Energy Transfer LP (ET) Stock Analysis: Comprehensive Investment Guide & Market Insights

Hey there, fellow investors! If you’re looking at the energy sector, specifically the Oil & Gas Midstream industry, then Energy Transfer LP (ET) is likely on your radar. This company, with a substantial $56.69 billion market capitalization, is a major player, and understanding its true investment potential is key. We’re here to dive deep into ET stock, examining whether its current price truly reflects its value and if it’s geared for future success.

The big question for many of us is, “Is now a smart time to invest in Energy Transfer LP?” Let’s break down how ET stock is currently performing in the market and what the data suggests. This report aims to give you a clear, actionable perspective.

What You Need to Know Right Now About ET Stock

As of November 2025, Energy Transfer LP (ET) is trading at $16.51. From a technical standpoint, it’s a bit of a mixed bag; the stock is currently above its short-term 50-day moving average, which is a positive sign. However, it’s still below its long-term 200-day trendline, suggesting some underlying long-term pressure.

Wall Street analysts seem quite bullish on ET, projecting a 1-year price target of $21.77. This implies a potential upside of approximately +35.4% from current levels, which is certainly eye-catching. But here’s the thing: you should be aware of the stock’s significant annualized volatility, sitting at 14.2%. This figure signals that ET can experience wide price swings, which is something to consider for your risk appetite.

Fundamentally, Energy Transfer LP presents a nuanced picture. On one hand, the company boasts a robust portfolio of established assets within the midstream space. On the other hand, it’s facing some headwinds, particularly with a recent contraction in earnings, which are down -12.70% year-over-year. This earnings trend is definitely something we need to explore further.

What’s Inside This Comprehensive ET Stock Analysis?

We’re committed to giving you a holistic view of Energy Transfer LP, going beyond just the numbers. Our goal is to equip you with the insights needed to make a truly informed decision. Here’s what we’ll cover:

  • Is now a good time to buy ET stock? We’ll look at the technicals, which currently suggest a “Neutral” stance, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 52.2. We’ll also examine the fundamentals, which lean towards “caution” due to debt levels and growth metrics.
  • Can Energy Transfer LP’s core operations drive future growth? We’ll analyze how the company’s performance in its core Oil & Gas Midstream operations and its ability to manage competitive pressures will likely dictate its future growth trajectory.
  • What are the biggest risks for ET investors? We’ll highlight the company’s substantial debt of $63.97 billion, which could be a significant factor in a rising interest rate environment. We’ll also touch on the fierce competition from both established players and new entrants in the energy sector.

Many stock analyses either bombard you with impenetrable jargon or offer overly simplistic “buy” or “sell” recommendations without much substance. That’s not our approach. We’re here to provide clear, actionable information that benefits you, whether you’re a long-term investor or someone looking for shorter-term trading opportunities.

So, is Energy Transfer LP the right addition to your portfolio, setting you up for success? Or are there hidden issues you should be wary of? Let’s dive into the data and uncover the full story.

Key Metrics and Forecast Summary for ET Stock

Let’s start with a quick snapshot of Energy Transfer LP’s current market standing and what analysts are forecasting. This table condenses the essential information you need to grasp ET’s immediate situation and future potential.

Metric Value Notes
Current Price $16.51 Live Market Price (as of November 2025)
1-Month Price Forecast $16.51 📈 +0.0%
1-Year Price Forecast $22.36 📈 +35.4% Potential Upside
Analyst Mean Target $21.77 📈 +31.9% Potential Upside
Overall Trend ⚖️ ● Mixed Trend
RSI (14-day) 52.2 Neutral ⚖️
MACD ➡️ Neutral Trend (-0.01)
Above SMA 50 $16.48 Positive short-term signal
Above SMA 200 $16.92 Negative long-term signal
52-Week Range 📏 $14.60 – $21.45
Volatility (30d Ann.) 14.2% 🏞️
Beta (vs. Market) 0.65x 🛡️ (Low Sensitivity)
Green Days (30d) 13/30 (43%) 🟡
Institutional Ownership 30.27% 🏠
Short % of Float 1.02% 😊 (Low Bearish Bets)

Right now, ET stock is trading at $16.51. The technical indicators are showing a somewhat mixed pattern, which means we need to look closer. The price is holding above its 50-day moving average of $16.48, which is a positive sign for short-term momentum. However, it’s still below the 200-day moving average of $16.92, suggesting that the longer-term trend might still be challenging.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits at 52.2, placing it squarely in a neutral zone. This means the stock isn’t considered overbought or oversold, indicating a balanced momentum. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator also shows a neutral trend with a value of -0.01, which could hint at minor pullbacks before any significant upward movement.

Looking back over the past year, ET’s stock has traded within a range of $14.60 to $21.45. This wide range tells us that investor sentiment has been quite varied. The current price of $16.51 is trading mid-range, suggesting that extreme price swings might be less likely unless a major catalyst emerges.

Analysts, on average, expect a modest but appealing growth ahead for Energy Transfer LP. They’ve set a 1-year target of $22.36, which would represent a +35.4% increase. The broader consensus target comes in slightly lower at $21.77, still offering a solid +31.9% upside. Furthermore, with institutional ownership at 30.27% and very low short interest at just 1.02% of the float, most large investors are betting on the company’s long-term success rather than its decline. This low short interest can often be a comforting sign for potential investors.

ET Stock Price Forecast Chart: Visualizing Future Trends

While we can’t display a live chart here, imagine seeing a clear visual representation of Energy Transfer LP’s recent average prices alongside a forecasted price range. This chart would typically illustrate the projected low, average, and high price bands based on advanced predictive models, like the Prophet model. It helps to visually grasp the potential trajectory and expected volatility.

Detailed Forecast Table for Energy Transfer LP (ET)

Let’s dive into the specifics of the month-by-month price forecast for ET stock. The model projects a potential overall range of $16.51 to $25.02 over the next year. This table breaks down the projected price bands, the potential Return on Investment (ROI) compared to the current price of $16.51, and the model’s signal for each period.

Month (Period) Min. Price Avg. Price Max. Price Potential ROI vs Current ($16.51) Model Signal
2025-11 $16.51 $16.51 $16.51 ● 0.0% Hold/Neutral
2025-12 $18.15 $19.76 $21.52 ▲ 19.7% Consider Buy
2026-01 $19.17 $20.52 $22.07 ▲ 24.3% Consider Buy
2026-02 $19.56 $21.26 $23.05 ▲ 28.8% Consider Buy
2026-03 $19.67 $21.19 $23.10 ▲ 28.3% Consider Buy
2026-04 $19.64 $20.97 $22.25 ▲ 27.0% Consider Buy
2026-05 $19.27 $21.19 $22.83 ▲ 28.4% Consider Buy
2026-06 $20.23 $21.71 $23.54 ▲ 31.5% Consider Buy
2026-07 $20.24 $21.90 $23.97 ▲ 32.7% Consider Buy
2026-08 $20.30 $22.14 $24.34 ▲ 34.1% Consider Buy
2026-09 $20.01 $22.37 $24.38 ▲ 35.5% Consider Buy
2026-10 $20.40 $22.36 $24.63 ▲ 35.4% Consider Buy
2026-11 $19.99 $22.11 $25.02 ▲ 33.9% Consider Buy

Over the entire forecast horizon, from November 2025 to November 2026, our model projects that ET’s price could fluctuate between approximately $16.51 and $25.02. What’s interesting is that the projected price range remains relatively consistent throughout this period. This implies a stable level of forecast uncertainty, which can be reassuring for investors.

It’s crucial to remember that these forecasts are generated by complex models and inherently carry a degree of uncertainty. Market conditions can shift rapidly, and new data can always alter projections. Therefore, future prices are never guaranteed, and it’s always wise to approach such predictions with a healthy dose of skepticism and further research.

Energy Transfer LP (ET) Company Profile

Before we dive deeper into the financials, let’s establish a foundational understanding of Energy Transfer LP. Knowing its core business provides essential context for all the analysis that follows.

Metric Value
Sector Energy
Industry Oil & Gas Midstream
Market Cap $56.69 billion
Employees 16,248
Website https://energytransfer.com

Business Overview: What Drives Energy Transfer LP?

Energy Transfer LP, along with its subsidiaries, is a behemoth in the energy sector, providing a vast array of energy-related services across the United States. The company’s operations are segmented, encompassing everything from transportation and storage to processing and marketing.

They own and operate an extensive network of natural gas transportation pipelines and storage facilities, including approximately 12,200 miles of intrastate and 20,090 miles of interstate natural gas pipelines. Beyond just transportation, Energy Transfer LP also sells natural gas to a diverse client base, including electric utilities, independent power plants, local distribution companies, and industrial end-users.

The company’s midstream activities are comprehensive, involving natural gas gathering pipelines, processing plants, and facilities for treating and conditioning natural gas. They also manage natural gas gathering, oil pipeline, and oil stabilization facilities. Furthermore, Energy Transfer LP boasts an impressive 5,700 miles of Natural Gas Liquid (NGL) pipelines, NGL fractionation and storage facilities, and other NGL storage assets and terminals.

In the crude oil space, they handle transportation, terminalling, acquisition, and marketing activities, operating approximately 17,950 miles of crude oil trunk and gathering pipelines. The company also sells and distributes motor fuels and other petroleum products under well-known brands like Sunoco and EcoMaxx. Their services extend to natural gas compression, wholesale power trading, and even carbon dioxide and hydrogen sulfide removal. Beyond these, Energy Transfer LP manages coal and natural resources properties, sells standing timber, leases coal-related infrastructure, and collects oil and gas royalties. It’s a truly diversified portfolio within the energy infrastructure.

Originally known as Energy Transfer Equity, L.P., the company rebranded to Energy Transfer LP in October 2018. Founded in 1996, it maintains its headquarters in Dallas, Texas. For more detailed information, you can always check their official SEC filings at sec.gov.

Total Valuation of Energy Transfer LP (ET)

When we look at Energy Transfer LP, it’s clear the market sees it as a significant player in the Oil & Gas Midstream industry, reflected in its $56.69 billion market capitalization. However, its enterprise value (EV) tells a slightly different, and perhaps more complete, story. The EV stands much higher at $117.09 billion, with a substantial $60.40 billion of that value being attributed to debt. This significant debt component is something investors need to keep in mind, especially in a changing interest rate environment.

The valuation ratios for ET also offer interesting insights. Trading at 1.67x revenue and 8.98x EBITDA, the company’s valuation seems to align with its strong market position and established brand assets. This suggests that the market is willing to pay a premium for a quality operator in this space. But, it also implies there might be less room for unexpected setbacks.

The upcoming earnings report on November 5, 2025, will be a crucial event. It will show whether Energy Transfer LP’s businesses can continue to grow into this valuation. Meanwhile, the ex-dividend date of November 7, 2025, serves as a reminder that the company continues to reward shareholders even as it invests for future growth. Essentially, for ET, you’re paying for quality and market leadership, but quality rarely comes cheap.

Metric Value
Market Cap $56.69 billion
Enterprise Value $117.09 billion
EV/Revenue (TTM) 1.67x
EV/EBITDA (TTM) 8.98x
Next Earnings Date 2025-11-05
Ex-Dividend Date 2025-11-07

ET Stock Share Statistics: Understanding Ownership and Market Dynamics

Let’s look at the structure of Energy Transfer LP’s shares and how they’re held. The company has approximately 3 billion shares outstanding, with nearly all of them publicly available as float. This means a significant portion isn’t locked up, which usually allows investors to trade the stock without causing drastic price fluctuations. However, it’s also worth noting that a high float means the company could issue more shares in the future, potentially diluting the value for existing shareholders.

A notable aspect is the insider ownership, with executives and major shareholders holding a substantial 10.09% stake in the company. This level of ownership is generally positive, as it helps align their interests directly with those of public shareholders. Additionally, institutional ownership is quite healthy, coming in at 30.27%. This strong institutional backing often provides a degree of stability and confidence in the stock, as large funds have done their due diligence.

Now, let’s talk about short interest, which can sometimes signal bearish sentiment. Currently, about 32 million shares, or 1.02% of the float, are being shorted. This is a relatively low percentage, suggesting that the “bears” aren’t expressing significant concern about the company’s prospects. While a sharp increase in short interest can signal growing doubt among investors, the current low level means the risk of a dramatic “short squeeze” (where shorts are forced to buy back, driving prices up) is also relatively low.

Metric Value
Shares Outstanding 3 billion
Implied Shares Outstanding 3 billion
Shares Float 3 billion
Insider Ownership 10.09%
Institutional Ownership 30.27%
Shares Short 32 million
Short Ratio (Days To Cover) 2.20x
Short % of Float 1.02%
Shares Short (Prior Month) 28 million
Short Date 2025-10-31

Valuation Metrics for Energy Transfer LP (ET)

When evaluating Energy Transfer LP, its valuation metrics offer a compelling narrative for potential investors. The trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 13.21x, which is already quite reasonable. More intriguingly, the forward P/E ratio, based on expected future earnings, is even lower at 10.45x. This suggests that the market anticipates future earnings growth, making ET appear attractively valued right now.

Beyond earnings, the Price/Sales ratio of 0.71x and Price/Book ratio of 1.81x also warrant attention. These multiples indicate how the market values the company relative to its revenue and book value, offering further insight into its current market positioning. These figures can be particularly useful when comparing ET to its industry peers.

From an enterprise value perspective, which accounts for debt, ET also shows reasonable valuation. The enterprise value to revenue (EV/Revenue) ratio is 1.67x, suggesting a fair valuation based on the company’s top line. Furthermore, the EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.98x points to a reasonable valuation based on its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. Together, these metrics provide a comprehensive view of Energy Transfer LP’s current standing in the market.

Metric Value
Trailing P/E 13.21x
Forward P/E 10.45x
Price/Sales (TTM) $0.71
Price/Book (MRQ) $1.81
EV/Revenue (TTM) 1.67x
EV/EBITDA (TTM) 8.98x

Financial Health of Energy Transfer LP (ET)

Energy Transfer LP’s financial data presents a clear picture of both its strengths and areas to monitor. The company demonstrates highly efficient use of its capital, with a Return on Equity (ROE) of 12.62% and a Return on Assets (ROA) of 4.55%. These figures are often seen in companies that are effectively deploying their assets to generate profit.

Regarding its debt, ET carries a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.36x. While it has substantial total debt of $63.97 billion, it also holds $3.57 billion in cash. This ratio suggests that the company has taken on a manageable debt load to fuel its extensive operations and growth initiatives. What’s particularly encouraging is ET’s ability to generate $10.84 billion in operating cash flow over the trailing twelve months (TTM), proving that its core business is a steady cash producer. This is a significant financial strength, providing a buffer against its debt.

From a liquidity perspective, Energy Transfer LP appears solid. Its Current Ratio of 1.41x and Quick Ratio of 1.10x indicate that the company has sufficient liquid assets to cover its short-term liabilities. Furthermore, with $3.19 billion in levered free cash flow (TTM), ET shows it can still generate substantial cash for shareholders even after meeting all its financial obligations and capital expenditures. This strong cash flow generation is a critical factor in assessing its overall financial resilience.

Metric Value
Return on Equity (ROE TTM) 12.62%
Return on Assets (ROA TTM) 4.55%
Debt/Equity (MRQ) 1.36x
Total Cash (MRQ) $3.57 billion
Total Debt (MRQ) $63.97 billion
Current Ratio (MRQ) 1.41x
Quick Ratio (MRQ) 1.10x
Operating Cash Flow (TTM) $10.84 billion
Levered Free Cash Flow (TTM) $3.19 billion

Financial Efficiency of Energy Transfer LP (ET)

Energy Transfer LP’s efficiency metrics paint a detailed picture of how well the company manages its assets and operations. Its Asset Turnover of 0.64x indicates that it generates $0.64 in revenue for every dollar of assets it holds. This suggests a moderate level of efficiency in utilizing its extensive asset base, which is typical for capital-intensive midstream businesses.

Looking at inventory management, ET’s Inventory Turnover is an impressive 21.87x. This means the company efficiently sells and replaces its inventory roughly 21.9 times annually, translating to approximately 16.7 Days Inventory Outstanding. This efficiency helps keep working capital tied up in inventory to a minimum. Meanwhile, a Receivables Turnover of 7.83x and 46.6 Days Sales Outstanding reflect adequate efficiency in collecting payments from customers.

The Working Capital Turnover of 51.59x points to a highly efficient use of short-term assets to support sales, further bolstered by a strong Current Ratio of 1.41x, signaling ample liquidity. The Cash Conversion Cycle, estimated at around 63.3 days (partial), suggests it takes approximately 2.1 months to convert inventory and receivables into cash. This is a manageable cycle, indicating decent operational cash flow timing.

However, the Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) stands at 4.55%, which suggests that the company’s capital efficiency could use some improvement. This metric shows how effectively Energy Transfer LP generates returns from all the capital invested in its business. Overall, while ET shows strong inventory and working capital management, it might need higher asset utilization to further boost its overall profitability. As an investor, comparing these figures with industry peers would be crucial to fully assess its competitive positioning.

Metric Value
Asset Turnover (TTM) 0.64x
Inventory Turnover (TTM) 21.87x
Receivables Turnover (TTM) 7.83x
Working Capital Turnover (TTM) 51.59x
Current Ratio (MRQ) 1.41x
Days Sales Outstanding 46.6
Days Inventory Outstanding 16.7
Cash Conversion Cycle ~63.3 days (partial)
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC TTM) 4.55%

Profitability and Growth for Energy Transfer LP (ET)

When we analyze Energy Transfer LP’s margin performance, the company generally shows solid control over its costs and pricing strategies. A gross margin of 20.14% indicates that ET is quite successful at controlling its production costs. Furthermore, its operating margin of 10.79% suggests healthy profitability from its core operations before interest and taxes.

The EBITDA margin, standing at 18.56%, highlights ET’s robust capability to generate strong cash flow from its operations. All things considered, Energy Transfer LP manages to retain approximately $5.740 in net profit for every dollar of revenue over the last twelve months. While the company’s revenue growth has been modest, showing a -3.90% year-over-year contraction, investors should closely monitor whether this pace can be sustained without eroding those healthy profit margins.

Energy Transfer LP’s raw earning power is evident with $14.81 billion in EBITDA and $16.07 billion in gross profit. The $4.31 billion in net income reveals how effectively that earning power translates into bottom-line results. These indicators suggest that the company is currently prioritizing strong profitability and cash generation over rapid, top-line growth.

It’s worth noting the significant difference between the company’s gross (20.14%) and net (5.74%) margins. This gap is likely due to substantial operating expenses, interest costs from its debt, or taxes. These are key areas for investors to monitor for efficiency improvements. Moving forward, maintaining steady or improving margins will be critical for ET, especially if revenue growth remains moderate. The company needs to defend its pricing power and continue controlling operating costs to sustain profitability.

Metric Value
Profit Margin (TTM) 5.74%
Operating Margin (TTM) 10.79%
Gross Margin (TTM) 20.14%
EBITDA Margin (TTM) 18.56%
Revenue (TTM) $79.76 billion
Quarterly Revenue Growth (YoY) -3.90%
Gross Profit (TTM) $16.07 billion
EBITDA (TTM) $14.81 billion
Net Income (TTM) $4.31 billion
Earnings Growth (YoY) -12.70%

Dividends and Shareholder Returns for ET Stock

Income-focused investors often pay close attention to dividends, and Energy Transfer LP certainly offers a notable payout. The company currently provides a $1.33 annual dividend per share, which translates to a dividend yield of 8.06%. This means for every $100 invested, shareholders would receive approximately $8.06 in dividends annually.

It’s interesting to note that this current yield is just slightly below its 5-year average of 8.07%. This small difference could suggest either that the stock price has risen recently (thereby reducing the yield percentage) or that dividend growth hasn’t quite kept pace with its historical trends.

Metric Value
Dividend Rate $1.33
Dividend Yield 8.06%
Payout Ratio 104.40%
5 Year Average Dividend Yield 8.07%
Trailing Dividend Rate $1.31
Trailing Dividend Yield 0.08%
Ex-Dividend Date 2025-11-07
Last Split Date 2015-07-27
Last Split Factor 2:1

Key Observations & Analysis of ET’s Dividend

  • The payout ratio of 104.40% is quite high, which usually warrants a closer look at the company’s cash flow sustainability. This figure indicates that ET is using approximately 104% of its earnings to fund dividends. While this can sometimes be a red flag, it’s crucial to cross-reference with strong operating and free cash flow figures, which ET has shown.
  • The very low trailing yield of 0.08% mentioned in the original report seems inconsistent with the 8.06% current yield. This might indicate a recent dividend initiation, a special non-recurring payout, or a data reporting anomaly for that specific “trailing yield” metric. Investors should definitely check for consistency over time.
  • For those looking to receive the next dividend payment, you must own the stock before the upcoming ex-dividend date of November 7, 2025.

Investor Takeaway: Is ET’s Dividend Right for You?

  • For Income Investors: The dividend yield is attractive, and despite the high payout ratio, it appears sustainable given the company’s strong operating cash flow. However, continuous monitoring of earnings and cash flow is advised to ensure the payout remains well-supported.
  • For Growth Investors: Energy Transfer LP strikes a balance between returning capital to shareholders and reinvesting in its business. This makes it potentially appealing for a “growth and income” strategy, offering both yield and future upside.
  • What to Watch For: Keep an eye out for announcements regarding dividend hikes, as this could bring the yield closer to or even above its historical average. Significant stock price movements will also naturally alter the effective dividend yield.

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Technical Analysis of Energy Transfer LP (ET) Stock

CURRENT PRICE: $16.51 | TREND: BEARISH AND CONTINUES TO WEAKEN

Energy Transfer LP (ET) stock has been under some pressure, experiencing a slight decline of -0.16% over the last 15 days. For investors, the big question is whether this dip represents a buying opportunity or a warning of further declines. Let’s break down the key technical levels and indicators to get a clearer picture.

Trend Strength – Still Bearish, But Watch Closely

ET is currently in what technical analysts would consider a bearish trend. It’s trading below its key moving averages, which generally signals caution for traders. This setup suggests that the path of least resistance has been to the downside recently.

What This Means for Traders

  • The 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $16.66 is now acting as an overhead resistance level. As long as the stock price remains below this point, the bearish trend is likely to persist. A rejection from this average could potentially lead to a re-test of recent lows.

Momentum Check – Is Momentum Fading?

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for ET stands at 52.2, placing it in a neutral zone. This indicates that neither buyers nor sellers are currently dominating, suggesting a balanced momentum. However, the MACD histogram is in negative territory, which implies that the upward momentum we might have seen is starting to fade.

Trading Strategy

  • Given this neutral RSI reading, traders have some flexibility. The next decisive directional clue for ET stock will likely come from either a clear MACD crossover (turning positive) or a definitive break above a key resistance level or below a key support level.

Bollinger Bands – Testing Key Levels

The stock is currently testing support near the lower Bollinger Band, which is at $16.20. A bounce off this level would be a bullish signal, potentially indicating that the price is oversold in the short term. Conversely, a decisive break below $16.20 would be a strong bearish signal, suggesting further downside is likely.

Key Levels to Watch for ET Stock

  • Resistance: The recent high of $17.11 is a critical resistance level. A strong breakout above this point, especially with increased volume, could propel ET shares higher.
  • Support: The 20-day SMA at $16.66 is acting as immediate support. If this level breaks, expect a test of the $16.20 level.

Volume Trends – Checking for Conviction

Trading volume for ET is currently near its recent average. This provides neutral confirmation of the current price action, meaning there isn’t unusually high conviction from either buyers or sellers. A spike in volume on a breakout or breakdown would add more weight to that move.

Support & Resistance – Your Trading Plan

Based on the technical levels, here’s a simplified trading plan to consider for Energy Transfer LP:

  • If ET holds above $16.66: This would suggest the bullish trend has more strength, with the next target likely being $17.11.
  • ⚠️ If it breaks below $16.66: Expect a potential dip towards the $16.20 support level.
  • 🛑 A drop below $16.20: This could trigger a deeper correction, potentially heading towards the 200-day SMA which is currently at $16.92. (Note: There might be a slight discrepancy here as $16.92 is above $16.66 and $16.20, but the original text states “deeper correction to the 200-day SMA ($16.92)” after dropping below $16.20. It’s important to cross-reference this with actual chart data. I’m preserving the original values as instructed.)

Final Verdict – Should You Buy, Hold, or Sell ET Stock?

  • Short-Term Traders: The trend shows positive signs but keep a close eye for any signs of exhaustion. A neutral stance might be prudent until a clearer signal emerges from the MACD or volume.
  • Long-Term Investors: The long-term uptrend remains valid as long as the price holds above the 200-day SMA (currently at $16.92). A pullback to the 50-day SMA (around $16.48) could present a safer buying opportunity with a better risk-reward profile.
  • New Buyers: It’s generally wise to avoid chasing the rally at current levels. Instead, wait for either a confirmed breakout above $17.11 with strong volume, or a more attractive pullback to the $16.66 area, which offers a better entry point from a risk/reward perspective.

Bottom Line: The technical indicators suggest that the recent rally in ET stock might be losing some steam in the short term. While the long-term trend still appears bullish, a correction or consolidation phase seems plausible before the next significant move. Approach with caution, trade strategically, and wait for clear confirmations at these key technical levels.

Historical Performance of Energy Transfer LP (ET)

Let’s take a look at Energy Transfer LP’s recent trading history to understand its short-term price dynamics. In the period from November 7, 2025, to November 21, 2025, ET’s stock price delivered a total return of +0.36%. During this timeframe, the price saw a high of $17.11 and dipped to a low of $16.18, showing some intra-period fluctuation. The average daily trading volume during this period was approximately 16,797,120 shares, indicating decent liquidity.

Recent Trading Data for ET Stock

This table provides a day-by-day breakdown of Energy Transfer LP’s trading activity, including opening, high, low, and closing prices, along with the daily trading volume. This granular data helps in understanding the daily swings and investor sentiment.

Date Open High Low Close Volume
2025-11-21 $16.56 $16.66 $16.33 $16.51 23,634,900
2025-11-20 $16.97 $16.99 $16.48 $16.64 20,519,000
2025-11-19 $16.96 $17.05 $16.80 $16.92 16,419,000
2025-11-18 $16.84 $17.09 $16.74 $16.97 14,855,700
2025-11-17 $16.99 $17.11 $16.89 $16.94 11,808,100
2025-11-16 $16.59 $17.03 $16.56 $17.01 15,891,500
2025-11-15 $16.59 $17.03 $16.56 $17.01 15,891,500
2025-11-14 $16.59 $17.03 $16.56 $17.01 15,891,500
2025-11-13 $16.55 $16.69 $16.49 $16.63 12,943,400
2025-11-12 $16.69 $16.75 $16.48 $16.58 10,083,800
2025-11-11 $16.68 $16.73 $16.56 $16.70 28,964,900
2025-11-10 $16.45 $16.74 $16.26 $16.69 18,551,400
2025-11-09 $16.46 $16.52 $16.18 $16.45 15,500,700
2025-11-08 $16.46 $16.52 $16.18 $16.45 15,500,700
2025-11-07 $16.46 $16.52 $16.18 $16.45 15,500,700

ET Stock Price Statistics: Volatility and Market Sensitivity

Understanding Energy Transfer LP’s price statistics gives us a better grasp of its historical movements and how it might behave in the future. Over the past year, the stock has experienced a high of $21.45 and a low of $14.60. This moderate range indicates that ET has seen notable price swings, which is characteristic of many energy sector stocks.

Currently, the 50-day moving average stands at $16.89, which is slightly below the 200-day moving average of $17.61. This particular setup, where the shorter-term average is below the longer-term average, could signal a short-term pullback or a consolidation phase. Technical traders often watch these moving averages for clues about momentum and overall trend direction.

With a Beta of 0.65x, Energy Transfer LP tends to be less volatile than the broader market. This means for every 1% move in the overall market, ET’s stock typically moves about 0.65%. Combined with a low 30-day annualized volatility of 14.2%, it’s clear that this stock, while not excessively wild, still experiences regular price fluctuations. For investors, this lower beta suggests a degree of stability relative to the market, but the volatility figure still points to potential for gains and, of course, downside risk. These indicators are crucial when you’re deciding on position sizing or optimal entry and exit points, especially if you’re building a portfolio that balances stability with growth potential.

Metric Value
52 Week High $21.45
52 Week Low $14.60
50 Day MA $16.89
200 Day MA $17.61
Beta 0.65x
Volatility (30d Ann.) 14.2%

Quarterly Earnings Performance of Energy Transfer LP (ET)

Let’s examine Energy Transfer LP’s recent quarterly performance to gauge its revenue and profitability trends. In the latest reported quarter (2025-Q3), the company achieved revenues of $19.95 billion and a net income of $1.02 billion. This shows its continued ability to generate substantial top-line figures and translate them into profit.

Looking at the growth rates, the quarter-over-quarter revenue saw a positive change of +3.7%, indicating some recent momentum. However, the year-over-year revenue growth stands at -3.9%, which suggests that while there might be recent improvements, the longer-term trend for revenue has been a contraction. This is a critical point for investors to consider.

Recent Quarterly Results (Last 4 Quarters)

This table provides a snapshot of Energy Transfer LP’s performance over the past four quarters, detailing key financial metrics like revenue, net income, EPS, and gross margin. This helps in identifying trends and consistency in its financial results.

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS Gross Margin
2025-Q3 $19.95 billion $1.02 billion 0.28x 19.8%
2025-Q2 $19.24 billion $1.16 billion 0.32x 20.3%
2025-Q1 $21.02 billion $1.32 billion 0.36x 19.4%
2024-Q4 $19.54 billion $1.08 billion 0.29x 20.5%

Growth Metrics for ET Stock

To further analyze the company’s recent trajectory, let’s look at its quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) and year-over-year (YoY) growth rates for revenue and net income.

Metric Value
QoQ Revenue Growth +3.7%
QoQ Net Income Growth -12.4%
YoY Revenue Growth -3.9%

Upcoming Earnings for Energy Transfer LP (ET)

For investors tracking Energy Transfer LP, the next earnings report is a significant event. Here’s what you need to know about the upcoming announcement:

Event Date/Time
Next Report November 06, 2025
Earnings Call November 06, 2025 at 03:00 AM ET

Short Selling Information for ET Stock

Short interest can often provide a useful, albeit contrarian, indicator of market sentiment. Currently, there are 32 million shares of Energy Transfer LP (ET) held short. The short ratio, or “days to cover,” stands at 2.2x. This metric indicates that, at the stock’s recent average trading volume, it would take approximately 2.2 days for all short positions to be covered. This relatively low level suggests that short sellers do not currently wield significant influence over the stock’s price, and the risk of a prolonged “short squeeze” (where shorts are forced to buy back, driving prices up rapidly) is quite low.

With only 1.02% of the public float sold short, a very small percentage of available shares are being bet against. This generally points to a lack of strong bearish sentiment among the broader investor base. While this level has recently increased from 28 million shares in the prior month, it remains very low overall. Because the amount of investors shorting is minimal, the market tends to feel more confident in the stock, and the risks of sharp price swings triggered by sudden short-covering activities are reduced.

Metric Value
Shares Short 32 million
Short Ratio (Days To Cover) 2.20x
Short % of Float 1.02%
Shares Short (Prior Month) 28 million
Short Date 2025-10-31

Risk Analysis for Energy Transfer LP (ET)

Investing in Energy Transfer LP, like any stock, comes with its own set of risks. Our analysis of ET’s risk profile highlights several factors that investors should carefully consider. The company exhibits high volatility, with an annualized volatility of 37.1%. This indicates that the stock can experience significant price swings, implying a higher investment risk compared to less volatile assets.

The Sharpe ratio, at 0.37x, suggests mixed risk-adjusted returns. A higher Sharpe ratio generally indicates better risk-adjusted performance, so 0.37x points to returns that haven’t strongly compensated for the risk taken. Furthermore, the maximum drawdown of -72.82% is a stark reminder of the significant downside risk ET has experienced during adverse market conditions in the past. This figure represents the largest percentage drop from a peak to a trough over a specified period.

Our Value at Risk (VaR) calculation, at a 5% confidence level, shows a potential loss of -2.83% in the worst 5% of scenarios. This provides an estimate of the maximum expected loss over a specific time frame under normal market conditions. The Sortino ratio, which stands at 0.47x, is another important metric. Unlike the Sharpe ratio, Sortino focuses specifically on downside risk, measuring returns relative to downside volatility. A higher Sortino ratio is generally preferred, indicating better performance for each unit of bad risk taken.

Finally, the skewness of -0.60x indicates a tendency for larger negative returns, while the high kurtosis of 57.46x suggests that extreme price events (both positive and negative) are more likely than in a normal distribution. Investors should carefully weigh these risk metrics against their personal risk tolerance and overall investment objectives before making any decisions.

Metric Value
Volatility (Annualized) 37.1%
Value at Risk (5%) -2.83%
Value at Risk (1%) -6.06%
Sharpe Ratio 0.37x
Sortino Ratio 0.47x
Maximum Drawdown -72.82%
Skewness -0.60x
Kurtosis 57.46x

Sentiment Analysis for Energy Transfer LP (ET)

Market sentiment can be a powerful, albeit often subjective, force influencing stock prices. Our current sentiment analysis for Energy Transfer LP (ET) reveals a cautiously positive outlook. The composite sentiment score sits at 0.45x, with a confidence level of 48.0%. This positive sentiment is drawn from a blend of data sources, including recent news coverage, analyst recommendations, and activity in the options market.

Breaking down these sentiment components provides a more granular view. News analysis contributes a positive score of 0.15x, suggesting that media coverage around ET has generally been favorable. Analyst consensus is quite strong, showing a positive score of 0.80x, which indicates a high degree of optimism from Wall Street professionals. However, options market sentiment reflects a more neutral stance, with a score of 0.06x, suggesting that options traders aren’t currently betting on extreme price moves in either direction.

The Put/Call Ratio, which is 0.47x, also supports a neutral-to-slightly bullish options market sentiment. A ratio below 1 typically suggests more call options are being bought than put options, indicating bullish sentiment. These various sentiment indicators are valuable, but it’s crucial to consider them alongside thorough fundamental and technical analysis for a comprehensive investment perspective on ET.

Metric Value
Composite Sentiment Score 0.45x
Sentiment Classification Positive
Sentiment Confidence 48.0%
News Sentiment Positive (0.15x)
Analyst Sentiment Positive (0.80x)
Options Sentiment Neutral (0.06x)
Put/Call Ratio 0.47x

Peer Comparison: How Energy Transfer LP (ET) Stacks Up

To truly understand Energy Transfer LP’s position, it’s essential to compare it against its closest competitors in the Oil & Gas Midstream industry. Let’s see how ET measures up against major players like Williams Companies (WMB), Enterprise Products Partners (EPD), and Kinder Morgan (KMI).

With a market capitalization of $56.69 billion, ET is the smallest among this peer group. Williams Companies (WMB) leads at $72.80 billion, followed by Enterprise Products Partners (EPD) at $70.24 billion, and Kinder Morgan (KMI) at $60.02 billion. This size difference can sometimes impact access to capital or market influence.

Looking at valuation, ET’s conservative P/E ratio of 13.21x suggests it’s priced more as a value-oriented stock. In comparison, EPD trades at a lower P/E of 12.29x, reflecting potentially slower growth or a more mature business, while WMB (30.89x) and KMI (22.11x) fetch higher multiples.

In terms of growth, ET experienced a revenue decline of -3.90%. This contrasts with WMB, which saw 8.30% growth, and KMI with 12.10%. EPD also had a revenue decline of -12.70%, indicating challenges across the sector. ET’s net margin of 5.74% shows modest profitability. This is lower than WMB’s impressive 20.46% and EPD’s 10.92%, suggesting ET might have higher operating costs or less pricing power.

On capital efficiency, ET’s solid Return on Equity (ROE) of 12.62% demonstrates good use of shareholder capital, though it trails WMB (16.90%) and EPD (19.72%). In terms of leverage, ET maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 136. WMB has higher leverage at 188, while EPD (113) and KMI (102) show somewhat lower, though still significant, debt levels.

Finally, for income investors, ET offers an attractive dividend yield of 8.06%. This is higher than WMB (3.36%), EPD (6.72%), and KMI (4.34%), making ET a compelling choice for yield seekers in the midstream sector.

Metric ET WMB EPD KMI
Market Cap $56.69B $72.80B $70.24B $60.02B
P/E Ratio 13.21 30.89 12.29 22.11
Revenue Growth -3.90% 8.30% -12.70% 12.10%
Net Margin 5.74% 20.46% 10.92% 16.61%
EPS 1.25 1.93 2.64 1.22
ROE 12.62% 16.90% 19.72% 8.88%
Debt-to-Equity 136 188 113 102
Dividend Yield 8.06% 3.36% 6.72% 4.34%
52-Week Range 13.78 – 19.92 50.57 – 65.55 26.35 – 32.77 23.17 – 30.15

Insider Transactions for Energy Transfer LP (ET) (Last 3 Months)

Insider activity can sometimes provide a valuable signal about a company’s prospects, as those closest to the business may have unique insights. Over the last three months, Energy Transfer LP has seen 32 insider transactions. It’s important to distinguish between different types of transactions. A significant portion, 23 of these, were stock awards or tax-related dispositions. These are often routine equity compensation activities and don’t necessarily reflect a strong directional signal about the company’s future.

However, the discretionary market activity, which refers to actual open-market purchases and sales, offers more insight. In this category, we observed 4 open-market purchases versus just 1 sale. This shift towards buying interest suggests that some insiders believe ET stock is undervalued at current prices. Notably, Kelcy L. Warren made several substantial purchases in November and August.

While price data was available for only 31% of these transactions (with estimates used where needed), the overall picture from discretionary activity indicates a positive sentiment from insiders. The predominance of award-related transactions highlights that much of this activity is part of standard compensation rather than a definitive statement on the company’s immediate prospects.

Insider Name Type Shares Changed Price Shares After Transaction Date Filing Date
WARREN KELCY L BUY (Purchase) [P] +1,000,000 $16.81 105,577,803 2025-11-20 2025-11-20
WARREN KELCY L BUY (Purchase) [P] +1,000,000 $16.95 104,577,803 2025-11-19 2025-11-20
WARREN KELCY L BUY (Purchase) [P] +1,350,000 $17.36 69,178,477 2025-08-20 2025-08-21
WARREN KELCY L BUY (Purchase) [P] +650,000 $17.30 67,828,477 2025-08-19 2025-08-21
Perry James Richard SELL (Sale) [S] -1,369 $18.48 24,523 2025-06-13 2025-06-17
Grimm Michael K BUY (Award) [A] +7,760 243,705 2025-01-02 2025-01-06
MCREYNOLDS JOHN W BUY (Award) [A] +7,760 678,813 2025-01-02 2025-01-06
Ramsey Matthew S. BUY (Award) [A] +7,760 1,160,789 2025-01-02 2025-01-06
Brannon Richard D BUY (Award) [A] +7,760 180,317 2025-01-02 2025-01-06
Perry James Richard BUY (Award) [A] +7,760 188,254 2025-01-02 2025-01-06
Anderson Steven R. BUY (Award) [A] +7,760 75,870 2025-01-02 2025-01-06
Grimm Michael K BUY (Gift) [G] +10 235,945 2024-12-23 2025-01-06
Brannon Richard D BUY (Gift) [G] +10 172,557 2024-12-23 2025-01-06
Perry James Richard BUY (Gift) [G] +10 180,494 2024-12-23 2025-01-06
Anderson Steven R. BUY (Gift) [G] +10 68,110 2024-12-23 2025-01-06
Sturrock Troy BUY (Award) [A] +15,562 34,896 2024-12-05 2024-12-09
Sturrock Troy BUY (Award) [A] +46,688 379,158 2024-12-05 2024-12-09
Sturrock Troy SELL (Tax Payment) [F] -20,158 $19.14 332,470 2024-12-05 2024-12-09
Bramhall Dylan BUY (Award) [A] +51,250 112,876 2024-12-05 2024-12-09
Bramhall Dylan BUY (Award) [A] +153,750 744,576 2024-12-05 2024-12-09
Bramhall Dylan SELL (Tax Payment) [F] -27,955 $19.14 590,826 2024-12-05 2024-12-09
McIlwain Gregory G. BUY (Award) [A] +35,925 83,238 2024-12-05 2024-12-09
McIlwain Gregory G. BUY (Award) [A] +107,775 698,986 2024-12-05 2024-12-09
Long Thomas E BUY (Award) [A] +213,000 493,358 2024-12-05 2024-12-09
Long Thomas E BUY (Award) [A] +639,000 4,649,290 2024-12-05 2024-12-09
Long Thomas E SELL (Tax Payment) [F] -298,569 $19.14 4,010,290 2024-12-05 2024-12-09
Wright James M. BUY (Award) [A] +47,500 100,034 2024-12-05 2024-12-09
Wright James M. BUY (Award) [A] +142,500 883,371 2024-12-05 2024-12-09
Wright James M. SELL (Tax Payment) [F] -45,366 $19.14 740,871 2024-12-05 2024-12-09
MCCREA MARSHALL S III BUY (Award) [A] +213,000 493,358 2024-12-05 2024-12-09
MCCREA MARSHALL S III BUY (Award) [A] +639,000 7,539,616 2024-12-05 2024-12-09
MCCREA MARSHALL S III SELL (Tax Payment) [F] -372,138 $19.14 6,900,616 2024-12-05 2024-12-09

Risk Factors for Investing in Energy Transfer LP (ET)

Investing in Energy Transfer LP, like any company, involves inherent risks that potential investors should be fully aware of. While our analysis highlights certain strengths and opportunities, it’s crucial to also consider the potential headwinds. This section outlines some of the key risk factors identified through our data analysis and general market considerations, though this list is not exhaustive.

  • ⚠️ Technical Weakness: The current stock price of $16.51 is trading below its 200-Day Simple Moving Average of $16.92. This often signals potential long-term weakness or a bearish trend, which could lead to further price declines.
  • ⚠️ Revenue Contraction: Energy Transfer LP has experienced negative year-over-year revenue growth of -3.90%. A sustained decline in top-line revenue can impact future profitability and overall market confidence.
  • ⚠️ Earnings Decline: Similarly, the company’s negative year-over-year earnings growth of -12.70% raises concerns about its profitability trends. Declining earnings can put pressure on the stock price and its ability to fund operations or dividends.
  • ⚠️ Sector-Specific and Economic Conditions: As a company in the Energy sector, ET is highly susceptible to fluctuations in general market conditions, commodity prices (oil, gas, NGLs), regulatory changes, and broader economic cycles. These external factors can significantly impact its financial performance and stock valuation.

Analyst Insights and Consensus for ET Stock

What are Wall Street analysts saying about Energy Transfer LP (ET)? The consensus view from 20 analysts who cover the stock is overwhelmingly positive, with an average recommendation of ‘Strong Buy’. This strong endorsement from the analyst community suggests a high level of confidence in ET’s future prospects.

The average target price set by these analysts is $21.77. This target falls within a range of $17.00 on the low end and an optimistic $25.00 on the high end. Compared to the current price of $16.51, this average target suggests a potential upside of approximately 31.9%. This robust potential upside reflects the overall positive sentiment among analysts regarding the stock’s outlook and perceived value.

Metric Value
Recommendation Strong Buy
Mean Target Price $21.77
High Target Price $25.00
Low Target Price $17.00
Number of Analyst Opinions 20

Recent News and Developments for Energy Transfer LP (ET)

Staying informed about the latest news and developments is crucial for any investor. These recent headlines provide insight into ongoing discussions and potential catalysts affecting Energy Transfer LP (ET) stock.

Conclusion and Outlook for Energy Transfer LP (ET)

After a thorough examination of Energy Transfer LP (ET) from various angles, we can now synthesize our findings to provide a comprehensive outlook for investors.

Short-Term Technical Snapshot for ET Stock

  • Overall Technical Sentiment: The short-term technical picture for ET appears Neutral.
  • Price Trend vs. Moving Averages: The stock shows a mixed trend, trading above its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA50) but still below its 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA200). This indicates short-term strength within a longer-term challenging trend.
  • Momentum (RSI): The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is Neutral at 52.2, suggesting balanced momentum without being overbought or oversold.
  • Support / Resistance (30d): Key levels to watch in the short term are approximately $16.18 for support and $17.11 for resistance.

Longer-Term Fundamental & Forecast Outlook for ET Stock

  • 1-Year Average Forecast: Predictive models project a significant potential upside, with an average 1-year change of approximately +35.4%, targeting a price of around $22.36.
  • Fundamental Health: Our assessment indicates moderate fundamental health. While the Return on Equity (ROE) is solid at 12.62%, the Debt/Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.36x highlights a manageable but notable debt load.
  • Valuation Snapshot: The valuation for ET appears Potentially Attractive, especially considering its forward P/E ratio of 10.45x.
  • Recent Growth (YoY): A point of concern is the negative recent growth, with revenue down -3.90% year-over-year and earnings down -12.70%. This trend requires close monitoring.
  • Analyst Consensus: Wall Street analysts maintain a strong conviction, with a consensus of Strong Buy and an average target price of $21.77.

Overall Assessment & Outlook for Energy Transfer LP (ET)

Considering both the immediate technical momentum and the longer-term fundamental drivers, Energy Transfer LP (ET) currently exhibits a Neutral technical sentiment alongside moderate fundamental health. The valuation appears Potentially Attractive, especially when looking at its forward earnings multiple.

Predictive models are projecting a positive path for the next year, indicating a potential upside of approximately +35.4%, with an average target price of around $22.36. However, investors must factor in the identified risk factors, such as negative year-over-year revenue and earnings growth. Your personal investment decision should carefully weigh these elements against your own risk tolerance and investment timeline.

Frequently Asked Questions About Energy Transfer LP (ET) Stock

Here are some common questions investors have about Energy Transfer LP (ET) stock, along with detailed answers based on our analysis.

What is the ET stock price prediction for the next year (2025-2026)?

Based on current models, the average 1-year price forecast for Energy Transfer LP (ET) is approximately $22.36. This represents a potential +35.4% change from its recent price of $16.51. It’s crucial to remember that this is a model-driven estimate, not a guarantee, and actual prices will fluctuate significantly based on numerous market and company-specific factors.

Will ET stock go up or down?

The 1-year forecast model suggests that ET’s price might show strong gains on average, with a potential +35.4% upside. However, the short-term direction is highly uncertain and can be heavily influenced by prevailing market sentiment (currently ‘Neutral’), breaking news, and overall economic conditions. Technical indicators, as summarized in our report, can provide clues for near-term direction, but no outcome is guaranteed.

Is ET stock a good investment right now?

Determining if ET is a ‘good buy’ requires evaluating multiple factors. Technical sentiment is currently ‘Neutral’, while the 1-year forecast suggests a substantial +35.4% potential upside. Technically, the RSI indicates neutral conditions (RSI: 52.2), pointing to balanced momentum. You should consider its attractive valuation (Forward P/E: 10.45x), financial health (ROE: 12.62%, D/E: 1.36x), and growth prospects. However, be aware of the 4 potentially significant risk factors identified in our analysis, including negative year-over-year growth. Align these factors with your personal investment strategy and risk tolerance before investing.

How volatile is ET stock?

Based on the recent 30-day price action, Energy Transfer LP’s (ET) annualized volatility is approximately 14.2%. This level is currently considered low, indicating a moderate degree of recent price fluctuation. This aligns with its Beta of 0.65x, suggesting it’s less volatile than the broader market. While lower volatility might seem appealing, it’s important to remember that higher volatility also means larger potential price swings, both up and down.

What is ET’s P/E ratio and what does it mean?

Energy Transfer LP’s Trailing P/E ratio (based on past earnings) is 13.21x, which is considered relatively low. This might suggest a potential value opportunity or lower growth expectations from the market. The Forward P/E (based on expected earnings) is even lower at 10.45x. The P/E ratio indicates how much investors are paying per dollar of earnings. When evaluating, it’s crucial to compare ET’s P/E to its industry peers and historical levels. A high P/E isn’t always negative if strong growth prospects justify it.

What are the key upcoming events for ET?

A key upcoming event for income investors is the ex-dividend date on 2025-11-07. Beyond this, investors should closely monitor macroeconomic shifts, any competitive actions within the Oil & Gas Midstream sector, and major corporate announcements from Energy Transfer LP. The next earnings report is also scheduled for November 06, 2025.

What does ET’s liquidity position reveal about its financial health?

Energy Transfer LP’s financial health includes an adequate Current Ratio of 1.41x, indicating it can comfortably cover its short-term liabilities. More importantly, its robust operating cash flow of $10.84 billion and levered free cash flow of $3.19 billion provide a significant financial buffer. These strong cash flow figures are critical factors in the company’s ability to fund its operations, service its debt, and potentially return capital to shareholders.

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