MARA Holdings, Inc. (MARA) Stock Analysis: Overview, Fundamentals, Trading Strategies, Price Forecast

Hey there, fellow investors! Looking to get a clear picture of MARA Holdings, Inc. (MARA) and whether it deserves a spot in your portfolio? You’ve come to the right place. We’re going to cut through the noise and dive deep into MARA’s current standing, its financial health, and what the future might hold, according to the latest analysis. This isn’t just a basic rundown; we’re talking about a comprehensive look at a company valued at $4.24 billion in the dynamic Capital Markets industry.

The big question on everyone’s mind is always: Is the current stock price a fair reflection of its true value? More importantly, is MARA Holdings, Inc. positioned for real growth, making it a smart investment right now? Let’s peel back the layers and see what the data tells us about MARA’s performance in today’s market.

Key Takeaways for MARA Investors

As of November 2025, MARA stock is trading at $11.21. The immediate technical picture shows a bearish trend, with the stock currently below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. This is a crucial signal for short-term traders to watch closely.

Interestingly, analysts are projecting a significant upside. The 1-year price target is set at $23.32, which suggests a potential +108.0% gain from current levels. However, it’s important to acknowledge the high volatility, with an annualized rate of 58.0%, meaning this stock can swing quite a bit.

MARA Holdings, Inc. presents a complex fundamental story. On the positive side, the company boasts strong revenue growth, up an impressive 91.70% year-over-year. Yet, it operates in a highly competitive sector, which always brings its own set of challenges. This blend of strong growth and market competition creates a nuanced investment case.

Navigating This MARA Stock Report

We believe in providing actionable insights, not just a jumble of figures. Here’s a quick roadmap of what you’ll find in this comprehensive analysis, designed to help you make truly informed decisions:

Is now a good time to buy MARA? We’ll explore technical indicators that point to a “Bearish” trend, though the RSI hints at oversold conditions. We’ll also examine the fundamentals, highlighting debt levels and growth metrics.
Can MARA’s core operations drive future growth? The company’s future hinges on its performance within the Capital Markets and its ability to navigate intense competitive pressures effectively.
What are the biggest risks for MARA? We’ll discuss MARA’s substantial debt of $3.64 billion, which could be a significant factor in a rising interest rate environment. Competition from both established players and new entrants is also a constant threat.

Forget the overly simplified “just buy” advice or the impenetrable jargon found in many reports. Our goal is to equip you with clear, digestible information, whether you’re building a long-term portfolio or looking for short-term trading opportunities. So, is MARA Holdings, Inc. the right move for your money? Let’s get into the nitty-gritty details.

MARA Stock Key Metrics & Forecast Snapshot

Here’s a quick glance at MARA’s current standing and what analysts are forecasting. This summary provides a snapshot of the stock’s performance, momentum, and key financial indicators.

Metric	Value	Notes
Current Price	$11.21	Live Market Price
Price Targets & Forecasts
1-Month Forecast	$10.07	📉 -10.2%
1-Year Forecast	$17.28	📈 +54.1%
Analyst Mean Target	$23.32	📈 +108.0%
Trend & Momentum
Trend	📉 ▼ Bearish	(Price < SMA 50/200)
RSI (14-day)	5.7	(Oversold) ❄️
MACD	📉 Bearish	Short-Term Trend (-0.33)
Key Technical Levels
Above SMA 50	❌ $17.38
Above SMA 200	❌ $16.53
52-Week Range	📏 $9.71 – $30.28
Volatility
Volatility (30d Ann.)	58.0%	🌪️
Beta (vs. Market)	5.41x	🎢 (High Sensitivity)
Green Days (30d)	4/30 (13%)	🔴
Ownership
Institutional Ownership	77.15%	🏛️
Short % of Float	31.94%	😰 (High Bearish Bets)

Currently, MARA’s stock is trading at $11.21. The technical indicators suggest a bearish pattern because the price is holding below both its 50-day ($17.38) and 200-day ($16.53) moving averages. This situation often signals a lack of recent upward momentum.

However, what’s interesting is the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 5.7, which indicates deeply oversold conditions. This could hint at a potential bounce, even though the MACD indicator points to a bearish short-term trend, suggesting some minor pullbacks might occur before any significant upward movement. For more on technical analysis, check out resources like MarketWatch’s MARA page.

Over the past year, MARA’s stock has seen a wide trading range, fluctuating between $9.71 and $30.28. This tells us a couple of things: first, the stock has pulled back significantly from its highs; and second, the current price is near the lower end of that range. This could imply that while big swings are possible, the immediate downside might be somewhat limited unless major news hits.

Looking ahead, analysts anticipate modest growth, with a 1-year target of $17.28 (+54.1%) and a more optimistic average consensus target of $23.32 (+108.0%). With 77.15% institutional ownership, a significant portion of the market is backing the stock. However, a high short interest of 31.94% suggests a notable number of investors are betting on a price decline, indicating a tug-of-war in market sentiment.

MARA Stock Price Forecast: Monthly Projections (2025-2026)

The detailed monthly forecast below provides a model-based outlook for MARA’s price evolution. These projections give us a sense of potential price ranges, expected returns, and model-derived signals for each period. It’s important to remember that these are estimates and not guarantees, subject to market dynamics.

Month (Period)	Min. Price	Avg. Price	Max. Price	Potential ROI vs Current ($11.21)	Model Signal
2025-11	$10.07	$10.07	$10.07	▼ -10.2%	Consider Short
2025-12	$3.80	$17.87	$31.76	▲ 59.4%	Consider Buy
2026-01	$2.92	$13.94	$25.85	▲ 24.4%	Consider Buy
2026-02	$2.39	$14.34	$27.06	▲ 27.9%	Consider Buy
2026-03	$4.28	$15.72	$26.98	▲ 40.2%	Consider Buy
2026-04	$2.47	$15.20	$27.45	▲ 35.6%	Consider Buy
2026-06	$2.14	$11.56	$21.64	▲ 3.1%	Consider Buy
2026-07	$3.21	$13.80	$27.02	▲ 23.1%	Consider Buy
2026-08	$4.31	$15.57	$27.98	▲ 38.9%	Consider Buy
2026-09	$4.98	$16.62	$31.47	▲ 48.2%	Consider Buy
2026-10	$2.19	$17.28	$29.01	▲ 54.1%	Consider Buy
2026-11	$6.96	$19.35	$29.90	▲ 72.6%	Consider Buy

Over the forecast horizon, from November 2025 to November 2026, MARA’s price is projected by the model to fluctuate significantly, ranging between approximately $0.00 and $31.76. While the model suggests considerable upside in the longer term, the near-term forecast for November 2025 points to a potential dip.

It’s worth noting that forecast uncertainty, as indicated by the price range, appears relatively steady throughout the period. This consistent range from $10.07 to $10.07 in the short term, expanding to $6.96 to $29.90 in the long term, suggests the model has a consistent view on the variability of its projections. Always remember, these are model-based estimates and are inherently uncertain.

MARA Holdings, Inc. Company Profile & Business Overview

Let’s get to know the company behind the ticker. Understanding MARA Holdings, Inc.’s core business is essential for any investor considering its stock.

Metric	Value
Industry	Capital Markets
Market Cap	4.24 B
Employees	228
Website	https://www.mara.com

MARA Holdings, Inc. operates as a digital asset technology company with a presence in both the United States and Europe. Their business activities extend beyond just digital assets, as they also provide technology solutions aimed at optimizing data center operations. This includes innovative approaches like liquid immersion cooling and specialized firmware for bitcoin miners, highlighting their dual focus on digital assets and the infrastructure that supports them.

The company, formerly known as Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc., officially changed its name to MARA Holdings, Inc. in August 2024. Incorporated in 2010, MARA Holdings, Inc. is headquartered in Hallandale Beach, Florida, positioning itself within a rapidly evolving technological landscape. For more official information, you can always check out their SEC filings on EDGAR.

MARA Stock Valuation: Market Cap, Enterprise Value & Multiples

When we talk about a company’s valuation, it’s not just about its market cap. We need to dig deeper into how the market is truly pricing MARA Holdings, Inc. and what that implies for investors.

Metric	Value
Market Cap	4.24 B
Enterprise Value	7.06 B
EV/Revenue (TTM)	7.69x
EV/EBITDA (TTM)	6.26x
Next Earnings Date	2025-11-04

While the market acknowledges MARA Holdings, Inc. as a significant player in the Capital Markets industry with a $4.24 billion market capitalization, its enterprise value stands considerably higher at $7.06 billion. This difference of $2.82 billion is largely attributed to the company’s debt. Investors seem confident about MARA’s future earnings potential, but it’s crucial to acknowledge the implications of this substantial debt load, especially in a dynamic financial environment.

The valuation ratios also paint an interesting picture. MARA Holdings, Inc. trades at 7.69x revenue and 6.26x EBITDA (Trailing Twelve Months), which places it at a premium compared to many of its peers. This premium likely reflects the company’s strong market position and valuable brand assets within its niche. However, it also suggests that the stock might have less room for error if future performance doesn’t meet these high expectations.

The upcoming earnings report on November 04, 2025, will be a critical event, as it will reveal whether MARA Holdings, Inc. can deliver the growth needed to justify its current valuation. Essentially, you’re paying for quality here, and quality often comes at a higher price.

MARA Share Statistics: Ownership, Float & Short Interest

Understanding who owns MARA’s shares and how many are available for trading can give us valuable insights into market dynamics and potential volatility.

Metric	Value
Shares Outstanding	378 M
Implied Shares Outstanding	378 M
Shares Float	372 M
Insider Ownership	0.57%
Institutional Ownership	77.15%
Shares Short	94 M
Short Ratio (Days To Cover)	1.90x
Short % of Float	31.94%
Shares Short (Prior Month)	101 M
Short Date	2025-10-31

Almost all of MARA’s 378 million shares are publicly available as float, meaning there isn’t a significant amount of stock locked up. A high float typically allows investors to trade the stock without causing drastic price shifts. However, it also means the company could issue more shares, potentially diluting the value of existing stock, which is something to keep in mind.

Interestingly, executives and major shareholders hold a relatively small portion of the company, just 0.57%. This low insider ownership might suggest they don’t have substantial “skin in the game” if the company faces difficulties. Conversely, institutional ownership is quite significant, standing at 77.15%. This high level of institutional backing can provide a degree of stability and confidence in the stock, as large funds have often conducted extensive due diligence.

Now, let’s consider the impact of short interest. With 94 million shares currently shorted, representing 31.94% of the float, a substantial portion of the market is actively betting against MARA. This indicates a high level of perceived risk among short sellers. Investors should closely monitor changes in short interest, as a sharp increase could signal growing doubts about the company’s prospects. Conversely, very low short interest, especially during positive news cycles, could sometimes prevent a significant “short squeeze.”

In-Depth MARA Valuation Ratios

Valuation ratios offer a deeper look into how MARA is priced relative to its earnings, sales, and book value. These metrics are crucial for comparing MARA against its industry peers and historical performance.

Metric	Value
Trailing P/E	4.36x
Forward P/E	280.25x
Price/Sales (TTM)	$4.61
Price/Book (MRQ)	$0.82
EV/Revenue (TTM)	7.69x
EV/EBITDA (TTM)	6.26x

MARA’s valuation demonstrates a clear distinction between its past and future earnings potential. The Trailing P/E ratio at 4.36x suggests that based on historical earnings, the stock might appear undervalued or reflect lower past growth. However, the Forward P/E at a significantly higher 280.25x indicates that investors are expecting a substantial increase in future earnings or are willing to pay a premium for anticipated growth. This premium valuation certainly warrants careful consideration.

Additionally, its Price/Sales ratio of $4.61 and Price/Book of $0.82 provide further context. A Price/Book ratio below 1 can sometimes suggest undervaluation relative to its assets, but it needs to be viewed in conjunction with other metrics and industry norms. From an enterprise value perspective, the EV/Revenue ratio of 7.69x and EV/EBITDA multiple of 6.26x suggest a reasonable valuation based on its revenue and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. Together, these metrics offer a comprehensive view of MARA’s current market positioning and investor expectations.

MARA Financial Health Check: Liquidity, Debt & Returns

A company’s financial health is the bedrock of its long-term viability. Let’s examine MARA’s balance sheet and cash flow to understand its strengths and weaknesses.

Metric	Value
Return on Equity (ROE TTM)	23.07%
Return on Assets (ROA TTM)	4.96%
Debt/Equity (MRQ)	0.70x
Total Cash (MRQ)	826.39 M
Total Debt (MRQ)	3.64 B
Current Ratio (MRQ)	2.09x
Quick Ratio (MRQ)	1.87x
Operating Cash Flow (TTM)	-891.41 M
Levered Free Cash Flow (TTM)	220.67 M

MARA’s financial data reveals a mix of strong performance and areas of concern. Its Return on Equity (ROE) of 23.07% and Return on Assets (ROA) of 4.96% indicate highly efficient use of capital. These are metrics often seen in fast-growing firms that are effectively leveraging their assets and shareholder investments to generate profits.

The Debt/Equity ratio of 0.70x, alongside $3.64 billion in total debt and $826.39 million in cash, suggests MARA has taken on a manageable debt load to fuel its operations and growth. This is a crucial balance, as too much debt can be a significant risk. However, a major concern arises from the negative operating cash flow of -$891.41 million (TTM), which indicates that the core business is currently consuming more cash than it generates from its day-to-day operations. This is definitely a metric to watch closely.

On the liquidity front, MARA appears solid. A Current Ratio of 2.09x and a Quick Ratio of 1.87x show that the company has ample short-term assets to cover its immediate liabilities. Furthermore, MARA’s $220.67 million in levered free cash flow indicates that even after meeting its financial obligations, it can still generate a significant amount of cash for shareholders. This free cash flow provides a crucial buffer and flexibility for future investments or debt reduction.

Analyzing MARA’s Financial Efficiency Ratios

Financial efficiency metrics tell us how well MARA Holdings is utilizing its assets and capital to generate revenue and profits. These ratios are key to understanding operational effectiveness.

Metric	Value
Asset Turnover (TTM)	0.14x
Working Capital Turnover (TTM)	2.45x
Current Ratio (MRQ)	2.09x
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC TTM)	14.09%

MARA Holdings’ Asset Turnover of 0.14x suggests that the company generates $0.14 in revenue for every dollar of assets. This indicates lower efficiency in asset utilization compared to some benchmarks and may point to areas where operational improvements could be made to boost sales per asset. However, its Working Capital Turnover of 2.45x signals efficient use of short-term assets to support sales, which is a positive sign.

This efficiency in working capital is further supported by a strong Current Ratio of 2.09x, which we discussed earlier, signaling excellent liquidity. MARA Holdings’ Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) stands at 14.09%, demonstrating solid capital efficiency and highlighting how effectively the company generates returns from its invested capital. Overall, while MARA Holdings shows strong capital efficiency, a higher asset utilization could further boost profitability. Investors should always compare these figures with industry peers to fully assess MARA’s competitive positioning.

MARA Profitability & Growth Metrics: Margins and Revenue Trends

Profitability and growth are twin pillars of a successful company. Let’s delve into MARA’s ability to generate profits and expand its operations.

Metric	Value
Profit Margin (TTM)	100.82%
Operating Margin (TTM)	31.45%
Gross Margin (TTM)	44.87%
EBITDA Margin (TTM)	122.83%
Revenue (TTM)	919.17 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth (YoY)	91.70%
Gross Profit (TTM)	412.43 M
EBITDA (TTM)	1.13 B
Net Income (TTM)	926.69 M

An analysis of MARA’s margin performance reveals that the company has a strong grip on its costs and pricing strategies. The gross margin of 44.87% demonstrates success in controlling production costs, while the 31.45% operating margin indicates healthy profits from its core operations. What truly stands out is the remarkable 122.83% EBITDA margin, signaling MARA’s capability to generate strong cash flow from its operations before accounting for financing and tax strategies. All things considered, MARA has managed to hold onto approximately 100.82% in net profit for every dollar of its revenue over the last twelve months – an exceptional figure.

While the business’s revenue is increasing at an aggressive rate of 91.70% year-over-year, investors should closely monitor whether this pace can be sustained without eroding those impressive profit margins. MARA’s $1.13 billion in EBITDA and $412.43 million in gross profit highlight its raw earning power. This translates effectively into bottom-line results, with a net income of $926.69 million.

The company appears to be effectively balancing its pursuit of growth with the critical need to maintain profitability. Moving forward, defending its pricing power and controlling operating costs will be crucial for sustaining these strong margins, especially if revenue growth were to moderate. These factors will be key determinants of its continued financial success.

MARA Dividends & Shareholder Returns Analysis

For many investors, dividend payments are a key component of total returns. Let’s look at MARA’s approach to shareholder distributions.

Metric	Value
Payout Ratio	0.00%
Trailing Dividend Yield	0.00%
Last Split Date	2019-04-08
Last Split Factor	1:4

Based on the available data, MARA Holdings, Inc. does not currently pay a regular dividend. This 0.00% payout ratio and zero dividend rate suggest that the company is prioritizing reinvesting its earnings back into the business. This strategy is common among growth-oriented companies that see greater returns by funding expansion, research and development, or debt reduction rather than distributing profits to shareholders.

For investors focused on income, MARA might not be the ideal choice. However, for those seeking capital appreciation from a growing company, this reinvestment strategy could be seen as a positive. It means the company is channeling its resources towards activities that could drive future stock price increases. The last stock split occurred on April 08, 2019, with a 1:4 factor, which adjusted the number of shares and price at that time.

MARA Technical Analysis: Price Trends, Momentum & Key Levels

Now, let’s switch gears and focus on the technical picture. Technical analysis helps us understand price movements, momentum, and potential future direction based on historical trading data for MARA stock.

Current MARA Price & Trend Summary

The current price for MARA stock is $10.07, and the overall trend is unequivocally BEARISH. However, there’s a compelling signal that the stock appears OVERSOLD. Over the last 15 days, MARA has faced significant downward pressure, losing approximately -36.90%. This sharp decline begs the question: is this a prime buying opportunity, or a warning of deeper declines to come? Let’s dissect the key technical levels to find out.

MARA Trend Strength: Bearish Signals

MARA is currently entrenched in a bearish trend, trading consistently below its key moving averages. This is a clear signal for caution among investors. The 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $14.08 is now acting as a formidable overhead resistance level. As long as MARA’s price remains below this critical point, the bearish trend is highly likely to persist. A rejection from this average could easily lead to a re-test of recent lows, reinforcing the downtrend.

MARA Momentum: RSI, MACD & Potential Rebound

A closer look at momentum indicators reveals an interesting dynamic. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is sitting at 5.7, indicating deeply oversold conditions. This often suggests that the selling pressure might be overextended, hinting at a potential bounce in the near future. However, simultaneously, the MACD histogram is negative, which implies that underlying upward momentum is currently fading or is weak. This creates a mixed signal for traders.

From a trading strategy perspective, this oversold RSI reading could present a potential short-term bounce opportunity for aggressive traders. However, conservative traders would be wise to wait for the RSI to decisively cross back above 30 to confirm a legitimate reversal before considering a buy. This cautious approach helps filter out false signals and provides better confirmation of a trend change.

MARA Bollinger Bands: Volatility and Support

Analyzing the Bollinger Bands, we see that MARA stock is trading near the middle of its bands, with the 20-day SMA also at $14.08. The lower Bollinger Band, currently at $8.87, offers the next crucial level of support. This band often acts as a price floor during downtrends, and a bounce from this level could be a technical signal for a short-term rebound. Conversely, a break below the lower band could indicate increasing selling pressure and further downside.

MARA Trading Volume Insights

When it comes to conviction behind price movements, volume is key. Currently, MARA’s trading volume is near its recent average. This neutral volume provides neither strong confirmation for the current bearish price action nor does it suggest a significant buying interest that could signal a reversal. Essentially, the volume trend is not strongly influencing the current price direction, making other indicators more critical for short-term decisions.

MARA Support & Resistance Levels: Your Trading Plan

Based on our technical analysis, here’s a focused trading plan with key levels to watch for MARA:

Resistance: The recent high of $20.47 acts as a significant resistance level. A clear breakout above this with strong volume could signal a reversal and push MARA higher.
Support: The 20-day SMA at $14.08 is the immediate support level. If this breaks, expect a test of the lower Bollinger Band at $8.87.
Critical Level: A drop below $8.87 could trigger a deeper correction, potentially heading towards the 200-day SMA, which is currently at $16.53.

MARA Technical Verdict: Buy, Hold, or Sell?

Here’s our final verdict for different types of investors based on the technical signals:

Short-Term Traders: The trend is technically positive but shows signs of exhaustion. A neutral stance might be best until a clearer signal emerges from MACD or volume. Monitor closely for signs of a bounce from oversold conditions.
Long-Term Investors: The long-term uptrend for MARA remains valid as long as the price holds above the 200-day SMA ($16.53). A pullback to the 50-day SMA ($17.38) area could present a safer buying opportunity, offering a better entry point for those with a longer horizon.
New Buyers: Avoid chasing any rally here. It’s prudent to wait for either a confirmed breakout above $20.47 with strong volume, or a pullback to the $14.08 area. These levels would offer a more favorable risk/reward entry point.

Bottom Line: The technical indicators suggest that the recent rally for MARA may be running out of steam in the short term. While the long-term trend still appears bullish, a correction seems plausible before the next major move. Trade carefully, and always wait for clear confirmation at these key technical levels before making any decisions.

MARA Historical Stock Performance & Trading Data

Understanding MARA’s past price movements and trading activity is essential for grasping its current dynamics. Let’s look at recent historical data.

In the recent trading period from November 07, 2025, to November 21, 2025, MARA’s stock price experienced a total return of -36.55%. During this time, the price fluctuated significantly, reaching a high of $16.62 and a low of $9.71. The average daily trading volume during this period was approximately 50,273,013 shares, indicating consistent market interest.

MARA Recent Daily Trading Activity

Here’s a detailed look at MARA’s daily trading data for the most recent period:

Date	Open	High	Low	Close	Volume
2025-11-21	$10.12	$10.48	$9.71	$10.07	56,525,100
2025-11-20	$11.48	$11.74	$10.21	$10.24	55,553,200
2025-11-19	$11.87	$11.89	$10.84	$11.10	51,758,900
2025-11-18	$11.41	$12.12	$11.36	$11.88	49,781,500
2025-11-17	$12.02	$12.27	$11.10	$11.51	53,541,900
2025-11-16	$12.39	$12.69	$11.96	$11.99	49,802,900
2025-11-15	$12.39	$12.69	$11.96	$11.99	49,802,900
2025-11-14	$12.39	$12.69	$11.96	$11.99	49,802,900
2025-11-13	$14.25	$14.28	$12.68	$12.78	53,568,200
2025-11-12	$14.96	$14.98	$13.98	$14.41	41,649,900
2025-11-11	$15.27	$15.32	$14.49	$14.63	50,681,700
2025-11-10	$16.56	$16.62	$15.56	$15.58	37,135,400
2025-11-09	$15.39	$15.89	$14.81	$15.87	51,496,900
2025-11-08	$15.39	$15.89	$14.81	$15.87	51,496,900
2025-11-07	$15.39	$15.89	$14.81	$15.87	51,496,900

MARA Stock Price Statistics: Volatility & Moving Averages

Beyond daily movements, a look at broader price statistics helps contextualize MARA’s behavior over time.

Metric	Value
52 Week High	$30.28
52 Week Low	$9.71
50 Day MA	$17.43
200 Day MA	$15.69
Beta	5.41x
Volatility (30d Ann.)	58.0%

When we examine MARA’s price range over the past year, we see a high of $30.28 and a low of $9.71. This wide gap signifies that the stock has experienced substantial fluctuations, likely driven by market sentiment shifts or company-specific developments. Currently, the 50-day moving average at $17.43 is above the 200-day moving average of $15.69. This “golden cross” setup is often interpreted as a bullish signal, suggesting positive long-term momentum.

MARA carries a beta of 5.41x, which means it tends to move much more sharply than the broader market—specifically, about 441% more volatile. Coupled with a high 30-day annualized volatility of 58.0%, it’s clear this stock is prone to frequent and significant price swings. For investors, this translates to both greater potential for gains and a higher degree of downside risk. These indicators are crucial when deciding on position sizing or entry timing, especially if you’re managing a portfolio that aims to balance stability with growth exposure.

MARA Quarterly Earnings Performance & Growth

Quarterly earnings reports are critical checkpoints for any company. Let’s review MARA’s recent performance to understand its operational trajectory.

MARA’s recent quarterly performance highlights its ability to generate significant revenue and income. The company’s latest reported quarter showed revenue of $252.41 million and net income of $123.13 million. This performance indicates a healthy operational quarter.

Delving into growth, the quarter-over-quarter revenue change was a positive +5.8%, demonstrating consistent sequential growth. More impressively, the year-over-year revenue growth stands at a robust +91.7%, showcasing significant expansion over the past year. This strong growth trajectory is a key factor for many investors.

MARA Recent Quarterly Financial Results

Here’s a snapshot of MARA’s performance over the last four quarters:

Quarter	Revenue	Net Income	EPS	Gross Margin
2025-Q3	252.41 M	123.13 M	0.27x	82.9%
2025-Q2	238.49 M	808.24 M	1.84x	82.5%
2025-Q1	213.88 M	-533.20 M	-1.55x	79.7%
2024-Q4	214.39 M	528.53 M	1.24x	-24.6%

MARA Quarterly Growth Metrics

Focusing on growth trends provides clarity on MARA’s operational momentum.

Metric	Value
QoQ Revenue Growth	+5.8%
QoQ Net Income Growth	-84.8%
YoY Revenue Growth	+91.7%

MARA Short Selling Insights: Bearish Bets & Short Squeeze Potential

Short selling activity can be a powerful indicator of market sentiment and can also influence stock price dynamics. Let’s analyze the short interest surrounding MARA.

Metric	Value
Shares Short	94 M
Short Ratio (Days To Cover)	1.90x
Short % of Float	31.94%
Shares Short (Prior Month)	101 M
Short Date	2025-10-31

Currently, there are 94 million shares of MARA that have been sold short. The short ratio, also known as “days to cover,” stands at 1.9x. This means that, at the stock’s recent average trading volume, it would take approximately two days for all short positions to be covered. A low days-to-cover ratio like this suggests that short sellers do not currently have significant control over the stock’s price, and the risk of a prolonged “short squeeze” (where shorts are forced to buy back shares, driving prices up) is relatively low.

However, with 31.94% of the public float sold short, a high percentage of the float is being targeted by short sellers. This signals a significant bearish conviction from a notable portion of the market. It’s interesting to note that this level has decreased recently from 101 million shares shorted in the prior month, suggesting a slight shift in bearish sentiment. Even with this decrease, of potential volatility spikes. News events that compel short sellers to cover their positions could still trigger sharp price movements, making MARA a stock to watch closely for such dynamics.

MARA Risk Analysis: Volatility, Drawdown & VaR

Every investment comes with risks, and understanding them is paramount. This section delves into MARA’s risk profile, examining its volatility, potential for loss, and risk-adjusted returns.

Metric	Value
Volatility (Annualized)	119.8%
Value at Risk (5%)	-8.99%
Value at Risk (1%)	-14.84%
Sharpe Ratio	0.44x
Sortino Ratio	0.84x
Maximum Drawdown	-99.19%
Skewness	5.49x
Kurtosis	95.07x

MARA’s risk profile clearly indicates high volatility, with an annualized volatility of 119.8%. This figure signals a high investment risk, as the stock is prone to very wide price swings. For investors, this means the potential for significant gains but also for equally significant losses.

The Sharpe ratio of 0.44x suggests mixed risk-adjusted returns. A lower Sharpe ratio indicates that the stock’s returns might not adequately compensate for the level of risk taken. Furthermore, the maximum drawdown of -99.19% is a stark reminder of the potential for extreme downside risk during adverse market conditions. This metric shows the largest peak-to-trough decline the investment has experienced.

The Value at Risk (VaR) at a 5% confidence level shows a potential loss of -8.99% in the worst 5% of scenarios, while at a 1% confidence level, the potential loss increases to -14.84%. These VaR figures provide a quantitative estimate of potential losses within a given timeframe. The Sortino ratio of 0.84x, which specifically focuses on downside risk, offers additional insight into its risk-adjusted performance. Investors should carefully consider these risk metrics in light of their individual risk tolerance and overall investment objectives.

MARA Sentiment Analysis: Market, Analyst & Options Views

Beyond the numbers, market sentiment plays a significant role in stock performance. Let’s explore the current collective mood surrounding MARA.

Metric	Value
Composite Sentiment Score	0.37x
Sentiment Classification	Positive
Sentiment Confidence	39.1%
News Sentiment	Neutral (0.04x)
Analyst Sentiment	Positive (0.40x)
Options Sentiment	Positive (0.40x)
Put/Call Ratio	0.30x

Current market sentiment analysis for MARA reveals a cautiously positive outlook, reflected in a composite sentiment score of 0.37x with a confidence level of 39.1%. This overall positive sentiment is derived from various data sources, including recent news coverage, analyst recommendations, and activity in the options market.

Breaking down the sentiment components, news analysis shows a largely Neutral (0.04x) stance, suggesting that recent headlines haven’t strongly swayed opinion in one direction or the other. However, both analyst consensus and options market sentiment lean towards Positive (0.40x). The low Put/Call ratio of 0.30x in the options market further supports this, indicating that fewer investors are buying puts (bets on price decline) compared to calls (bets on price increase).

While the overall sentiment is positive, it’s important to note that the confidence level is relatively modest at 39.1%. This suggests that while there’s a lean towards positivity, it’s not a overwhelmingly strong or unanimous conviction. Investors should consider this sentiment alongside a thorough fundamental and technical analysis for a truly comprehensive investment perspective on MARA.

MARA Peer Comparison: How It Stacks Up Against Competitors

To truly understand MARA’s position, we need to compare it against its peers in the Capital Markets industry. This comparison highlights key strengths and weaknesses relative to its direct competitors.

Metric	MARA	CCC	QTWO	BOX
Market Cap	$4.24B	$4.64B	$4.43B	$4.35B
P/E Ratio	4.36	17.09	141.62	23.85
Revenue Growth	91.70%	12.00%	15.20%	8.90%
Net Margin	1.01%	-0.28%	4.12%	20.30%
EPS	2.57	-0.01	0.50	1.26
ROE	23.07%	-0.01%	5.68%	1.63%
Debt-to-Equity	70.39	51.59	86.55	332
Dividend Yield	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
52-Week Range	9.71 – 30.28	6.96 – 12.88	58.57 – 112.82	28.00 – 38.80

In a peer group including CCC, QTWO, and BOX, MARA’s $4.24 billion market cap positions it as the smallest player, though all are relatively close in size. When we look at valuation, MARA’s conservative P/E ratio of 4.36x suggests a more value-oriented pricing, especially when contrasted with QTWO, which trades at a premium P/E of 141.62x. CCC, with a P/E of 17.09x, sits somewhere in the middle, often reflecting more mature or slower-growth businesses.

A significant highlight for MARA is its robust 91.7% revenue growth, demonstrating strong expansion compared to its peers like QTWO (15.2%) and BOX (8.9%). This indicates MARA’s strong momentum in scaling its operations. Profitability-wise, MARA’s 1.01% net margin shows positive, albeit lower, profitability compared to BOX (20.30%) and QTWO (4.12%), and better than CCC’s negative margin.

MARA also shines with an exceptional 23.07% Return on Equity (ROE), indicating highly efficient use of shareholder equity, outperforming all listed peers. In terms of leverage, MARA maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 70.39, while BOX shows considerably higher leverage at 332. None of these companies currently offer a dividend yield, suggesting a focus on reinvestment across the board. The 52-week range also shows MARA has experienced significant volatility.

MARA Insider Transactions: Recent Buying & Selling Activity

Insider transactions can provide valuable clues about how those closest to the company view its prospects. Let’s examine the recent activity for MARA.

Over the last three months, insider activity for MARA shows a total of 26 transactions. It’s important to distinguish between different types of transactions: a significant portion, 12, were stock awards or tax-related dispositions, which are often non-discretionary and less indicative of sentiment. However, focusing on discretionary open-market activity, there were 14 market sales and 0 market purchases. This clear tilt towards selling indicates that insiders are actively reducing their positions.

Recent market transactions continue to lean towards selling, with insiders consistently reducing their holdings in the near term. While this selling activity is notable, the modest scale of many individual transactions suggests that it might be routine profit-taking or portfolio rebalancing rather than fundamental concerns about the company’s long-term prospects. Nevertheless, it’s a data point of, as sustained insider selling can sometimes signal a lack of confidence.

Insider Name	Type	Shares Changed	Price	Shares After	Transaction Date	Filing Date
Khan Salman Hassan	SELL (Sale) [S]	-34,732	$11.99	283,298	2025-11-17	2025-11-19
Thiel Frederick G	SELL (Sale) [S]	-27,505	$11.99	3,582,994	2025-11-17	2025-11-19
MELLINGER DOUGLAS K	SELL (Sale) [S]	-1,000	$16.55	170,859	2025-11-10	2025-11-12
Nowaid Zabi	SELL (Sale) [S]	-90	$16.58	723,136	2025-11-10	2025-11-10
Nowaid Zabi	SELL (Sale) [S]	-25,023	$15.87	723,226	2025-11-10	2025-11-10
Thiel Frederick G	SELL (Tax Payment) [F]	-27,316	$17.81	3,610,499	2025-11-06	2025-11-10
Nowaid Zabi	SELL (Tax Payment) [F]	-4,240	$17.81	748,249	2025-11-06	2025-11-10
Nowaid Zabi	SELL (Sale) [S]	-4,887	$16.70	752,489	2025-11-06	2025-11-10
Nowaid Zabi	SELL (Tax Payment) [F]	-9,981	$18.27	757,376	2025-11-03	2025-11-04
Thiel Frederick G	SELL (Tax Payment) [F]	-40,388	$18.27	3,637,815	2025-11-03	2025-11-04
Khan Salman Hassan	SELL (Tax Payment) [F]	-30,946	$18.27	1,251,650	2025-11-03	2025-11-04
Nowaid Zabi	SELL (Tax Payment) [F]	-13,753	$17.76	767,357	2025-10-31	2025-11-04
Thiel Frederick G	SELL (Tax Payment) [F]	-40,497	$17.76	3,678,203	2025-10-31	2025-11-04
Khan Salman Hassan	SELL (Tax Payment) [F]	-34,382	$17.76	1,282,596	2025-10-31	2025-11-04
Thiel Frederick G	SELL (Sale) [S]	-27,505	$19.57	3,718,700	2025-10-17	2025-10-20
Khan Salman Hassan	SELL (Sale) [S]	-34,732	$22.74	318,030	2025-10-15	2025-10-17
MELLINGER DOUGLAS K	SELL (Sale) [S]	-1,000	$20.71	171,859	2025-10-07	2025-10-08
Khan Salman Hassan	SELL (Tax Payment) [F]	-9,165	$18.61	1,351,312	2025-10-06	2025-10-08
Thiel Frederick G	SELL (Tax Payment) [F]	-9,584	$18.26	3,746,205	2025-10-01	2025-10-03
Nowaid Zabi	SELL (Tax Payment) [F]	-3,254	$18.26	781,110	2025-10-01	2025-10-03
Khan Salman Hassan	SELL (Tax Payment) [F]	-8,136	$18.26	1,360,477	2025-10-01	2025-10-03
Thiel Frederick G	SELL (Sale) [S]	-27,505	$17.38	3,755,789	2025-09-17	2025-09-18
Thiel Frederick G	SELL (Sale) [S]	-27,505	$16.35	3,783,294	2025-09-16	2025-09-18
Khan Salman Hassan	SELL (Sale) [S]	-34,732	$16.24	318,428	2025-09-15	2025-09-17
MELLINGER DOUGLAS K	SELL (Sale) [S]	-1,000	$16.10	172,859	2025-09-10	2025-09-11
Mealer-Burke Vicki	SELL (Sale) [S]	-14,887	$15.22	58,103	2025-09-08	2025-09-10

Key Risk Factors for MARA Stock Investors

Investing in MARA, like any stock, comes with inherent risks. Based on our analysis, here are some key factors that investors should consider before making any decisions. This list is not exhaustive but highlights the most prominent risks identified.

⚠️ The current price of $11.21 is below the 50-Day SMA of $17.38, indicating potential short-term weakness and a bearish technical signal.
⚠️ The price of $11.21 is also below the 200-Day SMA of $16.53, which often signals potential long-term weakness and a broader downtrend.
⚠️ The RSI at 5.7 is very low (below 30), suggesting oversold conditions. While this could precede a rebound, it also reflects significant recent selling pressure and could indicate further downside if sentiment doesn’t shift.
⚠️ General market fluctuations and prevailing economic conditions can significantly impact stocks in the Financial Services sector, making MARA susceptible to broader economic headwinds.

MARA Analyst Consensus & Price Targets

What are Wall Street professionals saying about MARA? Analyst insights can provide a collective view on a stock’s potential future performance.

Metric	Value
Recommendation	Buy
Mean Target Price	$23.32
High Target Price	$30.00
Low Target Price	$13.00
Number of Analyst Opinions	11

This section summarizes the collective view of 11 professional analysts currently covering MARA. The consensus recommendation is a clear ‘Buy’, indicating a generally optimistic outlook from the analyst community. The mean price target is set at $23.32, with individual targets ranging from a low of $13.00 to a high of $30.00.

Based on the mean target price of $23.32, this implies a potential upside of approximately +108.0% from the current price of $11.21. This significant projected upside provides a strong gauge of Wall Street sentiment regarding MARA’s potential to appreciate. However, it’s always wise to consider the range of targets, as it reflects varying degrees of optimism and underlying assumptions among analysts.

Latest News & Developments for MARA Holdings, Inc.

Staying current with the latest news and events is vital for any investor. Here are some recent headlines related to MARA that offer insights into current events and market sentiment, all from the last few days.

Bitcoin faces 3 big problems as the cryptocurrency struggles to rebound amid 30% slide from record highs
Publisher: Yahoo Finance
Published: 2025-11-24T21:37:36Z
Why Analysts Are Split on Bitcoin Miner MARA’s Prospects
Publisher: decrypt
Published: 2025-11-24T18:45:42Z
Bitcoin Miners Cipher and CleanSpark Upgraded by JPMorgan as HPC Shift Accelerates
Publisher: CoinDesk
Published: 2025-11-24T13:15:12Z
How Recent Developments Are Shaping the Story and Valuation for MARA Holdings
Publisher: Simply Wall St.
Published: 2025-11-23T09:11:57Z
MARA Holdings, Inc. (MARA) Bounces to Profitability on Bitcoin Surge and Expansion into AI Market
Publisher: Insider Monkey
Published: 2025-11-22T07:30:05Z

MARA Stock Conclusion & Investment Outlook

Alright, we’ve covered a lot of ground on MARA Holdings, Inc. Let’s pull everything together to give you a concise overview of its current standing and future outlook. This synthesis combines both the technical and fundamental aspects we’ve explored.

Short-Term Technical Summary for MARA

Overall Technical Sentiment: Neutral
Price Trend vs MAs: Bearish (currently below both SMA50/200)
Momentum (RSI): Oversold (5.7), hinting at potential for a bounce
Support / Resistance (30d): ~$9.71 (Support) / ~$20.47 (Resistance)

Longer-Term MARA Fundamental & Forecast Outlook

1-Year Avg. Forecast: Projects a substantial +54.1% average change, targeting approximately $17.28.
Fundamental Health: Assessed as moderate, with strong ROE (23.07%) but also a notable debt-to-equity ratio (0.70x).
Valuation Snapshot: Appears elevated, particularly with a Forward P/E of 280.25x, suggesting high future growth expectations.
Recent Growth (YoY): Strong revenue growth of 91.70%.
Analyst Consensus: A confident ‘Buy’ recommendation with a mean target of $23.32.

Overall MARA Investment Assessment

In summary, MARA presents a nuanced investment case. Technically, the stock is showing a neutral short-term sentiment, characterized by a bearish trend against its moving averages but with an oversold RSI that could signal a rebound. Fundamentally, the company demonstrates moderate health, balancing strong returns on equity with a manageable debt load, though its valuation appears elevated based on future earnings expectations.

Model projections indicate a significant potential upside of +54.1% over the next year, targeting around $17.28, which aligns with a strong ‘Buy’ consensus from analysts. Investors should carefully weigh these factors against the potential risks outlined earlier, such as high volatility and significant short interest, and align them with their personal investment strategies and risk tolerance. This report provides a comprehensive view for your analysis.

Frequently Asked Questions About MARA Stock

What is the MARA stock price prediction for the next year (2025-2026)?

Based on current models, the average 1-year price forecast for MARA is approximately $17.28. This represents a potential +54.1% change from the recent price of $11.21. Remember, this is a model-driven estimate, not a guarantee, and actual prices will fluctuate based on numerous factors.

Will MARA stock go up or down?

The 1-year forecast model suggests the price might show strong gains on average (+54.1% potential). However, the short-term direction is highly uncertain and heavily influenced by prevailing market sentiment (currently ‘Neutral’), breaking news, and overall economic conditions. Technical indicators provide clues for near-term direction, currently pointing to a bearish trend but with oversold conditions.

Is MARA stock a good investment right now?

Determining if MARA is a ‘good buy’ requires evaluating multiple factors. Technical sentiment is ‘Neutral’, while the 1-year forecast suggests +54.1% potential upside. Technically, the RSI indicates oversold conditions (RSI: 5.7), potentially signaling a rebound opportunity. Consider the valuation, financial health, and growth prospects, but also note the identified risk factors. Align these factors with your personal investment strategy and risk tolerance.

How volatile is MARA stock?

Based on recent 30-day price action, MARA’s annualized volatility is approximately 58.0%. This level is considered high, indicating a propensity for significant price fluctuations. This aligns with its Beta of 5.41x, suggesting it moves much more sharply than the broader market. Higher volatility means larger potential price swings, both up and down.

What is MARA’s P/E ratio and what does it mean?

MARA’s Trailing P/E ratio (based on past earnings) is 4.36x, which is relatively low and might suggest potential value or lower past growth expectations. However, its Forward P/E (based on expected earnings) is 280.25x, indicating that investors anticipate substantial future earnings growth or are paying a premium for that expectation. A P/E ratio shows how much investors are willing to pay per dollar of earnings; compare it to industry peers and historical levels for context.

What are the key upcoming events for MARA?

The next major event for MARA is its upcoming earnings report on November 04, 2025, with the earnings call scheduled for 08:00 PM ET on the same day. Beyond this, investors should monitor macroeconomic shifts, competitive actions within the Capital Markets and digital asset sectors, and any major corporate announcements from MARA Holdings, Inc.

What does MARA’s liquidity position reveal about its financial health?

MARA’s financial health includes a strong Current Ratio of 2.09x and a Quick Ratio of 1.87x, suggesting it can comfortably cover its short-term liabilities. While it has a negative operating cash flow of -$891.41 million (TTM), its positive levered free cash flow of $220.67 million provides a significant buffer and is a critical factor in its ability to fund operations and debt obligations.

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