Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) Stock Analysis: Comprehensive Investment Guide & Market Insights

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Welcome to an in-depth look at Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM), a true titan in the Oil & Gas Integrated industry with a substantial market capitalization of $499.14 billion. As investors, we’re always asking the crucial questions: Is XOM’s current stock price a fair reflection of its value? And how well is this energy powerhouse positioned for future growth?

It’s a complex landscape, especially in the energy sector, and making an informed investment decision requires digging deep. We’re here to cut through the noise and provide you with clear, actionable insights into XOM’s stock performance. Let’s explore what the data tells us right now.

XOM Stock Snapshot: Key Metrics and Forecast Summary

Right now, XOM’s stock is trading at $117.08 (as of November 2025). Interestingly, it’s showing positive momentum, holding strong above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. This often signals a healthy trend for investors.

Analysts seem quite optimistic about XOM’s future, eyeing a 1-year price target of $128.72, which suggests a potential +9.9% upside from its current level. However, it’s important to acknowledge the stock’s significant volatility, clocking in at 14.4% annualized. This means you should be prepared for potential wide price swings.

Exxon Mobil Corporation presents a nuanced investment story. On one hand, the company benefits immensely from a portfolio of established, globally recognized brands. On the other, it’s facing some headwinds, particularly with a recent contraction in earnings, which were down -8.30% year-over-year.

This analysis isn’t just about numbers; it’s about understanding the bigger picture. We’re going to break down XOM’s stock from every angle, giving you the information you need to make a well-informed decision.

  • Is now a good time to buy XOM stock?Technically, the picture is “Neutral,” with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) sitting at 53.8. Fundamentally, things are “looking solid,” largely driven by manageable debt levels and promising growth metrics.
  • Can Exxon Mobil’s core operations drive future growth?Future growth will likely hinge on strong performance across its core Oil & Gas Integrated operations and its ability to effectively navigate intense competitive pressures.
  • What are the biggest risks for XOM investors?The company carries $42.04 billion in debt, which could become a significant challenge in a rising interest rate environment. Furthermore, competition is fierce, coming from both established industry giants and innovative new market entrants.

Many stock analyses either bombard you with impenetrable jargon or offer overly simplistic advice like “just buy.” We aim for clarity and actionable insights, whether you’re a long-term investor or chasing quicker gains. Is Exxon Mobil Corporation the right investment to help your portfolio thrive, or are there underlying issues to be wary of? Let’s dive into the detailed data.

Metric Value Insight
Current Price $117.08 Live Market Price
1-Month Forecast $117.08 📈 +0.0%
1-Year Forecast $126.19 📈 +7.8% Potential Upside
Analyst Mean Target $128.72 📈 +9.9% Potential Upside
Trend & Momentum 🚀 ▲ Bullish Price > SMA 50/200
RSI (14-day) 53.8 Neutral ⚖️
MACD 📉 Bearish Short-Term Trend (-0.16)
Above SMA 50 ✅ $114.11 Indicates short-term strength
Above SMA 200 ✅ $109.58 Indicates long-term strength
52-Week Range 📏 $97.80 – $121.88 Current price near the higher end
Volatility (30d Ann.) 14.4% 🏞️ Moderate Swings Expected
Beta (vs. Market) 0.38x 🛡️ Low Sensitivity to Market Changes
Green Days (30d) 19/30 (63%) 🟢 More Up Days Recently
Institutional Ownership 66.43% 🏛️ Strong Big Money Backing
Short % of Float 1.10% 😊 Low Bearish Bets

Currently, XOM’s stock is trading at $117.08, and the technical indicators are definitely leaning towards a bullish pattern. This is primarily because the price is comfortably holding above both its 50-day (at $114.11) and 200-day (at $109.58) moving averages. This setup suggests that the stock has been building momentum lately.

However, it’s not entirely one-sided. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits at 53.8, placing it squarely in a neutral zone – neither overbought nor oversold. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator shows a bearish short-term trend, indicating that there might be minor pullbacks before the next significant upward movement.

Looking back at the past year, XOM’s stock has traded within a range of $97.80 to $121.88. This tells us a couple of important things: first, the stock has made a substantial recovery from its annual lows. Second, the current price is nearer the higher end of that range, which might suggest that dramatic price swings are less likely unless a major market event occurs.

Analysts are forecasting modest growth, with a 1-year target of $126.19 (+7.8%) and an average consensus target of $128.72 (+9.9%). What’s more, with 66.43% institutional ownership and very low short interest at just 1.10%, most major investors are betting on Exxon Mobil’s long-term success rather than expecting a decline.

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Detailed Forecast Table: Exxon Mobil (XOM) Price Predictions

Let’s dive deeper into the monthly forecast for XOM, where the model projects a potential overall range from approximately $107.87 to $146.38. This table breaks down the projected price bands, the potential Return on Investment (ROI) compared to the current price, and the resulting model signal for each period.

Over the entire forecast horizon, from November 2025 to November 2026, XOM’s price is projected to fluctuate between roughly $107.87 and $146.38. The projected price range actually remains quite consistent, implying a relatively stable level of forecast uncertainty.

Month (Period) Min. Price Avg. Price Max. Price Potential ROI vs Current ($117.08) Model Signal
2025-11 $117.08 $117.08 $117.08 ● 0.0% Hold/Neutral
2025-12 $107.87 $116.55 $122.85 ● -0.4% Hold/Neutral
2026-01 $108.41 $115.75 $121.26 ▼ -1.1% Hold/Neutral
2026-02 $111.78 $117.32 $123.85 ● 0.2% Hold/Neutral
2026-03 $111.02 $118.72 $126.14 ▲ 1.4% Hold/Neutral
2026-04 $114.22 $120.68 $127.83 ▲ 3.1% Consider Buy
2026-05 $114.50 $121.94 $129.23 ▲ 4.1% Consider Buy
2026-06 $116.14 $122.54 $130.22 ▲ 4.7% Consider Buy
2026-07 $113.35 $122.50 $129.41 ▲ 4.6% Consider Buy
2026-08 $114.55 $122.08 $130.29 ▲ 4.3% Consider Buy
2026-09 $114.59 $123.95 $136.70 ▲ 5.9% Consider Buy
2026-10 $113.15 $126.19 $141.07 ▲ 7.8% Consider Buy
2026-11 $110.07 $128.46 $146.38 ▲ 9.7% Consider Buy

Remember: Forecasts are based on model estimates and are inherently uncertain. They can change rapidly based on evolving data and market conditions, and they certainly don’t guarantee future prices. Always do your own research!

Company Profile: Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM)

Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is a cornerstone of the global energy sector, deeply integrated across the oil and gas value chain. It’s a massive operation, employing 61,000 people worldwide.

Category Detail
Sector Energy
Industry Oil & Gas Integrated
Market Cap $499.14 billion
Employees 61,000
Website https://corporate.exxonmobil.com

Business Overview

Exxon Mobil Corporation is a true global player, involved in the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas across the United States, Guyana, Canada, the United Kingdom, Singapore, France, and many other international locations. The company strategically divides its operations into four key segments: Upstream, Energy Products, Chemical Products, and Specialty Products.

The Upstream segment is all about finding and extracting crude oil and natural gas. Meanwhile, the Energy Products segment focuses on providing fuels, aromatics, catalysts, and offering licensing services. If you’re wondering about petrochemicals, that’s where the Chemical Products segment comes in, manufacturing and selling olefins, polyolefins, and various intermediates. Lastly, the Specialty Products segment delivers performance products like finished lubricants, basestocks, waxes, and specialized synthetics, elastomers, and resins.

Beyond its traditional operations, Exxon Mobil is also actively engaged in the manufacturing, trading, transportation, and sale of a wide array of petroleum and petrochemical products. What’s particularly interesting is the company’s forward-looking pursuit of lower-emission business opportunities. This includes significant investments in carbon capture and storage, hydrogen production, lower-emission fuels, and even technologies like Proxxima systems, carbon materials, and lithium. You’ll recognize their products sold under iconic brands like Exxon, Esso, and Mobil. Founded way back in 1870, Exxon Mobil Corporation remains headquartered in Spring, Texas.

Total Valuation: Is XOM Priced Right?

Exxon Mobil Corporation commands a significant presence in the Oil & Gas Integrated industry, boasting a hefty $499.14 billion market cap. However, when we look at its enterprise value, it’s even higher at $527.36 billion, with $28.22 billion of that value attributable to debt. While investors generally show confidence in Exxon Mobil’s future earnings potential, that substantial debt load is certainly something to keep in mind.

The valuation ratios for XOM tell an interesting story. With an EV/Revenue of 1.62x and an EV/EBITDA of 8.59x, Exxon Mobil trades at a valuation that clearly reflects its strong market position and valuable brand assets. This means you’re generally paying for quality, but quality often comes with a higher price tag and potentially less room for error. The upcoming earnings report on October 31, 2025, will be a critical event, showing whether Exxon Mobil’s various businesses can grow into this valuation. Additionally, the November 14, 2025 ex-dividend date serves as a reminder that Exxon Mobil continues to reward its shareholders even as it invests for future growth.

Metric Value
Market Cap $499.14 billion
Enterprise Value $527.36 billion
EV/Revenue (TTM) 1.62x
EV/EBITDA (TTM) 8.59x
Next Earnings Date 2025-10-31
Ex-Dividend Date 2025-11-14

Share Statistics: Ownership, Float, and Short Interest

When we look at Exxon Mobil’s share statistics, we find that nearly all of the company’s 4 billion shares are publicly available as float. This means a significant portion isn’t locked up, allowing investors to typically trade the stock without causing overly dramatic price shifts. However, it’s always wise for investors to remember that a high float could also mean the company might issue more shares in the future, potentially diluting the value of existing stock.

Interestingly, executives and major shareholders own a very small piece of the company, at just 0.07%. This might suggest they don’t have a substantial amount of “skin in the game” if the company were to struggle. On the flip side, the level of ownership by institutions is quite healthy, coming in at 66.43%. This strong institutional backing often provides a degree of stability and confidence in the stock.

Now, let’s consider the impact of short interest. With 42 million shares currently shorted, which represents 1.10% of the float, it suggests that bearish sentiment isn’t overwhelmingly strong against XOM. While this level is generally low, it’s always smart to watch for any sharp increases in short interest, as that could signal growing doubt among some investors. Conversely, very low short interest during positive news periods can sometimes prevent a dramatic “short squeeze” from occurring.

Metric Value
Shares Outstanding 4 billion
Implied Shares Outstanding 4 billion
Shares Float 4 billion
Insider Ownership 0.07%
Institutional Ownership 66.43%
Shares Short 42 million
Short Ratio (Days To Cover) 3.30x
Short % of Float 1.10%
Shares Short (Prior Month) 39 million
Short Date 2025-10-31

Valuation Metrics: Diving Deeper into XOM’s Price

When we dissect XOM’s valuation metrics, we find some interesting signals for investors. The Trailing P/E ratio stands at 17.02x, while the Forward P/E is even more appealing at 14.88x. This forward-looking metric suggests that analysts anticipate future earnings growth, making the current valuation potentially attractive.

Beyond earnings, the company’s Price/Sales ratio of $1.53 and Price/Book ratio of $1.89 show that XOM trades at multiples that warrant attention. These figures offer valuable insights into how the market currently perceives Exxon Mobil’s positioning relative to its sales and book value.

From an enterprise value perspective, the EV/Revenue ratio of 1.62x indicates a reasonable valuation based on its top-line performance. Similarly, the EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.59x suggests a sensible valuation when considering its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. Together, these metrics provide a comprehensive view of XOM’s current standing in the market.

Metric Value
Trailing P/E 17.02x
Forward P/E 14.88x
Price/Sales (TTM) $1.53
Price/Book (MRQ) $1.89
EV/Revenue (TTM) 1.62x
EV/EBITDA (TTM) 8.59x

Financial Health: A Look at Exxon Mobil’s Balance Sheet

Exxon Mobil’s financial health appears quite robust, showcasing several key strengths that investors will appreciate. The company’s Return on Equity (ROE) of 11.42% and Return on Assets (ROA) of 5.11% are strong indicators. These figures reflect a highly efficient use of capital, a trait often seen in well-managed firms.

The Debt/Equity ratio of 0.16x is particularly noteworthy. With $42.04 billion in total debt and $13.81 billion in cash, this low ratio suggests that XOM has taken on a manageable debt load to support its operations and fuel growth. Even with this debt, the company’s ability to generate $51.52 billion in operating cash flow over the trailing twelve months (TTM) proves that its core business can consistently produce cash, which is a significant strength and a reassuring sign for shareholders.

Furthermore, XOM’s liquidity position seems solid. A Current Ratio of 1.14x and a Quick Ratio of 0.76x indicate that the company is well-equipped to cover its short-term liabilities. What’s more, the impressive $17.29 billion in levered free cash flow (TTM) suggests that Exxon Mobil can still generate substantial cash for its shareholders, even after meeting all its financial obligations.

Metric Value
Return on Equity (ROE TTM) 11.42%
Return on Assets (ROA TTM) 5.11%
Debt/Equity (MRQ) 0.16x
Total Cash (MRQ) $13.81 billion
Total Debt (MRQ) $42.04 billion
Current Ratio (MRQ) 1.14x
Quick Ratio (MRQ) 0.76x
Operating Cash Flow (TTM) $51.52 billion
Levered Free Cash Flow (TTM) $17.29 billion

Financial Efficiency: How Well Does XOM Manage its Resources?

Exxon Mobil’s financial efficiency metrics provide a fascinating glimpse into how effectively the company utilizes its assets and manages its working capital. An Asset Turnover of 0.72x suggests that Exxon Mobil generates $0.72 in revenue for every dollar of assets it holds, indicating a moderate level of efficiency in using its asset base.

The Inventory Turnover of 11.16x shows that Exxon Mobil typically sells and replaces its inventory approximately 11.2 times annually. This translates to about 32.7 Days Inventory Outstanding, which is a reasonable pace. Meanwhile, a Receivables Turnover of 9.25x, coupled with 39.5 Days Sales Outstanding, highlights strong collections practices, meaning customers generally pay their bills quickly.

Furthermore, a Working Capital Turnover of 15.05x points to highly efficient use of its short-term assets to support sales. This is supported by its Current Ratio of 1.14x, signaling adequate liquidity to meet short-term obligations. The Cash Conversion Cycle, estimated at approximately ~72.2 days (partial), suggests it takes about 2.4 months to convert inventory and receivables into cash, indicating a manageable cash conversion timeline.

Finally, Exxon Mobil’s Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 9.94% indicates moderate capital efficiency, showing how effectively the company generates returns from the capital it has invested. Overall, while these figures are generally solid, Exxon Mobil might benefit from achieving higher asset utilization to further boost its profitability. For a complete picture, investors should compare these figures with industry peers to assess its competitive standing.

Metric Value
Asset Turnover (TTM) 0.72x
Inventory Turnover (TTM) 11.16x
Receivables Turnover (TTM) 9.25x
Working Capital Turnover (TTM) 15.05x
Current Ratio (MRQ) 1.14x
Days Sales Outstanding 39.5
Days Inventory Outstanding 32.7
Cash Conversion Cycle ~72.2 days (partial)
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC TTM) 9.94%

Profitability and Growth: XOM’s Earning Power

A deep dive into XOM’s margin performance reveals that the company maintains solid control over its costs and pricing strategies. The gross margin of 31.22% clearly shows that Exxon Mobil is successful in managing its production costs. Furthermore, its core operations are quite profitable, reflected in an operating margin of 11.06%.

An impressive 18.91% EBITDA margin indicates that XOM is capable of generating strong cash flow from its operations, even before accounting for financing costs and tax strategies. All things considered, Exxon Mobil has managed to hold onto approximately $9.180 in net profit for every dollar of revenue it generated over the last twelve months. While the business’s revenue is currently seeing a slow contraction at -5.10% year-over-year, investors should carefully monitor whether this pace can be sustained without eroding those healthy profit margins.

XOM’s substantial $61.69 billion in EBITDA and $101.86 billion in gross profit underscore its raw earning power. Meanwhile, the $29.95 billion in net income reveals just how effectively it converts that power into tangible bottom-line results. These indicators make it clear that the company is currently prioritizing strong profitability over aggressive, rapid top-line growth. Despite healthy gross margins, there’s a noticeable gap between the company’s gross and net margins (31.22% vs. 9.18%).

This difference likely stems from high operating expenses, interest costs, or taxes, which are crucial areas for investors to keep an eye on. Moving forward, maintaining steady or improving these margins will be critical. XOM needs to continue defending its pricing power and meticulously controlling operating costs, as this will be key to sustaining profitability, especially if revenue growth remains moderate.

Metric Value
Profit Margin (TTM) 9.18%
Operating Margin (TTM) 11.06%
Gross Margin (TTM) 31.22%
EBITDA Margin (TTM) 18.91%
Revenue (TTM) $326.24 billion
Quarterly Revenue Growth (YoY) -5.10%
Gross Profit (TTM) $101.86 billion
EBITDA (TTM) $61.69 billion
Net Income (TTM) $29.95 billion
Earnings Growth (YoY) -8.30%

Dividends and Shareholder Returns: XOM’s Payouts

Exxon Mobil continues to be a notable dividend payer, offering a current annual dividend of $4.12 per share. This translates to a dividend yield of 3.52%. So, for every $100 you invest, you’d receive $3.52 in dividends annually. It’s worth noting that this yield is slightly below its 5-year average of 4.20%. This could indicate either that the stock price has appreciated, thereby reducing the yield, or that dividend growth hasn’t quite kept pace with its historical trajectory.

Key Observations & Analysis:

  • The payout ratio of 57.56% is quite healthy. This means Exxon Mobil uses only about 58% of its earnings to fund its dividends, leaving ample room for potential future increases or reinvestment back into the business for growth.
  • It’s critical for investors to own the stock before the upcoming ex-dividend date of November 14, 2025, to be eligible for the next dividend payment.
  • The last stock split (a 2:1 split in 2001) is quite old and likely has minimal relevance to the company’s current valuation or investment thesis.

Investor Takeaway:

  • Income Investors: The dividend appears sustainable, but it’s always wise to keep an eye on earnings and cash flow to ensure the payout remains robustly supported.
  • Growth Investors: Exxon Mobil strikes a good balance between returning capital to shareholders and reinvesting for future growth, making it an appealing option for those pursuing a ‘growth and income’ strategy.
  • What to Watch For: Keep an eye out for any announcements regarding dividend hikes, which could potentially bring the yield closer to its historical average. Also, significant shifts in the stock price will naturally alter the dividend yield.
Metric Value
Dividend Rate $4.12
Dividend Yield 3.52%
Payout Ratio 57.56%
5 Year Average Dividend Yield 4.20%
Trailing Dividend Rate $3.96
Trailing Dividend Yield 0.03%
Ex-Dividend Date 2025-11-14
Last Split Date 2001-07-19
Last Split Factor 2:1

Technical Analysis: XOM Stock Price and Momentum

CURRENT PRICE: $117.08 | TREND: BULLISH BUT SHOWS SIGNS OF SLOWING

Exxon Mobil stock has been on a noticeable run, gaining +3.15% in just 15 days. While this upward momentum is encouraging, several technical signs suggest we should approach with a degree of caution rather than simply chasing the rally. Let’s break down what the charts are really telling us and how investors might position themselves.

Trend Strength – Still Bullish

XOM is currently trading above its key moving averages, which is a strong confirmation that the underlying uptrend remains intact. Specifically, the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $116.55 is acting as immediate dynamic support. This is a positive sign for the stock’s short-term trajectory.

What This Means for Traders: As long as XOM can maintain its position above the 20-day SMA ($116.55), the bullish momentum has the potential to continue. However, a rapid rise can often push a stock quite far from its averages, which naturally increases the risk of a swift pullback.

Momentum Check – Is Momentum Fading?

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for XOM stands at 53.8, placing it firmly in a neutral zone. This indicates a balanced momentum, meaning the stock is neither overbought nor oversold. At the same time, the MACD histogram is showing negative values, which typically suggests that the upward momentum might be starting to wane.

Trading Strategy: This neutral RSI reading offers traders some flexibility. It would be wise to closely watch for a decisive MACD crossover or a clear break of a significant support or resistance level for the next strong directional clue.

Bollinger Bands – Testing Key Levels

XOM stock is currently trading comfortably within the upper half of its Bollinger Bands, specifically between the 20-day SMA and the upper band. This positioning is generally seen as a sign of underlying strength and continued upward pressure.

Key Levels to Watch:

  • Resistance: The recent high of $119.76 is a key resistance level. A clear breakout above this point, especially with strong volume, could propel XOM even higher.
  • Support: The 20-day SMA at $116.55 acts as immediate support. If this level breaks, we should anticipate a test of the next significant support around $111.99.

Volume Trends – Checking for Conviction

Current trading volume for XOM is near its recent average. This provides a neutral confirmation of the current price action, meaning there’s no overwhelming surge of buying or selling conviction driving the latest movements.

Support & Resistance – The Trading Plan

Your Trading Plan for XOM:

  • ✅ If XOM holds above $116.55: The bullish trend is likely to continue, with the next target at $119.76.
  • ⚠️ If it breaks below $116.55: Expect a potential dip towards $111.99.
  • 🛑 A drop below $111.99: This could trigger a deeper correction, possibly heading towards the 200-day SMA, which sits at $109.58.

Final Verdict – Should You Buy, Hold, or Sell XOM?

Short-Term Traders: The current trend is positive, but it’s crucial to monitor for any signs of exhaustion. A neutral stance might be the most prudent approach until a clearer signal emerges from the MACD or significant volume changes.

Long-Term Investors: The long-term uptrend for XOM remains valid as long as the price holds above the 200-day SMA ($109.58). A pullback towards the 50-day SMA ($114.11) area could present a safer, more attractive buying opportunity for long-term positions.

New Buyers: It’s probably best to avoid chasing the current rally. Instead, consider waiting for either a confirmed breakout above $119.76 with strong volume, or a more favorable entry point during a pullback to the $116.55 area, which would offer a better risk/reward profile.

Bottom Line: The technical indicators suggest that the current rally for XOM might be losing some steam in the short term. While the longer-term trend remains firmly bullish, a correction seems plausible before the stock makes its next significant move. Trade carefully and wait for clear confirmation at these key technical levels.

Historical Performance: XOM Stock Price Trends

In the recent trading period, specifically from November 07, 2025, to November 21, 2025, XOM’s stock price delivered a total return of +0.75%. During this two-week stretch, the price fluctuated between a high of $119.76 and a low of $113.90. The average daily trading volume during this period was approximately 16,051,647 shares, indicating consistent market activity.

Recent Trading Data

Date Open High Low Close Volume
2025-11-21 $116.99 $117.38 $115.65 $117.08 15,667,000
2025-11-20 $117.98 $119.01 $116.74 $117.02 14,401,000
2025-11-19 $116.85 $118.18 $115.93 $117.35 15,919,200
2025-11-18 $117.26 $119.48 $116.48 $119.03 15,808,500
2025-11-17 $118.97 $119.50 $117.11 $117.68 16,034,900
2025-11-16 $118.45 $119.48 $116.66 $119.29 17,064,300
2025-11-15 $118.45 $119.48 $116.66 $119.29 17,064,300
2025-11-14 $118.45 $119.48 $116.66 $119.29 17,064,300
2025-11-13 $117.60 $118.72 $117.25 $117.76 17,291,900
2025-11-12 $118.07 $118.25 $116.77 $117.10 13,790,900
2025-11-11 $117.80 $119.76 $117.80 $118.74 16,077,100
2025-11-10 $116.42 $117.42 $114.46 $117.19 13,048,000
2025-11-09 $114.21 $116.49 $113.90 $116.20 17,181,100
2025-11-08 $114.21 $116.49 $113.90 $116.20 17,181,100
2025-11-07 $114.21 $116.49 $113.90 $116.20 17,181,100

Stock Price Statistics: Volatility and Moving Averages

When we examine the price range over the past year, XOM stock has traded between a high of $121.88 and a low of $97.80. This relatively narrow gap suggests the stock has operated within a more stable range over the last twelve months, which can be reassuring for some investors. Currently, the 50-day moving average sits at $114.69, which is slightly above the 200-day moving average of $110.63. This configuration, often referred to as a ‘golden cross,’ is typically viewed as a bullish signal, indicating positive long-term momentum for the stock.

With a beta of 0.38x, XOM tends to be less volatile than the broader market, moving approximately 62% less. This lower sensitivity to overall market swings can be attractive to investors seeking stability. However, it’s important to note that the stock also exhibits a low 30-day annualized volatility of 14.4%. For investors, this means the stock experiences frequent, but relatively contained, price swings. These indicators are crucial when you’re deciding on position sizing or precise entry timing, especially if you’re managing a portfolio that aims to balance stability with growth exposure.

Metric Value
52 Week High $121.88
52 Week Low $97.80
50 Day MA $114.69
200 Day MA $110.63
Beta 0.38x
Volatility (30d Ann.) 14.4%

Quarterly Earnings Performance: XOM’s Recent Financials

Looking at XOM’s recent quarterly performance, we can see how the company has been navigating its financial landscape. The year-over-year revenue growth currently stands at -5.1%. This is an important figure to watch as it indicates the company’s ability to grow its top line compared to the same period last year.

Recent Quarterly Results (Last 3 Quarters)

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS Gross Margin
2025-Q2 $79.48 billion $7.08 billion 1.64x 22.6%
2025-Q1 $81.06 billion $7.71 billion 1.76x 22.8%
2024-Q4 $81.06 billion $7.61 billion 1.72x 21.3%

Growth Metrics & Upcoming Earnings

Metric Value
YoY Revenue Growth -5.1%
Next Report October 31, 2025
Earnings Call October 31, 2025 at 07:00 PM ET

Short Selling Information: Bearish Bets on XOM

Currently, there’s $42 million worth of short interest in XOM, and the short ratio (or days to cover) is 3.3x. This means that, based on the stock’s recent average trading volume, it would take approximately 3 days for all short positions to be covered. This moderate level indicates a balance between bearish bets and the market’s capacity to absorb them without causing extreme volatility.

With only 1.10% of the public float sold short, a very low percentage of the available shares are currently being bet against. This generally suggests a lack of strong bearish sentiment among investors. While this level has recently increased from 39 million shares, suggesting a slight shift in bearish sentiment, the overall low level of shorting tends to instill more market confidence and reduces the risks of dramatic price swings that could be caused by sudden short-covering activities.

Metric Value
Shares Short 42 million
Short Ratio (Days To Cover) 3.30x
Short % of Float 1.10%
Shares Short (Prior Month) 39 million
Short Date 2025-10-31

Risk Analysis: Understanding XOM’s Exposure

Understanding the risk profile of any investment is crucial, and XOM is no exception. Exxon Mobil’s risk profile reveals a moderate level of volatility, with an annualized volatility of 23.2%. This figure indicates a moderate degree of investment risk, suggesting that while price swings can occur, they are generally within a manageable range compared to some other investments.

The Sharpe ratio, standing at 0.29x, suggests mixed risk-adjusted returns. This metric helps us understand the return generated per unit of risk. Meanwhile, the maximum drawdown of -61.34% highlights the significant downside risk the stock has experienced during past adverse market conditions. This is a crucial figure for investors to consider regarding potential capital loss.

At a 5% confidence level, the Value at Risk (VaR) indicates a potential loss of -2.19% in the worst 5% of scenarios. This provides a statistical estimate of potential losses over a specific period. The Sortino ratio of 0.38x offers further insight into risk-adjusted performance by specifically focusing on downside risk, which is often more relevant to investors than overall volatility. Investors should carefully weigh these risk metrics against their own individual risk tolerance and investment objectives before making any decisions.

Metric Value
Volatility (Annualized) 23.2%
Value at Risk (5%) -2.19%
Value at Risk (1%) -4.21%
Sharpe Ratio 0.29x
Sortino Ratio 0.38x
Maximum Drawdown -61.34%
Skewness 0.05x
Kurtosis 10.68x

Sentiment Analysis: What’s the Market Saying About XOM?

Current market sentiment analysis for XOM reveals a cautiously positive outlook, highlighted by a composite sentiment score of 0.29x and a confidence level of 43.6%. This positive sentiment isn’t just a hunch; it’s derived from multiple data sources, including recent news coverage, analyst recommendations, and activity in the options market.

When we break down these sentiment components, we see that news analysis shows a “Neutral” sentiment (0.10x). However, the analyst consensus leans strongly towards “Positive” (0.40x), indicating that financial experts are generally optimistic. The options market sentiment also reflects a “Positive” outlook (0.18x), suggesting that options traders are positioning themselves for potential upside. These sentiment indicators offer valuable context, and investors should consider them alongside fundamental and technical analysis for a truly comprehensive investment perspective on Exxon Mobil.

Metric Value
Composite Sentiment Score 0.29x
Sentiment Classification Positive
Sentiment Confidence 43.6%
News Sentiment Neutral (0.10x)
Analyst Sentiment Positive (0.40x)
Options Sentiment Positive (0.18x)
Put/Call Ratio 0.41x

Peer Comparison: How Does XOM Stack Up?

When we compare Exxon Mobil (XOM) to some of its industry peers, its sheer scale immediately stands out. XOM dominates with a $499.14 billion market cap, significantly outpacing Chevron (CVX) at $302.18 billion, Occidental Petroleum (OXY) at $40.83 billion, and United Natural Foods (UNTC) at $325.98 million.

Looking at valuation, XOM’s conservative P/E ratio of 17.02x suggests a value-oriented pricing, while UNTC trades at much lower multiples (P/E 4.90x), often reflecting more mature or slower-growth businesses. While XOM’s revenue declined by -5.10%, its 9.18% net margin shows positive but modest profitability, comparing favorably to CVX (6.77%) and OXY (8.17%).

Exxon Mobil’s solid 11.42% Return on Equity (ROE) demonstrates good capital efficiency within the sector. Furthermore, XOM’s conservative 15.67% debt-to-equity ratio suggests a strong balance sheet, especially when compared to CVX (21.24%) and OXY (62.22%), which carry higher debt levels. Finally, XOM offers a compelling 3.52% dividend yield, providing income to shareholders, alongside CVX (4.56%) and OXY (2.32%). This peer comparison highlights XOM’s strong market position, solid profitability, and conservative financial management within the energy sector.

Metric XOM CVX OXY UNTC
Market Cap $499.14 billion $302.18 billion $40.83 billion $325.98 million
P/E Ratio 17.02x 21.09x 30.47x 4.90x
Revenue Growth -5.10% -1.40% -7.70% 10.70%
Net Margin 9.18% 6.77% 8.17% 23.34%
EPS 6.88x 7.11x 1.36x 6.74x
ROE 11.42% 7.32% 5.96% 26.94%
Debt-to-Equity 15.67% 21.24% 62.22% 1.01%
Dividend Yield 3.52% 4.56% 2.32% 15.14%
52-Week Range $95.18 – $119.76 $127.59 – $163.27 $34.40 – $52.36 $22.09 – $33.49

Insider Transactions (Last 3 Months): What are Insiders Doing?

Over the last three months, insider activity for XOM shows a total of 37 transactions. It’s important to differentiate these: a significant portion, 22 to be exact, were stock awards or tax-related dispositions. These are not typically discretionary market transactions. When we focus purely on open-market activity, there were 3 market sales and 0 market purchases, indicating that insiders have been actively reducing their positions in the market.

Due to limited price data availability, a detailed valuation analysis of these specific transactions is restricted. However, the patterns in share volume still offer valuable insights. Recent market transactions clearly lean towards selling, with insiders continuing to reduce their holdings in the near term. This mixed activity pattern—some awards, some sales—is quite typical for established companies where insiders balance personal financial planning with maintaining confidence in the business’s fundamental strength.

Insider Name Type Shares Changed Price Shares After Transaction Date Filing Date
Talley Darrin L SELL (Sale) [S] -2,158 $110.45 13,829 2025-08-22 2025-08-25
Talley Darrin L SELL (Sale) [S] -2,100 $113.00 15,987 2025-03-17 2025-03-18
Talley Darrin L SELL (Sale) [S] -2,100 $110.00 18,087 2025-02-04 2025-02-05
Talley Darrin L SELL (Tax Payment) [F] -3,142 $117.73 234,058 2024-12-02 2024-12-02
Gibbs Jon M. SELL (Tax Payment) [F] -2,893 $117.73 304,625 2024-12-02 2024-12-02
Fox Leonard M. SELL (Tax Payment) [F] -4,300 $117.73 267,078 2024-12-02 2024-12-02
McKee Karen T SELL (Tax Payment) [F] -4,880 $117.73 531,812 2024-12-02 2024-12-02
Gibbs Jon M. SELL (Tax Payment) [F] -3,690 $118.76 307,518 2024-11-27 2024-11-27
McKee Karen T SELL (Tax Payment) [F] -6,946 $118.76 536,692 2024-11-27 2024-11-27
Mallon Liam M SELL (Tax Payment) [F] -10,822 $118.76 649,772 2024-11-27 2024-11-27
Chapman Neil A SELL (Tax Payment) [F] -18,849 $118.76 935,972 2024-11-27 2024-11-27
Woods Darren W SELL (Tax Payment) [F] -35,415 $118.76 1,770,783 2024-11-27 2024-11-27
Williams Jack P Jr SELL (Tax Payment) [F] -16,744 $118.76 950,685 2024-11-27 2024-11-27

Risk Factors: Potential Headwinds for XOM

Investing in XOM, like any stock, involves various inherent risks. This section highlights potential factors identified through our data analysis and general market considerations. It’s important to remember that this list isn’t exhaustive, but it points to some significant areas of concern for investors.

  • ⚠️ Negative Year-Over-Year Revenue Growth: A decline of -5.10% in year-over-year revenue growth poses a clear risk to Exxon Mobil’s future top-line performance. Sustained revenue contraction can impact profitability and market perception.
  • ⚠️ Negative Year-Over-Year Earnings Growth: With earnings growth down -8.30% year-over-year, there are legitimate concerns about the company’s profitability trends. This could signal challenges in cost management or pricing power.
  • ⚠️ Energy Sector Vulnerability: Stocks in the Energy sector, including XOM, are inherently susceptible to general market fluctuations and broader economic conditions. Geopolitical events, shifts in oil demand, and regulatory changes can significantly impact performance.

Analyst Insights and Consensus: Wall Street’s View on XOM

Let’s turn our attention to what Wall Street analysts are saying about XOM. The average recommendation for Exxon Mobil is currently a resounding ‘Buy’. This consensus view is based on the insights of 25 analysts who have contributed their opinions.

Their targets average out to $128.72, with a range spanning from a low of $105.00 to a high of $156.00. What’s particularly interesting is that the average target price of $128.72 suggests roughly 9.9% potential upside compared to the current price of $117.08. This robust consensus reflects a generally positive sentiment among analysts regarding the stock’s future outlook.

Metric Value
Recommendation Buy
Mean Target Price $128.72
High Target Price $156.00
Low Target Price $105.00
Number of Analyst Opinions 25

Recent News and Developments: Keeping Up with XOM

Staying updated on recent news is absolutely essential for understanding potential catalysts that could affect XOM’s stock price. Here’s a snapshot of some recent headlines impacting Exxon Mobil Corporation.

Conclusion and Outlook: What’s Next for Exxon Mobil (XOM)?

Synthesizing all the data, XOM currently presents a compelling picture with Strong Bullish technicals, coupled with moderate, but solid, fundamentals. From a valuation standpoint, it looks Potentially Attractive, especially considering its Forward P/E of 14.88x. The 1-year forecast model suggests a potential upside of +7.8%, aiming towards an average price of approximately $126.19.

However, it’s also important to acknowledge recent growth metrics, which show negative year-over-year trends for both revenue (-5.10%) and earnings (-8.30%). These factors, combined with identified risks, warrant careful consideration depending on your individual investment horizon and risk tolerance. Overall, XOM offers a blend of stability and potential, but diligent monitoring of its growth trajectory will be key.

Short-Term Technical Snapshot

  • ▲ Overall Technical Sentiment: Strong Bullish
  • ▲ Price Trend vs MAs: Bullish (above SMA50/200)
  • ● Momentum (RSI): Neutral (53.8)
  • 📊 Support / Resistance (30d): ~$111.53 / ~$119.76

Longer-Term Fundamental & Forecast Outlook

  • ▲ 1-Year Avg. Forecast: ~+7.8% avg. change to ≈$126.19
  • ● Fundamental Health: Assessment Incomplete (ROE: 11.42%, D/E: 0.16x)
  • ➕ Valuation Snapshot: Potentially Attractive (Fwd P/E: 14.88x)
  • ➖ Recent Growth (YoY): Negative (Rev: -5.10%, Earn: -8.30%)
  • ▲ Analyst Consensus: Buy (Target: $128.72)

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) about XOM Stock

Here are some of the most common questions investors have about Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) stock, along with our insights based on this analysis.

What is the XOM stock price prediction for the next year (2025-2026)?
Based on current models, the average 1-year price forecast for XOM is approximately $126.19. This represents a potential +7.8% change from the recent price of $117.08. Remember, this is a model-driven estimate, not a guarantee, and actual prices will fluctuate based on numerous market factors and company performance.
Will XOM stock go up or down?
The 1-year forecast model suggests the price might see modest gains on average, with a +7.8% potential. However, the short-term direction is highly uncertain and heavily influenced by prevailing market sentiment (currently ‘Strong Bullish’), breaking news, and overall economic conditions. Technical indicators, as detailed in our analysis, can provide clues for near-term movements.
Is XOM stock a good investment right now?
Whether XOM is a ‘good buy’ now depends on balancing several elements: it shows ‘Strong Bullish’ technicals and a +7.8% forecast potential. Technically, the RSI indicates neutral conditions (RSI: 53.8), suggesting balanced momentum. It’s crucial to weigh the company’s valuation, stability, and growth prospects against your own investment goals and risk profile. This report is informational; consulting a financial advisor before investing is always recommended.
How volatile is XOM stock?
Based on the recent 30-day price action, XOM’s annualized volatility is approximately 14.4%. This level is currently considered subdued, indicating a moderate degree of recent price fluctuation. This aligns with its Beta of 0.38x, suggesting it moves less dramatically than the broader market. Higher volatility means larger potential price swings, both up and down.
What is XOM’s P/E ratio and what does it mean?
XOM’s Trailing P/E ratio (based on past earnings) is 17.02x, which is considered moderate. The Forward P/E (based on expected earnings) is 14.88x. A P/E ratio indicates how much investors are paying per dollar of earnings. You should compare this to industry peers and historical levels. A high P/E isn’t necessarily bad if strong growth justifies it.
What are the key upcoming events for XOM?
A key upcoming event for income investors is the ex-dividend date on November 14, 2025. Beyond this, analysts should monitor macroeconomic shifts, competitive actions within the energy sector, and any major corporate announcements from Exxon Mobil, which can all impact the stock.
What does XOM’s liquidity position reveal about its financial health?
XOM’s financial health includes an adequate Current Ratio of 1.14x. More importantly, its robust operating cash flow ($51.52 billion) and levered free cash flow ($17.29 billion) provide a significant buffer. These strong cash flow figures are critical factors in its ability to fund operations, manage debt, and return capital to shareholders.

 

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