Hey there, fellow investor! If you’re looking at the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) and wondering what’s next for this dynamic fund, you’ve come to the right place. We know that in today’s fast-paced market, getting clear, actionable insights is absolutely essential. That’s why we’re diving deep into ARKK’s current standing, its technical signals, and where the models suggest it might be headed.
As of late November 2025, ARKK is certainly capturing attention. The core question on many investors’ minds is whether its current price truly reflects its value and future potential. Is this the right moment to consider investing in a fund known for its focus on disruptive innovation? Let’s break down how ARKK is performing in the current market environment and what the data tells us.
What You Need to Know Right Now About ARKK
The ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) is currently trading at $78.47 as of November 26, 2025. We’re seeing a short-term pullback here, but it’s happening within a broader uptrend. What’s interesting is that while ARKK is currently trading below its 50-day moving average, it’s firmly holding above its 200-day average, signaling underlying strength despite recent dips.
One thing that immediately stands out with ARKK is its significant volatility, clocking in at 38.4% annualized. This isn’t just a number; it means you should expect some pretty wide price swings. For investors, this volatility can present both opportunities and risks, so it’s crucial to understand what you’re getting into.
The fund’s overall story is always evolving. ARKK invests in companies focused on disruptive innovation, which inherently means a portfolio with potential for high growth but also higher risk. It navigates a landscape filled with both established tech giants and emerging disruptors, making its performance closely tied to broader technological trends and market sentiment.
What’s Inside This Detailed ARKK Analysis?
We believe in giving you a comprehensive picture, not just a handful of figures. In this deep dive, we’re dissecting ARKK from every angle to help you make truly informed decisions. Here’s what we’ll cover:
- Is now a good time to buy ARKK? We’ll look at what technical indicators and underlying market conditions suggest. For instance, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently neutral at 41.2, offering some flexibility.
- Can ARKK’s investment strategy drive future growth? Its future performance will largely depend on the continued success of its innovative holdings and its ability to adapt to competitive pressures within its targeted sectors.
- What are the biggest risks for ARKK investors? High volatility is certainly a factor, and the fund’s concentrated bets on specific disruptive technologies always come with inherent risks.
Forget the jargon-filled reports or the overly simplistic “buy now” advice. Our goal is to provide clear, actionable insights that benefit you, whether you’re a long-term growth investor or looking for quicker market movements. Stick around as we break down the data to help you decide if ARKK fits into your investment narrative.
Key ARKK Metrics and Forecast Summary
Let’s start with a snapshot of ARKK’s performance and key indicators as of November 26, 2025. This table gives you a quick overview of where the fund stands right now, from its current price to its projected movements and risk profile.
| Metric | Value | Insight |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | $78.47 | Live Market Price |
| 1-Month Forecast | $78.47 | +0.0% potential change |
| 1-Year Forecast | $91.24 | +16.3% potential change |
| Trend | Mixed Trend | ⚖️ Balancing short-term fluctuations |
| RSI (14-day) | 41.2 | Neutral momentum |
| MACD | 0.50 | Bullish Short-Term Trend |
| Above SMA 50 | ❌ $83.55 | Currently below this key short-term average |
| Above SMA 200 | ✅ $74.73 | Holding above this key long-term average |
| Volatility (30d Ann.) | 38.4% | 🌪️ Indicates moderate to high price swings |
| Green Days (30d) | 17/30 (57%) | Slightly more up days recently |
Right now, ARKK’s stock is trading at $78.47. The technical indicators present a fascinating mixed pattern. While the price is currently below the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $83.55, signaling a short-term pullback, it’s comfortably above the 200-day SMA of $74.73. This suggests that despite recent softness, the long-term upward momentum for ARKK remains intact.
Looking at momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 41.2, sitting squarely in a neutral zone. This means ARKK isn’t currently overbought or oversold, leaving room for a move in either direction. Interestingly, the MACD indicator points to a bullish short-term trend with a value of 0.50, hinting that any minor pullbacks could be temporary before the next upward push.
Forecasting models suggest modest growth ahead. A 1-year target of $91.24 projects a potential +16.3% return from its current price. This outlook implies continued confidence in the fund’s strategy and holdings. For more live data and detailed charts on ARKK, you can always check out its performance on Yahoo Finance.
ARKK Price Forecast Table (November 2025 – November 2026)
This detailed monthly forecast provides a model-based estimate of ARKK’s price evolution over the next year, from November 2025 to November 2026. It includes projected price ranges (Min, Avg, Max), the potential Return on Investment (ROI) compared to the current price of $78.47, and a derived model signal for each period. Remember, these are model-based estimates and not guarantees of future performance.
Over the forecast horizon, ARKK’s price is projected by the model to fluctuate significantly, ranging between approximately $60.44 and $108.13. This wide range reflects the inherent volatility of the fund and the innovative sectors it invests in.
The projected price range remains relatively consistent in terms of uncertainty, implying that while the potential for swings is high, the model’s confidence in its predictions doesn’t drastically change month-to-month.
| Month (Period) | Min. Price | Avg. Price | Max. Price | Potential ROI vs Current ($78.47) | Model Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11 | $78.47 | $78.47 | $78.47 | 0.0% | Hold/Neutral |
| 2025-12 | $63.65 | $73.27 | $82.08 | -6.6% | Consider Short |
| 2026-01 | $66.62 | $76.45 | $85.64 | -2.6% | Consider Short |
| 2026-02 | $72.93 | $80.44 | $91.60 | 2.5% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-03 | $65.46 | $76.80 | $85.45 | -2.1% | Hold/Neutral |
| 2026-04 | $62.37 | $72.43 | $84.28 | -7.7% | Consider Short |
| 2026-05 | $60.44 | $70.78 | $80.07 | -9.8% | Consider Short |
| 2026-06 | $61.01 | $72.67 | $86.42 | -7.4% | Consider Short |
| 2026-07 | $72.10 | $81.82 | $93.33 | 4.3% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-08 | $75.52 | $86.12 | $99.55 | 9.7% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-09 | $76.83 | $88.48 | $100.68 | 12.8% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-10 | $78.42 | $91.24 | $107.13 | 16.3% | Consider Buy |
| 2026-11 | $80.64 | $94.08 | $108.13 | 19.9% | Consider Buy |
Please remember: These forecasts are model-based estimates, inherently uncertain, and subject to change based on evolving data and market conditions. They do not guarantee future prices.
Understanding the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) Profile
It’s important to remember that ARKK is an Exchange Traded Fund (ETF), not a traditional operating company. This means that many metrics you’d typically see for a single stock, like specific sectors, industries, employee counts, or a website for its own operations, aren’t directly applicable or available in the same way. Instead, ARKK’s profile is defined by its investment mandate: to invest in companies that are leaders in disruptive innovation.
For more detailed information on the fund’s holdings and strategy, investors can explore the official ARK Invest website, which provides comprehensive insights into their investment approach and portfolio. You can also review its regulatory filings via SEC Edgar for official disclosures.
ARKK Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Based on the available data, ARKK does not currently pay a regular dividend to its shareholders. This is a common characteristic for growth-oriented funds and companies. It suggests that ARK Invest, the fund manager, prioritizes reinvesting any earnings back into the fund’s holdings or strategy for potential capital appreciation, rather than distributing them as income. For investors focused on income generation, this is an important consideration.
ARKK Technical Analysis: Charting the Path Ahead
As of November 26, 2025, ARKK’s current price is $78.47, and while there’s been some recent downward pressure (losing -4.36% in the last 15 days), the overall trend remains bullish. Let’s dig into the technical indicators to see if this dip is a buying opportunity or a signal for further caution.
Trend Strength – Still Bullish for ARKK
Despite the recent pullback, ARKK is trading above its key long-term moving averages, which generally confirms that the uptrend is still intact. Specifically, the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $77.28 is acting as a crucial immediate dynamic support level. As long as ARKK holds above this point, the bullish momentum could very well continue.
However, a rapid rise can sometimes push a stock too far too fast from its averages, increasing the risk of a sharp pullback. It’s always a balance between momentum and sustainability.
Momentum Check – Is ARKK’s Momentum Fading?
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for ARKK is currently at 41.2, placing it firmly in a neutral zone. This means the fund isn’t currently overbought, which could be a positive sign for potential upside, nor is it oversold. Simultaneously, the MACD histogram is positive, offering a strong confirmation that upward momentum is still present in the short term.
For traders, this neutral RSI reading provides a lot of flexibility. It’s often wise to watch for a decisive MACD crossover or a clear break of a significant support or resistance level to get the next directional clue for ARKK.
Bollinger Bands – Testing Key Levels
ARKK is currently trading comfortably in the upper half of its Bollinger Bands, specifically between the 20-day SMA and the upper band. This positioning is often interpreted as a sign of underlying strength and positive price action. It suggests that buyers are still in control, even with recent fluctuations.
Volume Trends – Checking for Conviction
Trading volume for ARKK is currently near its recent average. For technical analysts, this provides a neutral confirmation of the current price action. It means there isn’t an overwhelming surge of buying or selling pressure signaling a major shift just yet.
One concern to keep in mind is that rallies on low volume can sometimes be prone to sharp reversals. If we don’t see a significant increase in buying interest to truly confirm a strong move higher, a pullback could become more likely.
ARKK Support & Resistance – Your Trading Plan
Understanding key support and resistance levels is vital for any trading strategy involving ARKK. Here’s what to watch:
- ✅ If ARKK holds above $77.28: The bullish trend is likely to continue, with the next target set around the recent high of $90.35.
- ⚠️ If ARKK breaks below $77.28: We could see a dip toward the next support level at $70.75.
- 🛑 A drop below $70.75: This could trigger a deeper correction, potentially testing the significant 200-day SMA, which currently sits at $74.73.
Final Verdict – Should You Buy, Hold, or Sell ARKK?
Let’s distill the technical insights for different investor profiles:
- Short-Term Traders: The trend is generally positive, but it’s crucial to monitor for signs of exhaustion. A neutral stance might be best until a clearer signal emerges from the MACD or a significant volume spike.
- Long-Term Investors: The long-term uptrend remains valid as long as ARKK’s price holds above the 200-day SMA ($74.73). A pullback, especially to the 50-day SMA area ($83.55), could present a safer buying opportunity for those looking to add to their positions.
- New Buyers: It’s generally wise to avoid chasing the rally, especially after recent gains. Consider waiting for either a confirmed breakout above $90.35 with strong volume, or a more favorable pullback to the $77.28 area. These points could offer a better risk/reward entry.
Bottom Line: The technicals suggest that ARKK’s recent rally might be losing some short-term steam. While the long-term trend appears bullish, a healthy correction could be on the horizon before the next major upward move. Trade carefully and always wait for confirmation at these critical technical levels. For more in-depth technical charts and analysis, consider checking out MarketWatch’s ARKK page.
ARKK Historical Performance & Recent Trading Data
Looking back at ARKK’s recent trading history can give us valuable context. In the period from November 12, 2025, to November 26, 2025, ARKK’s stock price experienced a total return of -3.55%. During this time, the price fluctuated between a high of $82.87 and a low of $70.44. The average daily trading volume during this two-week stretch was approximately 13,807,653 shares, indicating consistent market interest.
Recent Daily Trading Data for ARKK
Here’s a snapshot of ARKK’s daily trading activity for the most recent period, offering granular detail on price movements and volume.
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 | $78.00 | $78.75 | $77.45 | $78.47 | 5,543,900 |
| 2025-11-25 | $75.96 | $77.43 | $74.74 | $77.30 | 7,242,800 |
| 2025-11-24 | $74.03 | $76.94 | $73.85 | $76.79 | 8,086,500 |
| 2025-11-23 | $72.09 | $74.34 | $70.44 | $73.35 | 22,930,900 |
| 2025-11-22 | $72.09 | $74.34 | $70.44 | $73.35 | 22,930,900 |
| 2025-11-21 | $72.09 | $74.34 | $70.44 | $73.35 | 22,930,900 |
| 2025-11-20 | $76.33 | $77.14 | $71.53 | $71.75 | 19,138,400 |
| 2025-11-19 | $74.97 | $75.74 | $73.28 | $74.39 | 9,426,100 |
| 2025-11-18 | $74.44 | $75.93 | $73.54 | $74.97 | 11,766,600 |
| 2025-11-17 | $76.09 | $77.04 | $74.45 | $75.49 | 11,295,900 |
| 2025-11-16 | $74.52 | $78.21 | $74.22 | $76.92 | 13,455,200 |
| 2025-11-15 | $74.52 | $78.21 | $74.22 | $76.92 | 13,455,200 |
| 2025-11-14 | $74.52 | $78.21 | $74.22 | $76.92 | 13,455,200 |
| 2025-11-13 | $80.41 | $80.49 | $76.62 | $77.09 | 17,942,600 |
| 2025-11-12 | $82.75 | $82.87 | $80.76 | $81.36 | 7,513,700 |
ARKK Stock Price Statistics
Currently, ARKK presents an interesting technical picture with its moving averages. The 50-day moving average, at $83.55, is positioned above the 200-day moving average of $74.73. This configuration is often referred to as a ‘golden cross’ setup, and it’s generally considered a bullish signal, indicating positive long-term momentum.
The fund’s 30-day annualized volatility of 38.4% suggests that ARKK experiences moderate to high price swings. For investors, this volatility means there’s potential for significant gains, but it also comes with a higher degree of downside risk. These indicators are crucial when you’re deciding on position sizing or the optimal timing for entries, especially if your portfolio aims to balance stability with exposure to growth.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Volatility (30d Ann.) | 38.4% |
ARKK Risk Analysis: Understanding the Landscape
Investing in ARKK, like any concentrated growth fund, involves various risks. A detailed look at its risk profile helps us understand the potential volatility and downside. ARKK exhibits an annualized volatility of 33.2%, which indicates a relatively high level of investment risk. This means the fund’s price can fluctuate significantly in either direction.
The Sharpe ratio, currently at 0.40x, offers a mixed picture of its risk-adjusted returns. While positive, it suggests that for the level of risk taken, the excess return might not be outstanding. However, the maximum drawdown of -80.91% is a stark reminder of the significant downside risk ARKK has experienced during adverse market conditions. This metric highlights the potential for substantial capital loss during market downturns.
Furthermore, the Value at Risk (VaR) at a 5% confidence level shows a potential loss of -3.50% in the worst 5% of scenarios. This gives investors an idea of potential daily losses. The Sortino ratio of 0.53x specifically focuses on downside risk, providing additional insight into how well the fund generates returns relative to the “bad” volatility it experiences.
The skewness of 0.02x and kurtosis of 6.03x indicate that ARKK’s returns distribution is slightly positively skewed but has fatter tails than a normal distribution, suggesting a higher frequency of extreme (both positive and negative) returns. Investors should carefully consider these risk metrics alongside their own risk tolerance and investment objectives.
| Risk Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Volatility (Annualized) | 33.2% |
| Value at Risk (5%) | -3.50% |
| Value at Risk (1%) | -5.93% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.40x |
| Sortino Ratio | 0.53x |
| Maximum Drawdown | -80.91% |
| Skewness | 0.02x |
| Kurtosis | 6.03x |
ARKK Sentiment Analysis: What the Market Thinks
Current market sentiment analysis for ARKK reveals a cautiously positive outlook. The composite sentiment score stands at 0.64x, with a confidence level of 12.0%. This overall positive sentiment is derived from various data sources, including recent news coverage, analyst recommendations, and activity within the options market.
Breaking down the sentiment components, we see that news analysis reflects a Neutral (0.00x) stance, suggesting balanced coverage. Analyst consensus also indicates a Neutral (0.00x) outlook, meaning there isn’t a strong buy or sell recommendation from the collective analyst community. However, the options market sentiment appears Positive (0.64x), indicating that options traders might be positioning for upward movement.
This sentiment signal, while leaning positive, should be considered as a piece of the puzzle. It’s best used in conjunction with a thorough fundamental and technical analysis to form a comprehensive investment perspective.
| Sentiment Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Composite Sentiment Score | 0.64x |
| Sentiment Classification | Positive |
| Sentiment Confidence | 12.0% |
| News Sentiment | Neutral (0.00x) |
| Analyst Sentiment | Neutral (0.00x) |
| Options Sentiment | Positive (0.64x) |
| Put/Call Ratio | 0.18x |
ARKK Peer Comparison: How It Stacks Up
Comparing ARKK to some major tech players provides valuable context, although it’s important to remember ARKK is an ETF, not a single operating company like Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), or Google (GOOGL). ARKK’s P/E ratio of 36.80 suggests a moderate valuation relative to its earnings, especially when viewed against these tech giants.
A key difference is their dividend policies. While companies like Apple (37.00% dividend yield) and Microsoft (75.00% dividend yield) reward shareholders with payouts, ARKK, true to its growth-fund nature, currently maintains a 0.00% dividend yield, choosing to reinvest all cash back into its innovative holdings for future growth.
| Metric | ARKK | AAPL | MSFT | GOOGL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 36.80 | 37.16 | 34.48 | 31.55 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% | 37.00% | 75.00% | 26.00% |
| 52-Week Range | 38.57 – 92.65 | 168.63 – 280.38 | 342.95 – 553.50 | 140.23 – 328.83 |
Insider Transactions (Last 3 Months) for ARKK
You might be wondering about insider transactions for ARKK. It’s important to note that no insider transaction data is typically available for ARKK. This is because ETFs like ARKK do not have traditional “corporate insiders” in the same way operating companies do. ARKK is an investment fund, not a company with executives, directors, or large shareholders making direct trades in its underlying stock. This is a normal characteristic of an ETF.
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Key ARKK Risk Factors to Consider
Investing in ARKK involves various considerations, and understanding potential risks is paramount. While we’ve discussed volatility, one specific factor identified through current data analysis is worth highlighting:
- ⚠️ The current price of $78.47 is below the 50-Day SMA ($83.55), indicating potential short-term weakness. While not a long-term bearish signal on its own, it suggests the fund might experience continued selling pressure or consolidation in the near term.
This factor, alongside the inherent volatility of its innovative holdings, should be carefully weighed against your personal investment goals and risk tolerance.
Recent ARKK News and Developments
Staying current with news is vital for understanding ARKK’s short-term movements. Here are some recent headlines concerning the ARK Innovation ETF, all published on November 27, 2025, providing insights into its recent activities and the broader market context Cathie Wood’s fund operates within:
- Ark Invest Buys $16.5 Million of Coinbase (COIN) Stock as Cathie Wood Signals Potential Crypto Rally (Publisher: Yahoo) – This highlights ARKK’s continued conviction in the cryptocurrency space through a significant purchase of Coinbase shares.
- Above The Noise: The K-Pop Economy (Publisher: SeekingAlpha) – While not directly about ARKK, this piece from a finance news outlet indicates the diverse range of topics and markets that can influence sentiment around innovative and growth-oriented investments, often aligning with ARKK’s broader themes.
- Ark Invest Buys $16.5M of Coinbase Stock, Largest Purchase Since Aug. 1 (Publisher: Yahoo) – A reinforcement of the first news item, emphasizing the scale and significance of Ark’s recent crypto-related investment.
- CoreWeave Just Crashed 45% and Cathie Wood Is Buying — Should You? (Publisher: Yahoo) – This headline points to Ark Invest’s strategy of buying into dips in high-conviction names, a common tactic for funds focused on disruptive growth.
- Cheery Earnings, Leery Investors And An Optimistic Equity Outlook (Publisher: SeekingAlpha) – This article provides a broader market context, suggesting a disconnect between strong earnings reports and cautious investor sentiment, which can impact growth funds like ARKK.
ARKK Conclusion and Outlook
Let’s wrap up our analysis of the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) by synthesizing the technical and fundamental insights. The goal here is to provide a balanced perspective as you consider your next steps.
Short-Term Technical Snapshot for ARKK
Looking at the immediate horizon, ARKK presents a compelling technical picture:
- ▲ Overall Technical Sentiment: Strong Bullish. This indicates a robust underlying trend despite recent fluctuations.
- ● Price Trend vs. Moving Averages: Mixed. While ARKK is currently trading below its 50-day SMA, it remains comfortably above its 200-day SMA, suggesting a short-term pullback within a longer-term uptrend.
- ● Momentum (RSI): Neutral (41.2). The fund is neither overbought nor oversold, providing flexibility for future price action.
- 📊 Support / Resistance (30d): Key levels to watch are approximately ~$70.44 for support and ~$90.35 for resistance.
Longer-Term Fundamental & Forecast Outlook for ARKK
From a longer-term perspective, here’s what the data suggests:
- ▲ 1-Year Average Forecast: The model projects a potential +16.3% average change, targeting approximately $91.24. This indicates a positive outlook for the next year.
- ● Fundamental Health: The assessment is currently incomplete for traditional metrics like ROE and Debt-to-Equity, as ARKK is an ETF, not an operating company.
- ● Valuation Snapshot: Traditional forward P/E is not directly applicable to the fund as a whole in the same way it is for a single stock.
- ● Recent Growth (YoY): Revenue and earnings growth metrics are not applicable in the same way for an ETF.
Overall Assessment & Outlook for ARKK
Considering both the technical momentum and the broader market context for its innovative holdings, ARKK currently exhibits a Strong Bullish technical sentiment. The 1-year forecast model suggests a positive potential upside of +16.3%, aiming towards the $91.24 mark. Decision-making should always factor in these elements against the potential risks outlined earlier, such as its high volatility and specific price movements relative to key moving averages. Align these insights with your personal strategic goals and risk tolerance.
Frequently Asked Questions About ARKK Stock
What is the ARKK stock price prediction for the next year (2025-2026)?
Based on current models, the average 1-year price forecast for ARKK is approximately $91.24. This represents a potential +16.3% change from its recent price of $78.47. Remember, this is a model-driven estimate, not a guarantee, and actual prices will fluctuate based on numerous factors specific to the fund’s holdings and broader market conditions.
Will ARKK stock go up or down in the near term?
The 1-year forecast model suggests the price might show strong gains on average. However, the short-term direction is highly uncertain and heavily influenced by prevailing market sentiment (currently ‘Strong Bullish’), breaking news, and overall economic conditions. Technical indicators, such as the neutral RSI at 41.2, provide clues for near-term direction, suggesting balanced momentum that could lean either way.
Is ARKK stock a good investment right now?
Determining if ARKK is a ‘good buy’ requires evaluating multiple factors. Technical sentiment is ‘Strong Bullish,’ and the 1-year forecast suggests a +16.3% potential upside. Technically, the RSI indicates neutral conditions (RSI: 41.2), implying balanced momentum. However, of the high volatility and potential short-term weakness indicated by the price trading below its 50-day SMA. Align these factors with your personal investment strategy and risk tolerance.
How volatile is ARKK stock?
Based on the recent 30-day price action, ARKK’s annualized volatility is approximately 38.4%. This level is currently considered moderate to high, indicating the degree of recent price fluctuation. Higher volatility means larger potential price swings, both upwards and downwards, which can appeal to some investors while being a concern for others.
What is ARKK’s P/E ratio and what does it mean?
ARKK’s Trailing P/E ratio (based on past earnings) is 36.80. A P/E ratio indicates how much investors are paying per dollar of earnings. For an ETF like ARKK, this P/E reflects the weighted average of the P/E ratios of its underlying holdings. While 36.80 is moderate, compare it to industry peers and historical levels. A higher P/E isn’t necessarily bad if strong growth potential, characteristic of ARKK’s innovative holdings, justifies it.
Does ARKK pay a dividend?
No, ARKK does not currently pay a regular dividend. As a growth-oriented ETF, its strategy typically involves reinvesting any earnings back into its portfolio companies to maximize capital appreciation rather than distributing income to shareholders.