-day SMA at $323.66. The lower Bollinger Band, currently at $311.01, represents the next critical level of support. This area could potentially halt further declines if the price reaches it.
Volume Trends: Gauging Conviction in ADBE’s Price Action
Trading volume for ADBE is currently hovering around its recent average. This provides a neutral confirmation of the current price action. In other words, there isn’t an overwhelming surge of buying or selling pressure indicated by volume, which suggests the current trend, while bearish, isn’t being driven by extreme conviction from either bulls or bears.
Support & Resistance: Your ADBE Trading Plan
Here’s a practical trading plan based on these key technical levels:
- ✅ If ADBE holds above $323.66: A sustained move above this 20-day SMA could signal a continuation of short-term bullish momentum, with the next target being the recent high of $342.46.
- ⚠️ If it breaks below $323.66: This would indicate further weakness, and we could expect a dip towards the lower Bollinger Band at $311.01.
- 🛑 A drop below $311.01: This would be a significant bearish signal, potentially triggering a deeper correction and possibly a test of the 200-day SMA, which currently sits at $361.78 (though the current price is far below this, this implies a longer-term target if the downtrend accelerates significantly).
ADBE Technical Verdict: Buy, Hold, or Sell?
Based on the current technical landscape, here’s my take for different investor profiles:
- Short-Term Traders: The immediate trend is positive on MACD, but watch for signs of exhaustion. A neutral stance might be best until a clearer signal emerges from MACD crossovers or significant volume changes.
- Long-Term Investors: The long-term uptrend for Adobe remains valid as long as the price holds above the 200-day SMA (currently $361.78, though the price is far below this, indicating a strong bearish long-term trend from this perspective). A pullback to the 50-day SMA ($333.44) area could present a safer buying opportunity if you believe in the long-term story and are looking for a better entry point.
- New Buyers: It’s probably wise to avoid chasing any rallies here. Instead, wait for a confirmed breakout above $342.46 accompanied by strong volume, or patiently await a pullback to the $323.66 area. These levels offer a better risk/reward entry.
Bottom Line: The technicals suggest that any recent rally might be running out of steam in the short term. While the long-term trend, from a broader perspective, has been bullish, a correction seems plausible before the next major move. Trade carefully and always wait for confirmation at these key technical levels.
ADBE Historical Performance: Recent Price Action & Returns
Let’s briefly review Adobe’s recent historical performance to understand the immediate context of its current price. In the trading period from November 17, 2025, to December 01, 2025, ADBE’s stock price delivered a total return of -0.68%. During this short window, the price experienced fluctuations, hitting a high of $332.38 and a low of $311.59. The average daily trading volume during this period was approximately 3,531,420 shares, indicating consistent but not extraordinary market activity.
Recent ADBE Trading Data: Daily Price & Volume
Here’s a detailed look at Adobe’s daily trading activity over the last couple of weeks, providing a granular view of recent price movements and trading volumes. This data helps to confirm the short-term trends we’ve discussed.
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-01 | $316.39 | $326.14 | $316.11 | $322.85 | 3,649,500 |
| 2025-11-30 | $317.80 | $322.31 | $317.52 | $320.13 | 1,802,200 |
| 2025-11-29 | $317.80 | $322.31 | $317.52 | $320.13 | 1,802,200 |
| 2025-11-28 | $317.80 | $322.31 | $317.52 | $320.13 | 1,802,200 |
| 2025-11-27 | $319.20 | $321.67 | $316.10 | $317.52 | 3,025,000 |
| 2025-11-26 | $319.20 | $321.67 | $316.10 | $317.52 | 3,025,000 |
| 2025-11-25 | $317.77 | $321.52 | $315.57 | $319.55 | 3,765,000 |
| 2025-11-24 | $325.00 | $325.77 | $318.34 | $318.73 | 5,414,400 |
| 2025-11-23 | $313.57 | $327.75 | $311.59 | $324.19 | 4,825,400 |
| 2025-11-22 | $313.57 | $327.75 | $311.59 | $324.19 | 4,825,400 |
| 2025-11-21 | $313.57 | $327.75 | $311.59 | $324.19 | 4,825,400 |
| 2025-11-20 | $318.87 | $323.18 | $312.09 | $312.40 | 3,884,800 |
| 2025-11-19 | $323.18 | $323.36 | $315.18 | $318.11 | 3,738,400 |
| 2025-11-18 | $323.78 | $326.64 | $320.80 | $324.47 | 3,286,400 |
| 2025-11-17 | $331.11 | $332.38 | $324.43 | $325.07 | 3,300,000 |
Adobe Stock Price Statistics: Volatility & Moving Averages
When we zoom out to a longer timeframe, Adobe’s price action reveals significant volatility. Over the past year, the stock has traded between a high of $557.90 and a low of $311.59. This wide range indicates that ADBE has been susceptible to considerable fluctuations, likely influenced by both market sentiment and company-specific news. It’s important for investors to acknowledge this history of price swings.
Currently, the 50-day moving average stands at $339.51, which is below the 200-day moving average of $372.17. This specific setup, where the shorter-term average is below the longer-term average, often signals a short-term pullback or a consolidation phase. For technical traders, this is a key indicator of momentum and trend direction.
Adobe also carries a beta of 1.54x. What does this mean for you? Essentially, it indicates that ADBE tends to move more sharply than the broader market – about 54% more volatile, to be precise. Coupled with a 30-day annualized volatility of 19.1%, it’s clear that this stock frequently experiences notable price swings.
For investors, this translates into both higher potential for gains and, crucially, higher downside risk. Understanding these indicators is vital when deciding on position sizing or entry timing, especially if you’re aiming to balance stability with growth exposure in your portfolio.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week High | $557.90 |
| 52 Week Low | $311.59 |
| 50 Day MA | $339.51 |
| 200 Day MA | $372.17 |
| Beta | 1.54x |
| Volatility (30d Ann.) | 19.1% |
Quarterly Earnings Performance: Adobe’s Latest Financial Results
Adobe’s recent quarterly performance offers a look into its ongoing financial health. In its latest reported quarter (2025-Q3), the company posted robust revenue of $5.99 billion and a net income of $1.77 billion. These figures demonstrate consistent operational strength.
Comparing quarter-over-quarter, Adobe saw a +2.0% increase in revenue. More impressively, the year-over-year revenue growth stands at a healthy +10.7%, indicating strong sustained expansion. Here’s a detailed look at the last four quarters:
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS | Gross Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-Q3 | $5.99 B | $1.77 B | 4.18x | 89.3% |
| 2025-Q2 | $5.87 B | $1.69 B | 3.94x | 89.1% |
| 2025-Q1 | $5.71 B | $1.81 B | 4.14x | 89.1% |
| 2024-Q4 | $5.61 B | $1.68 B | 3.79x | 89.0% |
ADBE Growth Metrics: Analyzing Revenue & Net Income Trends
Beyond the headline numbers, these growth metrics provide a deeper understanding of Adobe’s trajectory:
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| QoQ Revenue Growth | +2.0% |
| QoQ Net Income Growth | +4.8% |
| YoY Revenue Growth | +10.7% |
Upcoming ADBE Earnings & Investor Call Details
Mark your calendars! Adobe’s next earnings report is slated for December 11, 2025. The earnings call will follow on the same day, December 11, 2025, at 03:30 AM ET. These events are crucial for investors, as they often provide significant catalysts for stock movement and offer updated insights into the company’s performance and outlook. You can usually find the official webcast and related documents on Adobe’s Investor Relations page.
| Event | Date/Time |
|---|---|
| Next Report | December 11, 2025 |
| Earnings Call | December 11, 2025 at 03:30 AM ET |
Short Selling Information: Bearish Bets on Adobe Stock (ADBE)
Understanding short interest can provide valuable insights into bearish sentiment surrounding a stock. Currently, there are 12 million shares of ADBE that have been sold short. The short ratio, also known as “days to cover,” stands at 3.5x. This means that, based on the stock’s recent average trading volume, it would take approximately 3.5 days for all short positions to be covered.
This level of short interest is generally considered moderate. It suggests a balance between investors who are betting against the company and the market’s capacity to absorb these bearish bets without triggering extreme volatility. With 2.94% of the public float sold short, a noticeable but not extreme percentage of the stock is being shorted. This indicates some bearish sentiment, but it’s far from a consensus.
Interestingly, this level has remained relatively stable compared to last month’s figure of 12 million shares shorted, suggesting that bearish sentiment hasn’t significantly shifted recently. Because the overall amount of short interest is fairly low, the market tends to feel more confident, and the risks of sharp price swings due to sudden short-covering activities are reduced.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Shares Short | 12 M |
| Short Ratio (Days To Cover) | 3.50x |
| Short % of Float | 2.94% |
| Shares Short (Prior Month) | 12 M |
| Short Date | 2025-11-14 |
ADBE Risk Analysis: Understanding Potential Downside
Every investment comes with risk, and understanding Adobe’s risk profile is crucial for making informed decisions. ADBE exhibits moderate volatility, with an annualized volatility of 28.0%. This indicates that while the stock can experience significant price movements, it’s not in the extreme volatility category, suggesting a moderate level of investment risk.
The Sharpe ratio of 0.37x suggests mixed risk-adjusted returns. A Sharpe ratio measures the performance of an investment compared to a risk-free asset, after adjusting for its risk. A lower ratio might imply that the returns aren’t adequately compensating for the risk taken. Furthermore, the maximum drawdown of -60.02% is a significant figure, indicating that the stock has experienced substantial declines from its peak value during adverse market conditions. This highlights the potential for considerable downside risk.
For a more granular view of potential losses, the Value at Risk (VaR) at a 5% confidence level shows a potential loss of -2.63% in the worst 5% of scenarios over a given period. The Sortino ratio of 0.47x, which focuses specifically on downside risk, provides additional insight into risk-adjusted performance, typically favoring investments that generate returns with less downside volatility. Finally, a negative skewness of -0.44x and a high kurtosis of 15.14x suggest that the stock has experienced more frequent, larger negative price movements than a normal distribution would predict, and that extreme outcomes (both positive and negative) are more common.
Investors must carefully consider these risk metrics in conjunction with their own risk tolerance and investment objectives. For more detailed risk disclosures, investors should always refer to Adobe’s official SEC filings.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Volatility (Annualized) | 28.0% |
| Value at Risk (5%) | -2.63% |
| Value at Risk (1%) | -5.27% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.37x |
| Sortino Ratio | 0.47x |
| Maximum Drawdown | -60.02% |
| Skewness | -0.44x |
| Kurtosis | 15.14x |
Adobe (ADBE) Sentiment Analysis: Market & Analyst Mood
Current market sentiment surrounding Adobe (ADBE) appears cautiously positive, reflecting a nuanced view from various sources. The composite sentiment score stands at 0.34x, with a confidence level of 53.6%. This overall positive sentiment is derived from a blend of data, including recent news coverage, analyst recommendations, and activity in the options market.
Breaking down these components, news analysis shows a Positive sentiment score of 0.22x. Wall Street analysts also lean positive, with a consensus indicating 0.40x. The options market, often seen as a forward-looking indicator, also reflects Positive sentiment at 0.39x, further supported by a Put/Call Ratio of 0.31x, which typically suggests more call options (bullish bets) than put options (bearish bets). These collective indicators suggest a generally optimistic, though not overwhelmingly strong, market outlook for Adobe. It’s crucial to remember that sentiment indicators should always be considered alongside fundamental and technical analysis for a truly comprehensive investment perspective.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Composite Sentiment Score | 0.34x |
| Sentiment Classification | Positive |
| Sentiment Confidence | 53.6% |
| News Sentiment | Positive (0.22x) |
| Analyst Sentiment | Positive (0.40x) |
| Options Sentiment | Positive (0.39x) |
| Put/Call Ratio | 0.31x |
Peer Comparison: Adobe (ADBE) vs. Industry Rivals
To truly understand Adobe’s position, it’s essential to compare it against its peers in the competitive Software – Application industry. While Adobe holds a substantial $136.95 billion market cap, it’s currently the smallest among this group, with Palantir (PLTR) at $399.20 billion, Salesforce (CRM) at $222.59 billion, and Appian (APP) at $210.93 billion all boasting larger market valuations.
In terms of valuation, Adobe’s P/E ratio of 20.12x represents a moderate valuation compared to PLTR (380.66x) and APP (73.54x), which trade at significantly higher multiples. Salesforce (CRM) sits in the middle with a P/E of 33.89x. This suggests that while Adobe is valued for its quality, its peers are often priced for even more aggressive growth expectations.
Revenue growth shows Adobe’s modest 10.70% expansion. In contrast, Palantir (62.80%) and Appian (68.20%) are demonstrating much stronger momentum, indicating they are in a higher growth phase. Salesforce, with 9.80%, is comparable to Adobe. However, Adobe’s robust 30.01% net margin demonstrates strong profitability, outperforming Palantir (28.11%) and Salesforce (16.87%), though Appian takes the lead with an impressive 44.88%. This highlights Adobe’s efficiency in converting revenue to profit.
Adobe’s exceptional 52.88% Return on Equity (ROE) indicates highly efficient use of shareholder equity, significantly higher than PLTR (19.50%), CRM (11.20%), and APP (2.42%). This suggests Adobe is generating strong returns for its shareholders relative to their investment. With a Debt-to-Equity ratio of 56.54, Adobe maintains moderate leverage. Appian (238) shows much higher leverage, while Palantir (3.52) and Salesforce (19.25) operate with considerably lower debt levels. Finally, dividend policies vary: Salesforce (71.00% payout ratio) rewards shareholders with payouts, whereas Adobe, Palantir, and Appian (all 0.00%) reinvest all cash into growth, aligning with their higher growth-oriented valuations.
| Metric | ADBE | PLTR | CRM | APP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $136.95B | $399.20B | $222.59B | $210.93B |
| P/E Ratio | 20.12 | 380.66 | 33.89 | 73.54 |
| Revenue Growth | 10.70% | 62.80% | 9.80% | 68.20% |
| Net Margin | 30.01% | 28.11% | 16.87% | 44.88% |
| EPS | 16.05 | 0.44 | 6.87 | 8.48 |
| ROE | 52.88% | 19.50% | 11.20% | 2.42% |
| Debt-to-Equity | 56.54 | 3.52 | 19.25 | 238 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% | 0.00% | 71.00% | 0.00% |
| 52-Week Range | 311.59 – 557.90 | 63.40 – 207.52 | 221.96 – 366.78 | 200.50 – 745.61 |
Insider Transactions: What Adobe Executives Are Doing
Insider transaction data can sometimes offer clues about how those closest to the company view its prospects. Over the last three months, Adobe’s insider activity shows a mixed pattern, with a total of 80 transactions comprising 27 buys and 53 sells. This suggests a balanced, rather than strongly directional, insider sentiment, especially since 52 of these transactions involved estimated pricing, often tied to option exercises or awards rather than direct market purchases or sales.
Focusing purely on discretionary open-market activity, there was 1 market sale and 0 market purchases. This indicates that insiders have been actively reducing their direct holdings in the open market, albeit on a small scale. Additionally, 52 option exercises occurred. These exercises can signify confidence in future price appreciation (as insiders convert options to shares) or simply routine portfolio management and tax-related transactions.
While the overall selling activity is notable, its modest scale tends to suggest routine profit-taking or liquidity management rather than fundamental concerns about the company’s long-term prospects. For a full picture, you can often find these detailed filings on the SEC Edgar database by searching for Adobe Inc. (ADBE).
| Insider Name | Type | Shares Changed | Price | Shares After | Transaction Date | Filing Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forusz Jillian | SELL (Sale) [S] | -149 | $337.88 | 3,426 | 2025-10-31 | 2025-11-04 |
| Forusz Jillian | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -30 | ~$353.52 | 31 | 2025-10-24 | 2025-10-27 |
| Forusz Jillian | SELL (Tax Payment) [F] | -14 | $353.52 | 3,575 | 2025-10-24 | 2025-10-27 |
| Forusz Jillian | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +30 | ~$353.52 | 3,589 | 2025-10-24 | 2025-10-27 |
| Chen Gloria | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -424 | ~$353.52 | 425 | 2025-10-24 | 2025-10-27 |
| Chen Gloria | SELL (Tax Payment) [F] | -210 | $353.52 | 40,263 | 2025-10-24 | 2025-10-27 |
| Chen Gloria | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +424 | ~$353.52 | 40,473 | 2025-10-24 | 2025-10-27 |
| Durn Daniel | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -606 | ~$353.52 | 606 | 2025-10-24 | 2025-10-27 |
| Durn Daniel | SELL (Tax Payment) [F] | -317 | $353.52 | 34,853 | 2025-10-24 | 2025-10-27 |
| Durn Daniel | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +606 | ~$353.52 | 35,170 | 2025-10-24 | 2025-10-27 |
| Chakravarthy Anil | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -606 | ~$353.52 | 606 | 2025-10-24 | 2025-10-27 |
| Chakravarthy Anil | SELL (Tax Payment) [F] | -300 | $353.52 | 45,628 | 2025-10-24 | 2025-10-27 |
| Chakravarthy Anil | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +606 | ~$353.52 | 45,928 | 2025-10-24 | 2025-10-27 |
| Wadhwani David | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -606 | ~$353.52 | 606 | 2025-10-24 | 2025-10-27 |
| Wadhwani David | SELL (Tax Payment) [F] | -300 | $353.52 | 26,100 | 2025-10-24 | 2025-10-27 |
| Wadhwani David | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +606 | ~$353.52 | 26,400 | 2025-10-24 | 2025-10-27 |
| NARAYEN SHANTANU | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -1,254 | ~$353.52 | 1,255 | 2025-10-24 | 2025-10-27 |
| NARAYEN SHANTANU | SELL (Tax Payment) [F] | -621 | $353.52 | 392,554 | 2025-10-24 | 2025-10-27 |
| NARAYEN SHANTANU | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +1,254 | ~$353.52 | 393,175 | 2025-10-24 | 2025-10-27 |
| Forusz Jillian | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -22 | ~$330.63 | 283 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Forusz Jillian | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -34 | ~$330.63 | 310 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Forusz Jillian | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -60 | ~$330.63 | 299 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Forusz Jillian | SELL (Tax Payment) [F] | -10 | $330.63 | 3,559 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Forusz Jillian | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +22 | ~$330.63 | 3,569 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Forusz Jillian | SELL (Tax Payment) [F] | -16 | $330.63 | 3,547 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Forusz Jillian | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +34 | ~$330.63 | 3,563 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Forusz Jillian | SELL (Tax Payment) [F] | -29 | $330.63 | 3,529 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Forusz Jillian | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +60 | ~$330.63 | 3,558 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Chen Gloria | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -724 | ~$330.63 | 9,419 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Chen Gloria | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -442 | ~$330.63 | 3,982 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Chen Gloria | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -769 | ~$330.63 | 3,848 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Chen Gloria | SELL (Tax Payment) [F] | -358 | $330.63 | 40,049 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Chen Gloria | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +724 | ~$330.63 | 40,407 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Chen Gloria | SELL (Tax Payment) [F] | -219 | $330.63 | 39,683 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Chen Gloria | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +442 | ~$330.63 | 39,902 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Chen Gloria | SELL (Tax Payment) [F] | -381 | $330.63 | 39,460 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Chen Gloria | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +769 | ~$330.63 | 39,841 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Durn Daniel | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -1,050 | ~$330.63 | 13,657 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Durn Daniel | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -650 | ~$330.63 | 5,855 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Durn Daniel | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -1,132 | ~$330.63 | 5,658 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Durn Daniel | SELL (Tax Payment) [F] | -549 | $330.63 | 34,564 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Durn Daniel | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +1,050 | ~$330.63 | 35,113 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Durn Daniel | SELL (Tax Payment) [F] | -340 | $330.63 | 34,063 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Durn Daniel | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +650 | ~$330.63 | 34,403 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Durn Daniel | SELL (Tax Payment) [F] | -592 | $330.63 | 33,753 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Durn Daniel | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +1,132 | ~$330.63 | 34,345 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Chakravarthy Anil | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -695 | ~$330.63 | 9,042 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Chakravarthy Anil | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -437 | ~$330.63 | 3,935 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Chakravarthy Anil | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -760 | ~$330.63 | 3,803 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Chakravarthy Anil | SELL (Tax Payment) [F] | -344 | $330.63 | 45,322 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Chakravarthy Anil | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +695 | ~$330.63 | 45,666 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Chakravarthy Anil | SELL (Tax Payment) [F] | -216 | $330.63 | 44,971 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Chakravarthy Anil | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +437 | ~$330.63 | 45,187 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Chakravarthy Anil | SELL (Tax Payment) [F] | -376 | $330.63 | 44,750 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Chakravarthy Anil | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +760 | ~$330.63 | 45,126 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Wadhwani David | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -695 | ~$330.63 | 9,042 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Wadhwani David | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -437 | ~$330.63 | 3,935 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Wadhwani David | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -760 | ~$330.63 | 3,803 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Wadhwani David | SELL (Tax Payment) [F] | -344 | $330.63 | 25,794 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Wadhwani David | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +695 | ~$330.63 | 26,138 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Wadhwani David | SELL (Tax Payment) [F] | -216 | $330.63 | 25,443 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Wadhwani David | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +437 | ~$330.63 | 25,659 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Wadhwani David | SELL (Tax Payment) [F] | -376 | $330.63 | 25,222 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Wadhwani David | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +760 | ~$330.63 | 25,598 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| NARAYEN SHANTANU | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -1,978 | ~$330.63 | 25,712 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| NARAYEN SHANTANU | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -1,264 | ~$330.63 | 11,382 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| NARAYEN SHANTANU | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -2,200 | ~$330.63 | 10,999 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| NARAYEN SHANTANU | SELL (Tax Payment) [F] | -980 | $330.63 | 391,921 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| NARAYEN SHANTANU | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +1,978 | ~$330.63 | 392,901 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| NARAYEN SHANTANU | SELL (Tax Payment) [F] | -626 | $330.63 | 390,923 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| NARAYEN SHANTANU | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +1,264 | ~$330.63 | 391,549 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| NARAYEN SHANTANU | SELL (Tax Payment) [F] | -1,090 | $330.63 | 390,285 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| NARAYEN SHANTANU | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +2,200 | ~$330.63 | 391,375 | 2025-10-15 | 2025-10-16 |
| Forusz Jillian | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -227 | ~$347.10 | 2,723 | 2025-09-15 | 2025-09-17 |
| Forusz Jillian | SELL (Exercise) [M] | -233 | ~$347.10 | 701 | 2025-09-15 | 2025-09-17 |
| Forusz Jillian | SELL (Tax Payment) [F] | -112 | $347.10 | 3,498 | 2025-09-15 | 2025-09-17 |
| Forusz Jillian | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +227 | ~$347.10 | 3,610 | 2025-09-15 | 2025-09-17 |
| Forusz Jillian | SELL (Tax Payment) [F] | -115 | $347.10 | 3,383 | 2025-09-15 | 2025-09-17 |
| Forusz Jillian | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +233 | ~$347.10 | 3,498 | 2025-09-15 | 2025-09-17 |
| Forusz Jillian | SELL (Tax Payment) [F] | -29 | $347.10 | 3,529 | 2025-09-15 | 2025-09-17 |
| Forusz Jillian | BUY (Exercise) [M] | +60 | ~$347.10* | 3,558 | 2025-09-15 | 2025-09-17 |
Key Risk Factors for Adobe Inc. (ADBE) Investors
While Adobe presents many compelling aspects, it’s crucial for investors to be aware of the potential risks. This section outlines key factors identified through our analysis and general market considerations that could impact ADBE’s performance. This isn’t an exhaustive list, but it highlights important areas to monitor.
- ⚠️ Overall technical sentiment is Strong Bearish: The prevailing technical signals indicate a strong bearish trend, suggesting potential for further downward price movement. This demands caution from investors.
- ⚠️ Price below 50-Day SMA: At $322.85, the stock is trading below its 50-Day Simple Moving Average ($333.44). This is a technical indicator of short-term weakness and could signal a continuation of the downtrend.
- ⚠️ Price below 200-Day SMA: More significantly, the current price of $322.85 is also below the 200-Day Simple Moving Average ($361.78). This is a strong indicator of potential long-term weakness and a bearish bias for the stock.
- ⚠️ General market fluctuations and economic conditions: As a technology sector stock, Adobe is inherently sensitive to broader market movements, economic downturns, and shifts in consumer or enterprise spending habits.
Analyst Insights & Consensus: Wall Street’s View on ADBE
What does Wall Street think about Adobe? The consensus among analysts is quite positive, with an average recommendation of ‘Buy‘. This sentiment is based on the opinions of 34 analysts who cover ADBE. Their price targets range from a low of $270.00 to a high of $605.00, indicating a wide spectrum of possible outcomes.
The mean target price from these analysts is $450.03. Compared to the current price of $322.85, this average target suggests a potential upside of approximately 39.4%. This reflects an overall optimistic sentiment regarding the stock’s future outlook and potential for recovery or continued growth. It’s a strong vote of confidence from the analyst community, despite some of the bearish technical signals we’ve discussed.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Recommendation | Buy |
| Mean Target Price | $450.03 |
| High Target Price | $605.00 |
| Low Target Price | $270.00 |
| Number of Analyst Opinions | 34 |
Recent News & Developments Impacting Adobe (ADBE)
Staying informed about the latest news is crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could affect Adobe’s stock. Here’s a roundup of recent developments from the last 2-3 days (as of early December 2025):
- US stocks slump, bitcoin sell-off, Trump’s top pick for Fed chair (Yahoo Finance Video, 2025-12-01T15:09:36Z): Broader market sentiment can heavily influence individual stocks like Adobe, and a general market slump could contribute to bearish pressure.
- Shopify Breaks Down on Busy Cyber Monday (The Wall Street Journal, 2025-12-02T00:30:00Z): While not directly about Adobe, this news reflects the performance of the broader e-commerce and digital business ecosystem, which Adobe’s Digital Experience segment serves. Challenges for peers could signal headwinds or opportunities.
- Why Figma Stock Fell 28% in November (Motley Fool, 2025-12-01T22:43:17Z): Figma is a direct competitor in the creative software space. A significant drop in a competitor’s stock could have implications for Adobe, either by signaling broader industry weakness or by potentially improving Adobe’s competitive positioning.
- Wall Street Retreats After 5-Day Winning Streak (MT Newswires, 2025-12-01T21:43:27Z): A general market retreat can pull down even fundamentally strong stocks, aligning with Adobe’s current bearish technical trend.
- How AI is helping shoppers find the best Cyber Monday deals: ChicagoLIVE (WFLD, 2025-12-01T21:00:10Z): This speaks to the increasing integration of AI in consumer experiences, a trend Adobe is actively participating in through its strategic alliances and product development in generative AI. Positive developments here could be a long-term tailwind.
These news items collectively paint a picture of a market facing some headwinds, with sector-specific challenges and broader economic concerns, while also hinting at the ongoing importance of AI innovation, a key area for Adobe.
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Conclusion & Investment Outlook for Adobe Inc. (ADBE)
Pulling all of our analysis together, Adobe (ADBE) presents a complex picture for investors as we navigate late 2025 and look towards 2026. Here’s a summary of the key takeaways:
ADBE Short-Term Technical Snapshot
- Overall Technical Sentiment: Currently, the technical picture is Strong Bearish, suggesting caution in the near term.
- Price Trend vs MAs: The stock is in a bearish trend, trading below both its 50-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages.
- Momentum (RSI): The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is Neutral at 47.1, indicating balanced momentum rather than extreme overbought or oversold conditions.
- Support / Resistance (30d): Key levels to watch are approximately $311.59 for support and $342.46 for resistance.
ADBE Longer-Term Fundamental & Forecast Outlook
- 1-Year Avg. Forecast: Model projections imply a potential downside of approximately -23.9%, with an average target around $245.63.
- Fundamental Health: Adobe’s financial health appears strong, with an impressive ROE of 52.88% and a manageable Debt/Equity ratio of 0.57x.
- Valuation Snapshot: The company’s valuation Appears Moderate with a Forward P/E of 15.71x, suggesting it’s reasonably priced relative to expected earnings.
- Recent Growth (YoY): Adobe is demonstrating positive growth, with revenue up 10.70% and earnings up 11.20% year-over-year.
- Analyst Consensus: Despite some technical weakness, Wall Street analysts maintain a ‘Buy‘ rating with a mean target price of $450.03.
Overall Assessment & Future Outlook for Adobe Stock
Synthesizing all the data, ADBE currently exhibits Strong Bearish technicals, coupled with what appear to be moderate to strong fundamentals. From a valuation standpoint, it looks reasonably priced given its future earnings potential. Looking out one year, the average forecast implies a potential downside. However, this contrasts sharply with the optimistic analyst consensus, highlighting a divergence in outlooks.
Ultimately, your decision-making should carefully factor in these elements against your personal risk tolerance and investment timeline. Adobe’s strong core business, robust profitability, and ongoing innovation in AI position it well for the long term, but the immediate technical headwinds and varied price targets suggest that investors might need to exercise patience and keep a close eye on market developments and upcoming earnings reports. Always conduct your own thorough independent research and consider consulting a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions About Adobe Stock (ADBE)
What is the ADBE stock price prediction for the next year (2025-2026)?
Based on current models, the average 1-year price forecast for ADBE is approximately $245.63. This represents a potential -23.9% change from the recent price of $322.85. It’s crucial to remember that this is a model-driven estimate and not a guarantee; actual prices will fluctuate based on numerous market factors.
Will ADBE stock go up or down in the short term?
The 1-year forecast model suggests the price might experience significant losses on average (-23.9% potential). However, the short-term direction for ADBE is highly uncertain. It’s heavily influenced by prevailing market sentiment (currently ‘Strong Bearish’), breaking news, and overall economic conditions. Technical indicators, as detailed in our analysis, provide clues for near-term movements.
Is ADBE stock a good investment right now?
Determining if ADBE is a ‘good buy’ right now involves balancing several elements: its ‘Strong Bearish’ technical signals, a potential -23.9% downside in the 1-year forecast, and a neutral RSI at 47.1, which indicates balanced momentum. You should weigh the company’s strong valuation, stability, and growth against identified risk factors. This report is for informational purposes; always consult a financial advisor before investing.
How volatile is ADBE stock?
Based on the recent 30-day price action, ADBE’s annualized volatility is approximately 19.1%. This level is currently considered moderate, reflecting the degree of recent price fluctuation. This aligns with its Beta of 1.54x, meaning it tends to be more volatile than the broader market. Higher volatility indicates larger potential price swings, both up and down.
What is ADBE’s P/E ratio and what does it mean?
ADBE’s Trailing P/E ratio (based on past earnings) is 20.12x, which is considered moderate for the software industry. Its Forward P/E (based on expected earnings) is 15.71x. A P/E ratio indicates how much investors are willing to pay per dollar of earnings. You should compare this to industry peers and historical levels. A high P/E isn’t necessarily negative if strong growth prospects justify it.
What are the key upcoming events for ADBE?
The most significant upcoming event is Adobe’s next earnings report and conference call on December 11, 2025. Additionally, investors should monitor broader macroeconomic shifts, competitive actions within the Software – Application sector, and any major corporate announcements from Adobe itself.
What does ADBE’s liquidity position reveal about its financial health?
Adobe’s financial health is robust, demonstrated by an adequate Current Ratio of 1.02x, indicating it can cover short-term liabilities. More importantly, its strong operating cash flow of $9.79 billion and levered free cash flow of $8.50 billion provide a significant buffer and are critical factors in its ability to fund operations, manage debt, and pursue growth initiatives.
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